Periodic rounds of heavy rain caused rises on the region's rivers. Heavy rain upstream in the Mississippi Valley caused minor flooding on the Mississippi River all the way down to Cape Girardeau.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS PAH wrote it up.
Periodic rounds of heavy rain caused rises on the region's rivers. Heavy rain upstream in the Mississippi Valley caused minor flooding on the Mississippi River all the way down to Cape Girardeau.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 13, 2:50 AM CST, 3 hours 10 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Paducah KY 350 AM CDT FRI MAY 13 2016 .SHORT TERM...(Today through Sunday night) Issued at 332 AM CDT Fri May 13 2016 Main weather story in the short term lies with the unseasonably cool air mass that will be diving southeast from Canada this weekend. Meantime, look for a nice Friday coming up as bubble high pressure zips through, bringing sunshine and mild temps in the 70s to locations. A fast moving cold front will move southeast through the region tonight, and will usher the much cooler air in from the northern Plains. Moisture along the front will be decreasing with time. In addition, most of the mid level energy will pass north of the region. Still, scattered showers and even isolated non severe thunderstorms cannot be ruled out ahead of the front this evening up along the I-64 corridor. As the Canadian high pressure system drops southeast into the mid Ms River Valley Saturday night, gusty northwest winds will subside and skies should remain clear, esp east of the Ms River. This will likely lead to near record low temperatures by Sunday morning. In fact, some of our colder locations up along the I-64 corridor may end up with some scattered frost by Sunrise Sunday as temps dip into the mid/upper 30s. .LONG TERM...(Monday through Thursday) Issued at 332 AM CDT Fri May 13 2016 Confidence is increasing in the long term, although recent model differences maintain some uncertainty. Overall, chances for showers and perhaps some thunderstorms will be increasing during the first couple days of the work week as upper level energy streams east from the Plains and enhances lift along a baroclinic zone just south of the immediate region. Most recent GFS and ECMWF operational runs have come into better agreement on keeping the track of the surface low across the southern U.S., while the Canadian still tracks the low from the Mid Mississippi Valley into the Great Lakes Region. Current forecast leans in the direction of the southern track, which brings increasing rain chances from the west on Monday, with the best rain chances Monday night through Tuesday night, and then decreasing rain chances on Wednesday. Maintained slight chances around through Thursday, though if models continue with the current trend, we may be able to eliminate the Wednesday/Thursday rain chance in the next few forecast cycles. Also kept a mention of thunder through the period--mainly for collaborative consistency. Greatest potential for thunder during this time should be focused from late Monday night through Tuesday evening. Temperatures through the extended should be within 5 degrees of climatological norms. && .AVIATION... Issued at 1141 PM CDT Thu May 12 2016 VFR conditions expected at all sites through the period as high pressure overspreads the region. Northwest winds AOB 10 knots will continue through the period. && .PAH Watches/Warnings/Advisories... IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None. && SHORT TERM...GM LONG TERM...RJP AVIATION...JP
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 415 AM CDT FRI MAY 13 2016 ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087- 100-107>112-114-141000- JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON- WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION-JOHNSON-POPE- HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH- WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES- LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL- UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN- MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER- RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID- 415 AM CDT FRI MAY 13 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT ISOLATED NON SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE BEFORE MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...MAINLY ALONG THE I 64 CORRIDOR. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY THE CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS RETURNS TO THE REGION NEXT WEEK... ESPECIALLY MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND LIGHTNING APPEAR TO BE THE MAIN CONCERNS AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Minor flooding occurred on the Mississippi River. Some low-lying woods and fields along the river were underwater.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Missouri in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in Missouri, May 2016
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 630157.