Scattered thunderstorms formed along an outflow boundary and moved east across the area during the evening of July 6th. Thunderstorms winds brought down a few trees in Mahoning County from Canfield to Youngstown.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS CLE wrote it up.
Scattered thunderstorms formed along an outflow boundary and moved east across the area during the evening of July 6th. Thunderstorms winds brought down a few trees in Mahoning County from Canfield to Youngstown.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Cleveland, OH wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 6, 6:11 PM EST, 1 hour 14 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 711 PM EDT WED JUL 6 2016 .SYNOPSIS... A ridge across the eastern Great Lakes will continue to weaken ahead of an area of low pressure that is expected to move across the Central Great Lakes this evening. A warm front will lift north across the area Thursday night into Friday. This front will eventually move back back south as a cold front on Friday night. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/... A broken line of convection as formed on the outflow from this mornings storms. This activity has expanded some but will be moving into an area with less CAPE and instability and very little shear. Will go ahead and word for scattered storms this evening. A short wave moving overhead will cause some cooling and drying in mid levels which may help destabilize eastern areas a little more. As it stands the threat for severe weather appears to be away from the local area. Did however have a 39 knot gust at MNN an hour or go so will certainly need to keep an eye on things. After this first batch of storms moves through it's tough to tell what will happen. Expect convection to fire well to the northwest later this evening. Low level thicknesses could bring the storms to the western end of the area toward daybreak. So as much as I hate to do it...will keep low chance pops going all areas all night even though most locations will be lucky to see 30 minutes of rain. Dew points are up and lows many areas will remain at 70 degrees or warmer. && .SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/... Big challenges continue as far as determining when and how much precip there will be during the period. Given the warm and moist airmass in place we should see a gradual increase in precip chances the next couple of days. The area will be capped on Thursday as 700 mb temps again surge to 10 degrees. So the area will have to rely on convection moving in from the west. Could also see some development along left over boundaries or perhaps a lake breeze front. Thinker better chances for precip will come tomorrow night into Friday as a surface warm front lifts north into the area. Will make very few changes to the forecast for the period given the uncertainty. Will continue with likely pops in the east for Friday. A cold front will move back south across the area on Friday night and will start to dry things out at that time. As far as severe weather potential goes...best chances still appear to be on Friday with the front lifting across the area. Will still have good instability but the low level shear will be more favorable with the front in the area. Temps are also tricky. If the sun makes it out the next couple of days we will make 90 degrees but betting on quite a bit of cloudiness so will stay a little cooler than that. && .LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... Models continue to be in good agreement with high pressure building over the area on Sunday. The high shifts east of the area Tuesday allowing for a gradual warmup. After that the models begin to diverge. GFS moves a trough into the forecast area moving it east on Wednesday. The ECMWF is about one period slower...holding off the trough until Wednesday. For now will go with the slower ECMWF and put in low chance pops Wednesday into Wednesday night. && .AVIATION /00Z Thursday THROUGH Monday/... Largely zonal flow with weak short waves moving through overnight into Thursday. Plenty of low level moisture across the area with dewpoints in the mid and upper 60s. Still...through the evening expect thunderstorms in the area to weaken and dissipate as instability decreases. Overnight expect mainly VFR however towards morning could see scattered fog/haze restrictions mainly inland tafs. Thursday again mainly VFR but put vcts in the tafs mfd and points west. Outlook...Areas of non-VFR Thu night thru Fri in scattered -tsra. && .MARINE... Biggest concern for tonight will be some scattered thunderstorms on the lake this evening. Other than that winds will continue with a light south to southwest flow. The best chance for a small craft advisory will be this weekend. Low pressure moves across the central lakes Friday dragging a strong front across the lake. West to northwest winds of 10 to 20 knots will develop late Friday and continue into Saturday. Conditions improve on Sunday as high pressure builds over the lake. && .CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OH...None. PA...None. MARINE...None. && SYNOPSIS...Kubina NEAR TERM...Kubina SHORT TERM...Kubina LONG TERM...DJB AVIATION...TK MARINE...DJB
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 343 PM EDT WED JUL 6 2016 LEZ061-142>149-162>169-OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047- 089-PAZ001>003-071945- LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY- LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH- LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH- LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH- LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH- LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH- LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE OH- LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH- LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-LUCAS-WOOD- OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND- HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-WYANDOT-CRAWFORD- RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-MARION-MORROW-HOLMES-KNOX- ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE- 343 PM EDT WED JUL 6 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE...NORTH CENTRAL OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO...NORTHWEST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING. A FEW OF THE STRONGER STORMS COULD PRODUCE WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH. ADDITIONAL STORMS MAY IMPACT THE AREA OVERNIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ON THURSDAY AND INCREASE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT AHEAD OF A TROUGH MOVING INTO THE REGION. A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE THURSDAY AS A WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTH. THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS HIGHLIGHTED THE AREA WITH A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON FRIDAY. PLEASE STAY TUNED TO LATER UPDATES THAT WILL REFINE TIMING AND HAZARDS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.
The Pittsburgh radar (KPBZ), 72 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 00:24 UTC.
1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Thunderstorm winds brought down a tree on Burgett Lane in Canfield. Trees were also reported down at Indianola and Glenwood Roads on the southwest side of Youngstown, one of which fell on a car.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Ohio in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in Ohio, July 2016
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 648230.