Arizona, 2016

Hail in Arizona, November 4, 2016

November 4, 2016 · NWS TWC · 1 event in 1 county or zone

Scattered thunderstorms moved northwest in advance of upper level low pressure. Thunderstorms produced moderate to large hail in Vail.

Where it happened

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  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
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  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS TWC wrote it up.

Scattered thunderstorms moved northwest in advance of upper level low pressure. Thunderstorms produced moderate to large hail in Vail.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tucson, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 4, 2:57 PM MST, 2 hours 48 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 4, 2:57 PM MST, 2 hours 48 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
257 PM MST Fri Nov 4 2016

.SYNOPSIS...Some clearing from the west tonight with a general
drying trend over the weekend. A weak system could bring another
chance of showers in eastern areas around mid week. Daytime highs
will be close to or slightly above seasonal averages for early
November, with overnight lows seasonably cool.

&&

.DISCUSSION...The low has lifted just north of our area near the
central Arizona border with New Mexico. A partial clearing trend
with some cumulus popping up on recirculated boundary layer
moisture. Greenlee county will still be going for a few more
hours, but most of the activity will be north and east of our
area. Patchy fog possible in eastern areas Saturday morning.

The latest HRRR shows diminishing dew point trends, and along
with the partial clearing, a few spots will drop a degree or two
lower tonight. Tonight and Saturday night we will see chilly
seasonal temperatures with coldest isolated eastern valley
locations in Cochise county dropping into the middle to upper 30s.

Daytime highs will climb a few degrees as a shortwave ridge phases
across the area from the west over the weekend, but not far from
seasonal averages for early November. However, the main strength
of the ridge will probably stay west of our area with impulses
sagging back into the front of the ridge and into New Mexico. Some
easterly spill-over from that could bring a few showers to eastern
areas the second half of the new week.

&&

.AVIATION...Partial clearing from the west with isolated showers
and thunderstorms possible near the New Mexico border. Brief
patchy fog possible overnight for eastern sites including KSAD
and KDUG. Normal diurnal wind trends through the period.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...A few showers in mainly far eastern areas tonight
and Saturday, otherwise a general drying trend from the west into
early next week. Normal diurnal wind trends. 20-foot winds will
generally be less than 15 mph, except for some afternoon
gustiness.

&&

.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.

&&

Meyer

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In the hours before

Local storm report, Nov 4, 2:23 PM MST, 3 hours 22 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
223 PM MST FRI NOV 04 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1150 AM     HAIL             PIMA                    32.89N 109.83W
11/04/2016  M1.00 INCH       GRAHAM             AZ   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER TWC1600065

MEYER
Local storm report, Nov 4, 2:25 PM MST, 3 hours 20 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
225 PM MST FRI NOV 04 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1150 AM     TSTM WND DMG     PIMA                    32.89N 109.83W
11/04/2016                   GRAHAM             AZ   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREE LIMBS DOWN AND DAMAGE TO ROOFS.

&&

EVENT NUMBER TWC1600066

MEYER

The radar

The Tucson radar (KEMX), 18 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 00:43 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 hail. Local standard time, as filed.

Hail, Pima

When
November 4, 5:45 PM MST
Where
Pima County, 0.28 mi NNE of Vail Jct
Measured
0.75 in hail
Reported by
Social Media
Coordinates
32.034, -110.719

What these are

Hail
Hail three-quarters of an inch or larger, or smaller hail that caused damage, filed with the largest stone measured.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Arizona in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in Arizona, November 2016

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 667219.