Hail and Damaging Wind in North Carolina, May 2, 2016

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
140 PM EDT MON MAY 2 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK COLD FRONT ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY EARLY MONDAY MORNING WILL
DRIFT SLOWLY THROUGH THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS BY EARLY TUESDAY.
LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT TONIGHT AND MOVE
NORTHEAST TOWARD THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST BY TUESDAY MORNING.
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL ACCOMPANY THESE
FEATURES. FOR WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...A DEEP UPPER LOW
PRESSURE AREA WILL SAG SOUTHWARD FROM THE GREAT LAKES INTO THE
APPALACHIANS KEEPING AN UNSETTLED AND UNSEASONABLY COOL WEATHER
PATTERN ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS 100 PM EDT MONDAY...

WILL BE LAUNCHING AN 18Z RNK SOUNDINGS THIS AFTERNOON.

ADJUSTED TEMPERATURES WITH LATEST OBS AND MODEL TRENDS. RAISED
HIGH TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON IN THE EAST A FEW DEGREES.
SHAPED POPS FOR THIS AFTERNOON TOWARDS THE 4KM NAM. CONVECTION IS
START TO DEVELOP ESPECIALLY ALONG THE SOUTHERN BLUE RIDGE AS
EXPECTED WITH HRRR AND NAM. MORE CHANGES LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

AS OF 954 AM EDT MONDAY...

DENSE FOG ADVISORY CANCELLED FOR THIS MORNING. WIDESPREAD DENSE
FOG HAS ENDED. LOW CLOUDS AND FOG LIFTING AND MIXING OUT THIS
MORNING. FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GREENBRIER COUNTY
INTO TUESDAY MORNING. MADE SOME ADJUSTMENTS IN TEMPERATURES AND
DEW POINTS FOR LATER THIS MORNING INTO THIS AFTERNOON. PROGGED LIS
AROUND MINUS 4 TO MINUS 6 AND CAPES ABOUT 1000 TO 2000 J/KG
SUPPORT ACTIVE AFTERNOON WITH CONVECTION. THE LATEST DAY ONE
SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK PLACES MUCH OF CWA IN A SLIGHT RISK. THE
MAIN THREAT WILL BE GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL. LEANED POPS TOWARDS THE
HIRESW- ARW AND HRRR FOR THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. MORE CHANGES
LATER THIS MORNING.

AS OF 445 AM EDT MONDAY...

AN ACTIVE 24 HOURS WEATHERWISE EXPECTED ACROSS THE CWA WITH THE
MAIN CONCERNS BEING STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL. OVERALL...EXPECTING GREATER THREAT FOR SEVERE
TODAY THAN OBSERVED SUNDAY...ALONG WITH MORE WIDESPREAD RAINFALL.

SYNOPTIC PATTERN FEATURES A WEAK COLD FRONT DRAPED ACROSS THE OHIO
VALLEY INTO NEW ENGLAND. A SERIES OF UPPER-LEVEL IMPULSES DRAPED
ATOP THE FRONT FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TO NEW ENGLAND...ALL
EMANATING FROM A PERSISTENT BROAD UPPER LOW IN THE SOUTHWEST U.S.
OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...THE FRONT WILL SAG SLOWLY SOUTHWARD IN
RESPONSE TO REPEATED DISTURBANCES...ADDITIONAL CONVECTION WITH
COLD POOL OUTFLOW...AND A STRENGTHENING UPPER LOW ALL THE WHILE
JUST NORTH OF THE GREAT LAKES REGION. BY 00Z THIS EVENING...EXPECT
THE FRONT TO EXTEND FROM EASTERN TN INTO EASTERN WV AND CENTRAL
MD. EXPECTING AMPLE HEATING IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT WHICH WILL
PUSH CAPES IN EXCESS OF 2000 J/KG ACROSS MUCH OF THE CWA BY MID-
LATE AFTERNOON. WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE LOW 60S AND PWATS NEARING
1.5 INCH AND AT LEAST WEAK SHEAR...AND A WEAKLY DIFFLUENT UPPER
DISTURBANCE APPROACHING THE AREA FROM THE SOUTHWEST...CONDITIONS
APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR A FAIRLY WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER EVENT. AS
A RESULT...SPC HAS OUTLOOKED MUCH OF THE CWA FOR A SLIGHT RISK OF
SEVERE TODAY AND TONIGHT. SHEAR/HELICITY IS NOT OVERLY IMPRESSIVE
ACROSS THIS REGION...WITH THE BETTER OF SUCH LOCATED ACROSS
NORTHERN VA/MD/DC AREA...WHERE SPC HAS INDICATED A 5 PERCENT RISK
OF TORNADOES. MAIN THREATS IN OUR AREA...AS IT HAS BEEN THE PAST
FEW DAYS...SHOULD BE HAIL AND SOME WIND DAMAGE WITH DCAPES
APPROACHING 1000 J/KG BY AFTERNOON. 500MB TEMPS ARE COOLING TOWARD
-20C THROUGH THE PERIOD AND THE FREEZING LEVEL IS RELATIVELY LOW.

THE OTHER CONCERN WILL BE HEAVY RAINFALL WITH ANY TRAINING OF
STORMS. THIS ISSUE IS ADDRESSED BELOW IN THE HYDROLOGY SECTION.

MODELS IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT ON TIMING OF THE HEAVIER
PRECIPITATION AND CONVECTION...GENERALLY HOLDING OFF UNTIL MID TO
LATE AFTERNOON AS A SHORT WAVE MOVES INTO MIDDLE TN/NORTHERN AL.
THUS...WE SHOULD SEE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS INCREASING AFTER 18Z
FROM THE SOUTHWEST...SPREADING NORTHEAST INTO THE CWA DURING THE
LATE AFTERNOON/EVENING...SPREADING SLOWLY EAST OVERNIGHT.
INDICATIONS ARE THAT CONVECTION COULD LINGER MUCH OF THE
NIGHT...ESPECIALLY EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE. THE GREATEST THREAT FOR
SEVERE AND FLASH FLOODING WILL BE IN THE 22Z-04Z TIME FRAME.

WITH NO WEDGE IN PLACE TODAY AND SOME INSOLATION
EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY EASTERN AREAS...HAVE LEANED TOWARD THE WARM
SIDE OF GUIDANCE. TEMPS SUN WERE QUITE WARM AS THE WEDGE BROKE
MUCH EARLIER THAN EXPECTED...AND WITH 850MB TEMPS HOVERING NEAR
+12C AGAIN TODAY...IT SHOULD BE QUITE WARM...70S WEST TO LOWER 80S
EAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 345 AM EDT MONDAY...

A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH EASTWARD OVER THE MID ATLANTIC...WHICH WILL
BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS FOR MOST OF THE CWA. SOUTHSIDE
VIRGINIA AND THE NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA PIEDMONT COULD SEE SOME
CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH LINGERING INSTABILITY PRESENT...DUE TO
HIGH TEMPERATURES REACHING THE MID 70S IN THIS AREA. THE COLD FRONT
FINALLY MOVES TOWARD THE COAST BY TUESDAY NIGHT...WHICH WILL ALLOW
LOW TEMPERATURES TO DROP INTO THE MID 40S TO THE MID 50S.

BY WEDNESDAY..A DEEP UPPER LEVEL TROUGH SHOULD APPROACH FROM HUDSON
BAY IN CANADA TOWARD THE MID ATLANTIC. THE MODELS INSIST THAT THE
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL CLOSE OFF INTO A CUT OFF LOW DURING
THURSDAY...WHILE ANOTHER CUT OFF LOW DEVELOPS ALONG THE CALIFORNIA
COAST. WITH AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE FIRMLY ENTRENCHED OVER THE PLAINS
BETWEEN THE TWO LOWS...THIS OMEGA BLOCK PATTERN SHOULD BLOCK THE
ATMOSPHERIC FLOW ACROSS THE UNITED STATES. DUE TO THE CLOSED LOW
OVERHEAD...EXPECT GENERALLY CLOUDY SKIES...PERIODS OF SHOWERS WITH
SOME PATCHY DRIZZLE AND FOG...AND BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES.
OVERALL...IT CERTAINLY WILL NOT FEEL LIKE THE FIRST WEEK OF MAY
TOWARD THE END OF THIS WORK WEEK.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 400 PM EDT SUNDAY...

TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO TAKE A TUMBLE FOR THE END OF THE WEEK
AS HIGH AMPLITUDE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH SINKS SOUTH FROM THE GREAT
LAKES AND A CUTOFF LOW DEVELOPS OVER THE MID ATLANTIC REGION.  85H
TEMPS OF 0 TO +5 DEG C ARE PROGGED TO BE OVER THE FORECAST AREA BY
THURSDAY NIGHT...AND IF THIS VERIFIES...IT WILL SUPPRESS
TEMPERATURES AT LEAST 10 TO 15 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL.  AS THE UPPER
LOW PASSES OVERHEAD...COLD POOL ALOFT WILL COMBINE WITH DAYTIME
HEATING FOR A DAILY THREAT OF INSTABILITY SHOWERS AND CONSIDERABLE
CLOUDINESS.

CUTOFF LOW WILL LIKELY BE SLOW TO MOVE OUT PER BLOCKY LOOK TO THE
UPPER AIR PATTERN...WITH CUTOFF LOWS ON THE WEST AND EAST COASTS AND
A RIDGE UP THROUGH THE CENTRAL CONUS. UNLIKE THE LAST OMEGA BLOCK
WHERE THE MID ATLANTIC ENJOYED UNSEASONABLY WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS
UNDER THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE...JUST THE OPPOSITE IS OCCURRING THIS GO
ROUND.

OVER THE WEEKEND THE MODELS INDICATE THE CUTOFF LOW WILL GRADUALLY
DRIFT EAST TO JUST OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST...TEMPERATURES ALOFT
MODERATING.  THIS SHOULD ALLOW FOR A GRADUAL WARMING TREND WITH
TEMPERATURES RETURNING TO NORMAL BY THE START OF NEXT WEEK.
ATTM...WEEKEND AS A WHOLE LOOKS DRY.  WE HAVE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS OVER THE MOUNTAINS TO ACCOUNT FOR THE INSTABILITY...BUT NOT
CONFIDENT THERE WILL BE MUCH COVERAGE.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AS OF 140 PM EDT MONDAY...

POOR FLYING CONDITIONS ANTICIPATED FOR THIS AFTERNOON INTO
TONIGHT. ACTIVE WEATHER DAY EXPECTED AS SLOW MOVING FRONT
COMBINES WITH UPPER-LEVEL DISTURBANCES EMANATING FROM SOUTHERN
PLAINS UPPER LOW.

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS...SOME STRONG TO
SEVERE...WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING...WITH
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS LINGERING OVERNIGHT...ESPECIALLY EAST OF THE
BLUE RIDGE.

ISOLATED CONVECTION IS FORMING ALONG THE BLUE RIDGE THIS AFTERNOON
IN THE UNSTABLE AIR AHEAD OF THE MAIN SHORTWAVE PRECIPITATION AREA.
MVFR CONDITIONS WILL LINGER IN THE WEST TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY
MORNING.

VFR CONDITIONS WILL LOWER TO MVFR/IFR WITH SHRA/TSRA THIS
AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. WINDS SHOULD PICK UP FROM THE SOUTHWEST
THIS AFTERNOON. STRONG GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE WITH
AFTERNOON/EVENING THUNDERSTORMS. WINDS WILL BECOME MORE WSW-W
AFTER THUNDERSTORMS PASS WITH SOME LIGHT/VARIABLE WINDS EAST OF
THE BLUE RIDGE OVERNIGHT BEHIND CONVECTION.

THE COLD FRONT WILL STALL ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY WITH WAVES OF
LOW PRESSURE TRACKING ALONG THE STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY TUESDAY.
THIS PATTERN SHOULD KEEP THE MID ATLANTIC IN MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS
TUESDAY.

MEDIUM CONFIDENCE IN CIGS...VSBYS...AND WIND DIR/SPD THROUGH THE
TAF VALID PERIOD.

MEDIUM TO HIGH CONFIDENCE IN TSRA POTENTIAL THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING.

EXTENDED AVIATION DISCUSSION...

THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL BE PUSHED EASTWARD TUESDAY NIGHT. THIS
WILL IMPROVE MVFR CONDITION TO VFR CONDITIONS. A DEEP UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH WILL ARRIVE OVER THE MID ATLANTIC ON WEDNESDAY...AND
SETTLE OVERHEAD THROUGH THE END OF THIS WORK WEEK. OVERALL...FLYING
CONDITIONS APPEAR RATHER POOR FOR LATE THIS WEEK DUE TO THE
LIKELIHOOD OF LOW CLOUDS...PERIODS OF SHOWERS...AND PATCHY FOG.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
WV...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING FOR WVZ507-508.

&&

SYNOPSIS...RAB
NEAR TERM...KK/RAB
SHORT TERM...PW
LONG TERM...PM
AVIATION...KK/RAB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
554 AM EDT MON MAY 2 2016

NCZ001>006-018>020-VAZ007-009>013-015>020-032-033-043-058-059-
WVZ042>044-031100-
ASHE-ALLEGHANY NC-SURRY-STOKES-ROCKINGHAM-CASWELL-WATAUGA-WILKES-
YADKIN-TAZEWELL-SMYTH-BLAND-GILES-WYTHE-PULASKI-GRAYSON-CARROLL-
FLOYD-CRAIG-ALLEGHANY VA-BATH-PATRICK-FRANKLIN-HENRY-HALIFAX-
CHARLOTTE-MERCER-SUMMERS-MONROE-
554 AM EDT MON MAY 2 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA...NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...SOUTH CENTRAL
VIRGINIA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND SOUTHEAST
WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON
AND TONIGHT. SOME OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME STRONG TO
SEVERE AND ALSO PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

THERE IS A LOW PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

VAZ014-022>024-034-035-044>047-031100-
MONTGOMERY-ROANOKE-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-BEDFORD-AMHERST-PITTSYLVANIA-
CAMPBELL-APPOMATTOX-BUCKINGHAM-
554 AM EDT MON MAY 2 2016

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT TUESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTH
CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   DENSE FOG ADVISORY.

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON
AND TONIGHT. SOME OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME STRONG TO
SEVERE AND ALSO PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   DENSE FOG ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

WVZ507-508-031100-
EASTERN GREENBRIER-WESTERN GREENBRIER-
554 AM EDT MON MAY 2 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

IN ADDITION...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
THIS AFTERNOON...SOME OF WHICH COULD BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

OTHERWISE...THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER
THROUGH THE PERIOD IS LOW AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

RAB

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
228 PM EDT MON MAY 2 2016

VAZ017-032-033-021900-
FLOYD-PATRICK-FRANKLIN-
228 PM EDT MON MAY 2 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTH CENTRAL PATRICK...WEST
CENTRAL FRANKLIN AND EAST CENTRAL FLOYD COUNTIES...

AT 228 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS NEAR ROCKY KNOB SUMMIT...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH AND HALF INCH HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ENDICOTT.

LAT...LON 3679 8029 3685 8036 3697 8021 3692 8008
TIME...MOT...LOC 1828Z 229DEG 19KT 3684 8029

DS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
235 PM EDT MON MAY 2 2016

NCZ001-002-VAZ015-021900-
ASHE-ALLEGHANY-GRAYSON-
235 PM EDT MON MAY 2 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN
ALLEGHANY...NORTHEASTERN ASHE AND SOUTH CENTRAL GRAYSON COUNTIES...

AT 235 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS NEAR JEFFERSON...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH AND HALF INCH HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MOUTH OF WILSON...
SCOTTVILLE...
BRIDLE CREEK...
PINEY CREEK...
AND TWIN OAKS.

LAT...LON 3640 8141 3648 8149 3666 8130 3656 8111
TIME...MOT...LOC 1835Z 229DEG 25KT 3646 8142

DS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
237 PM EDT MON MAY 2 2016

VAZ007-WVZ042-021900-
TAZEWELL-MERCER-
237 PM EDT MON MAY 2 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT
NORTHEASTERN TAZEWELL AND SOUTHWESTERN MERCER COUNTIES...

AT 237 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS NEAR TIPTOP...MOVING EAST
AT 30 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH AND HALF INCH HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BLUEFIELD...
POCAHONTAS...
BRAMWELL...
MONTCALM...
AND BOISSEVAIN.

LAT...LON 3726 8150 3725 8148 3727 8145 3727 8142
      3731 8140 3732 8139 3732 8137 3734 8136
      3737 8124 3724 8122 3723 8124 3722 8125
      3722 8152
TIME...MOT...LOC 1837Z 260DEG 25KT 3726 8147

DS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
242 PM EDT MON MAY 2 2016

VAZ033-034-021915-
BEDFORD-FRANKLIN-
242 PM EDT MON MAY 2 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT
NORTHEASTERN FRANKLIN AND SOUTH CENTRAL BEDFORD COUNTIES...

AT 241 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS NEAR ROCKY MOUNT...MOVING
EAST AT 30 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH AND HALF INCH HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ROCKY MOUNT...
MONETA...
PENHOOK...
NORTH SHORE...
AND WESTLAKE CORNER.

IF YOU ARE ON OR NEAR SMITH MOUNTAIN LAKE...GET OUT OF THE WATER AND
MOVE INDOORS OR INSIDE A VEHICLE. REMEMBER...LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE
OUT TO 15 MILES FROM THE PARENT THUNDERSTORM. IF YOU CAN HEAR
THUNDER... YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. MOVE TO
SAFE SHELTER NOW. DO NOT BE CAUGHT ON THE WATER IN A THUNDERSTORM.

LAT...LON 3705 7991 3720 7961 3704 7952 3705 7954
      3705 7955 3704 7955 3704 7956 3703 7956
      3704 7959 3700 7961 3698 7987
TIME...MOT...LOC 1841Z 256DEG 24KT 3702 7983

DS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
249 PM EDT MON MAY 2 2016

NCZ018-021915-
WATAUGA-
249 PM EDT MON MAY 2 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT WESTERN WATAUGA COUNTY...

AT 247 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS OVER BANNER ELK...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH AND HALF INCH HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BOONE...
BEECH MOUNTAIN...
FOSCOE...
AND SUGAR GROVE...

THIS INCLUDES APPALACHIAN STATE UNIVERSITY.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

LAT...LON 3634 8177 3634 8173 3633 8171 3623 8158
      3612 8181 3616 8183 3619 8186 3619 8188
      3621 8190
TIME...MOT...LOC 1847Z 227DEG 25KT 3616 8188

DS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
251 PM EDT MON MAY 2 2016

VAZ013-014-016-017-021930-
MONTGOMERY-FLOYD-CARROLL-PULASKI-
251 PM EDT MON MAY 2 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT
SOUTHEASTERN PULASKI...WEST CENTRAL FLOYD...SOUTHWESTERN MONTGOMERY
AND NORTH CENTRAL CARROLL COUNTIES...

AT 250 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS NEAR ALLISONIA...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH AND DIME SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
INDIAN VALLEY...
GRAYSONTOWN...
COPPER VALLEY...
AND ALUM RIDGE.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3687 8076 3688 8074 3690 8076 3706 8057
      3695 8028 3683 8070
TIME...MOT...LOC 1850Z 242DEG 21KT 3689 8068

PH