Hawaii, 2016Flash Flooding and Winter Storm in Hawaii, December 1 to 5, 2016
December 1 to 5, 2016 · NWS HFO · 18 events in 5 counties and zones
An upper low and a separate upper trough generated heavy rain and showers, isolated thunderstorms, and flash flooding over much of the Aloha State. The features also produced snow and blustery weather to the upper elevations of the Big Island of Hawaii.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
Open the live radar over this ground
- Deaths
- 1
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- $1,000
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 18
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
An upper low and a separate upper trough generated heavy rain and showers, isolated thunderstorms, and flash flooding over much of the Aloha State. The features also produced snow and blustery weather to the upper elevations of the Big Island of Hawaii.
A woman was swept away and killed during flash flooding on Kauai on the 3rd during a kayak and hiking tour near the Wailua River.
An aircraft with Hawaiian Airlines suffered relatively minor damage from a lightning strike as it was inbound to the Hilo airport on the Big Island of Hawaii on the 1st. The costs of any other damages that may have occurred were not available.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Honolulu, HI wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 1, 3:31 AM HST, 3 hours 4 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 1, 3:31 AM HST, 3 hours 4 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Honolulu HI
331 AM HST Thu Dec 1 2016
.SYNOPSIS...
An unstable atmosphere due a trough aloft combined with a surge
of moisture moving into the state from the southeast will bring
locally heavy rainfall and a slight chance of thunderstorms to
many areas today through Friday, with the highest chances for
heavy rainfall on the Big Island. Another trough aloft will
approach from the northwest Friday, then linger west of the state
through the weekend. This trough will bring an extended period of
southeast winds and wet weather over the state during the weekend
and into early next week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Shower activity has generally increased in coverage and intensity
over eastern and central portions of the state during the night,
and isolated thunderstorms have developed recently across the
offshore waters beyond 40 miles west of the Big Island and
southwest of Oahu. The showers continue to move quickly within
brisk trade wind flow, and as a result rainfall amounts have
remained on the light to moderate side, with only a few gauges
recording over one inch of rainfall during the past six hours.
Surface analysis shows a 1033 mb high centered far northeast of
the state, with a fairly tight pressure gradient over the
islands. Aloft, water vapor imagery shows an upper level low
centered about 150 miles southwest of the Big Island, with a
ridge centered well to our north and northeast. The 12Z Hilo
sounding shows an increasingly moist and unstable profile, with PW
value of 1.48 inches, ample moisture extending above 500 mb, no
inversion and a 500 mb temp of -13C. The 12Z Lihue sounding was
also somewhat unstable, but considerably drier aloft with PW of
only 0.99 inches. MIMIC-TPW satellite imagery shows several
pockets of enhanced moisture around the eastern half of the state,
with estimated PW values up to 1.7 inches.
Overnight mesonet reports show that winds have generally decreased
below advisory levels even at the windiest locations, and the wind
advisory has been cancelled with the early morning forecast
package.
Today through Friday, the upper low near the Big Island is
forecast to drift slowly to the north, while another longwave
trough digs southward from the mid-latitudes to our northwest.
Unstable conditions aloft will remain in place, while models show
the greatest lower/mid level moisture convergence focused over the
eastern end of the state. A slight chance of thunderstorms will
spread from east to west across the state today into tonight, then
continue statewide on Friday. While locally heavy rains will be
possible statewide, especially tonight into Friday, the chances
for more widespread heavy rainfall still appear greatest over the
Big Island, and the flash flood watch there is posted from this
morning through Friday afternoon. Forecast models also indicate
sufficient deep moisture/lift and cold air aloft present to
generate some potentially significant snowfall amounts over the
Big Island summits, and the earlier watch has now been upgraded to
a winter storm warning from today through Friday afternoon.
The latest GFS and ECMWF have come into somewhat better agreement
for the weekend and into early next week. Both show an amplifying
longwave trough digging west of the state, with an inverted trough
or weak surface low developing underneath the upper trough. The
models also remain in good agreement with the positioning, placing
Hawaii in moist SE/S flow and in the favorable quadrant of the
developing system for widespread and potentially heavy rainfall.
At this time, the best chances for heavy rains appear to be from
Sunday into Monday, although this remains subject to change as we
get closer to the event. There may be yet another surge of
moisture/rain around the middle of next week as long-range models
dig another trough down over the Central Pacific, but there
remains much uncertainty with position/timing. In any case, it
appears that trade winds will be absent from the state for an
extended period of time from the weekend through at least the
middle of next week.
&&
.AVIATION...
High pressure northeast of the state will keep breezy to locally
strong trades in place through the day, with clouds and showers
favoring windward and mauka areas. Due to the strength of the
trades, however, showers will occasionally reach leeward areas of
the smaller islands and West Maui. MVFR cigs/vsbys will occasionally
impact windward areas through the afternoon. Elsewhere, predominantly
VFR conditions are expected.
AIRMET Sierra remains in effect for mountain obscuration across
windward sections of all the islands. These conditions will likely
improve later in the day.
AIRMET Tango remains in effect for low level turbulence over and
downwind of the terrain. These conditions are expected to continue
through most of the day.
&&
.MARINE...
The overnight ASCAT pass missed most of the Hawaiian coastal
waters, but did find areas of 25 kt winds around and west of
Kauai. Land-based mesonet data and high-resolution model guidance
along with the previous Wednesday morning ASCAT pass suggest that
gale conditions may be ongoing in some of the typically windier
zones around Maui County, and we have extended the Gale Warning
for those areas through today. A Small Craft Advisory remains
posted for the remainder of the coastal waters. Winds will start
to weaken tonight, then shift out of the southeast starting
Friday as a surface trough develops west of the area. The advisory
will be gradually lowered for many of the leeward coastal zones
during this time, although high seas will continue to impact the
windward zones due to the long fetch of trade winds to the east
of the local waters.
The strong trade winds will produce rough surf along east facing
shores. The nearshore CDIP buoys continue to run near 10 feet, and
surf observations from Wednesday afternoon were still at/above
advisory levels. While local winds will start to diminish today,
the upstream fetch remains long and wide with stronger winds
remaining in place upstream. Wavewatch III guidance shows seas
remaining elevated, and the high surf advisory remains posted
for east facing shores through Friday afternoon.
A new northwest swell is expected to begin arriving this
afternoon, then peak late tonight into Friday. This swell is
forecast to bring advisory level surf to north and west facing
shores late tonight into Friday, and a High Surf Advisory will
probably be issued for those areas later today.
&&
.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
High Surf Advisory until 6 PM HST Friday for east facing shores
of Kauai Oahu Molokai Maui and the Big Island.
Flash Flood Watch from 6 AM HST this morning through Friday
afternoon for Big Island.
Winter Storm Warning until 6 PM HST Friday for Big Island
Summits.
Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM HST Friday for Big Island
Leeward Waters-Big Island Southeast Waters.
Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM HST Friday for Oahu Windward
Waters-Kaiwi Channel-Maui County Windward Waters-Big Island
Windward Waters.
Gale Warning until 6 PM HST this evening for Maalaea Bay-Pailolo
Channel-Alenuihaha Channel.
Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM HST this evening for Kauai
Northwest Waters-Kauai Windward Waters-Kauai Leeward Waters-
Kauai Channel-Oahu Leeward Waters-Maui County Leeward Waters.
&&
DISCUSSION/MARINE...Jacobson
AVIATION...Kinel
Event by event
10 heavy rain, 6 flash flood, 1 lightning, 1 winter storm. Local standard time, as filed.
Lightning, Hawaii
- When
- December 1, 6:35 AM HST
- Where
- Hawaii County, 3.76 mi SW of Akaka Falls St Park to 1.34 mi WSW of Papaikou
- Property damage
- $1,000
- Reported by
- Airplane Pilot
- Coordinates
- 19.814, -155.193
A pilot for Hawaiian Airlines reported a lightning strike on his aircraft inbound to Hilo on the Big Island of Hawaii.
Heavy Rain, Hawaii
- When
- December 1, 8:03 AM HST to 4:27 PM HST
- Where
- Hawaii County, 1.34 mi ESE of Kawaihae to 4.83 mi WNW of Kalapana
- Reported by
- Official NWS Observations
- Coordinates
- 20.023, -155.811
Heavy Rain, Maui
- When
- December 1, 8:55 AM HST to 4:28 PM HST
- Where
- Maui County, 1.14 mi SSE of Honokowai to 0.87 mi NNW of Koali
- Reported by
- Official NWS Observations
- Coordinates
- 20.954, -156.676
Heavy Rain, Honolulu
- When
- December 1, 10:24 PM HST to December 2, 12:20 AM HST
- Where
- Honolulu County, 0.41 mi SW of Waialua to 0.97 mi NNW of Kailua
- Reported by
- Official NWS Observations
- Coordinates
- 21.576, -158.135
Heavy Rain, Kauai
- When
- December 2, 2:31 AM HST to 4:29 AM HST
- Where
- Kauai County, 1.81 mi S of Mana to 1.67 mi W of Kapaa
- Reported by
- Official NWS Observations
- Coordinates
- 22.044, -159.770
Heavy Rain, Hawaii
- When
- December 2, 5:17 AM HST to 9:41 AM HST
- Where
- Hawaii County, 0.5 mi SSW of Ookala to 5.3 mi NW of Naalehu
- Reported by
- Official NWS Observations
- Coordinates
- 20.013, -155.282
Heavy Rain, Honolulu
- When
- December 2, 7:19 AM HST to 10:15 AM HST
- Where
- Honolulu County, 0.47 mi S of Waialua to 1.67 mi NNW of Maunawili
- Reported by
- Official NWS Observations
- Coordinates
- 21.573, -158.131
Flash Flood, Kauai
- When
- December 2, 9:39 AM HST to 5:31 PM HST
- Where
- Kauai County, 0.63 mi S of Princeville to 0.78 mi SSE of Princeville
- Cause
- Heavy Rain
- Reported by
- Emergency Manager
- Coordinates
- 22.211, -159.479
Kuhio Highway was closed near the Hanalei Bridge on Kauai due to flooding from the Hanalei River.
Flash Flood, Hawaii
- When
- December 2, 9:41 AM HST to 4:04 PM HST
- Where
- Hawaii County, 5.09 mi SW of Pahala to 2.56 mi SSW of Pahala
- Cause
- Heavy Rain
- Reported by
- Emergency Manager
- Coordinates
- 19.141, -155.527
On the Big island of Hawaii, Highway 11 near Kawa Flats in the Kau District, near mile markers 58 and 59, was closed due to flooding.
Winter Storm, Big Island Summit
- When
- December 2, 12:00 PM HST to December 3, 8:00 AM HST
- Where
- Big Island Summit forecast zone
- Reported by
- Newspaper
- Coordinates
- 19.602, -155.523 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
An estimated two feet of snow accumulated on the upper slopes of Mauna Kea and Mauna Loa on the Big Island of Hawaii.
Flash Flood, Honolulu
- When
- December 2, 12:45 PM HST to 3:04 PM HST
- Where
- Honolulu County, 0.7 mi NW of Punaluu to 0.69 mi NW of Punaluu
- Cause
- Heavy Rain
- Reported by
- Emergency Manager
- Coordinates
- 21.607, -157.908
A part of Hauula Elementary School in windward Oahu was flooded due to a sand-clogged outlet channel.
Flash Flood, Hawaii
- When
- December 2, 1:45 PM HST to 4:04 PM HST
- Where
- Hawaii County, 3.14 mi SSE of Mountain View to 3.32 mi SSE of Mountain View
- Cause
- Heavy Rain
- Reported by
- Emergency Manager
- Coordinates
- 19.527, -155.105
On the Big Island of Hawaii near Mountain View, Kahikopele Street was closed near South Kopua Road due to major ponding on the roadway. A pond' formed that was about 100 yards wide and 2 feet deep.
Heavy Rain, Honolulu
- When
- December 3, 2:45 PM HST to 5:22 PM HST
- Where
- Honolulu County, 0.36 mi SE of Waianae to 0.57 mi N of Saint Louis Heights
- Reported by
- Official NWS Observations
- Coordinates
- 21.447, -158.176
Flash Flood, Kauai
- When
- December 3, 5:00 PM HST to 7:43 PM HST
- Where
- Kauai County, 1.21 mi WSW of Wailua to 1.27 mi WSW of Wailua
- Cause
- Heavy Rain
- Deaths
- 1 direct, 0 indirect
- Reported by
- Newspaper
- Coordinates
- 22.046, -159.368
Flash flooding at a stream near the Wailua River on Kauai swept a woman away to her death, though others in the kayak and hiking tour group managed to get to safety.
Flash Flood, Kauai
- When
- December 3, 6:00 PM HST to 7:43 PM HST
- Where
- Kauai County, 0.65 mi S of Princeville to 0.82 mi SSE of Princeville
- Cause
- Heavy Rain
- Reported by
- Emergency Manager
- Coordinates
- 22.211, -159.480
Kuhio Highway near the Hanalei Bridge on Kauai was closed due to flooding from the Hanalei River.
Heavy Rain, Honolulu
- When
- December 4, 2:12 PM HST to 4:02 PM HST
- Where
- Honolulu County, 3.01 mi SW of Mokuleia to 0.62 mi S of Waimanalo
- Reported by
- Official NWS Observations
- Coordinates
- 21.546, -158.209
Heavy Rain, Hawaii
- When
- December 4, 3:49 PM HST to 5:18 PM HST
- Where
- Hawaii County, 1.97 mi WSW of Papaikou to 1.96 mi S of Volcano
- Reported by
- Official NWS Observations
- Coordinates
- 19.767, -155.127
Heavy Rain, Hawaii
- When
- December 5, 4:03 AM HST to 8:27 AM HST
- Where
- Hawaii County, 2.69 mi N of Kailua Kona to 4.87 mi S of Pahoa
- Reported by
- Official NWS Observations
- Coordinates
- 19.669, -155.984
- Lightning
- A lightning strike that killed, injured or caused damage.
- Heavy Rain
- Rainfall totals unusual for the place and season that did not produce a flood.
- Flash Flood
- Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.
- Winter Storm
- A storm that brought snow, sleet or freezing rain at warning levels, usually over several hours or days.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Drought in Mississippi, December 1 to 31, 2016$2.0 million · 40 events
- Drought in Georgia, December 1 to 31, 201695 events
- Drought in Louisiana, December 1 to 20, 2016$450,000 · 9 events
- Drought in Arkansas, December 1 to 20, 2016$100,000 · 2 events
- Drought in Alabama, December 1 to 31, 201639 events
- Drought in Tennessee, December 1 to 31, 201638 events
- Drought in Georgia, December 1 to 31, 201625 events
- Drought in Oklahoma, December 1 to 31, 201625 events
- Drought in Kentucky, December 1 to 20, 201622 events
- Drought in Massachusetts, December 1 to 31, 201621 events
- Drought in Mississippi, December 1 to 31, 201618 events
- Drought in Oklahoma, December 1 to 31, 201616 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 665104, 665105, 665106, 665107, 665108, 665110, 665109, 665111, 665112, 665115, 665113, 665114, 665116, 665126, 665117, 665118, 665119, 665120.