Isolated thunderstorms tracked southeast during the late afternoon and early evening hours. The storms occurred along a weak cold front as it sagged southeast across southern Illinois into southwest Indiana.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS PAH wrote it up.
Isolated thunderstorms tracked southeast during the late afternoon and early evening hours. The storms occurred along a weak cold front as it sagged southeast across southern Illinois into southwest Indiana. A small cluster of storms pulsed up to severe levels near Evansville, producing marginally severe wind gusts.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 28, 2:05 PM CST, 4 hours 55 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Paducah KY 305 PM CDT THU JUL 28 2016 .SHORT TERM...(Tonight through Saturday night) Issued at 305 PM CDT Thu Jul 28 2016 Average confidence in the short term mainly due to precipitation timing differences/possibilities. Very few changes synoptically in the short term. An approaching frontal boundary is forecast to become quasi- stationary along the far northern and northwestern sections of our CWA through the period. Aloft our region remains in a broad H5 trough. With the lower troposphere remaining saturated combined with plenty of instability in the warm sector, a series of upper level disturbances passing across the area will generate multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms through the period. Timing of these disturbances varies per model so trying to pin down the highest probabilities is difficult at this time. Temperatures should remain just below normal through the period. No heat headlines expected, but with dewpoints remaining in the 70s, humid/sticky conditions will continue. .LONG TERM...(Sunday through Thursday) Issued at 305 PM CDT Thu Jul 28 2016 An upper level trof over our region and a meandering front across and sometimes just north of our northern counties will continue to give our region good chances of showers and thunderstorms Sunday into Tuesday. Models now show the front becoming more northwest to southeast oriented by Tuesday night instead of moving away from our region, and this will put the focus for a little better chances across our east half of counties for Wednesday. Models also indicate convection will become more diurnally driven by mid week, so kept small chances of showers and storms during the day Wednesday and Thursday, but kept out any chances for precipitation for Tuesday night and Wednesday night for now. Confidence is not very high for Tuesday into Thursday due to the varying solutions with the movement of the front, so keeping pops in chance category or lower for now seems to be the best option. After a break in the heat Sunday, increasing southerly flow beginning late Sunday will increase temperatures and dew points Monday continuing through Thursday. Heat indices will creep back up to around 100 degrees for our southwest counties by Monday, with 100 to 105 degree heat indices possible across most our region by Wednesday and Thursday. && .AVIATION... Issued at 1223 PM CDT Thu Jul 28 2016 With plenty of moisture, instability, and an approaching frontal boundary, showers and thunderstorms with MVFR cigs/vsbys a good bet again this afternoon into the early evening hours. Overnight expect cigs/vsbys to become IFR, then maybe improve back to MVFR in the last few hours of the period. Winds will either be light out of the southwest to west or calm. && .PAH Watches/Warnings/Advisories... IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None. && SHORT TERM/AVIATION...JP LONG TERM...RST
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 1112 AM CDT THU JUL 28 2016 ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087- 100-107>112-114-291000- JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON- WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION-JOHNSON-POPE- HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH- WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES- LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL- UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN- MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER- RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID- 1112 AM CDT THU JUL 28 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA MAINLY THIS AFTERNOON. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND LIGHTNING WILL BE THE PRIMARY HAZARDS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY DAILY THUNDERSTORM CHANCES CONTINUE. THIS WILL INCLUDE A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE STORMS FRIDAY AFTERNOON...WHEN DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY HAZARD. OTHERWISE...LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND LIGHTNING WILL BE THE PRIMARY HAZARDS. THE HEAT INDEX WILL AGAIN APPROACH OR EXCEED TRIPLE DIGITS EARLY NEXT WEEK. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME BUT SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO RELAY RAINFALL AND FLOODING REPORTS. JP
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
419 PM CDT THU JUL 28 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0315 PM TSTM WND GST 1 E MOUNT VERNON 38.32N 88.89W
07/28/2016 M50 MPH JEFFERSON IL MESONET
MEASURED BY WEATHER BUG STATION AT SUMMERSVILLE GRADE
SCHOOL
&&
BP2PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
425 PM CDT THU JUL 28 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0359 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 W FISK 36.78N 90.23W
07/28/2016 BUTLER MO LAW ENFORCEMENT
SHERIFFS DEPARTMENT REPORTING BOTH LANES OF STATE ROUTE
51...6 MILES NORTH OF BROSELEY...BLOCKED BY TREES BLOWN
DOWN
&&
BP2SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 435 PM CDT THU JUL 28 2016 ILZ082-085>093-MOZ086-087-100-109>111-282245- HAMILTON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION-JOHNSON-POPE-HARDIN- ALEXANDER-PULASKI-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-BUTLER- STODDARD-SCOTT- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MCLEANSBORO...HERRIN...HARRISBURG... SHAWNEETOWN...JONESBORO...VIENNA...GOLCONDA...ELIZABETHTOWN... CAIRO...MOUND CITY...MARBLE HILL...CAPE GIRARDEAU...JACKSON... PIEDMONT...POPLAR BLUFF...BLOOMFIELD...SIKESTON 435 PM CDT THU JUL 28 2016 ...THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCE BRIEF GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL... CLUSTERS OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND MOVE SLOWLY SOUTHEAST ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND SOUTHERN ILLINOIS THROUGH 545 PM. WINDS GUSTING TO 40 TO 50 MPH AND PEA SIZE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH STRONGER STORMS, ESPECIALLY ACROSS BUTLER, STODDARD AND BOLLINGER COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI, AND WILLIAMSON, JOHNSON AND SALINE COUNTIES IN SOUTHERN ILLINOIS. TAKE COVER WHEN STORMS APPROACH YOUR AREA.
The Evansville,IN radar (KVWX), 25 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 00:58 UTC.
1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Some tree limbs were blown down near Darmstadt. A trained spotter estimated peak wind gusts were up to 60 mph on the southeast side of Evansville.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Indiana in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in Indiana, July 2016
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 642299.