Alaska, 2016

High Wind in Alaska, October 24 to 25, 2016

October 24 to 25, 2016 · NWS AJK · 1 event in 1 county or zone

Moderate 1032 MB arctic high pressure built over the Yukon Territory on the night of 10/24 through 10/25. This system combined with a low that developed to 971 MB off Vancouver Island set up a strong N-S pressure gradient that caused marginal Taku Winds for both Downtown Juneau and Douglas.

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS AJK wrote it up.

Moderate 1032 MB arctic high pressure built over the Yukon Territory on the night of 10/24 through 10/25. This system combined with a low that developed to 971 MB off Vancouver Island set up a strong N-S pressure gradient that caused marginal Taku Winds for both Downtown Juneau and Douglas. Gusts to 65 mph occurred with some light damage including a overturned dumpster at the water treatment plant.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 24, 2:53 PM AKST, 8 hours 7 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 24, 2:53 PM AKST, 8 hours 7 minutes before
Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Juneau AK
353 PM AKDT Mon Oct 24 2016

.SHORT TERM...Forecast is running on track and the model runs this
morning are maintaining the current thinking.

A trough dissipated over the northern panhandle today and the few
showers have ended with clearing of the mid level clouds. This
will put a little more low level moisture in the area... but with
drier outflow do not think fog will be an issue.

A large low is moving slowly north along 130 west to a nearly
quasi stationary position to the southwest of Haida Gwaii by
Tuesday afternoon. High pressure continues to build into Northwest
Canada, and as such the pressure gradient in the panhandle is
increasing and should see the gale persist over the Lynn Canal
Marine waters Tonight and Tuesday.

The bigger forecast item is the High Wind Warning for the Taku
Wind event tonight and Tuesday, continues to look like favorable.
Expect the gusts to develop late tonight and continue through the
morning hours.

Only small changes were made to the forecast today.

.LONG TERM...The forecast remains unchanged but quiet trends in
the models were detectable. First the low offshore of Haida Gwaii
mentioned above may take a more westward track into the central
gulf and potentially will fall apart quicker. This would also
decrease both wind and shower opportunities for the south in the
near mid-range. However, another wave will move up behind. This
one may follow a track closer to the Panhandle. While we carry a
chance of rain for Thursday and Friday for much of the south, the
NAM now is carrying a deformation band as far north as Juneau by
Thursday evening. Will this make up the record October
precipitation deficit? Time will tell. But the southern and
central coastal areas of Southeast still look to receive the best
shots of rain in the near term.

Friday and Saturday looks drier than our current forecast with
much lighter gradients and wind. The uncertainty begins Sunday
into Halloween day...when a potent system well to our west
potentially drives a wave into the western gulf. Any onshore flow
that sets up has a potential to carry at least a chance of rain.
And the GFS in particular indicate some sort of pre-system wave
sliding across as early as Sunday. Fans of a dry October and those
wishing for records to be broken may be chewing their nails on
Halloween at any rain that does set in across the Panhandle.

We only made small local effect changes. The forecast is in good
shape.

&&

.AJK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
PUBLIC...High Wind Warning from midnight tonight to 4 PM AKDT Tuesday for
     AKZ025.
MARINE...Gale Warning for PKZ012-013-051.
     Small Craft Advisory for PKZ011-021-022-031>033-041>043.
&&

Bezenek/JWA

Visit us at http://www.weather.gov/Juneau

Event by event

1 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.

High Wind, Juneau Borough and Northern Admiralty Island

When
October 24, 11:00 PM AKST to October 25, 3:00 PM AKST
Where
Juneau Borough and Northern Admiralty Island forecast zone
Measured
57 kt (66 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Official NWS Observations

Marine Exchange observations both at Juneau AML and the AJ Dock had gusts to 60 to 70 MPH between 11 PM Monday to around 1 PM Tuesday. A dumpster was overturned at the Juneau Water Treatment Plant.

What these are

High Wind
Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Alaska in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in Alaska, October 2016

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 657945.