Hawaii, 2016High Wind in Hawaii, December 15 to 17, 2016
December 15 to 17, 2016 · NWS HFO · 1 event in 1 county or zone
A strong winter jet stream brought a period of high winds, reaching over 100 mph to the Mauna Kea summit.
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- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 1
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
A strong winter jet stream brought a period of high winds, reaching over 100 mph to the Mauna Kea summit.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Honolulu, HI wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 15, 10:11 AM HST, 2 hours 19 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 15, 10:11 AM HST, 2 hours 19 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Honolulu HI
1011 AM HST Thu Dec 15 2016
.SYNOPSIS...
A cold front approaching from the northwest will reach Kauai early
this morning and move down the island chain through Friday night,
bringing rain and the possibility of a few thunderstorms. Winter
weather may occur at the highest elevations Friday through
Saturday as a deep low associated with the front approaches, then
moves over the western portion of the state.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Visible satellite shows a weak cold front oriented northeast to
southwest over Oahu late this morning. The front is characterized
narrow band of clouds and showers moving towards the southeast at
15 mph. To the east, a prefrontal convergence band is triggering
some clouds with light to moderate showers around Maui and the
Big Island. Behind the front to the northwest, scattered to broken
stratocumulus clouds are impacting Kauai, but producing little if
any rainfall. The sensible weather for the rest of the day and
tonight will hinge on drier air funneling in with northwest winds
resulting in lower humidity for the western half of the state.
Clouds and showers will likely continue across the Big Island as
the moisture interacts with the typical afternoon sea breezes. The
front should reach the Big Island tonight and stall just east of
the Big Island on Friday. A Wind Advisory is in effect for the Big
Island summits due to strong west to northwest winds aloft as an
approaching upper level low. The advisory will likely be upgraded
to a High Wind Warning at some point in the next 24 hours as
winds are likely to only increase through the weekend.
The forecast becomes a bit more complicated on Friday as a cold upper
low approaches Hawaii from the north. Currently the low is near
30N159W, or about 530 miles north of Kauai. Models are in good
agreement with the intrusion of the cold pool moving onto the
island chain on Friday morning for the western end of the island
chain and then building eastward through the day. Models show 500 mb
temperatures of -13 to -15 celsius, which are some of the coldest
temperatures based on climatology. This will bring a slight chance
for thunderstorms to the smaller islands Friday and Saturday.
Lightning detection and infrared satellite within the upper low
core has produced a few strikes and enhanced tops, but the
coverage of thunderstorms at this point has been very isolated.
Precipitable water values will be average to below average on
Friday as the islands will likely sit in a dry slot. For the
sensible weather, expect breezy westerly winds, a few showers, and
slight chance for thunderstorms on Friday.
The cold temperatures aloft will certainly lower temperatures and
snow levels on the Big Island summits tomorrow, but it remains to
be seen if any deep layered moisture will make it over the Big
Island for actual snowfall to occur. Friday night or Saturday
looks to be a slightly looks like a little bit better chance, but
confidence is not high enough for any winter highlights at this
time. If thunderstorms do eventually fire up over the Big Island
Friday night or this weekend and track over the summits, this
would be a setup for snow. For now, just going to keep chances
for snow in the forecast.
The low will track towards the southwest on Saturday and Saturday
night. Temperatures aloft will warm slightly, but will have a bit
more moisture to work with. Chances for thunderstorms will
continue. Sunday and Monday look to be potentially the wettest
days as the low tracks away to the west. The low will drag layered
moisture onto the islands from the east with trade winds building
back in early next week.
As a reminder that the Molokai Radar is not available at this time.
Technicians are expected on site today, so hoping to have a return
to service before the end of the day. Sorry for the inconvenience.
&&
.AVIATION...
A cold front over western Oahu this morning will continue to move
east through the period. Winds on Kauai have backed to the north/
northwest behind the front, with PHBK reporting 34020KT at 1856Z
and PHLI reporting 33011KT at 1853Z. PHNL was still reporting
29003KT at 1853Z. Clouds and showers will predominately favor
north and west facing slopes, introducing some periods of MVFR
CIGS/VIS. At this time, cloud and shower coverage is not wide
spread enough to warrant the need of AIRMET SIERRA for mountain
obscuration. This will be monitored throughout the day, and issued
as needed. A patch of enhanced moisture along the Kona side of the
Big Island and adjacent waters could provide for brief MVFR
CIGS/VIS.
An upper level trough over the western islands will produce tempo
moderate turbulence between FL250/FL450. AIRMET TANGO for upper
level turbulence is posted. Expect upper level turb to stick
around into the next few days the upper level low drops south over
the state.
&&
.MARINE...
A Small Craft Advisory has been posted for the coastal waters
around Kauai as well as the waters North of Oahu due to a
combination of building seas along with strengthening winds behind
a cold front moving across the area. The Small Craft Advisory will
likely be expanded later today for other coastal waters exposed to
large northwest swells.
A High Surf Advisory remains posted along east facing shores but
the current north northeast swell will continue to decline today
and tonight.
A new large northwest swell has reached buoy 51001. Surf along
north and west facing shores will slowly build later today and
tonight. Also a short period north northwest swell produced by a
developing low just north of the area will begin to affect exposed
shorelines. Surf heights will exceed advisory levels later tonight
and could reach low end warning levels during the peak of the
swell. The combination of these two swells along with westerly
winds across most of the area will cause surf to be very rough and
confused in many locations. Also tides are still running rather
high due to the full moon tide cycle, so higher than normal
coastal runup may also occur. Both of these swells will lower
gradually over the weekend.
Later this weekend and on into early next week, a series of long
period northwest swells are expected. Surf heights during the peak
of the swells may approach low end advisory levels.
&&
.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
High Surf Advisory until 6 PM HST this evening for east facing
shores of Niihau, Kauai, Oahu, Molokai, Maui and the Big Island.
Wind Advisory until 6 PM HST Friday for Big Island Summits.
Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM HST Saturday for Kauai Northwest
Waters-Kauai Windward Waters-Kauai Leeward Waters-Kauai Channel-
Oahu Windward Waters.
&&
DISCUSSION...Foster
AVIATION...Eaton
MARINE...Burke
High Wind, Big Island Summit
- When
- December 15, 12:30 PM HST to December 17, 7:30 PM HST
- Where
- Big Island Summit forecast zone
- Measured
- 89 kt (102 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- Mesonet
- Coordinates
- 19.602, -155.523 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
CFHT anemometer on Mauna Kea measured sustained winds of 55 to 85 mph for much of the duration of this multiple day high wind event.
- High Wind
- Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Winter Storm and Heavy Snow in New Mexico, December 15 to 17, 20162 deaths · 12 injured · $420,000 · 69 kt wind · 27 events
- High Wind and Dense Fog in California, December 15 to 17, 20161 death · $43,000 · 74 kt wind · 6 events
- Winter Weather in Indiana, December 15, 20161 death · 3 events
- Strong Wind in New York, December 15, 2016$280,000 · 6 events
- Winter Weather in New York, December 15, 20167 injured · 2 events
- Strong Wind in Connecticut, December 15, 2016$100,000 · 2 events
- Blizzard in New York, December 15, 2016$100,000 · 1 event
- High Wind and Strong Wind in Massachusetts, December 15 to 16, 2016$29,000 · 56 kt wind · 17 events
- High Wind in California, December 15 to 16, 2016$40,000 · 56 kt wind · 3 events
- Winter Weather in Pennsylvania, December 15, 20163 injured · 1 event
- Blizzard and Winter Storm in South Dakota, December 15 to 17, 201624 events
- Winter Storm and Damaging Winds in Utah, December 15 to 17, 201664 kt wind · 22 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 665806.