NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 23, 12:58 AM EST, 2 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 23, 12:58 AM EST, 2 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1258 AM EST SAT JAN 23 2016
.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE COASTAL CAROLINAS WILL BECOME A DANGEROUS
NOREASTER ASTRIDE THE VIRGINIA CAPES SATURDAY. THIS POWERFUL
STORM WILL THEN TRACK NORTHEASTWARD AND OUT TO SEA OVER THE
WEEKEND. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION, SLIDING TO THE
SOUTH AND EAST OF THE AREA LATE MONDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS
THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT FOLLOWED BY A RETURN TO HIGH PRESSURE.
ANOTHER SYSTEM MAY IMPACT THE REGION LATE IN THE WEEK.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/...
THE WATER VAPOR IMAGERY TELLS THE STORY AS A POTENT CLOSED LOW
CONTINUES TO DRIVE CYCLOGENESIS NEAR THE MID ATLANTIC COAST. A
SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE GREATEST PRESSURE FALLS /8 MB IN
THE LAST THREE HOURS/ IS CENTERED AROUND THE NORFOLK, VA AREA. THE
SURFACE LOW IS ON THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA. THE STRENGTHENING OF
AN EASTERLY LOW-LEVEL JET WILL CONTINUE TO DRIVE WAA INLAND, WITH
THE MOST NOTABLE WARMING MOSTLY NEAR 850 MB. HOW FAR INLAND THIS CAN
PENETRATE WILL NEED TO BE WATCHED GIVEN THE STRENGTH OF THE EASTERLY
LOW-LEVEL JET, HOWEVER STRENGTHENING LARGE SCALE ASCENT SHOULD TEND
TO MITIGATE THE WARMING TO SOME EXTENT AS ONE GOES INLAND.
THEREFORE, WE WILL CONTINUE WITH A MIX AND THEN A CHANGEOVER TO RAIN
ACROSS THE FAR SOUTHERN ZONES TO FAR SOUTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY LATE
TONIGHT. THE SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE NEARING FREEZING IN
PORTIONS OF CAPE MAY COUNTY TO SUSSEX COUNTY IN DELAWARE AS OF 0545Z.
THE KDOX RADAR CORRELATION COEFFICIENT DATA SHOWS SOME MIXED PHASES
MOVING INTO THE LOWER DELMARVA. THIS LOOKS TO BE THE SIGNS OF SOME
SLEET/RAIN STARTING TO DEVELOP.
OTHERWISE, CONDITIONS CONTINUE TO GET WORSE AS SNOWFALL RATES
INCREASE AND GIVEN THE COLD AIR IN PLACE THE SNOW IS DRIER AND
THEREFORE ADDING UP FASTER /AWAY FROM THE FAR SOUTHEAST ZONES TOWARD
THE COAST DUE SOME WARMING NOW/. THE NEW MODEL GUIDANCE COMING IN
SUGGESTS STORM TOTALS MAY BE HIGHER, AND THIS WILL BE MOSTLY WHERE
THE COMMA HEAD DEVELOPS AS BANDING WILL OCCUR UNDER INCREASING
FRONTOGENETIC FORCING OVERNIGHT. WE ARE MORE CONCERNED ESPECIALLY
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST ZONES WHERE MODEL GUIDANCE LOOKS TO BE IN
BETTER AGREEMENT SHOWING AN AREA OF ENHANCED SNOW ASSOCIATED WITH
STRONGER BANDING. THEREFORE THE SNOW AMOUNTS WILL MOST LIKELY NEED
AN UPWARD ADJUSTMENT. THE WINDS ARE INCREASING AND THEREFORE BLOWING
AND DRIFTING WILL BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD WHERE THE SNOW STAYS DRIER.
WE RECENTLY RECEIVED A REPORT OF A 51 MPH WIND GUST IN CAPE MAY.
THEREFORE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVERNIGHT
ESPECIALLY FROM I-95 SOUTH AND EASTWARD /EXCEPT SOUTHERN DELAWARE
AND FAR SOUTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY WHERE THE SNOW BECOMES WETTER AND
SOME MIXING AND EVEN RAIN EVENTUALLY STARTS TO TAKE PLACE.
&&
.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY/...
830 PM ESTF CHANGES FOR SATURDAY: ISOLATED TSTMS ARE IN THE FCST
UP INTO SE PA AND CENTRAL NJ IN STRONG LIFT AND EXPECTED SLANTWISE
CONVECTION DEVELOPED FM SWI SUBZERO NEAR THE BENT BACK WARM FRONT
DEVELOPING OCCLUSION EXPECTED JUST S OF 44009 BY NOON SATURDAY.
PROJECTING FOR 930 PM: ADDING SOME ACCUM FOR THE NORTH TWO THIRDS
OF THE FORECAST AREA AT 930 PM. REPEATING: ADDING WORDING OF GUST
65 MPH COASTAL SLIVER SATURDAY WHERE GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SIGNAL
AND WE COULD SEE SCATTERED GUST 70 OR EVEN ISOLATED 75 MPH. NEED A
QUICK CHECK OF THE 00Z/23 NAM AT 9PM BEFORE POSTING.
IN EVENTS THIS EXTREME (NW SIDE OF SFC LOW)...OFTEN SEE SCT HURRICANE
FORCE GUSTS...IN PART EDDY TRANSFER. WONT BE SURPRISES AT GWAVE OF
SORTS TOMORROW MORNING BUT FOR NOW...JUST ON THE WATCH FOR THAT.
HAVENT HAD A CHC TO CHECK THE R# FOR THIS POTENTIAL EDDY TRANSFER.
HEAVY SNOW AND STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO CREATE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS
ALONG THE I-95 CORRIDOR ON SATURDAY. TRAVEL WILL BE EXTREMELY DIFFICULT,
IF NOT IMPOSSIBLE ACROSS A GOOD PART OF THE AREA. IT SHOULD BE
NOTED THAT THE SNOW WILL BECOME PARTICULARLY HEAVY/WET ON SATURDAY
AS MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOWS A SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF RIMING. POWER
OUTAGES COULD BE EXTENSIVE AT THE HEIGHT OF THE STORM DUE TO THE
HEAVY WET SNOW AND STRONG WINDS. ADDITIONALLY, EXTENSIVE POWER
OUTAGES AND WIND DAMAGE ARE LIKELY NEAR THE COAST EVEN IF THEY
SWITCH OVER TO RAIN WITH WIND GUSTS OF 60-65 MPH EXPECTED. PLEASE
SEE OUR LATEST HAZARDOUS WEATHER BRIEFING AND THE WSW TEXT PRODUCT
FOR A FULL DESCRIPTION OF OUR EXPECTED IMPACTS FROM THIS STORM.
THE DRY SLOT ON THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE UPPER LOW, WHICH IS SEEN
CLEARLY ON THIS AFTERNOON'S WATER VAPOR SATELLITE LOOP OVER GEORGIA,
IS FORECAST TO ADVANCE NORTHWARD UP THE COAST ON SATURDAY. WE'LL
ALSO HAVE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESSION IT AS THERE COULD BE A
TEMPORARY LULL IN PRECIP AND IT COULD POTENTIALLY RESULT IN LOWER
THAN FORECAST SNOWFALL AMOUNTS. THERE IS INDICATION FROM THE
GUIDANCE THAT IT MAY REACH THE DE BAY LATE MORNING-AFTERNOON AND
PERHAPS EVEN SLIGHTLY FARTHER NORTH.
THE MODELS ARE SHOWING THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT MESOSCALE
BANDING TO THE NW OF THE LOW (JUST TO THE NORTH OF THE DRY SLOT AND
RAIN-SNOW LINE). THERE IS DISAGREEMENT THOUGH REGARDING THE EXACT
PLACEMENT OF IT AND DURATION OF THE BAND. RIGHT NOW, WE ARE THINKING
THAT IT'LL PIVOT SOMEWHERE IN THE VICINITY OF THE PHILLY METRO
DURING THE DAY. SNOWFALL RATES OF 2-3" PER HOUR AND PERHAPS
THUNDERSNOW IS POSSIBLE UNDERNEATH THIS BAND.
WITH REGARDS TO SNOW RATIOS, THEY WILL BE LESS THAN THE TYPICAL
10:1DURING THE HEART OF THE EVENT ON SATURDAY(ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE
SOUTHEASTERN HALF OF THE CWA) DUE TO THE RIMING FACTOR AND POTENTIAL
FOR MIXING.
&&
.LONG TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...THE STORM WILL STILL BE RAGING ON
DURING SATURDAY NIGHT BUT WILL START TO SEE THE LIGHT AT THE END OF
THIS STORMS TUNNEL. SNOW WILL CONTINUE SATURDAY NIGHT, REMAINING
HEAVY AT TIMES, WITH A TREND TOWARDS LIGHTENING UP AS WE HEAD INTO
EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. MOST SNOW ACCUMULATION SHOULD BE OVER WITH BY
AROUND MIDNIGHT WITH ONLY LITTLE TO NO ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION AFTER
THAT TIME. IN ADDITION, THE WINDS WILL CONTINUE BUT AGAIN THE TREND
WILL BE FOR WEAKENING TO OCCUR AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM STARTS TO
PULLS FURTHER AWAY FROM THE AREA AND THE WINDS START TO TURN MORE TO
THE NORTH.
SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY....HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE
REGION, MOVING OFF TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE AREA BY LATE MONDAY.
THIS SHOULD BRING A PERIOD OF SOME DRIER AND SLIGHTLY WARMER WEATHER
TO OUR AREA. WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST WHICH SHOULD ALLOW
TEMPERATURES TO MODIFY. HIGHS ON MONDAY SHOULD REACH INTO THE UPPER
30S TO LOWER 40S WITH HIGHS ON TUESDAY IN THE 40S ACROSS MUCH OF THE
AREA. LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS ACROSS THE MIDWESTERN STATES AND
GRADUALLY PUSHES EAST ON MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. AS THE LOW CROSS THE
GREAT LAKES AREA, IT WILL DRAG A COLD FRONT ACROSS OUR AREA TUESDAY
NIGHT. THIS MAY BRING SOME SNOW AND/OR RAIN TO THE AREA FOR
TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT, CLEARING OUT ON WEDNESDAY.
WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...HIGH PRESSURE WILL START TO BUILD INTO
THE REGION FROM THE WEST/SOUTHWEST. AS THE RIDGE OF THE HIGH STARTS
TO BUILD JUST WEST OF THE AREA, WE WILL SEE A NORTHWEST TO WEST
WIND, WHICH MAY ALLOW FOR SOME FLURRIES OR LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS TO
REACH THE REGION. THE AFOREMENTIONED COLD FRONT WILL BE SITTING WELL
OFFSHORE AND WILL HAVE LOW PRESSURE DEVELOP ALONG IT AND THEN TRACK
UP THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC SEABOARD. AS OF NOW, THE MODEL GUIDANCE KEEPS
THE CENTER OF THIS SYSTEM OFFSHORE BUT WE COULD SEE SOME
PRECIPITATION MAKE ITS WAY INTO THE AREA TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG,
KILG, KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.
OVERNIGHT...IFR VARIABLE LIFR IN SNOW, MODERATE TO HEAVY AT TIMES
WITH BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WITH NORTHEAST WIND GUSTS TO BETWEEN
25 AND 45 KNOTS. SOME SLEET MAY MIX IN AT KACY TOWARD DAYBREAK.
SATURDAY...IFR/LIFR CONDITIONS CONTINUE WITH SNOW WHICH WILL BE
MODERATE TO HEAVY AT TIMES. DURING SNOW BANDS, SNOWFALL RATES WILL
BE 1-3 INCHES PER HOUR. GUSTY WINDS WILL RESULT IN BLOWING AND
DRIFTING SNOW AT ALL TERMINALS EXCEPT A CHANGE TO RAIN OR SLEET FOR
KMIV AND ESPECIALLY KACY MOSTLY BETWEEN THE 12-18Z TIME FRAME.
NORTHEAST WINDS 20-25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 30 TO 40 KNOTS, WITH
POSSIBLY HIGHER GUSTS AT KACY. THE WINDS TURNING NORTH DURING LATE
AFTERNOON AND THE GUSTS MAY DIMINISH SOME.
OUTLOOK...
SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...LIFR/IFR CONDITIONS IMPROVING TO MVFR
AND POSSIBLY VFR BY SUNDAY MORNING. HIGH IMPACT STORM WILL CONTINUE
INTO SATURDAY NIGHT WITH IMPROVING CONDITIONS INTO SUNDAY. SNOW WILL
CONTINUE SATURDAY NIGHT, HEAVY AT TIMES, BUT WITH A TREND TOWARDS
LIGHTENING AND ENDING FROM WEST TO EAST BY LATE SATURDAY NIGHT/EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING. SOME MIXING MAY OCCUR CLOSER TO KACY AND KMIV BUT A
CHANGEOVER TO ALL SNOW IS EXPECTED BEFORE THE STORM ENDS. NORTHEAST
WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO GUST AROUND 30 TO 40 KNOTS SATURDAY NIGHT BUT
THE GUSTS WILL COME DOWN QUICKLY, FALLING BELOW 20 KNOTS BY SUNDAY
MORNING AS THE WINDS TURN MORE TO THE NORTH AND THEN NORTHWEST.
ANY DRIER SNOW WILL TOSSED AROUND AND BLOWN ACROSS THE AIRFIELDS.
MONDAY...MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.
TUESDAY...MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. INCREASING CLOUDINESS
WITH A CHANCE FOR SOME RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS, WHICH MAY CAUSE
MVFR CONDITIONS TO OCCUR.
WEDNESDAY...MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.
&&
.MARINE...
**STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS OF 52 TO 62 KT WILL OCCUR AT TIMES
BETWEEN 4 AM AND 6 PM SATURDAY AND ALL SMALL CRAFT SHOULD ALREADY
BE SAFELY IN PORT**
ISOLATED GUSTS TO 65 KT-HURRICANE FORCE, ARE POSSIBLE SATURDAY MORNING.
WE HAVE CAPPED PEAK WINDS AT 62 KT BUT MAY UPGRADE AT 930 PM TO GUST
65 KT BASED ON NEW 00Z/23 NAM TRANSFER. WE'LL SEE. OUR TOOLS ARE
GIVING US 63 KT JUST OFF S AND CENTRAL NJ.
A DANGEROUS NOR'EASTER IS COMING WITH A 20 KT INCREASE IN SUSTAINED
WINDS FCST BETWEEN 6 PM AND MIDNIGHT...AND ANOTHER 15 KT INCREASE
BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND 6 AM SATURDAY.
THERE MAY BE A LULL IN THE WIND OFF DELAWARE MIDDAY TOMORROW AS THE
STORM CENTER APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTH, THEN STORM FORCE NORTHERLY
WINDS WILL RESUME THERE DURING THE AFTERNOON.
HEAVY SNOW AT THE FRONT OF THE STORM MAY CHANGE TO RAIN SATURDAY
MORNING FROM NEAR CAPE MAY SOUTH THEN, AFTER A LULL IN PCPN MIDDAY
IT SHOULD CHANGE TO PERIODS OF SNOW OR SLEET LATE IN THE DAY.
THE GFS WAVE WATCH SEAS FORECAST LOOKS TO BE BIASED WAY TOO LOW...
ALREADY UNDER DONE BY A FOOT IN THE SOUTHERN WATERS. HAVE RAISED
THOSE FORECAST SEAS BY 5 FT SO THAT SEAS SHOULD INCREASE AT THE
BUOYS 44009 AND 44091 TO AROUND 22 FT BY 10 AM SATURDAY.
OUTLOOK...
SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...NORTHEAST WINDS OF 30 TO 40 KNOTS
SUSTAINED WITH GUSTS UP AROUND 50 KNOTS SATURDAY NIGHT WILL START TO
COME DOWN THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD. AS WE HEAD INTO SUNDAY
MORNING, THE WINDS WILL START TO TURN MORE TO THE NORTH AND THEN
NORTHWEST. AS THE WINDS SHIFT, THE SPEEDS AND GUSTS WILL START TO
DIMINISH, FALLING BELOW 25 KNOTS BY LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
SEAS WILL REMAIN AROUND 8 TO 12 FEET AND WILL DIMINISH THROUGH
SUNDAY AS THE SYSTEM STARTS TO PULL AWAY.
SUNDAY NIGHT...SEAS SHOULD CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE THROUGH THE NIGHT,
FALLING BELOW 5 FEET BY LATE MONDAY MORNING. ONCE THE SEAS FALL
BELOW 5 FEET, ANY LINGERING SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES SHOULD BE ABLE TO
BE DROPPED.
MONDAY...SUB-ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON THE AREA WATERS AS
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION.
TUESDAY...WINDS MAY BECOME GUSTY AROUND 25 KNOTS AND SEAS MAY NEAR 5
FEET ON TUESDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED.
WEDNESDAY...SUB-ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON THE AREA
WATERS.
&&
.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
ETSS -NYHOPS LOOKING GOOD ATTM FOR LEWES DE...90 PCT CONFIDENCE
MAJOR COASTAL FLOOD EVENT DE AND CAPE MAY NJ 12Z-13Z/23 HIGH TIDE
CYCLE. MORE AT 945 P.
ANY NEEDED RESCUES WILL BE DIFFICULT AT BEST AT THE TIME OF HIGH
TIDE SATURDAY MORNING WHEN A SUSTAINED NE WIND OF 40-45 KT SHOULD
BE ONGOING WITH GUSTS 55-60 KT AND LEFTOVER WET SNOW CHANGING TO
RAIN... DANGEROUS TO BE OUTSIDE AT THAT TIME.
TIDES AT 6PM RUNNING NEAR ETSS PREDICTION. MORE TREND INFO AT 8
PM IN THIS PRODUCT.
A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 400 AM SATURDAY UNTIL NOON
SUNDAY. IT INCLUDES THE NEW JERSEY COUNTIES OF MIDDLESEX, MONMOUTH,
OCEAN, SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON, ATLANTIC, CAPE MAY AND CUMBERLAND,
AND THE DELAWARE COUNTIES OF SUSSEX AND KENT.
A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR NEW CASTLE COUNTY IN
DELAWARE AND FOR SALEM COUNTY IN NEW JERSEY FOR MINOR FLOODING IN
THOSE COUNTIES. IT IS IN EFFECT FROM 800 AM SATURDAY UNTIL 200 PM
SUNDAY.
FOR MIDDLESEX AND MONMOUTH, WIDESPREAD MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS
EXPECTED ON SATURDAY MORNING WITH MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING
ANTICIPATED FROM SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING.
FOR OCEAN, ATLANTIC, BURLINGTON, AND CUMBERLAND COUNTIES,
WIDESPREAD MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED WITH EMBEDDED AREAS
OF MAJOR.
FOR CAPE MAY, SUSSEX, AND KENT COUNTIES, WIDESPREAD MAJOR COASTAL
FLOODING IS EXPECTED ON SATURDAY MORNING WITH MODERATE COASTAL
FLOODING AND EMBEDDED MAJOR ANTICIPATED FROM SATURDAY NIGHT INTO
SUNDAY MORNING.
FOR NEW CASTLE AND SALEM COUNTY, MINOR FLOODING IS ANTICIPATED
AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE ON SATURDAY, SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY.
THE COASTAL FLOODING THREAT WILL LAST FOR THREE CONSECUTIVE HIGH
TIDE CYCLES ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA AS WATER IS PUSHED UP AGAINST THE
COAST AND INTO THE BACK BAYS AND ESTUARIES. THE STORM WILL COINCIDE
WITH THE FULL MOON, SO THE BASE ASTRONOMICAL TIDES WILL BE HIGH AND
IT WILL NOT TAKE MUCH OF A SURGE TO PRODUCE FLOODING.
THE BRISK NORTHEAST WIND SHOULD ACT TO PUSH WATER DOWN THE TIDAL
DELAWARE RIVER AND DOWN THE UPPER PART OF CHESAPEAKE BAY. AS A
RESULT, IT DOES NOT APPEAR THERE WILL BE ANY TIDAL FLOODING IN
THOSE AREAS.
ADDRESSING IMPACTS...MODELS, ALL WEEK, HAVE BEEN PRODUCING THE
HIGHEST TIDAL ANOMALIES ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE.
CAN'T ARGUE WITH THAT. IT'S TRACK RELATED. AS MENTIONED AT THE TOP,
PREDICTED WATER LEVELS HAVE INCREASED. THAT SAID, COMPARED TO
PREVIOUS STORMS, WATER LEVELS ARE NOW CURRENTLY FORECAST TO APPROACH
THE TOP 5 RECORDED LEVELS IN CAPE MAY AND LEWES AND THE TOP 10 IN
ATLANTIC CITY. IMPACTS ARE FORECAST TO BE LESS SEVERE, BUT STILL
NOTABLE, ACROSS THE NORTHERN NEW JERSEY COAST. PLEASE REFER TO AHPS
FOR MORE INFORMATION REGARDING AN HISTORICAL PERSPECTIVE.
I HAVE RECEIVED A COUPLE QUESTIONS ABOUT ICE. I'LL ADDRESS IT HERE.
IT HAS BEEN COLD ENOUGH THE LAST FEW DAYS FOR ICE FORMATION, MAINLY
BORDER ICE. WE'RE SEEING ICE ACROSS MORE OF THE SHELTERED TIDAL
ESTUARIES THAN ANYWHERE ELSE ALONG THE COAST. AS THE TIDES RISE,
THIS BORDER ICE WILL RELEASE, BREAK UP, AND BEGIN TO FLOW WITH THE
TIDES. THE RISING TIDAL WATERS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO OVERTOP THE ICE
AND EXACERBATE FLOODING FURTHER. THAT SAID, ANY ICE THAT DOES BREAK
UP COULD MOVE INLAND DURING THE TIME OF INUNDATION.
&&
.CLIMATE...
PERSPECTIVE...WHAT IT TAKES FOR HISTORIC HERE.
CHANCE ENTIRE SEASONAL NORMAL SNOW IN 1 DAY FOR PHL. SEE THE
BOTTOM OF THIS SECTION.
OTHERWISE...TWO DAY RANKED SNOWFALL AND ENDING DATE AS DERIVED
FROM THE AVAILABLE DATA IN OUR CLIMATE DATABASE:
ALLENTOWN
#1 25.6 1/8/1996
#10 17.8 2/10/2010
ATLANTIC CITY
#1 20.0 2/17/2003
#10 16.3 1/26/1987
PHILADELPHIA
#1 30.7 1/8/1996
#10 19.4 4/4/1915
WILMINGTON DE
#1 25.8 2/6/2010
#10 18.0 1/24/1935
PLEASE SEE AN EARLIER SOCIAL MEDIA POST FOR ALL THE YEARS BETWEEN
NUMBERS 1 AND 10.
RECORD DAILY WATER EQUIV AND SNOW
1/22 1/23
ACY 1.03-1954 5.0-1954 2.09-1998 1.2-1948
PHL 1.03-1987 10.8-2005 2.32-1998 11.9-1935
ILG 2.60-1902 12.0-1987 2.51-1998 3.9-1982
ABE 1.06-1987 11.1-1987 1.39-1983 7.7-1966
TTN 1.20-1987 2.30-1998
GED 1.52-1954 1.22-2006
RDG 1.11-1891 1.18-1966
MPO 1.68-1958 2.10-1987
NORMAL SNOWFALL FOR AN ENTIRE SEASON IS LISTED BELOW.
THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE THAT ENTIRE SEASONS NORMAL SNOWFALL WILL
OCCUR IN ONE STORM, BY MIDNIGHT SATURDAY NIGHT.
PHILADELPHIA 22.4
ALLENTOWN 32.9
ATLANTIC CITY 16.5
WILMINGTON 20.2
&&
.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 10 AM EST SUNDAY FOR PAZ060>062.
BLIZZARD WARNING UNTIL 10 AM EST SUNDAY FOR PAZ070-071-101>106.
WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 6 AM THIS MORNING TO MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT FOR PAZ054-055.
NJ...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 10 AM EST SUNDAY FOR NJZ007-008-
023>025.
BLIZZARD WARNING UNTIL 10 AM EST SUNDAY FOR NJZ009-010-012>022-
026-027.
COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FROM 4 AM EARLY THIS MORNING TO NOON EST
SUNDAY FOR NJZ012>014-020>027.
HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT FOR NJZ023>025.
COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 2 PM EST
SUNDAY FOR NJZ016.
WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 6 AM THIS MORNING TO MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT FOR NJZ001.
DE...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 10 AM EST SUNDAY FOR DEZ003-004.
BLIZZARD WARNING UNTIL 10 AM EST SUNDAY FOR DEZ001-002.
COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FROM 4 AM EARLY THIS MORNING TO NOON EST
SUNDAY FOR DEZ002>004.
HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT FOR DEZ003-004.
COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 2 PM EST
SUNDAY FOR DEZ001.
MD...BLIZZARD WARNING UNTIL 10 AM EST SUNDAY FOR MDZ008-012-015-019-
020.
MARINE...STORM WARNING UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY FOR ANZ450>455.
STORM WARNING FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 1 AM EST SUNDAY FOR
ANZ430.
STORM WARNING FROM 4 AM EARLY THIS MORNING TO 1 AM EST SUNDAY
FOR ANZ431.
&&
SYNOPSIS...DRAG/MEOLA
NEAR TERM...GORSE
SHORT TERM...KLEIN
LONG TERM...MEOLA
AVIATION...GORSE/MEOLA
MARINE...DRAG/MEOLA
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
CLIMATE...