Nevada, 2016High Wind in Nevada, October 30, 2016
October 30, 2016 · NWS VEF · 2 events in 2 counties and zones
A Pacific storm system brought isolated high winds to south central Nevada.
Every event with a place to put it; 2 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
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- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 2
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
A Pacific storm system brought isolated high winds to south central Nevada.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Las Vegas, NV wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 30, 8:24 AM PST, 3 hours 21 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 30, 8:24 AM PST, 3 hours 21 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Las Vegas NV
924 AM PDT SUN OCT 30 2016
.SYNOPSIS...Another storm system will move through the region
today, bringing strong winds to much of the area and a chance of
showers in the Sierra and southern Great Basin. Temperatures will
cool to near average values early this week before gradually warming
to slightly above average near the end of the week.
&&
.UPDATE...Much of the forecast area had mostly cloudy skies as of
this writing with some light showers showing up on radar mainly over
Inyo County. Winds were beginning to increase in some areas but were
still light in other areas. Overall the forecast looks good and
updates are not anticipated this morning. -Harrison-
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION...
302 AM PDT SUN OCT 30 2016
.SHORT TERM...through Tuesday night.
Water vapor imagery shows deep upper low currently near 39N/130W
slowly moving toward the Pacific Coast. Another vort max centered
near 29N/126W was moving rapidly northeastward, embedded within a
broad southwesterly flow downstream of the aforementioned upper low.
Considerable upper-level moisture was streaming into the western
U.S. overnight with mid and upper-level clouds increasing in
coverage. Regional radar showed precipitation developing in upslope
flow on the western side of the Sierra, but South Lake in Inyo
County was beginning to report occasional showers the past couple of
hours. Showers are expected to continue today in the Sierra, with
isolated/scattered coverage downstream in the southern Great Basin
this afternoon. Instability looks marginal/nonexistent today as the
trough swings through the Great Basin near 00Z Monday, instead
looking to stay farther north closer to the core of the low. As
such, did not include thunder in the grids for today, though cannot
completely rule out a lightning strike near/north of a Bishop to
Pioche line. Hi-res models are not particularly aggressive in
generating precip downstream of the Sierra today, so kept PoPs
fairly low (slight to low chance), despite the more aggressive (and
reasonably consistent) output from the ECMWF/CMC. Snow levels are
high, and QPF is light -- so a trace to a couple of inches are all
we are expecting near the Sierra crest.
By far, the bigger story today will be the winds. Latest high-
resolution output continues to show mixed signals for a downslope
wind event in the eastern slopes of the southern Sierra (nothing new
there), but pattern recognition and the strength of the 500-mb jet
streak cresting the ridge today (near 90 kts) is quite favorable for
strong winds to reach at least to the mid-slopes with a decent
chance of seeing strong winds reaching the US 395 corridor. Current
high wind warning remains unchanged. Of note, the orientation of
the trough/jet streak has changed with the past 24 hours of
simulations, with the flow a bit more southwesterly (rather than W
or WSW) and the jet streak more compact, the former being somewhat
helpful for downslope winds (more orthogonal orientation to the
ridge) and the latter being somewhat detrimental (shorter time
window). Moreover, given the tropical fetch occurring across the
region tonight and a bit of a slowing trend with onset of
precipitation, a little concerned that precipitation will inhibit a
more pronounced high wind event. Precip is expected to diminish
rapidly late this afternoon or early this evening, which makes this
the most likely time for a downslope event.
As for the rest of the CWA, fairly high-end advisory-level winds are
expected in Inyo County and the southern Great Basin today. NAEFS
output features 700-mb winds in the 99th percentile (standardized
anomalies 3-4 sigma) in much of Nevada as the jet streak intensifies
today thanks to the approaching low. Was tempted to issue a high
wind warning for Esmeralda/Nye Counties given a continued slight
upward tick with the winds in tonight's simulations. Confidence is
not high enough for the upgrade at this point, though I would not be
surprised to see an ob or two meet criteria. Another concern is the
Spring Mountains later this evening, near the climatologically
favored time for downslope events. Latest hi-res simulations do
suggest winds meeting or briefly exceeding criteria near Mount
Charleston, but there is a notable lack of spread of these winds
down to the lower elevations. As such, confidence was too low for
an upgrade here too. However, this will be monitored closely today.
The winds are expected to be a bit more marginal in central/eastern
Clark and Mohave Counties. The LV Valley may have a hard time
reaching advisory criteria as the strongest surface pressure
gradient is positioned to the northwest (collocated with the 700-mb
jet streak). Nevertheless, isolated gusts to 40 mph are certainly
possible, so kept the advisory going here as well. Only change to
the wind products was to change the start time for
Inyo/Esmeralda/Nye Counties to 9 am, given a consistent upward tick
in winds by the late morning hours in these areas. Winds should
diminish rapidly after mid-evening as the midlevel jet departs.
Monday and Tuesday look cooler and quiet, with temperatures near
normal and winds considerably lighter than those expected today.
Another vort max moves in from the northwest on Tuesday, with the
GFS/ECMWF showing a rapid shift of this system southward to
southwest Arizona by 12Z Wednesday (as a broad/strong ridge across
the central/southern U.S. will prove too tough to move through). All
models look dry with the passage of this system, so removed PoPs on
Tuesday.
.LONG TERM...Wednesday through Sunday.
Long term not as clear cut as last night. Models threw a curve ball
from 24 hours ago leading to less certainty beyond Thursday.
Southern piece of energy associated with Tuesday's trough progged to
slide southeast and eventually close off around the northern Gulf of
California Wednesday afternoon. As closed low sets over the northern
Gulf of California deeper moisture will get pulled back westward
across Arizona into Mohave County. Did increase POPs/Sky cover to
mention at least a slight chance of showers in southeast Mohave
County Thursday night and Friday. After that models diverge with the
ECMWF moving the low north across western Arizona while the GFS
shifts the low slowly east. Due to the uncertainty left Clark and
eastern San Bernardino County dry but did increase the cloud cover.
Still looks like the Colorado River Valley south of Hoover Dam will
be dealing with a several day stretch of north breezes, especially
Wednesday and Thursday. Mild temperatures will persist with both
lows and highs running several degrees above normal.
&&
.AVIATION...For McCarran...Winds are expected to be mostly light and
variable through early this morning before S or SSE winds kick in
17Z-19Z. Thereafter, winds should veer to SSW and become strong
(speeds 15-25 kts with gusts to 35 kts) through sunset before
diminishing to around 10-15 kts with occasional gusts to 20-25 kts
overnight. SCT-BKN CIGs near or above 10 kft expected today with
skies clearing gradually overnight. Mechanical turbulence is likely
late this morning through tonight.
For the rest of southern Nevada...northwest Arizona...and southeast
California...S or SW winds will become strong generally along and
north of I-40 today, with speeds 15-25 kts and gusts to 35 kts
possible. Even stronger winds are possible in the southern Great
Basin. Mountain wave activity is expected downstream of the Sierra
this afternoon and tonight. Winds should diminish fairly rapidly
after sunset. SCT-BKN CIGs near or above 10 kft areawide today with
locally lower CIGs/mountain obscurations near showers in the
Sierra/southern Great Basin.
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...Another storm system will affect
the area today, which may produce precipitation in the Sierra and
strong winds across much of the area. Spotters should report
significant weather according to standard operating procedures.
&&
Short Term/Aviation: Shafer
Long Term: Pierce
For more forecast information...see us on our webpage:
http://weather.gov/lasvegas or follow us on Facebook and Twitter
High Wind, Esmeralda/Central Nye
- When
- October 30, 11:45 AM PST to 1:30 PM PST
- Where
- Esmeralda/Central Nye forecast zone
- Measured
- 53 kt (61 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- Mesonet
- Coordinates
- 37.914, -117.052 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
These winds were measured 40 miles E of Beatty.
High Wind, Lincoln County Except the Sheep Range
- When
- October 30, 3:10 PM PST
- Where
- Lincoln County Except the Sheep Range forecast zone
- Measured
- 51 kt (59 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- Mesonet
- Coordinates
- 37.643, -114.877 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
This gust was measured in Pioche.
- High Wind
- Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.
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NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 662069, 662070.