Alaska, 2016

Blizzard in Alaska, February 12 to 14, 2016

February 12 to 14, 2016 · NWS AFG · 4 events in 4 counties and zones

A low pressure trough moving across the Arctic North Slope coupled with a 1045 mb high pressure center over the high Arctic created a strong pressure gradient over the eastern North Slope, providing strong winds and blizzard conditions from the early morning hours of February 12th through the most of the day of the 14th. Barrow schools were closed on the 12th.

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
4

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS AFG wrote it up.

A low pressure trough moving across the Arctic North Slope coupled with a 1045 mb high pressure center over the high Arctic created a strong pressure gradient over the eastern North Slope, providing strong winds and blizzard conditions from the early morning hours of February 12th through the most of the day of the 14th. Barrow schools were closed on the 12th.

Zone 201: Blizzard conditions were observed at the Wainwright ASOS. The visibility was reduced to one quarter mile or less in snow and blowing snow for several days. A peak wind of 43 kt (49 mph) was reported.

Zone 202: Blizzard conditions were observed at the Barrow ASOS. The visibility was reduced to one quarter mile or less in snow and blowing snow for several days. A peak wind of 40 kt (46 mph) was reported. Barrow schools were closed on the 12th.

Zone 203: Blizzard conditions were observed at the Deadhorse ASOS. The visibility was reduced to one quarter mile or less in snow and blowing snow for several days. A peak wind of 46 kt (53 mph) was reported.

Zone 204: Blizzard conditions were observed at the Point Thomson AWOS. The visibility was reduced to one quarter mile or less in snow and blowing snow for several days. A peak wind of 53 kt (61 mph) was reported.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Fairbanks, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 11, 1:58 PM AKST, 10 hours 2 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 11, 1:58 PM AKST, 10 hours 2 minutes before
NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
158 PM AKST THU FEB 11 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
ALOFT...
THE LONG WAVE PATTERN CONSISTING OF A LONG WAVE RIDGE OVER
WESTERN CANADA WITH A LONG WAVE TROUGH OVER THE BERING AND NORTH
PACIFIC. THIS PATTERN WILL PROGRESS EAST WITH THE TROUGH MOVING
OVER MAINLAND ALASKA BE EARLY NEXT WEEK FOLLOWED BY A RIDGE
BUILDING OVER ALASKA BY MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

THIS BROAD SCALE PATTER WILL CAUSE THE EASTERN INTERIOR TO KEEP
TEMPERATURES WELL ABOVE NORMAL AND REMAIN DRIER THAN NORMAL
THROUGH NEXT WEEK. THE NORTH SLOPE WILL REMAIN JUST ABOVE NORMAL
FOR TEMPERATURE THROUGH NEXT WEEK. THE WEST COAST AND WESTERN
INTERIOR WILL REMAIN NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE WEEKEND
AND THEN BECOME WETTER AND WARMER THAN NORMAL NEXT WEEK.

A LOW ALOFT NEAR AMBLER WILL MOVE TO POINT HOPE BY 3AM SAT AND
THEN REMAIN QUASI STATIONARY THROUGH SUN. MID LEVEL CLOUDS AND
FLURRIES ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW.

A SHORT WAVE TROUGH FROM THE LOW TO NUIQSUT WILL MOVE TO AMBLER TO
BARROW BY 3AM FRI...TO KOTZEBUE TO POINT LAY BY 3PM FRI...AND THEN
MOVE NORTHWEST. LIGHT SNOW WILL MOVE WEST WITH THIS TROUGH
DROPPING 1-2 INCHES OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

A SECOND SHORT WAVE FROM NORTHWAY EAST WILL MOVE TO FORT YUKON
EAST BY 3AM FRI AND THEN MOVE NORTHEAST. AN AREAS OF SNOW SHOWERS
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WILL MOVE NORTH WITH THE TROUGH AND DIMINISH
SOUTH OF THE TROUGH. COULD SEE 1-2 INCHES OF SNOW.

850 MB TEMPERATURES VARY FROM -2C OVER THE SOUTHEAST INTERIOR TO
-14C OVER THE NORTHERN INTERIOR AND ARCTIC COAST. TEMPERATURES
WILL WARM SEVERAL DEGREES OVER THE EASTERN INTERIOR AND EASTERN
NORTH SLOPE THROUGH FRI WHILE TEMPERATURES FALL SEVERAL DEGREES
OVER THE WEST COAST AND WESTERN NORTH SLOPE.

SURFACE...
A STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE ARCTIC COAST WILL
PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THIS WILL KEEP EAST WINDS BLOWING
ALONG THE ARCTIC COAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

A WEATHER FRONT STRETCHING FROM BRISTOL BAY TO TANANA TO ARCTIC
VILLAGE WILL MOVE TO DILLINGHAM TO BETTLES TO DEADHORSE THEN EAST
BY 3AM FRI...TO ANVIK TO AMBLER TO ATQASUK TO BARTER ISLAND BY
3PM FRI...TO ANVIK TO RED DOG TO PRUDHOE BAY BY 3AM SAT... AND TO
ANVIK TO AMBLER TO TO 998 MB LOW NEAR POINT HOPE TO BARROW AND
EAST BY 4PM SAT. SNOW IS OCCURING ALONG THIS FRONT. EXPECT 1-2
INCHES OF SNOW WITH THE FRONT WITH UP TO 3 INCHES IN THE WESTERN
INTERIOR. WILL SEE EAST WINDS INCREASE ALONG THE ARCTIC COAST FROM
BARROW EAST TONIGHT AND FRI AND COULD LEAD TO ANOTHER ROUND OF LOW
VISIBILITY IN BLOWING SNOW FOR ZONES 203 204 FRI AND 202 FRI
NIGHT.

WEAK CHINOOK FLOW OVER THE ALASKA RANGE IS NOW OCCURING AND WILL
CONTINUE TONIGHT THEN DECREASE FRI.

A SECOND WEATHER FRONT IN THE GULF OF AK WILL MOVE ALONG THE
ALASKA RANGE BY 3PM FRI...TO MCGRATH TO LIVENGOOD TO EAGLE BY 3AM
SAT AND TO MCGRATH TO TANANA TO OLD CROW BY 3PM SAT. EXPECT
ISOLATES SNOW SHOWERS WITH THIS EXCEPT FOR SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS
NEAR THE ALCAN BORDER.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
MODELS INITIALIZE WELL. SIMILAR SOLUTIONS THROUGH 3PM FRI...THEN
THE NAM FURTHER NORTH WITH THE LOW IN THE CHUKCHI SEA AND WEAKER
WITH THE SHORT WAVE MOVING NORTH OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA THAN THE
GFS AND ECMF SOLUTIONS. THE GFS/ECMF SULTANS SIMILAR THROUGH THE
WEEKEND AND ARE PREFERRED. START TO SEE LARGE DIFFERENCES ON SHORT
WAVES NEXT WEEK SO FAVOR THE ENSEMBLES PER THE HPC DISCUSSION.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY FOR AKZ226.

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR AKZ202-AKZ203-AKZ204.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ245.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ210-PKZ220-PKZ225-PKZ235-PKZ240.
&&

JB FEB 16

Event by event

4 blizzard. Local standard time, as filed.

Blizzard, Eastern Beaufort Sea Coast

When
February 12, 12:00 AM AKST to February 14, 3:15 PM AKST
Where
Eastern Beaufort Sea Coast forecast zone
Reported by
AWOS

A peak wind of 53 kt (61 mph) was reported.

Blizzard, Northern Arctic Coast

When
February 12, 7:02 AM AKST to February 14, 4:53 AM AKST
Where
Northern Arctic Coast forecast zone
Reported by
ASOS

Blizzard, Western Arctic Coast

When
February 12, 9:45 AM AKST to February 14, 4:53 AM AKST
Where
Western Arctic Coast forecast zone
Reported by
ASOS

Blizzard, Central Beaufort Sea Coast

When
February 12, 10:00 AM AKST to February 14, 4:45 PM AKST
Where
Central Beaufort Sea Coast forecast zone
Reported by
ASOS

What these are

Blizzard
Sustained winds or frequent gusts of 35 mph or more with falling or blowing snow that cuts visibility below a quarter mile for three hours or longer.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Alaska in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in Alaska, February 2016

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 618905, 618907, 618908, 618906.