Florida, 2016Coastal Flood in Florida, October 12 to 15, 2016
October 12 to 15, 2016 · NWS MFL · 9 events in 4 counties and zones
The combination of higher than normal tidal departures coupled with the annual spring tide (King Tides) brought minor flooding at high tides for a week during mid-October. Vulnerable locations along the Broward and Miami-Dade coast saw flooding of several locations such as streets, sea walls, and docks.
Every event with a place to put it; 9 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
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- Tropical storms and surge
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- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 9
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The combination of higher than normal tidal departures coupled with the annual spring tide (King Tides) brought minor flooding at high tides for a week during mid-October. Vulnerable locations along the Broward and Miami-Dade coast saw flooding of several locations such as streets, sea walls, and docks.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Miami, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 12, 3:36 PM EST, 24 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 12, 3:36 PM EST, 24 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
436 PM EDT Wed Oct 12 2016
.DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT):
This afternoon, fairly shallow pool of moisture, loosely
associated with Hurricane Nicole, has spread SWWD into South
Florida, leading to an enhancement of showers over the region.
This will continue to impact the area into Thursday morning,
before drier air returns to the area. Synoptically, surface ridge
dominates the eastern seaboard and upper level ridge extends from
the Gulf into the Western Atlantic. This overall pattern will
through the short term, resulting in northeasterly winds,
generally seasonably warm temperatures, and relatively low rain
chances.
LONG TERM (SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY):
A shortwave trough will traverse the TN/OH Valleys into the Mid-
Atlantic over the weekend as the upper level ridge over us
flattens some. The surface ridge will weaken, allowing for winds
to decrease some and to turn more in an easterly direction.
Moisture will begin to be shunted southward down the peninsula as
the mid/upper level winds turn more northerly. There is relatively
low confidence in weekend rain chances as GFS suggest most
moisture will pool over the Keys, whereas the ECMWF suggest main
moisture may still reside over South Florida. For POPs, took the
middle ground with moderate shower chances, but kept higher QPF to
the south.
Early next week, deeper northwesterly flow will send drier
continental air into the region, reducing rain chances and
humidity. Temperatures into early next week will be near normal
for mid-October, with maxima mainly in mid 80s and minima in low
70s.
&&
.MARINE...
Northeasterly winds just AOB 20 knots will prevail through the
remainder of the week. Hazardous seas /up to 10 feet in the Gulf
Stream off Palm Beach County/ will gradually subside but remain
above advisory levels through Thursday. Little pattern change/wind
shift is expected into early next week.
&&
.AVIATION...
VFR flying conditions are expected to prevail through the TAF
period, outside of some brief MVFR ceilings this afternoon and
early evening. Have kept VCSH in the east coast TAFs through the
period for occasional light showers passing by. Northeast winds
will continue around 10-15 knots this afternoon with occasional
gusts to 20-25 knots. Winds will diminish to around 10 knots
overnight before increasing late in the period.
&&
.BEACH FORECAST...
Persistent northeasterly flow warrants a high risk for rip
currents along Atlantic Beaches through Thursday night, and these
dangerous rip currents will likely persist into the weekend.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
West Palm Beach 77 86 75 87 / 30 10 10 10
Fort Lauderdale 76 85 76 86 / 30 20 10 10
Miami 76 86 75 87 / 30 20 10 10
Naples 72 88 71 89 / 10 0 0 0
&&
.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Beach Hazards Statement through Thursday evening for FLZ069.
High Rip Current Risk through Thursday morning for FLZ168-172-
173.
AM...Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT Thursday for AMZ650-651-670-
671.
GM...None.
&&
DISCUSSION...23/SK
MARINE...23/SK
AVIATION...54/CWC
BEACH FORECAST...23/SKHazardous weather outlook, Oct 12, 9:09 AM EST, 6 hours 51 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1009 AM EDT WED OCT 12 2016
AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-GMZ656-657-676-
130000-
LAKE OKEECHOBEE-BISCAYNE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM
EXCLUDING THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF BAHAMAS-GLADES-HENDRY-
INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-COASTAL COLLIER-INLAND COLLIER-
INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-INLAND MIAMI-DADE-METRO MIAMI-DADE-
MAINLAND MONROE-COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL MIAMI-
DADE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI-DADE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
1009 AM EDT WED OCT 12 2016
...HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS FOR ATLANTIC BEACHES...
...HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS OVER THE ATLANTIC WATERS...
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
RIP CURRENTS: THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ON THE
ATLANTIC BEACHES.
WIND: A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ATLANTIC WATERS,
WHERE NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 20 KNOTS AND HIGHER GUSTS CAN BE
EXPECTED.
WAVES: WAVES ON THE ATLANTIC WATERS WILL RANGE FROM 7 TO 9 FEET.
A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THESE AREAS.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
HAZARDOUS WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE OVER THE ATLANTIC
WATERS THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK, ALONG WITH AN ENHANCED RISK
OF RIP CURRENTS.
SOME BEACH EROSION MAY BE POSSIBLE FOR NORTHERN PALM BEACH COUNTY
THROUGH LATE IN THE WEEK AS WELL.
NO OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.
FOR MORE INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
MIAMI WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MIAMI.
Coastal Flood, Coastal Miami-Dade County
- When
- October 12, 4:00 PM EST to 6:00 PM EST
- Where
- Coastal Miami-Dade County forecast zone
- Reported by
- Newspaper
- Coordinates
- 25.609, -80.499 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Tidal flooding led to water halfway up wheel well of parked cars in lowest level of parking garage at 1441 Lincoln Road in Miami Beach.
Coastal Flood, Coastal Miami-Dade County
- When
- October 12, 4:00 PM EST to 6:00 PM EST
- Where
- Coastal Miami-Dade County forecast zone
- Reported by
- Public
- Coordinates
- 25.609, -80.499 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Photo shows several inches of salt water flooding at high tide in parking lot at Matheson Hammock State Park.
Coastal Flood, Coastal Miami-Dade County
- When
- October 13, 5:00 AM EST to 7:00 AM EST
- Where
- Coastal Miami-Dade County forecast zone
- Reported by
- Broadcast Media
- Coordinates
- 25.609, -80.499 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Saltwater coming from sewer drains at high tide led to flooding along Miami Beach near 40th street and Royal Palm Avenue.
Coastal Flood, Coastal Miami-Dade County
- When
- October 13, 5:30 AM EST to 7:30 AM EST
- Where
- Coastal Miami-Dade County forecast zone
- Reported by
- Social Media
- Coordinates
- 25.609, -80.499 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Water coming over sea wall during high tide along Bonita Drive south of 71st Street in Miami Beach.
Coastal Flood, Coastal Miami-Dade County
- When
- October 13, 5:26 PM EST to 7:26 PM EST
- Where
- Coastal Miami-Dade County forecast zone
- Reported by
- NWS Employee
- Coordinates
- 25.609, -80.499 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Saltwater coming through sewer drains at high tide lead to minor flooding along Biscayne Blvd near the Arsht Center.
Coastal Flood, Coastal Palm Beach County
- When
- October 13, 5:38 PM EST to 7:38 PM EST
- Where
- Coastal Palm Beach County forecast zone
- Reported by
- Broadcast Media
- Coordinates
- 26.648, -80.436 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
High astronomical tides led to minor flooding at the public boat launch near East Ocean Avenue near Lantana.
Coastal Flood, Metropolitan Miami-Dade
- When
- October 13, 6:05 PM EST to 8:05 PM EST
- Where
- Metropolitan Miami-Dade forecast zone
- Reported by
- Social Media
- Coordinates
- 25.609, -80.499 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Flooding at high tide from the Miami River lead to standing water in street along NW North River Drive near the NW 12th Avenue Bridge in Miami.
Coastal Flood, Coastal Broward County
- When
- October 14, 5:31 AM EST to 7:31 AM EST
- Where
- Coastal Broward County forecast zone
- Reported by
- Social Media
- Coordinates
- 26.152, -80.456 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Minor flooding along roadway at high tide along Sunset Drive south of Las Olas Blvd in Fort Lauderdale.
Coastal Flood, Coastal Broward County
- When
- October 15, 6:00 AM EST to 8:00 AM EST
- Where
- Coastal Broward County forecast zone
- Reported by
- Social Media
- Coordinates
- 26.152, -80.456 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Video received via social media shows several inches of water over piers and streets in Pompano Beach near the 1600 block of Ocean Boulevard at high tide. The water reaches the front lawns of homes in some locations, but does not enter any homes.
- Coastal Flood
- Flooding of coastal land by the sea, from storm surge, onshore wind or high tides.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Arkansas, October 12, 2016$10,000 · 2.5 in hail · 7 events
- Frost and Freeze in Montana, October 12, 20163 events
- Tornadoes and Damaging Wind in Indiana, October 12, 2016EF0 · 3 events
- Frost and Freeze in Idaho, October 12, 20162 events
- Lightning Strike in Wisconsin, October 12, 2016$4,000 · 1 event
- Damaging Wind in Missouri, October 12, 201652 kt wind · 1 event
- Damaging Wind in Michigan, October 12, 2016$3,000 · 55 kt wind · 1 event
- Coastal Flood in South Carolina, October 12, 20161 event
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 661498, 661499, 661500, 661502, 661506, 661519, 661520, 661505, 661522.