Winter Storm in Minnesota, February 2 to 3, 2016

Name: Winter Storm in Minnesota, February 2 to 3, 2016
Start: 2016-02-02T06:50
End: 2016-02-03T10:45
Location: Minnesota

February 2 to 3, 2016 · NWS ARX · 7 events in 7 counties and zones

Southeast Minnesota was covered by a 6 to 9 inch blanket of snow on February 2nd. This snow fell as a winter storm tracked from Kansas into lower Michigan.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 7 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

Tornadoes
Tropical storms and surge
Floods
Wind
Hail
Winter weather
Heat and drought
Cold
Fire, smoke and dust
Marine and coastal
Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths: 0
Injuries: 0
Property damage: None recorded
Crop damage: None recorded
Events: 7

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS ARX wrote it up.

Southeast Minnesota was covered by a 6 to 9 inch blanket of snow on February 2nd. This snow fell as a winter storm tracked from Kansas into lower Michigan. A band of heavy snow developed ahead of the storm, which moved into southeast Minnesota during the morning of the 2nd and produced snowfall rates up to two inches an hour. This caused roads to quickly become snow covered. The highest reported snowfall amount was 9 inches in Harmony (Fillmore County) and southwest of the city of Winona (Winona County). Blowing and drifting snow became an issue as the storm moved past with wind gusts of 25 to 35 mph. Almost every school closed February 2nd in advance of the storm and many of these remained closed on the 3rd as well.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS La Crosse, WI wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 2, 6:05 AM CST, 45 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 2, 6:05 AM CST, 45 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
605 AM CST TUE FEB 2 2016

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 307 AM CST TUE FEB 2 2016

ALL EYES FOCUSED DIRECTLY ON THE IMPENDING WINTER STORM. LEADING
EDGE OF THE FRONTOGENETIC DRIVEN RADAR RETURNS ALREADY INTO
NORTHERN WI AND SOUTHERN WI. NOTHING REACHING THE GROUND INITIALLY
AS THERE IS A DRY LOWER LAYER THAT HAS TO BE OVERCOME FIRST. THE
MAIN DYNAMICALLY DRIVEN SNOW IS STILL WELL TO THE SOUTH IN
KS/MO/NE AND SOUTHERN IA. BUT THAT AREA IS QUICKLY MOVING
NORTHEAST AS THE MAIN UPPER SYSTEM CONTINUES TO CHURN NORTHEAST
ACROSS THE PLAINS. IMPRESSIVE JET ROUNDING THE BASE OF THE TROUGH
WITH THE INITIAL SHORT WAVE EMBEDDED IN THE CLOSED CIRCULATION.
BROAD UPPER DIFLUENCE SEEN IN BOTH SATELLITE IMAGERY AND MODEL
PLAN VIEW GRAPHICS. SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REACH ITS PEAK STRENGTH
AS IT MOVES INTO WESTERN IA AROUND SUNSET. UPWARD LIFT IS
INCREDIBLY STRONG WITH OMEGA ACTUALLY WRAPPING AROUND THE COLOR
SCALE ON OUR DISPLAYS. PERUSAL OF CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL INDICATES
BOTH UPRIGHT AND SLANTWISE COMPONENTS AVAILABLE DURING THE PEAK
FROM AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING...SO CANNOT COMPLETELY RULE OUT
A RUMBLE OR TWO OF THUNDER AS WELL. WILL NOT ADD IT TO THE
FORECAST JUST YET...

THE RECENT TREND OF A SLIGHTLY MORE NORTHERLY TRACK IS STILL
THERE...WITH MORE WARMER AIR SNEAKING INTO THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS
OF OUR SERVICE AREA. THIS COULD PUT A LITTLE OF A DENT INTO THE
EVENTUAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS...WITH SOME OF THE PRECIPITATION FALLING
AS RAIN. HAVE CONTINUED THE TREND THAT PREVIOUS SHIFTS STARTED BY
HAVING A WINTRY MIX IN THE SOUTHEAST THIRD OF OUR AREA. BUT
DESPITE THE PRESENCE OF THE WARMER AIR AND THE SLIGHT SHIFT...
STILL THINK IMPRESSIVE SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE SEEN. WHEN IT
DOES SNOW...CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL AND STRONG LIFT SUGGEST IT WILL
SNOW PRETTY HARD...WITH 1-2 INCH RATES FOR AT LEAST A FEW HOURS AT
EACH LOCATION.

ONCE THE INITIAL SURGE OF HEAVY SNOW BEGINS TO TAPER OFF...AND THE
MAIN DEFORMATION AREA SHIFTS A BIT TO THE NORTH...WE COULD HAVE A
PERIOD WHERE ONLY LIGHT SNOW PREVAILS. BUT THERE IS A SECONDARY
SHORT WAVE TROUGH THAT WILL ROTATE AROUND THE MAIN SYSTEM AND WILL
PASS ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS. THIS
WILL PROVIDE ANOTHER PERIOD OF SIGNIFICANT LIFT...AND COULD DROP
SEVERAL MORE INCHES OF SNOW. THIS DOUBLE-BARREL EFFECT SHOULD HELP
US REACH THE FORECAST SNOW TOTALS OF 6 TO AS MUCH AS 12 INCHES.

REFER TO THE LATEST STATEMENTS AND WARNINGS FOR DETAILS ON THE
SNOW AS IT AFFECTS THE AREA TODAY.

.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 307 AM CST TUE FEB 2 2016

SNOW MAY LINGER INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY AS THE SYSTEM WEAKENS AND
MOVES AWAY. THE AREA WILL BE IN NORTHWEST FLOW BEHIND IT...AND THE
NEXT WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL ZIP THROUGH ON THURSDAY. MOISTURE WILL
BE LIMITED...BUT THERE SHOULD BE AT LEAST A SMALL CHANCE FOR SOME
LIGHT SNOW. ANOTHER ONE WILL FOLLOW FOR FRIDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY.

OVERALL TRENDS SUGGEST TEMPERATURES WILL BE PRETTY MUCH NEAR
NORMAL. BUT THERE IS A SIGNIFICANT TROUGH THAT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
INTO THE REGION FROM NORTHWEST CANADA ON SUNDAY. TEMPERATURES LOOK
TO WARM NICELY AHEAD OF IT WITH THE CORE OF THE SYSTEM PASSING TO
THE NORTH OF OUR AREA. BUT THIS TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO AMPLIFY
ACROSS THE EASTERN PART OF THE COUNTRY BY EARLY NEXT WEEK...
ALLOWING A SURGE OF COLD ARCTIC AIR TO DROP IN BEHIND IT. LOWS
COULD BE BELOW ZERO AGAIN TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY MORNING...WITH
HIGHS ONLY IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND TEENS.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 605 AM CST TUE FEB 2 2016

HEAVY SNOW WILL MOVE IN BETWEEN 16-18Z THIS MORNING. COULD MIX WITH
FZDZ FOR SEVERAL HOURS LATE AFTERNOON/EVENING AT KLSE AS CLOUD LOSES
ICE. KRST HAS A BETTER CHANCES TO STAY IN THE SNOW. AS MAIN SNOW
AREA MOVES OFF OVERNIGHT...ANOTHER BAND OF SNOW COULD BRING
ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS...ALTHOUGH LATEST MODEL TRENDS FAVOR
KEEPING MOST OF THIS SOUTH OF KRST/KLSE. WINDS WILL INCREASE FOR THE
AFTERNOON...KEEPING UP OVERNIGHT. BLSN WILL BE AN ISSUE AT
KRST...AND WILL CONTINUE TO REDUCE VISIBILITIES THROUGH MUCH OF WED.

ONCE THE SNOW MOVES IN...LOOK FOR SUB 1 KFT CIGS HOLD THROUGH
TONIGHT. VSBYS SHOULD DROP TO BELOW 1SM...WITH 1/2 TO 1/4 FAIRLY
COMMON. SOME IMPROVEMENT LATER THIS EVENING...BUT STILL STAYING IFR.

EXPECT SOME UPDATES A RADAR AND MODEL TRENDS GIVE MORE DEFINITION TO
THE TIMING TO THE HEAVY SNOW AND CHANCES FOR WINTRY MIX.

&&

.ARX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY FOR
     WIZ053>055-061.

     WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 AM CST
     WEDNESDAY FOR WIZ017-029-032>034-041>044.

MN...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY FOR
     MNZ094>096.

     WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 AM CST
     WEDNESDAY FOR MNZ079-086>088.

IA...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY FOR
     IAZ008>011-018- 019-029-030.

&&

SHORT TERM...MW
LONG TERM...MW
AVIATION...RIECK

Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 2, 4:10 AM CST, 2 hours 40 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
410 AM CST TUE FEB 2 2016

IAZ008-009-MNZ079-086>088-094>096-WIZ017-029-032>034-041>044-
031200-
MITCHELL-HOWARD-WABASHA-DODGE-OLMSTED-WINONA-MOWER-FILLMORE-
HOUSTON-TAYLOR-CLARK-BUFFALO-TREMPEALEAU-JACKSON-LA CROSSE-MONROE-
JUNEAU-ADAMS-
410 AM CST TUE FEB 2 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST IOWA...
SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA...AND WESTERN INTO NORTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

WINTER STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT.

SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES...WITH BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT. HEAVIEST SNOWFALL DURING THE LATE
MORNING THROUGH MID AFTERNOON HOURS. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF
8 TO 12 INCHES. FREEZING RAIN COULD MIX IN DURING THE LATE
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS NEAR THE I-90 CORRIDOR. LIGHT
ICING WOULD BE POSSIBLE.

FOR MORE DETAILS ON THE STORM...INCLUDING TIMING...CONSULT THE
LATEST WINTER WEATHER STATEMENT.

IN ADDITION...BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW SHOULD BE EXPECTED FOR THE
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. SOME RURAL ROADS IN OPEN AND UNSHELTERED
AREAS COULD BECOME IMPASSABLE BY THIS EVENING.

TRAVEL WILL BE SIGNIFICANTLY IMPACTED BY THIS STORM. AFTERNOON
AND NIGHT TRAVEL SHOULD BE POSTPONED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WILL CONTINUE WEDNESDAY. EXPECT FURTHER
TRAVEL PROBLEMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

PRECIPITATION REPORTS ARE APPRECIATED.

.EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT COORDINATION...

NO WEBINAR IS SCHEDULED.

IAZ010-011-018-019-029-030-WIZ053>055-061-031200-
WINNESHIEK-ALLAMAKEE-FLOYD-CHICKASAW-FAYETTE-CLAYTON-VERNON-
CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-GRANT-
410 AM CST TUE FEB 2 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST IOWA
AND SOUTHWEST WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

WINTER STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT.

SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES...MIXING WITH FREEZING RAIN OR RAIN LATE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ANOTHER ROUND OF SNOW IS THEN LIKELY LATE
EVENING. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 8 INCHES EXPECTED.
TOTALS COULD BE MUCH LOWER SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 18 IF MORE FREEZING
RAIN AND RAIN FALLS. ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE LESS THAN 1/10 OF
AN INCH.

FOR MORE DETAILS ON THE STORM...INCLUDING TIMING...CONSULT THE
LATEST WINTER WEATHER STATEMENT.

IN ADDITION...BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW SHOULD BE EXPECTED FOR THE
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. SOME RURAL ROADS IN OPEN AND UNSHELTERED
AREAS COULD BECOME IMPASSABLE BY THIS EVENING.

TRAVEL WILL BE SIGNIFICANTLY IMPACTED BY THIS STORM. AFTERNOON
AND NIGHT TRAVEL SHOULD BE POSTPONED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WILL CONTINUE WEDNESDAY. EXPECT FURTHER
TRAVEL PROBLEMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

PRECIPITATION REPORTS ARE APPRECIATED.

.EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT COORDINATION...

NO WEBINAR IS SCHEDULED.

RIECK

In the hours before

Local storm report, Feb 2, 6:43 AM CST, 7 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
643 AM CST TUE FEB 2 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0633 AM     SNOW             CRESCO                  43.37N 92.12W
02/02/2016  E1.0 INCH        HOWARD             IA   PUBLIC

&&

NWS LA CROSSE WI
IRIS SYSTEM

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

7 winter storm. Local standard time, as filed.

Winter Storm, Mower

When: February 2, 6:50 AM CST to February 3, 6:15 AM CST
Where: Mower forecast zone
Reported by: COOP Observer
Coordinates: 43.672, -92.752 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

COOP and volunteer observers reported 6 to 8 inches of snow across Mower County. The highest reported total was 8.5 inches in Grand Meadow. Considerable blowing and drifting snow occurred with wind gusts of 25 to 35 mph. The highest reported wind gust was 32 mph by the automated weather observing equipment at the Austin airport.

Winter Storm, Fillmore

When: February 2, 7:00 AM CST to February 3, 8:30 AM CST
Where: Fillmore forecast zone
Reported by: COOP Observer
Coordinates: 43.674, -92.090 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

COOP and volunteer observers reported between 6 and 9 inches of snow across Fillmore County. The highest reported total was 9 inches in Harmony. Considerable blowing and drifting snow occurred with wind gusts of 25 to 35 mph. The highest reported wind gust was 32 mph by the automated weather observing equipment at the Preston airport.

Winter Storm, Houston

When: February 2, 9:00 AM CST to February 3, 8:45 AM CST
Where: Houston forecast zone
Reported by: COOP Observer
Coordinates: 43.671, -91.493 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

COOP and volunteer observers reported 7 to 9 inches of snow across Houston County. The highest reported total was 8.9 inches in Caledonia. Considerable blowing and drifting snow occurred with wind gusts of 25 to 35 mph.

Winter Storm, Dodge

When: February 2, 9:20 AM CST to February 3, 10:30 AM CST
Where: Dodge forecast zone
Reported by: COOP Observer
Coordinates: 44.023, -92.862 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

COOP and volunteer snowfall observers reported around 5 inches of snow across Dodge County. Considerable blowing and drifting snow occurred with wind gusts of 25 to 30 mph. The highest reported wind gust was 31 mph by the automated weather observing equipment at the Dodge Center airport.

Winter Storm, Olmsted

When: February 2, 9:20 AM CST to February 3, 10:45 AM CST
Where: Olmsted forecast zone
Reported by: COOP Observer
Coordinates: 44.004, -92.402 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

COOP and volunteer observers reported 5 to 8 inches of snow across Olmsted County. The highest reported total was 8.9 inches at the Rochester airport. Considerable blowing and drifting snow occurred with wind gusts of 25 to 35 mph. The highest reported wind gust was 33 mph by the automated weather observing equipment at the Rochester airport.

Winter Storm, Winona

When: February 2, 9:45 AM CST to February 3, 6:00 AM CST
Where: Winona forecast zone
Reported by: COOP Observer
Coordinates: 43.987, -91.779 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

COOP and volunteer observers reported 6 to 9 inches of snow across Winona County. The highest reported total was 9 inches southwest of the city of Winona. Considerable blowing and drifting snow occurred with wind gusts of 25 to 30 mph. The highest reported wind gust was 26 mph by the automated weather observing equipment at the Winona airport.

Winter Storm, Wabasha

When: February 2, 10:00 AM CST to February 3, 10:45 AM CST
Where: Wabasha forecast zone
Reported by: COOP Observer
Coordinates: 44.284, -92.230 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

COOP and volunteer observers reported around 5 inches of snow across Wabasha County. Considerable blowing and drifting snow occurred with wind gusts of 25 to 30 mph. The highest reported wind gusts was 28 mph by a mesonet reporting station near Bear Valley.

What these are

Winter Storm: A storm that brought snow, sleet or freezing rain at warning levels, usually over several hours or days.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

Every storm in Minnesota in 2016 Every state in 2016 This day in weather history Warnings in Minnesota, February 2016

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 612046, 612041, 612043, 612040, 612049, 612057, 612053.