A slow moving storm produced localized heavy rainfall and caused one report of flash flooding in southeast Kansas.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS SGF wrote it up.
A slow moving storm produced localized heavy rainfall and caused one report of flash flooding in southeast Kansas.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Springfield, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 15, 5:33 PM CST, 4 hours 32 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Springfield MO 633 PM CDT THU SEP 15 2016 .SHORT TERM...(This evening through Friday) It was a typical pulse thunderstorm day over southern Missouri this afternoon. Climatologically it's a little late in the year for it, however, most of the ingredients for strong to severe pulsers have come together. Look for additional storms through the late afternoon and evening. Given that precipitable water values are over 1.60 inches, any slow moving or training updrafts could pose a heavy rain or localized flash flood risk. Heading into tonight's period, most locations should remain dry. However, there does appear to be shortwave energy approaching from the northwest that could trigger convection closer to Highway 54. Will continue the higher POPS in that region toward the early morning hours of Friday. This convection will eventually shift through southern Missouri during the day on Friday, providing the region with a cloudy and stormy day. A few of these storms could become strong to severe as shear increases across the region to roughly 30 to 35 knots. Localized flash flooding also can not be ruled out given the moist airmass and slow movement of storms. .LONG TERM...(Saturday through Thursday) While a frontal system will be south of the Ozarks during the weekend, cyclonic flow could lead to some scattered showers on Saturday and Saturday night. Most of the rain should exit the region by Sunday. It's kind of late for another summertime high to build into the southern United States, but it appears as though another one will develop. This will bring warm and dry weather to the area through much of next week, if not all of next week. Look for temperatures next week to warm well into the 80s on an afternoon basis. We could even experience some temperatures warming to near 90 given the pattern. && .AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Friday evening) Issued at 626 PM CDT Thu Sep 15 2016 There will be some isolated thunderstorm potential this evening across southern Missouri, however coverage is expected to be too limited to include thunderstorms in the TAFs. Amendments will be needed if one of these thunderstorms approaches a TAF site. VFR is then primarily expected overnight with VFR conditions. There is some potential for slight reductions to visibility, but confidence in this occurring is low at this time. Confidence is then fairly high that thunderstorms will impact southern Missouri on Friday. MVFR and localized IFR conditions can be expected around storms. && .SGF Watches/Warnings/Advisories... MO...NONE. KS...NONE. && SHORT TERM...Cramer LONG TERM...Cramer AVIATION...Schaumann
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 756 PM CDT THU SEP 15 2016 KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-170100- BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON- ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS- LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON- LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE- TANEY-OZARK-OREGON- 756 PM CDT THU SEP 15 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED... LIMITED HAIL RISK. LIMITED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK. LIMITED FLOODING RISK. ELEVATED LIGHTNING RISK. DISCUSSION... SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD. A FEW STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF HALF DOLLARS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI. THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL DIMINISH BY LATE THIS EVENING. DUE TO THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THESE STORMS...LOCALIZED HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY TRAINING STORMS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY EVENING. A FEW OF THESE STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS BEING THE PRIMARY RISK. THERE IS ALSO A SLIGHT RISK FOR LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT. && MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT: HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF/SITREP(ALL LOWERCASE) THIS PRODUCT IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER... HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE) SCHAUMANN
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
741 PM CDT THU SEP 15 2016
MOZ066-160130-
VERNON MO-
741 PM CDT THU SEP 15 2016
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN VERNON COUNTY UNTIL 830
PM CDT...
AT 741 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
NEVADA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.
DIME SIZE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
NEVADA... DEERFIELD...
METZ... HORTON...
THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.
LAT...LON 3806 9443 3805 9424 3803 9423 3805 9420
3804 9419 3805 9419 3801 9413 3780 9437
3782 9451 3789 9456
TIME...MOT...LOC 0041Z 222DEG 12KT 3792 9440
SCHAUMANNThe Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 136 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 04:04 UTC.
1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Excessive rainfall caused Prong Creek to flood a section of Highway 3.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Kansas in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in Kansas, September 2016
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 654854.