Damaging Winds in Michigan, July 12, 2016

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
610 PM EDT TUE JUL 12 2016

.AVIATION...

Earlier TAF amendments addressed the greater potential for
thunderstorms to impact the terminals this evening based on upstream
radar trends. The showers/thunderstorms are occurring within a mid
level moisture/instability axis. This upper level forcing is heading
to the east, thereby allowing the convection to slowly move from
west to east. The thunderstorms will be on the doorstep of MBS by
TAF issuance and should slowly move across metro Detroit after 01Z.
There may be some decrease in areal coverage of the thunderstorms as
they move across Se Mi where instability will be a little weaker.
Nonetheless, upstream coverage attm warrants a mention of tsra at
all terminals. Weak sfc high pressure will expand across the area
late tonight. Given the very moist boundary layer, this will open
the door for some MVFR type visibilities in fog and possibly some
IFR stratus. Predictability of the latter is low enough to hold
off mention in the terminals attm.

For DTW...Extrapolation from upstream radar brings the tsra into the
western sections of the D21 airspace between 00 and 01z and across
metro in the 01 to 03Z time frame. The moist axis will be very slow
moving tonight, so the risk of some convection may actually persist
past 04Z at metro.

//DTW Threshold Probabilities...

* High in thunderstorms impacting the airport this evening. Medium
  late Wednesday afternoon.

* Medium in ceilings at or below 5000 ft through the TAF period.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
Issued at 516 PM EDT Tue Jul 12 2016

UPDATE...

The development of convection across SW lower Mi into an almost
solid line over the past couple hours has required an update to
the forecast to increase the coverage of showers/thunderstorms
this evening. The convection to the west developed within a region
of low level convergence in the lee of Lake Mi and in advance of
a weak mid level trough axis. Regional water vapor also indicates
that the upstream convection is occurring along the lead edge of a
mid level moisture plume. The veering of the mid level flow toward
the west across the wrn Great Lakes this afternoon/evening will
allow the mid level trough axis and theta e ridge to traverse Se
Mi in the 23Z to 06Z time frame. Recent SPC meso analysis and
various hi res solutions suggest instability slowly advecting
into the forecast area from the west and southwest. These factors
will indicate a scattered to broken line of showers/thunderstorms
will be maintained across the Se Mi. Severe potential still looks
on the low side, given overall weaker instability across Se Mi.
Cape density on model soundings for this evening does however suggest
a slight potential for a few strong wind gusts due to wet
microburts.

PREV DISCUSSION...
Issued at 342 PM EDT Tue Jul 12 2016

DISCUSSION...

The development of a warm front to the north and west of lower
Michigan has allowed deep layer southwest flow to move into the
area. Surface dewpoints around 60F has the low levels fairly moist
but a quick look at some models soundings, and the 12Z DTX raob,
shows the mid and upper levels are quite dry. This is the reason for
the struggling cu field this afternoon, and will impact our chances
of storms this evening. Some semblance of this southwest flow
pattern will continue into Thursday, meaning hot and humid weather
can be expected through this time. Periods of showers and
thunderstorms will also be possible as a large low pressure slowly
churning over Manitoba sends several frontal boundaries through the
Great Lakes through Thursday. Adding to the complexity of the setup
will be a series of shortwaves embedded in the jet stream that will
track through lower Michigan as well. Timing individual convective
events is difficult in these scenarios thus will highlight most
favorable windows for storms.

First order of business will be convection chances for this evening.
Axis of high instability along the Lake Michigan shoreline has
already ignited into a line of storms. This line of storms is firing
on a prefrontal trough and tight moisture gradient with enhanced
surface convergence, which will work eastward through the afternoon
and evening. A look at the SPC mesoanalysis page shows 2000 j/kg of
uncapped MLCAPE over the west side of the state vs a capped 500 j/kg
over southeast Michigan. Warm mid levels and influence of the
exiting ridge is to thank for that. None the less, hires models
locked onto this early this morning and have been consistent
bringing that line through mid Michigan before it fizzles out in the
more stable airmass. At this time, see no reason to deviate much off
course from the earlier update of adding a chance pop across the
Saginaw Valley to account for this potentially surviving across the
state this evening. With the loss of daytime heating, any lingering
showers or storms will be quick to fade as the cap will quickly come
back into play as surface temps cool back off. Will continue to
monitor this afternoon to see if there is much potential to survive
further into the area. If any storm does makes it, could see a
strong wind gust out of it, but not expecting any severe weather as
the column is too dry and shear is only around 20 knots so would be
more pulse type storms.

Chances diminish some overnight, but with moist advection continuing
cannot totally rule out a stray shower popping up.  Chances increase
Wednesday as a shortwave and cold front pass through the area.
Timing these two features has been tough on models which once
highlighted the front in the afternoon as the main show, then
changed to the shortwave in the late morning, then switched to the
shortwave in the afternoon. Will leave a low chance pop in after 12Z
and highlight the best chance from about 20-02Z once we warm enough
to break the cap again with the wave passing over ahead of the
front. Both shear and instability will be improved with around
1500j/kg of MLCAPE and 30 knots of shear so some organized
convection will be possible. Will hold with a high chance pop for
now as overall coverage and location of precipitation is still in
question.

A chance of showers and thunderstorms will continue Wednesday night
as a weak front looks to sweep through the moist unstable air,
continuing on Thursday as the next trough will look to sink
through the Great Lakes. Temperatures will rise into the upper 80s
or low 90s each day through Thursday. 850mb temps will hold in the
upper teens through the stretch with dewpoints up near 70 yielding
little relief in the overnight periods. Cloud cover will likely
end up dictating what we end up achieving each day.

The weak front/trough Thursday will be followed by another weak
boundary Friday. This one appears strong enough to take temperatures
down another category based on low level thickness projections in
medium range model solutions. At the same time, the models also
washout the boundary over lower Michigan as the associated upper
level trough remains positively tilted and filling with time.
Similarly weak high pressure then builds in for Saturday. Guidance
highs around 80 into the lower 80s look reasonable with this air
mass before warming occurs ahead of the next low pressure system. A
small scale wave is shown moving through the Great Lakes around the
base of the stronger Hudson Bay upper low. A low chance POP spread
out through Sunday and Monday covers the lack of predictability on
this feature.

MARINE...

A prevailing southerly wind will maintain speeds below 20
knots through Wednesday.  An increasingly warm and unstable
environment will bring the next chance for thunderstorms tonight and
Wednesday. The risk for thunderstorms will continue through
Thursday.  Pre-frontal southwesterly winds on Thursday will shift
to the west-northwest with a cold frontal passage by Thursday night.
Gusts thursday afternoon could reach 25 knots across Lake Erie and
Lake St. Clair, along with Saginaw Bay and Nearshore Waters of Lake
Huron

HYDROLOGY...

An increasingly warm and humid environment will bring the potential
for showers and thunderstorms tonight and Thursday. While a
widespread heavy rainfall event is currently not anticipated during
this time, the risk of thunderstorms will carry the possibility of
some localized heavy rainfall amounts.  The current forecast
maintains total rainfall amounts within the one quarter to one half
inch range through Thursday.  Localized amounts in excess of an inch
within a short period will be certainly be possible, which could
lead to minor urban flooding.

&&

.DTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...NONE.
Lake Huron...NONE.
Lake St Clair...NONE.
Michigan waters of Lake Erie...NONE.
&&

AVIATION.....SC
UPDATE.......SC
DISCUSSION...DRK/BT
MARINE.......DRK
HYDROLOGY....SF

You can obtain your latest National Weather Service forecasts online
at www.weather.gov/detroit.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
404 PM EDT TUE JUL 12 2016

MIZ047>049-053>055-060>063-068>070-130900-
MIDLAND-BAY-HURON-SAGINAW-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-LAPEER-
ST. CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-
404 PM EDT TUE JUL 12 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT.
ANY STORMS THAT FORM ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY. SOME STORMS MAY
BECOME SEVERE WITH STRONG WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND HEAVY RAINFALL
AS THE PRIMARY THREATS.

CHANCES OR THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY AND TONIGHT.

MIZ075-076-082-083-130900-
WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
404 PM EDT TUE JUL 12 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT.
ANY STORMS THAT FORM ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY. SOME STORMS MAY
BECOME SEVERE WITH STRONG WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND HEAVY RAINFALL
AS THE PRIMARY THREATS.

HEAT INDICES MAY RISE INTO THE UPPER 90S ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

CHANCES OR THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY AND TONIGHT.

LCZ460-LEZ444-LHZ361>363-421-422-441>443-462>464-130900-
LAKE ST. CLAIR-
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI-
LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT
BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND 5NM
OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER SAGINAW
BAY-INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI-
PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-
PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
404 PM EDT TUE JUL 12 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE
HURON AND LAKE ST CLAIR.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT.
ANY STORMS THAT FORM ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY. SOME STORMS MAY
BECOME SEVERE WITH STRONG WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND HEAVY RAINFALL
AS THE PRIMARY THREATS.

CHANCES OR THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY AND TONIGHT.

YOU CAN OBTAIN YOUR LATEST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECASTS ONLINE
AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/DETROIT (ALL LOWER CASE).

DRK

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
540 PM EDT TUE JUL 12 2016

MIZ047-122245-
MIDLAND MI-
540 PM EDT TUE JUL 12 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR MIDLAND COUNTY UNTIL 645 PM
EDT...

AT 538 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES NORTHEAST OF OIL CITY TO 7 MILES WEST OF
ITHACA. STORM MOVEMENT WAS NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH. MOVEMENT OF THE LINE
WAS EAST AT 20 MPH.

WINDS AROUND 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS. AN ISOLATED
STORM COULD INTENSIFY AND PRODUCE GUSTS AROUND 50 MPH.

HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THE STORMS WHICH COULD PRODUCE
PONDING OF WATER ON AREA ROADS AND LOW VISIBILITY.

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
   PLEASANT VALLEY AROUND 550 PM EDT.
   EDENVILLE AROUND 600 PM EDT.
   SANFORD AROUND 615 PM EDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE POSEYVILLE...NORTH
BRADLEY...LAPORTE...GORDONVILLE...HOPE...AVERILL...PORTER TOWNSHIP AND
BOMBAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY LEAD
TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

THESE STORMS MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 4381 8461 4381 8437 4383 8436 4383 8417
      4348 8417 4348 8437 4347 8437 4347 8461
TIME...MOT...LOC 2136Z 221DEG 36KT 4368 8452 4329 8476

BT

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
605 PM EDT TUE JUL 12 2016

MIZ047-048-053-122315-
BAY MI-SAGINAW MI-MIDLAND MI-
605 PM EDT TUE JUL 12 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR BAY...SAGINAW AND MIDLAND
COUNTIES UNTIL 715 PM EDT...

AT 603 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR STANDISH TO 9 MILES NORTH OF MIDLAND TO NEAR
ITHACA. MOVEMENT WAS NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

WINDS AROUND 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS. AN ISOLATED
STORM COULD INTENSIFY AND PRODUCE GUSTS AROUND 50 MPH.

HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THE STORMS WHICH COULD PRODUCE
PONDING OF WATER ON AREA ROADS AND LOW VISIBILITY.

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...

  PINCONNING AND MERRILL AROUND 625 PM EDT.
  FREELAND AROUND 635 PM EDT.
  AUBURN AROUND 645 PM EDT.
  LINWOOD AROUND 655 PM EDT.
  BAY CITY...KAWKAWLIN AND ESSEXVILLE AROUND 700 PM EDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE POSEYVILLE...NORTH
BRADLEY...LAPORTE...GORDONVILLE...NELSON...BUENA VISTA TOWNSHIP...
SHIAWASSEE NATIONAL WILDLIFE REFUGE...BRANT...SHIELDS AND HEMLOCK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY LEAD
TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

THESE STORMS MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 4381 8460 4383 8417 4400 8416 4400 8405
      4391 8404 4391 8391 4376 8395 4367 8391
      4360 8370 4322 8393 4313 8393 4313 8436
      4347 8437 4347 8461
TIME...MOT...LOC 2202Z 226DEG 31KT 4398 8403 4375 8421 4330 8455

BT

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
647 PM EDT TUE JUL 12 2016

MIZ060-122330-
SHIAWASSEE MI-
647 PM EDT TUE JUL 12 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SHIAWASSEE COUNTY UNTIL 730 PM
EDT...

AT 647 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM ELSIE TO NEAR WAVERLY. MOVEMENT WAS EAST AT 45
MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 45 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  HENDERSON AROUND 655 PM EDT.
  LAINGSBURG AND NEW LOTHROP AROUND 710 PM EDT.
  PERRY AROUND 715 PM EDT.
  MORRICE AROUND 720 PM EDT.
  OWOSSO AROUND 725 PM EDT.
  DURAND...CORUNNA...BANCROFT AND LENNON AROUND 730 PM EDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE CARLAND...VERNON...
BENNINGTON...JUDDVILLE AND SHAFTSBURG.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY
LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH
FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 4313 8436 4313 8393 4278 8392 4278 8436
      4304 8437
TIME...MOT...LOC 2247Z 248DEG 39KT 4311 8437 4278 8466

SC

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
742 PM EDT TUE JUL 12 2016

MIZ054-060>062-068-069-130015-
TUSCOLA-LIVINGSTON-GENESEE-OAKLAND-SHIAWASSEE-LAPEER-
742 PM EDT TUE JUL 12 2016

...A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT GENESEE...SOUTHEASTERN
SHIAWASSEE...NORTHWESTERN LAPEER...NORTHEASTERN LIVINGSTON...
NORTHWESTERN OAKLAND AND SOUTH CENTRAL TUSCOLA COUNTIES...

AT 740 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF GUSTY WINDS PRECEDINGT
HUNDERSTORMS. THE GUSTY WINDS EXTENDED ALONG A LINE FROM NEAR
MAYVILLE TO FOWLERVILLE. MOVEMENT WAS SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

THESE STORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  MAYVILLE AROUND 745 PM EDT.
  OAK GROVE AROUND 750 PM EDT.
  NORTH BRANCH AROUND 805 PM EDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE KINGS
MILL...ELBA... DEERFIELD TOWNSHIP...ROSE CENTER...TYRONE
TOWNSHIP...ATLAS...FOSTORIA... GENESEE...RANKIN AND THETFORD
TOWNSHIP.

LAT...LON 4318 8306 4256 8383 4276 8412 4343 8336
TIME...MOT...LOC 2340Z 310DEG 31KT 4338 8340 4267 8410

SC

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
803 PM EDT TUE JUL 12 2016

MIZ068-130045-
LIVINGSTON MI-
803 PM EDT TUE JUL 12 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR LIVINGSTON COUNTY UNTIL 845 PM
EDT...

AT 801 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR COHOCTAH TO NEAR LESLIE. MOVEMENT WAS EAST
AT 35 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  FOWLERVILLE AROUND 805 PM EDT.
  COHOCTAH AND OAK GROVE AROUND 815 PM EDT.
  HOWELL AROUND 825 PM.
  HARTLAND AND GREGORY AROUND 835 PM EDT.
  BRIGHTON AROUND 835 PM EDT.
  PINCKNEY AROUND 845 PM EDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE
LAKELAND...UNADILLA... ISLAND LAKE STATE RECREATION AREA...DEERFIELD
TOWNSHIP...PINCKNEY STATE RECREATION AREA...PARKERS CORNERS...TYRONE
TOWNSHIP...HELL...PLAINFIELD AND CHILSON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY
LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH
FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 4278 8369 4243 8366 4242 8388 4242 8413
      4277 8415
TIME...MOT...LOC 0001Z 269DEG 25KT 4275 8406 4245 8438

SC

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
809 PM EDT TUE JUL 12 2016

MIZ075-082-130130-
LENAWEE MI-WASHTENAW MI-
809 PM EDT TUE JUL 12 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WASHTENAW AND LENAWEE COUNTIES
UNTIL 930 PM EDT...

AT 808 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR STOCKBRIDGE TO NEAR READING. MOVEMENT WAS
NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  HUDSON AND HUDSON AROUND 835 PM EDT.
  ADDISON AROUND 840 PM EDT.
  CLAYTON AROUND 845 PM EDT.
  ONSTED AROUND 855 PM EDT.
  ADRIAN AROUND 905 PM EDT.
  TECUMSEH AND MANCHESTER AROUND 915 PM EDT.
  BRITTON AROUND 925 PM EDT.
  SALINE AROUND 930 PM EDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE MANITOU BEACH-DEVILS
LAKE...RIDGEWAY...PLEASANT LAKE...SPRINGVILLE...BRIDGEWATER...TIPTON...
ANN ARBOR...MUNSON...PALMYRA...PITTSFIELD TOWNSHIP AND OGDEN CENTER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY LEAD
TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 4207 8436 4207 8413 4242 8413 4244 8356
      4243 8355 4208 8371 4208 8377 4194 8377
      4172 8387 4171 8436
TIME...MOT...LOC 0008Z 244DEG 31KT 4246 8428 4180 8465

SC