Montana, 2016Winter Storm in Montana, March 28 to 29, 2016
March 28 to 29, 2016 · NWS TFX · 1 event in 1 county or zone
Upslope conditions caused from a strong circulation center over northeast Montana resulted in heavy snow in and around Glacier National Park. Snow amounts in excess of 8 inches were reported.
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 1
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
Upslope conditions caused from a strong circulation center over northeast Montana resulted in heavy snow in and around Glacier National Park. Snow amounts in excess of 8 inches were reported.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Great Falls, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 28, 4:22 AM MST, 4 hours 38 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 28, 4:22 AM MST, 4 hours 38 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
522 AM MDT MON MAR 28 2016
AVIATION SECTION UPDATED
.DISCUSSION...
TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...LARGE SCALE MID-UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
CONTINUES TO PUSH EAST INTO THE REGION THIS MORNING WITH ONE
CIRCULATION CENTER LOCATED OVER NW MT WHILE ANOTHER IS DIVING SE
INTO NORTHERN CA. THE INITIAL SURFACE TROUGH/FRONTAL BOUNDARY
AHEAD OF THE MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED AREA OF SHOWERS
WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY PUSH EAST ACROSS NORTH-CENTRAL MT AND
WEAKEN THIS MORNING WITH SOME DRIER AIR MOVING IN FROM THE WEST
INTO CENTRAL AND SW MT THIS AFTERNOON. THE CIRCULATION CENTER OVER
NW MT THIS MORNING GRADUALLY WEAKENS AND SAGS SOUTH TODAY AND
TONIGHT ALLOWING A PLUME OF MOISTURE WRAPPING AROUND TO ITS NORTH
TO PUSH SOUTH FROM ALBERTA INTO THE GLACIER PARK VICINITY LATER
TODAY AND TONIGHT. THIS CREATES A FAIRLY LOCALIZED BUT SIGNIFICANT
UPSLOPE PRECIPITATION SETUP FOR PORTIONS OF GLACIER COUNTY WITH
HEAVIEST SNOWFALL AMOUNTS THROUGH TONIGHT FOCUSED OVER AREAS NEAR
AND IMMEDIATELY ADJACENT TO GLACIER NATIONAL PARK...PARTICULARLY
NEAR THE CANADIAN BORDER. MEANWHILE...THE UPPER LEVEL ENERGY NOW
DIVING INTO NORTHERN CA WILL CARVE OUT A STRONGER/LARGER UPPER
LEVEL LOW OVER THE GREAT BASIN LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT...WHICH
DRIFTS EAST ACROSS UT AND WY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. AS THIS
OCCURS FLOW ALOFT WILL BECOME NORTHEAST AND INCREASINGLY MOIST
ACROSS MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA LATE TONIGHT THOUGH TUESDAY WITH
PRECIPITATION SPREADING NORTH INTO SW AND EVENTUALLY CENTRAL MT.
POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS TUES/TUES
NIGHT ACROSS THE MTNS OF SW MT AS WELL AS OVER AND ADJACENT TO
THE LITTLE BELT AND BIG SNOWY RANGES OF CENTRAL MT THOUGH THERE
IS STILL FAIRLY LARGE SPREAD AMONG MODELS IN MAXIMUM QPF AMOUNTS
IN THESE AREAS. HOENISCH
WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...A LOW PRESSURE TROF WILL BE EAST OF
THE ZONES WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING ALOFT.
HOWEVER, A SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AND
KEEP A THREAT OF PRECIPITATION IN THE AREA THROUGH THURSDAY.
ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO REQUIRE
HIGHLIGHTS. THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL ALSO BRING COOLER
TEMPERATURES TO THE REGION...COLDEST TEMPS ACROSS THE NORTHEAST
ZONES WHILE DILLON WILL REMAIN NEAR SEASONAL NORMALS. A HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGE OVER THE WEST COAST WILL BECOME THE DOMINANT FEATURE
BY THURSDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL MOVE OVER THE ROCKIES BY SATURDAY. TO
THE WEST, A SHORTWAVE WILL BE MOVING OVER THE WEST COAST, FLATTENING
THE RIDGE SATURDAY NIGHT, AND CROSSING THE ROCKIES SUNDAY. THIS
QUICK MOVING FEATURE WILL BRING PRECIPITATION BUT AMOUNTS WILL BE
LOW...AND WITH THE WARM TEMPERATURES, SNOW SHOULD BE A FACTOR ONLY
AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS. THE MODELS REMAIN VERY SIMILAR UNTIL SHOWING
SOME DIFFERENCES BY MONDAY. THE GFS CLOSES OFF A LOW OVER THE WEST
COAST WHILE THE ECMWF KEEPS THIS AS AN OPEN WAVE...AND MOVES IT
QUICKER ACROSS THE WESTERN US. THE GEM IS EVEN FASTER THAN THE
ECMWF. AT THIS POINT IN THE FORECAST WILL SIMPLY BLEND THE MODELS.
ZELZER
&&
.AVIATION...UPDATED 1120Z.
A LOW PRESSURE TROF IS OVER MUCH OF THE WESTERN US. THIS WILL KEEP
THE AIRMASS UNSETTLED WITH PERIODS OF LIGHT PRECIPITATION ACROSS
CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST MONTANA. A COLD FRONT WILL BRING COOL, MOIST
AIR FROM THE NORTH WITH MVFR/IFR CIGS OVER THE CANADIAN BORDER BY
MID-AFTERNOON. VFR CONDITIONS WILL GENERALLY PREVAIL SOUTH OF KCTB
THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON BUT AREAS OF MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS DUE TO FOG,
SNOW, AND CIGS WILL DEVELOP OVERNIGHT. MOUNTAIN OBSCURATION IS
EXPECTED TONIGHT AND TUESDAY.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GTF 49 29 45 25 / 20 40 60 40
CTB 45 29 43 26 / 50 70 50 10
HLN 48 30 45 28 / 20 40 60 50
BZN 45 28 45 26 / 30 40 70 70
WEY 35 22 35 20 / 80 70 70 50
DLN 42 28 41 26 / 20 50 70 50
HVR 51 29 50 25 / 70 20 30 10
LWT 44 28 41 25 / 60 30 80 80
&&
.TFX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER STORM WARNING FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM MDT TUESDAY FOR
MTZ009-010.
&&
WEATHER.GOV/GREATFALLS
Winter Storm, North Rocky Mountain Front
- When
- March 28, 9:00 AM MST to March 29, 9:18 AM MST
- Where
- North Rocky Mountain Front forecast zone
- Reported by
- Mesonet
Ten inches of snow fell at Babb 12WSW (the Many Glacier SNOTEL site). Six to fourteen inches of snow fell in the Babb and Port of Piegan areas. Roads were plowed and kept open with no accidents reported. Glacier National Park reported icy roads in the St Mary area but no incidents.
- Winter Storm
- A storm that brought snow, sleet or freezing rain at warning levels, usually over several hours or days.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Strong Wind in New York, March 28 to 29, 20161 injured · $240,000 · 5 events
- High Wind in New Jersey, March 28, 2016$50,000 · 50 kt wind · 1 event
- Strong Wind in Connecticut, March 28 to 29, 2016$40,000 · 1 event
- Strong Wind in New York, March 28 to 29, 2016$27,000 · 9 events
- Strong Wind in Pennsylvania, March 28, 2016$33,000 · 2 events
- Winter Storm in Wyoming, March 28 to 30, 201614 events
- Winter Storm and Heavy Snow in Nevada, March 28 to 30, 20165 events
- High Wind in Arizona, March 28 to 29, 201660 kt wind · 4 events
- High Wind in Nevada, March 28, 201672 kt wind · 3 events
- Winter Storm and Winter Weather in Utah, March 28 to 30, 20163 events
- Heavy Snow and Winter Weather in Idaho, March 28, 20162 events
- High Wind and Strong Wind in California, March 28, 2016$10,000 · 61 kt wind · 2 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 616900.