Sea breeze regime with scattered inland afternoon showers and thunderstorms.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS JAX wrote it up.
Sea breeze regime with scattered inland afternoon showers and thunderstorms.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jacksonville, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 2, 2:04 PM EST, 56 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 304 PM EDT MON MAY 2 2016 ...INCREASING CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .NEAR TERM /TONIGHT-TUESDAY/... TONIGHT...ISOLD TO WIDELY SCT SHOWERS/STORMS EXPECTED THIS EVENING. RESPECTIVE EAST COAST AND WEST COAST SEA BREEZE MERGERS ARE ANTICIPATED THIS LATE AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING NEAR THE SR301 CORRIDOR. THE RESIDUAL CONVECTION SHOULD PUSH EASTWARD TOWARD THE COAST THIS EARLY EVENING THEN MIGRATE OFFSHORE. THE CONVECTION SHOULD BE ISOLD TO WIDELY SCATTERED IN NATURE...WANING FURTHER IN AREAL COVERAGE WITH LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING THIS MID TO LATE EVENING AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE COAST. LOWS TONIGHT WILL BE IN THE UPPER 60S TO AROUND 70 DUE TO S-SW FLOW AND PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES. SOME PATCHY SHALLOW FOG POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT. .TUESDAY...MID LEVEL RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND TRACK EASTWARD INTO THE ADJACENT ATLANTIC AS MID LEVEL RIDGE MOVES INTO THE ARKLAMISS REGION. THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE AS THE DAY PROGRESSES AS AIRMASS BEGINS TO PRIME WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES INCREASING BETWEEN 1.60 AND 1.80 INCHES. DEEP LAYER UNIDIRECTIONAL SPEED SHEAR INCREASES INTO THE AFTERNOON WITH SUFFICIENT CAPES FOR A FEW STORMS BECOME STRONG TO PERHAPS ONE TO TWO BECOMING SEVERE. SPC CONTINUES TO PLACE OUR AREA IN MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE STORMS WITH A FEW STORMS POTENTIALLY HAVING GUSTY WINDS OF 40-60 MPH. HIGHS TUESDAY WILL MAINLY BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S. .SHORT TERM... TUESDAY NIGHT/WEDNESDAY...MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT FOR PRE-FRONTAL AND FRONTAL SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORMS IN THIS PERIOD...BUT THEY ARE ALSO SHOWING A HIGHER LIKELIHOOD OF ENERGY ALONG THIS BOUNDARY SPLITTING NORTH AND SOUTH OF THE NORTH FLORIDA REGION. NUMEROUS STRONG/SEVERE PRE-FRONTAL SHOWERS/STORMS ONGOING TUESDAY EVENING ACROSS SE GA WILL FADE AFTER SUNSET AND THE LOSS OF HEATING AND BECOME MORE SCATTERED IN NATURE DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY DRIFTS CLOSE TO THE FL/GA BORDER TOWARDS MORNING AND ENERGY ALONG THIS BOUNDARY HAS LIFTED NORTH INTO THE CAROLINAS. MODELS THEN SHOWING NEXT UPPER LEVEL ENERGY MOVING ACROSS THE EASTERN GOMEX EARLY WED AND REIGNITING NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORMS ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY SOMEWHERE OVER THE I-10 CORRIDOR AND SOUTHWARD WEDNESDAY MORNING BUT WITH THE LACK OF ANY SIGNIFICANT HEATING EXPECT MOST OF THE STRONGER TO SEVERE STORM POTENTIAL TO END UP ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA AS FRONTAL BOUNDARY HEADS IN THAT DIRECTION DURING PEAK HEATING. SO CONFIDENCE IN ENTIRE SCENARIO IS ONLY MODERATE AT THIS TIME AND STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IS STILL EXPECTED TO BE CLOSE TO ONE INCH ACROSS SE GA AND CLOSER TO ONE HALF INCH ACROSS NE FL DUE TO POSSIBLE SPLIT SCENARIO. MILD/HUMID OVERNIGHT LOWS NEAR 70 DEGREES ARE EXPECTED TUE NIGHT AND WHILE COOLER MAX TEMPS ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON BEHIND THE FRONT AND WITH INCREASED WEST WINDS TO 15-25 MPH STILL BELIEVE THEY COULD REACH INTO THE LOWER/MIDDLE 80S WITH SUCH A MILD START AND SOME SUNSHINE BREAKING OUT DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. WED NIGHT/THURSDAY...AS FRONT CLEARS THE REGION LATE WEDNESDAY EXPECTING CLEARING SKIES AND COOLER/DRIER AIRMASS TO FILTER INTO THE REGION WITH LOWS IN THE 50S AND HIGHS SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL VALUES IN THE MID/UPPER 70S ACROSS SE GA AND AROUND 80 DEGREES ACROSS NE FL. GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS AT 15-25 MPH ARE EXPECTED DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. .LONG TERM /THU NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/... PATTERN CHANGE BACK TO DRIER AND LESS HUMID CONDITIONS AS UPPER LEVEL TROF PASSES EAST INTO THE WESTERN ATLC THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK AND HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT OVER THE WEEKEND AND LINGERS INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. COOLER THAN NORMAL TEMPS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK WITH WIDESPREAD LOWS IN THE 40S/50S AND HIGHS MID/UPPER 70S ON FRIDAY WITH SOME NEAR RECORD LOWS POSSIBLE OVER INLAND AREAS EARLY FRIDAY MORNING IF THE COOLER ECMWF MODEL GUIDANCE VERIFIES. OVER THE WEEKEND WARMING TREND WILL BEGIN WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S SATURDAY AND BACK UP TO CLIMO VALUES IN THE MIDDLE 80S SUNDAY AND BACK INTO THE UPPER 80S BY MONDAY. && .AVIATION...INTERMITTENT MVFR CIGS ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOME TERMINALS THIS EARLY EVENING AS SOME THUNDERSTORMS MAY BRIEFLY MOVE OVER A TERMINAL SITE. VFR CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED OTHERWISE. INLAND TERMINALS MAY HAVE PATCHY FOG BRIEFLY REDUCING VSBYS INTO THE 3-5 NM RANGE FROM 09Z-13Z. NOT CONFIDENT IN THIS SCENARIO IF THERE ARE MID AND HIGH CLOUDS WITH SLIGHT INCREASE IN SSW WINDS. MORE WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY AFTERNOON AHEAD OF AN ENCROACHING FRONTAL SYSTEM AND MID LEVEL TROUGH. && .MARINE... HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE EAST OF AREA WATERS THROUGH TONIGHT FOR A LIGHT SOUTHERLY WIND. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST TUESDAY THEN PUSH SOUTH OF THE LOCAL WATERS LATE WEDNESDAY. BREEZY NW FLOW EXPECTED WED NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE LOCATED WELL W AND NW OF THE AREA. PERIODS OF EXERCISE CAUTION CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE OFFSHORE WATERS THIS WEEK. MAIN SHORT TERM HAZARD FOR MARINERS WILL BE OFFSHORE MOVING THUNDERSTORMS TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...MAINLY DURING THE MID TO LATE AFTN HOURS THROUGH THE EVENING. RIP CURRENTS: LOW RISK THROUGH TUE. && .FIRE WEATHER... ELEVATED DISPERSION VALUES ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AFTERNOONS. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... AMG 68 84 64 80 / 40 70 50 10 SSI 72 83 68 81 / 40 60 50 20 JAX 70 87 68 83 / 30 50 50 50 SGJ 71 86 70 83 / 30 40 40 60 GNV 69 86 68 83 / 20 40 50 60 OCF 69 85 69 83 / 20 40 50 70 && .JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...NONE. GA...NONE. AM...NONE. && CORDERO/HESS
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 254 PM EDT MON MAY 2 2016 AMZ450-452-454-470-472-474-FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-124-125- GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-031100- COASTAL WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-INLAND NASSAU-INLAND DUVAL-UNION- BRADFORD-CLAY-ST. JOHNS-GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-PUTNAM-FLAGLER-MARION- COASTAL NASSAU-COASTAL DUVAL-COFFEE-JEFF DAVIS-BACON-APPLING- WAYNE-ATKINSON-WARE-PIERCE-BRANTLEY-INLAND GLYNN-COASTAL GLYNN- ECHOLS-CLINCH-CHARLTON-INLAND CAMDEN-COASTAL CAMDEN- 254 PM EDT MON MAY 2 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA... SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT... ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THIS EVENING. LOCALLY STRONG WIND GUSTS MAY ACCOMPANY ISOLATED STRONG STORMS. STORMS WILL MOVE NORTHEAST AROUND 15 TO 20 MPH. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY... THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER MUCH OF THE REGION WHICH COULD PRODUCE STRONG WIND GUSTS OF 40-60 MPH AND HAIL THE SIZE OF QUARTERS. THE THREAT OF ANY ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS SHOULD MOVE OUT OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA BY WEDNESDAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE AREA. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV/JAX.
1 wildfire. Local standard time, as filed.
A wildfire about 2 miles east of Bostwick grew about 250 acres. The fire was about 60 percent contained as of the late evening report. One dozen homes were threatened during the late afternoon, but no damages occurred.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Florida in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in Florida, May 2016
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 628495.