Hawaii, 2016High Wind in Hawaii, December 12 to 13, 2016
December 12 to 13, 2016 · NWS HFO · 1 event in 1 county or zone
High winds up to 88 mph were measured on the summit of Mauna Kea.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
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- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 1
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
High winds up to 88 mph were measured on the summit of Mauna Kea.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Honolulu, HI wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 12, 3:59 PM HST, 1 hour 1 minute earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 12, 3:59 PM HST, 1 hour 1 minute before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Honolulu HI
359 PM HST Mon Dec 12 2016
.SYNOPSIS...
A drier and stable air mass during the first half of the week will give
way to some unsettled weather during the week's second half including the
upcoming weekend. A gentle surface northeast breeze should be in place by
the end of Tuesday then give way to an easterly wind flow Wednesday.
Moderate strength southerly winds will spread quickly in by Thursday and
persist into the weekend.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
An upper level short wave is located over Oahu this early Monday afternoon,
and is making good progress eastward. This feature should clear out any
lingering mid level moisture now over the Big Island. There is a slight
chance of a thunderstorms for the Big Island early this evening but that
is a long shot.
During the overnight hours, we will be dealing with a surface boundary
accompanied by some clouds and showers. This broken band of low clouds is
currently over northern coastal waters of Kauai, making good head way
southward. This band is slated to turn east as the night progresses,
reaching Oahu towards daybreak Tuesday. The weak band is expected to
reach Maui County early Tuesday afternoon. An eastward moving upper level
ridge with a drier and stable air mass will result in a low level inversion
based at 6 to 8k feet across the smaller islands by Tuesday afternoon. Not
so sure how much showers will be left upon reaching Maui County, so a
slight chance will suffice for now. It is not an impressive band now.
The surface front is analyzed over the Big Island as of 3 pm HST. The
progress eastward will be slow. So the clearing, at least on the east side
of the island, will be slow. Any leftover low level moisture will likely
linger until the early afternoon hours when the northerly wind arrives.
Models tries to bring back some low level moisture on Wednesday but we will
see. We still anticipate Wednesday to be a rather nice day with light to
moderate trades, perhaps a few trade showers at best.
Thereafter, the forecast gets challenging. It all depends where the upper
and surface lows are located. The ECMWF and GFS are in fair agreement now
but they may tend to deviate. So we will be playing this cautiously.
Never-the-less, we are trending toward an inclement period. The current
forecast calls for moderate southerly winds by Thursday morning with a
surface boundary approaching Kauai. This boundary reaches Maui County
in the evening hours of Thursday with moderately strong westerly winds
behind it, and light to moderate southwesterlies ahead of it. The boundary
washes out allowing southerlies to spread across the island chain.
&&
.AVIATION...
AIRMET SIERRA for mtn obscuration for the Bis Island is in effect
but should be lowered by 6 pm HST. There is a very slight chance it will
be extended beyond 6 pm. If this happen, it will be short lived, till about
8 pm HST. An upper level short wave is making good head eastward which is
now located over Oahu. There is a thunderstorm in progress over Glenwood
and Keaau but it is a long shot after 6. The slight chance of a thunderstorm
for Maui has been dropped, and the scattered showers should be on the way out.
A not so impressive looking surface boundary now approaching northern Kauai
may warrant an AIRMET SIERRA should the clouds and showers pick up in the
coming hours. The boundary is expected to reach Oahu towards daybreak Tuesday
then Maui County Tuesday afternoon but at a weaker state. Otherwise, VFR
condition rules for the overnight hours. No other AIRMETS are expected.
&&
.MARINE...
The currently mid size northwest swell is slowly fading. We expect the
forerunners from a north-northeast swell to start arriving Tuesday with the
potential for a high surf advisory for the east facing shores with a northern
exposure by Wednesday. The peak of this swell will also coincide with the full
moon high tide cycle. The highest tides will occur during the early morning
hours with a predicted height of 2.6 feet Wednesday through Thursday mornings.
Tide gauges around the state have been running higher than predicted tide
levels, so these tides could be a bit higher than predicted levels.
A new northwest swell is forecast to arrive Thursday night and build to near
advisory levels Friday.
The potential for a gale low north of the islands later this week may alter
the swell and surf outlook. Should the southerly winds arise as forecast, the
surf along south facing shores may have a slight rise with choppier waters.
&&
.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Advisory until noon HST Tuesday for Big Island Summits.
&&
Lau
High Wind, Big Island Summit
- When
- December 12, 5:00 PM HST to December 13, 3:00 PM HST
- Where
- Big Island Summit forecast zone
- Measured
- 76 kt (87 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- Mesonet
- Coordinates
- 19.602, -155.523 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
CFHT anemometer on Mauna Kea measured sustained winds from 60 to 70 mph for the duration of the high wind event.
- High Wind
- Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.
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NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 665805.