Thunderstorms developed in the vicinity of a slow moving cool front that was approaching an unstable airmass. A few of the storms became severe.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS DDC wrote it up.
Thunderstorms developed in the vicinity of a slow moving cool front that was approaching an unstable airmass. A few of the storms became severe.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Dodge City, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 2, 11:29 AM CST, 1 hour 16 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Dodge City KS 1229 PM CDT SAT JUL 2 2016 ...Updated Aviation Section... .SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight) Issued at 219 AM CDT Sat Jul 2 2016 Scattered thunderstorms will move east out of the area this morning leaving partly to mostly cloudy skies across western Kansas through this afternoon. Winds will be shifting from an easterly direction this morning to more of a southerly direction by this afternoon. This is due to a warm front being pushed northward into northern Kansas. These southerly winds will be short lived as models suggest a shortwave moving out of the Central Rockies into the Plains by this evening helping push this frontal boundary back south through the CWA tonight. This will allow winds to shift to more of a northerly direction behind the front starting across west central Kansas this evening then through the remainder of the CWA tonight. Another cluster of thunderstorms are anticipated to form along and ahead of this frontal boundary starting in the late afternoon and continuing into the overnight hours. However, thunderstorm chances end from northwest to southeast tonight and should be confined to south central Kansas by sunrise Sunday. Otherwise expect mostly cloudy skies tonight. As for temperatures, highs today look to range from the upper 70s across central Kansas to around 90 degrees along the KS/OK border. Lows tonight are expected to range from the lower 60s across west central Kansas to upper 60 across south central Kansas. .LONG TERM...(Sunday through Friday) Issued at 327 AM CDT Sat Jul 2 2016 A dry pattern emerges Sunday into the early part of next week as upper level high builds over the Southern Rockies and Southern Plains. There could be a weak shortwave move through the area Monday afternoon into Monday night which may allow a few thunderstorms to form. Otherwise expect partly cloudy skies with winds shifting back to a southerly direction as lee troughing develops across eastern Colorado. An upper level low digs into the Northwestern United States mid part of next week. However, this only looks to strengthen lee troughing across eastern Colorado with continued partly cloudy skies and dry conditions. A few weak disturbances may move through the area late week into next weekend. If this comes to fruition, a slight chance of thunderstorms will be possible. As for temperatures, a warming trend is expected with highs starting out in the upper 70s to upper 80s Sunday, reaching into the 90s next week. Lows start out in the lower 60s Sunday night increasing into the lower 70s by the mid part of next week. && .AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Sunday afternoon) Issued at 1228 PM CDT Sat Jul 2 2016 Active afternoon to evening anticipated for southwest into central Kansas as a slow moving front in combination with a passing upper disturbance, trigger numerous thunderstorms. While MVFR to VFR ceilings and visibility are anticipated for most locations, extreme variability within these storms will exist. Best threat for storms will exist from mid afternoon today through midnight tonight. Otherwise, as storms shift southeast after midnight, some lingering MVFR to IFR ceilings are expected through Sunday morning. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DDC 88 63 81 62 / 60 70 20 10 GCK 85 61 83 63 / 70 70 10 10 EHA 88 64 87 64 / 60 70 10 10 LBL 88 64 85 64 / 50 70 20 10 HYS 81 61 78 60 / 70 70 10 10 P28 93 69 84 64 / 40 90 20 10 && .DDC Watches/Warnings/Advisories... Flash Flood Watch through Sunday morning for KSZ046-064>066- 076>081-086-087. && SHORT TERM...Hovorka_42 LONG TERM...Hovorka_42 AVIATION...AJohnson
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 334 AM CDT SAT JUL 2 2016 KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-030845- TREGO-ELLIS-SCOTT-LANE-NESS-RUSH-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-HODGEMAN- PAWNEE-STAFFORD-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY-FORD-EDWARDS-KIOWA- PRATT-MORTON-STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE-CLARK-COMANCHE-BARBER- 334 AM CDT SAT JUL 2 2016 /234 AM MDT SAT JUL 2 2016/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KANSAS...SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...SOUTHWEST KANSAS AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO FORM ALONG AND AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. A FEW STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS BEING THE MAIN CONCERN. FLOODING MAY ALSO BE A CONCERN DUE TO HEAVY RAIN AND AN ALREADY SATURATED GROUND. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS POSSIBLE MONDAY EVENING. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS POSSIBLE THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... A FEW SPOTTERS MAY BE NEEDED LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT.
The Dodge City radar (KDDC), 76 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 18:45 UTC.
3 hail, 2 flood, 2 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Water was flowing across several county roads in the vicinity of the Pawnee River.
Water was flowing across several county roads.
Winds were estimated to be gusting to 70 MPH.
A tree was broken over by high wind.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Kansas in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in Kansas, July 2016
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 652899, 652900, 652901, 652902, 652903, 652905, 652904.