Florida, 2016

Drought in Florida, November 15 to 30, 2016

November 15 to 30, 2016 · NWS TAE · 8 events in 8 counties and zones

D2 drought conditions developed in portions of Jackson, Washington, Bay, Holmes, and Walton counties on November 15th. These conditions worsened to D3 status on November 29th with the drought continuing into December.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 7 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
8

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS TAE wrote it up.

D2 drought conditions developed in portions of Jackson, Washington, Bay, Holmes, and Walton counties on November 15th. These conditions worsened to D3 status on November 29th with the drought continuing into December.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tallahassee, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 14, 7:38 PM EST, 4 hours 22 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 14, 7:38 PM EST, 4 hours 22 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
738 PM EST Mon Nov 14 2016

.UPDATE...

No significant changes to the previous forecast below appear
necessary.

&&

.AVIATION...

[Through 00z Wednesday] VFR conditions are expected to prevail
through the period with light winds.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION [319 PM EST]...

.NEAR TERM [Through Tonight]...

The eastern CONUS trough has cleared the mid/upper level clouds
across most of the region this afternoon. At the surface, weak
ridging prevails with light northerly winds. Lows tonight will fall
into the low to mid 40s inland, and around 50 degrees nearer to the
coast.

.SHORT TERM [Tuesday Through Wednesday Night]...

Upper level troughing over the eastern half of the states Tuesday
will push off the Atlantic coast Wednesday night. At the lower
levels, high pressure will prevail over the northern Gulf coast for
the next couple days. Other than some upper level cloud cover,
Tuesday and Wednesday should be mostly sunny with max temperatures
in the mid to upper 70s and min temperatures mid to upper 40s.

.LONG TERM [Thursday Through Monday]...

Deep layer high pressure will prevail through the remainder of the
work week and with mostly clear skies, we'll see max temperatures
rise into the upper 70s and lows only dipping into the low 50s. On
Saturday, we'll have our next cold front passage. It's starting to
look more and more like we won't get any rain from this system
either, with most of its driving energy remaining well to our north,
but we do expect temperatures to cool down noticeably behind it.
Highs will struggle to peak in the mid to upper 60s early next week
and morning lows will drop into the upper 30s to around 40.

.MARINE...

High pressure will dominate, allowing light winds and low seas
through the remainder of the work week. After a frontal passage on
Saturday, winds from the north will increase to advisory levels
Saturday night, possibly lingering into early next week.

.FIRE WEATHER...

Dry conditions are expected to continue for the next several days.
Min RH values are expected to range from the mid 20s to mid 30s away
from the coast on Tuesday afternoon, but with light winds red flag
conditions are not expected.

.HYDROLOGY...

Our rivers remain well below flood stage and there is little to no
chance for rain in the next week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

Tallahassee   45  76  47  78  46 /   0   0   0   0   0
Panama City   55  73  55  74  55 /   0   0   0   0   0
Dothan        45  75  49  77  45 /   0   0   0   0   0
Albany        43  76  47  78  44 /   0   0   0   0   0
Valdosta      43  75  46  77  45 /   0   0   0   0   0
Cross City    46  74  47  77  47 /   0   0   0   0   0
Apalachicola  53  73  54  75  54 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

FL...None.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.

&&

UPDATE...DVD
NEAR TERM...Harrigan
SHORT TERM...Moore
LONG TERM...Moore
AVIATION...DVD
MARINE...Moore
FIRE WEATHER...DVD
HYDROLOGY...Moore

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

8 drought. Local standard time, as filed.

Drought, Jackson

When
November 15, 12:00 AM EST to November 30, 11:59 PM EST
Where
Jackson forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
30.795, -85.215 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Washington

When
November 15, 12:00 AM EST to November 30, 11:59 PM EST
Where
Washington forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
30.611, -85.665 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Holmes

When
November 15, 12:00 AM EST to November 30, 11:59 PM EST
Where
Holmes forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
30.868, -85.814 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Coastal Bay

When
November 15, 12:00 AM EST to November 30, 11:59 PM EST
Where
Coastal Bay forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
30.238, -85.633 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Inland Bay

When
November 15, 12:00 AM EST to November 30, 11:59 PM EST
Where
Inland Bay forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
30.238, -85.633 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Central Walton

When
November 15, 12:00 AM EST to November 30, 11:59 PM EST
Where
Central Walton forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
30.619, -86.171 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, North Walton

When
November 15, 12:00 AM EST to November 30, 11:59 PM EST
Where
North Walton forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor

Drought, South Walton

When
November 15, 12:00 AM EST to November 30, 11:59 PM EST
Where
South Walton forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
30.619, -86.171 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

What these are

Drought
A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Florida in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in Florida, November 2016

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 662130, 662131, 662132, 662133, 662134, 662135, 662136, 662137.