Hawaii, 2016

Flash Flooding and Wildfire in Hawaii, March 21 to 26, 2016

March 21 to 26, 2016 · NWS HFO · 21 events in 5 counties and zones

A period of light winds with plenty of low-level moisture and transiting upper disturbances produced heavy showers and isolated thunderstorms over much of the Aloha State. There were also flash flood events as time went along.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
21

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS HFO wrote it up.

A period of light winds with plenty of low-level moisture and transiting upper disturbances produced heavy showers and isolated thunderstorms over much of the Aloha State. There were also flash flood events as time went along. No serious injuries were reported.

The costs of any damages from the heavy downpours were not available, including damages to a barge, the Wade K, that went aground at the Wailua Marina on Kauai in the early morning hours of the 25th (after the Wailua River had flooded).

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Honolulu, HI wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 21, 10:10 AM HST, 4 hours 24 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 21, 10:10 AM HST, 4 hours 24 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
1010 AM HST MON MAR 21 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH WINDS WILL BRING INCREASED MOISTURE THROUGH
TOMORROW...WITH AFTERNOON SEA BREEZES BRINGING CLOUDS AND
SHOWERS TO LEEWARD AND INTERIOR AREAS TODAY. INSTABILITY WILL
ALSO INCREASE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY AS DISTURBANCE ALOFT MOVES
OVER THE ISLANDS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE
TONIGHT ON KAUAI...AND ACROSS THE ENTIRE STATE ON TUESDAY...WITH A
SLIGHT CHANCE FOR AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS. HIGH MOISTURE
AND LIGHT WINDS WILL LINGER OVER THE STATE THROUGH THE REST OF THE
WORK WEEK...WITH LOCALIZED HEAVY DOWNPOURS POSSIBLE...MAINLY IN THE
AFTERNOONS AND EVENINGS. A DRIER WEATHER PATTERN MAY DEVELOP DURING
THE UPCOMING WEEKEND...WITH GENTLE TRADE WINDS POSSIBLY RETURNING.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
CURRENTLY...AREAS OF CLOUDS AND SHOWERS ARE MOVING NW OVER WINDWARD
WATERS N AND NE OF THE ISLANDS FROM KAUAI TO MOLOKAI...AND OVER
WATERS WELL SW OF KAUAI COUNTY AND NIIHAU. OTHERWISE SMALLER PATCHES
OF SHOWERY LOW CLOUDS ARE MOVING NW OVER THE CENTRAL PART OF
THE ISLAND CHAIN...WITH SOME OF THIS MOISTURE APPROACHING OAHU.
SURFACE ANALYSIS DEPICTS HIGH PRESSURE FAR NE OF THE STATE...AN
ASSOCIATED RIDGE ABOUT 200 MILES N OF KAUAI...AND A COLD FRONT ABOUT
750 MILES NW OF KAUAI. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE CURRENTLY ACTIVE
ALONG AND AHEAD OF THIS FRONT N OF 22N. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A
LARGE MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH ALONG 175W THAT IS ADVANCING E AND
PROVIDING SUPPORT FOR THE SURFACE FRONT.

THE EXPECTATION FOR TODAY IS THAT AFTERNOON SEA BREEZES WILL LEAD TO
INCREASED CLOUDS AND A FEW SHOWERS OVER THE ISLANDS...ESPECIALLY
OVER LEEWARD AND INTERIOR AREAS. THESE ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO
THE EVENING HOURS...WITH GENERAL CLEARING THEREAFTER AS LIGHT LARGE-
SCALE WINDS ALLOW SEA BREEZES TO CLEAR SKIES OVER LAND. THE
EXCEPTION MAY OCCUR ON KAUAI COUNTY WHERE LIGHT S FLOW MAY ADVECT
MOISTURE OVER LAND FROM THE S AND SW. THE APPROACHING TROUGH ALOFT
MAY HELP TO TRIGGER HEAVIER SHOWERS FROM THIS MOISTURE FIELD...AND
THE CURRENT FORECAST ALLUDES TO HEAVY SHOWER POTENTIAL OVER KAUAI
LATE TONIGHT.

THE SURFACE RIDGE WILL REMAIN OVER THE ISLANDS FOR MOST OF THE
UPCOMING WEEK...KEEPING LARGE SCALE WINDS LIGHT BUT FROM A SOUTHERLY
DIRECTION. THIS WILL KEEP A MOIST AIR MASS IN PLACE OVER THE
ISLANDS...BUT A LARGE SCALE TRIGGER TO ACTIVATE THIS MOISTURE
APPEARS TO BE ABSENT IN MOST RECENT MODEL RUNS...WITH SOME CAVEATS.
THE MID- AND UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH SEEN APPROACHING FROM THE W MAY
PROVIDE SUFFICIENT LIFT TO TRIGGER AVAILABLE MOISTURE FROM LATE
TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...WITH THE GREATEST IMPACT FROM THIS TROUGH
BEING FELT ON KAUAI AND OAHU...WHERE MID-LEVEL TEMPERATURES WILL
COOL THE MOST. ANOTHER TROUGH PASSING AROUND FRIDAY MAY HAVE THE
SAME EFFECT. OTHERWISE...THE LIGHT WINDS WILL ALLOW SEA BREEZES TO
DEVELOP OVER THE ISLANDS EACH AFTERNOON...WHICH WOULD POTENTIALLY
TRIGGER THE DEVELOPMENT OF SPOTTY HEAVY SHOWERS OVER INTERIOR AND
LEEWARD AREAS. THESE SAME LIGHT WINDS WOULD THEN ALLOW SKIES TO
CLEAR OVER THE ISLANDS EACH NIGHT AND MORNING.

SHOWERS SHOULD INCREASE ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE STATE
TONIGHT AS MOISTURE/INSTABILITY CONTINUES TO INCREASE...THEN EXPECT
SOMEWHAT ACTIVE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS THE ENTIRE STATE ON
TUESDAY AS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH APPROACHES AND MID LEVEL TEMPS DROP TO
AROUND -12C. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS MENTIONED IN THE FORECAST
BEGINNING ON TUESDAY...WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS FOR
TUESDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING AS WELL.

MOISTURE MAY BE DEEP ENOUGH AND TEMPERATURES COLD ENOUGH FOR SOME
SNOW SHOWERS AT TIMES FROM TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY ON THE HIGHEST
ELEVATIONS OF THE BIG ISLAND SUMMITS. IT IS UNCLEAR AT THIS TIME IF
ANY SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATION WILL OCCUR.

BY THE END OF THE WORK WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND...MODELS SHIFT THE
UPPER LEVEL LONGWAVE TROUGH AND DEEP MOISTURE TO THE EAST OF THE
STATE...ALTHOUGH THE GFS KEEPS THE UPPER TROUGH CLOSER TO THE
ISLANDS THAN DOES THE ECMWF. HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR NORTH MAY ALLOW
GENTLE TRADES TO RESUME BY THAT TIME.

&&

.AVIATION...
CONDITIONS OVER THE ISLANDS HAVE IMPROVED THIS MORNING AND ALL
AIRMETS FOR MTN OBSC HAVE BEEN DROPPED AS OF 20Z.

THE BACKGROUND SE FLOW WILL ALLOW SEA BREEZES TO DEVELOP AND PROMOTE
INTERIOR CLOUDS AND SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON. ENHANCED MOISTURE
EMBEDDED IN THE FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO BE PULLED OVER THE ISLANDS AND
SOME SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON COULD BE HEAVY AT TIMES CARRYING REDUCED
CIGS/VIS. IF NECESSARY...AIRMET SIERRA FOR MTN OBSC MAY NEED TO BE
RE-ISSUED. A COLD FRONT A SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES NW OF KAUAI WILL
CONTINUE TO APPROACH THE ISLANDS...AND CLOUDS AND SHOWER COVERAGE
TONIGHT IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE FURTHER.

&&

.MARINE...
A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR EXPOSED N AND W FACING
SHORES UNTIL NOON TODAY. THE ONGOING N AND NW SWELLS ARE
DECLINING... WITH THE WAIMEA BAY CDIP BUOY RECENTLY REPORTING
COMBINED SEAS OF 7-8 FEET WITH A PERIOD OF 14 SECONDS...WHILE THE
HILO BUOY IS REPORTING SLIGHTER HIGHER SEAS AND PERIODS. UPSTREAM OF
THE ISLANDS...SWELL HEIGHTS AT BUOYS 51001/51101 NW OF KAUAI HAVE
DROPPED DRAMATICALLY OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS...AND RESULTANT
SURF ALONG EXPOSED N AND W FACING SHORES SHOULD FALL BELOW ADVISORY
LEVELS BY THIS AFTERNOON.

SWELLS AND SURF WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH THROUGH WEDNESDAY...AT
WHICH TIME SURF ALONG N AND W FACING SHORES WILL BE THE SMALLEST IT
HAS BEEN IN AWHILE. ALTHOUGH A SMALL NNW SWELL IS POSSIBLE THURSDAY
AND FRIDAY...SURF WILL REMAIN RATHER SMALL INTO NEXT WEEKEND...WHEN
A SLIGHTLY LARGER NW SWELL IS POSSIBLE. NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT SWELLS
ARE EXPECTED.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY /SCA/ IS IN EFFECT FOR SELECT WATERS AROUND
MAUI COUNTY AND THE BIG ISLAND...DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FRESH E/SE
WINDS AND LINGERING SEAS. SCA LEVEL WINDS MAY CONTINUE AROUND PARTS
OF THE BIG ISLAND TONIGHT...BUT BY TUESDAY WE EXPECT WINDS AND SEAS
TO BE BELOW SCA CRITERIA ACROSS ALL WATERS AS A SURFACE RIDGE MOVES
OVER THE ISLANDS. WINDS/SEAS ARE THEN FORECAST TO REMAIN BELOW SCA
LEVELS THROUGH THE REST OF THIS WEEK.

&&

.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL NOON HST TODAY FOR NORTH AND WEST FACING
SHORES OF NIIHAU KAUAI AND MOLOKAI AND FOR NORTH FACING SHORES
OF OAHU MAUI AND THE BIG ISLAND.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM HST THIS EVENING FOR MAUI COUNTY
WINDWARD WATERS-ALENUIHAHA CHANNEL-BIG ISLAND WINDWARD WATERS-
BIG ISLAND LEEWARD WATERS-BIG ISLAND SOUTHEAST WATERS.

&&

DISCUSSION/MARINE...BIRCHARD
AVIATION...EATON

The radar

The Molokai radar (PHMO), 61 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 00:35 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

11 heavy rain, 8 flash flood, 1 wildfire, 1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.

Heavy Rain, Maui

When
March 21, 2:34 PM HST to 5:26 PM HST
Where
Maui County, 0.87 mi SE of Honokohau to 0.87 mi ENE of Happy Valley
Reported by
Official NWS Observations
Coordinates
21.010, -156.612

More than a dozen hikers were stranded for a time because of high water levels in the Makamakaole Gulch.

Heavy Rain, Maui

When
March 21, 6:21 PM HST to 10:20 PM HST
Where
Maui County, 0.44 mi SE of Halawa Valley to 3.15 mi N of Kamalo
Reported by
Official NWS Observations
Coordinates
21.166, -156.745

Heavy Rain, Honolulu

When
March 22, 12:19 PM HST to 2:55 PM HST
Where
Honolulu County, 1.34 mi SSE of Kahuku to 1.09 mi SSW of Waimanalo
Reported by
Official NWS Observations
Coordinates
21.663, -157.941

Heavy Rain, Maui

When
March 22, 12:57 PM HST to 3:40 PM HST
Where
Maui County, 0.57 mi NE of Koele to 2.02 mi W of Manele Harbor
Reported by
Official NWS Observations
Coordinates
20.836, -156.914

Heavy Rain, Maui

When
March 22, 3:30 PM HST to 4:45 PM HST
Where
Maui County, 2.25 mi WNW of Kaunakakai to 2.53 mi SW of Halawa Valley
Reported by
Official NWS Observations
Coordinates
21.111, -157.063

Heavy Rain, Maui

When
March 22, 9:06 PM HST to March 23, 1:10 AM HST
Where
Maui County, 1.07 mi SE of Nahiku to 1.51 mi ENE of Nuu
Reported by
Official NWS Observations
Coordinates
20.819, -156.088

Wildfire, Kona

When
March 23, 11:45 AM HST to March 24, 3:00 PM HST
Where
Kona forecast zone
Reported by
Newspaper
Coordinates
19.602, -155.523 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A lightning strike started a wildfire that consumed nearly 1800 acres of mainly brush around Puuanahulu along Highway 190 in North Kona on the lee side of the Big Island. Most of the fire was extinguished or contained by 1500 HST on the 24th. There were no reports of serious injuries or property damage.

Heavy Rain, Hawaii

When
March 23, 3:07 PM HST to 5:16 PM HST
Where
Hawaii County, 1.83 mi WNW of Papaikou to 3.02 mi S of Glenwood
Reported by
Official NWS Observations
Coordinates
19.788, -155.127

Heavy Rain, Honolulu

When
March 24, 1:56 PM HST to 4:26 PM HST
Where
Honolulu County, 0.77 mi NE of Saint Louis Heights to 1.51 mi S of Pomoho
Reported by
Official NWS Observations
Coordinates
21.308, -157.791

Heavy Rain, Hawaii

When
March 24, 7:18 PM HST to 9:59 PM HST
Where
Hawaii County, 0.83 mi N of Hawi to 2.74 mi SE of Waipio Valley
Reported by
Official NWS Observations
Coordinates
20.242, -155.830

Flash Flood, Kauai

When
March 25, 12:30 AM HST to 7:07 AM HST
Where
Kauai County, 0.72 mi SSW of Princeville to 0.88 mi SSE of Princeville
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
22.210, -159.483

Kuhio Highway closed near the Hanalei Bridge due to water over the roadway from an overflowing Hanalei River.

Flash Flood, Kauai

When
March 25, 4:12 AM HST to 7:07 AM HST
Where
Kauai County, 0.33 mi E of Wailua to 0.3 mi E of Wailua
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
County Official
Coordinates
22.050, -159.345

An overflowing Wailua River along Kuamoo Road in Wailua forced tourists to evacuate their vehicle due to water covering the roadway.

Flash Flood, Kauai

When
March 25, 4:12 AM HST to 7:07 AM HST
Where
Kauai County, 0.79 mi NE of Waimea to 0.77 mi NE of Waimea
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
County Official
Coordinates
21.957, -159.670

Water from heavy rain was reported to be entering the Waimea Theater building.

Heavy Rain, Honolulu

When
March 25, 10:34 AM HST to 12:56 PM HST
Where
Honolulu County, 0.33 mi NW of Makaha Valley to 0.77 mi NE of Saint Louis Heights
Reported by
Official NWS Observations
Coordinates
21.484, -158.203

Thunderstorm Wind, Hawaii

When
March 25, 2:15 PM HST
Where
Hawaii County, 0.69 mi N of Papaikou
Measured
52 kt (60 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
Broadcast Media
Coordinates
19.790, -155.100

A greenhouse roof was blown off its structure, a fixed goat shelter was blown into another pasture, and a storage shed was was severely damaged, according to a report from KHON-2 news.

Flash Flood, Hawaii

When
March 25, 3:11 PM HST to March 26, 2:23 AM HST
Where
Hawaii County, 1.88 mi N of Papaikou to 0.4 mi N of Papaikou
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
19.807, -155.104

Highway 19 on the Big Island of Hawaii was closed between mile markers 9 and 10 due to high water, with levels reported to be as deep as five feet. Several vehicles became stranded.

Flash Flood, Maui

When
March 25, 3:54 PM HST
Where
Maui County, 1.37 mi WSW of Halawa Valley to 2.37 mi SSE of Halawa Valley
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
21.163, -156.770

Maui Civil Defense reported a swift water rescue of a family of eight in Halawa Valley at the east end of Molokai. Another party of 12 was also located and helped to leave the area. The groups had been trapped by high water rising in a stream and waited for the water to subside before exiting the valley. When firefighters arrived on the scene, everyone had already successfully crossed the stream.

Flash Flood, Maui

When
March 25, 4:41 PM HST to 4:56 PM HST
Where
Maui County, 2.92 mi NW of Huelo to 2.6 mi NW of Huelo
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
20.926, -156.265

A hiker requested a rescue at the Bamboo Forest near Huelo on Maui because of flash flooding conditions.

Heavy Rain, Maui

When
March 25, 5:03 PM HST to 9:20 PM HST
Where
Maui County, 1.38 mi SSE of Honokahua to 2.29 mi NW of Kipahulu
Reported by
Official NWS Observations
Coordinates
20.982, -156.640

Flash Flood, Hawaii

When
March 25, 10:01 PM HST to March 26, 2:23 AM HST
Where
Hawaii County, 1.79 mi NNW of Saddle Road Junction to 0.99 mi NNE of Saddle Road Junction
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
19.956, -155.685

Civil defense reported flooding on Highway 190 between mile markers 6 and 8, with barricades being placed around the flood waters.

Flash Flood, Hawaii

When
March 25, 10:01 PM HST to March 26, 2:23 AM HST
Where
Hawaii County, 1.37 mi SSE of Mahukona to 1.95 mi SSE of Mahukona
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
20.161, -155.895

Civil defense reported flooding on Highway 270 at mile marker 12 in the leeward part of the Big Island.

What these are

Heavy Rain
Rainfall totals unusual for the place and season that did not produce a flood.
Wildfire
A fire burning in wildland vegetation, with its acreage and damage where known.
Flash Flood
Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.
Thunderstorm Wind
Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Hawaii in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in Hawaii, March 2016

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 618294, 618295, 618296, 618297, 618298, 618299, 618484, 618300, 618301, 618302, 618303, 619011, 619012, 618304, 618482, 618477, 618480, 618305, 618481, 618478, 618479.