Montana, 2016

Winter Storm in Montana, December 20, 2016

December 20, 2016 · NWS TFX · 1 event in 1 county or zone

A low pressure system moved quickly east-southeastward from west-central British Columbia on the morning of Tuesday, December 20th and redeveloped over southern Alberta, in the lee of the Canadian Rockies, by Tuesday afternoon before moving farther to the east. Westerly and moist flow accompanying this system allowed upslope snow, heavy at times, to spill-over the Continental Divide and impact…

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS TFX wrote it up.

A low pressure system moved quickly east-southeastward from west-central British Columbia on the morning of Tuesday, December 20th and redeveloped over southern Alberta, in the lee of the Canadian Rockies, by Tuesday afternoon before moving farther to the east. Westerly and moist flow accompanying this system allowed upslope snow, heavy at times, to spill-over the Continental Divide and impact portions of the northern Rocky Mountain Front, including Marias Pass along US-2.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Great Falls, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 20, 5:00 PM MST, 0 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 20, 5:00 PM MST, 0 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Great Falls MT
500 PM MST Tue Dec 20 2016

.DISCUSSION...

Quick update as of 420 pm...Have increased snow/rain coverage across
the area this evening associated with the passage of a cold front.
Left PoPs after midnight as is.  Coulston

Today through Thursday...Snow continues over the Rocky Mountains
and most of the Southwest MT ranges amid a moist westerly flow.
Water vapor imagery and surface observations reveal a potent
shortwave system over the southern Canadian Rockies, with lee
side pressure falls over souther Alberta. The trailing surface
front is moving through northern Idaho, and will be expected to
emerge across the Rockies around 00Z this evening. Winds have been
gradually strengthening today, but so far have remained below high
wind criteria. However, the Alberta clipper system is forecast to
intensify and strengthen the pressure gradient. Winds are forecast
to increase near high wind criteria for a short time as the front
moves across North-central MT from west to east this evening.
Therefore, a high wind warning remains in effect starting at 4pm
MST and continue through midnight. Conditions improve overnight,
with very light orographic snow continuing in NW flow through
Wednesday morning. Skies clear Wednesday and Thursday as dry air
moves across the region. Breezy conditions continue with the
strong westerly flow aloft. PN

Thursday Night through Tuesday...This period continues to be marked
by forecast model uncertainty for a strong Pacific shortwave trof
coming into the West Coast late Fri. A consensus-type forecast of
the varying model solutions indicates the leading edge of
precipitation from this system should reach our region starting Sat
morning and followed by the primary moisture plume Sat night through
most of Sunday. That translates into a fairly steady period of light
snow through the Christmas holiday weekend, with most locations
receiving a few inches of accumulation before the system heads into
the Upper Midwest states on Sun night.  Expect mostly dry conditions
on Mon and Tues, but our brief run of above-freezing temps comes to
an end with the Christmas system, as a colder Canadian airmass
settles into the state as the shortwave exits. High temps drop
back to 20s on Sat and re

&&

.AVIATION...
/Updated 0000Z/

VFR conditions are expected for most of the period across the
forecast area, unless otherwise mentioned. A shortwave trough with
an associated cold front will move east across the area through 06Z.
A band of showers associated with this system will affect the
terminals through this time, bringing scattered rain and snow
showers and occasional mountain obscuring MVFR conditions. The band
is currently over a line from Chester southwest to Dillon, over KGTF
and KHLN. This band will move into the KHVR/KLWT/KBZN areas through
03Z, then out of the area by 06Z. A northwest flow aloft will follow
in the wake of this system, keeping a chance of showers over the
Rocky Mountain Front, but bringing clearing skies elsewhere. Strong
winds associated with the frontal passage will bring winds of 20 to
35 kt with gusts of 45 to 60 kt to much of the area through 06Z, but
they will decrease from the west overnight.
Coulston

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GTF  23  32  21  34 /  60   0   0   0
CTB  22  32  17  33 /  30   0   0   0
HLN  17  31   8  30 /  70  10   0   0
BZN  12  28   6  29 /  30  10   0   0
WEY  -5  21 -12  21 /  80  30   0   0
DLN   8  26   4  26 /  30  10   0   0
HVR  19  32  19  36 /  10  10   0   0
LWT  19  30  17  35 /  40  10   0   0

&&

.TFX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
High Wind Warning until midnight MST tonight Cascade...
Chouteau...Eastern Glacier...Eastern Pondera...Eastern Teton...
Judith Basin...Liberty...Toole.

Winter Weather Advisory until 11 PM MST this evening
Beaverhead...Central and Southern Lewis and Clark...Gallatin...
Jefferson...Madison...Southern Rocky Mountain Front.

Winter Storm Warning until 11 PM MST this evening above 5000
feet for Northern Rocky Mountain Front.

Winter Weather Advisory until 11 PM MST this evening below 5000
feet for Northern Rocky Mountain Front.

&&

weather.gov/greatfalls

Event by event

1 winter storm. Local standard time, as filed.

Winter Storm, North Rocky Mountain Front

When
December 20, 5:00 PM MST
Where
North Rocky Mountain Front forecast zone
Reported by
Department of Highways

MT DOT reported severe winter driving conditions along US-2 from Browning to Marias Pass.

What these are

Winter Storm
A storm that brought snow, sleet or freezing rain at warning levels, usually over several hours or days.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Montana in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in Montana, December 2016

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 663148.