Alabama, 2016

Drought in Alabama, December 6 to 20, 2016

December 6 to 20, 2016 · NWS HUN · 7 events in 7 counties and zones

Several rounds of beneficial rainfall occurred at the end of November, helping to finally alleviate the worst drought conditions since 2007. While improvements are slow, they're steadily continuing to improve with each subsequent round of rainfall across Northern Alabama and Southern Middle Tennessee.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 7 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
7

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS HUN wrote it up.

Several rounds of beneficial rainfall occurred at the end of November, helping to finally alleviate the worst drought conditions since 2007. While improvements are slow, they're steadily continuing to improve with each subsequent round of rainfall across Northern Alabama and Southern Middle Tennessee. The first Drought Monitor (DM) issuance of December finally shows the improvement after no-change was made to the last 2 issuances of the DM in late November. Further improvements are expected heading into the end of the year.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Huntsville, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 5, 11:03 PM CST, 57 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 5, 11:03 PM CST, 57 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Huntsville AL
1103 PM CST Mon Dec 5 2016

.UPDATE...
For 06Z TAFS.

&&

.NEAR TERM...(Tonight)
Issued at 912 PM CST Mon Dec 5 2016

The wet wx continues across the cntrl TN Valley for the start of the
new work week. Light to occasionally moderate rainfall continues to
move ne across much of the area, as a low pressure system over sw LA
begins to move nwd. As this system quickly moves into nrn MS/mid TN
overnight, rainfall will likely increase over the local area. A few
elevated/embedded tstms are possible as well after midnight, although
most of the activity should remain as showers. Temp trends currently
in the lower 50s for most locations will also remain fairly stagnant
going into the early morning hrs, given the abundant cloud cover and
precip. Other than lowering overnight lows a couple of degrees based
on the latest readings, no major changes are needed to the afternoon
forecast at this point.

.SHORT TERM...(Tuesday through Wednesday)
Issued at 221 PM CST Mon Dec 5 2016

The surface low should be north and east of the region after
daybreak Tuesday. This should end the heavier showers and storms.
The NAM was hinting at ducting/wake low formation occurring mainly
just to our east. This could result in gusty easterly winds Tuesday
morning over our far eastern areas. Shower activity otherwise should
end from west to east during the course of the day. Rainfall amounts
from this system should range from 1-2 inches, with locally higher
amounts. The rain will definitely help with the drought situation
most of the area has been under as of late. Somewhat greater
hydrological response is possible from this next system; as the
ground is a little wetter than before. Cloudy skies otherwise will
continue with highs in the mid/upper 50s.

Dry weather is forecast Tuesday night - with the area between
systems. An Arctic cold front and clipper type system headed ESE from
the Front Range region will bring more clouds and a chance of rain
during Wednesday, mainly in the afternoon. Colder air from the
northwest will filter in, bringing lows into the low/mid 30s. Some
light snow may mix in with the rains over our northern areas before
daybreak Thursday. Given a warm and wet ground, no accumulation
issues are expected.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday night through Sunday)
Issued at 221 PM CST Mon Dec 5 2016

The Arctic front continues to track southeast across the area by 12z
Thursday and the precip associated with it is looking drier with each
model run. Both GFS/ECMWF this morning had maybe a few sprinkles
across the area. Will keep the blended pops right now (chance in the
SE counties to slight chance to the NW) but they are less than
previous runs and it should probably continue to decrease as we get
closer to the event. It should also be breezy with the frontal
passage as the gradient tightens with wind gusts of 15-20 mph
possible. Lows will be near normal and in the middle 30s.

The front should be through the whole area by 00z Friday, earlier in
the NW parts of the area. GFS is much quicker with the dry air and
the colder air and is a few degrees colder than other models. This
would lead to cooler high temps. It does look like the GFS is the
slight outlier with the blends and other individual guidance a bit
warmer so will stick with the blended temps at this time which puts
highs in the lower 40s. Won't be surprised if it ends up colder
thanks to strong cold advection that will be occurring.

Thursday night will be the coldest we have seen this season with
lows dropping to around 18-20 degrees. With a 5-10mph wind, the wind
chills will drop to around 9-12 degrees. The cold air continues to
move in Friday with the coldest highs of the year expected, in the
middle 30s. The record minimum max temps are 30 degrees for both
Huntsville and Muscle Shoals so that record does not look to be
broken. Clear skies and light winds Friday night will help drop
temps again to around 18-20 degrees but with light winds, the wind
chills will only be a couple degrees cooler.

Synoptic differences become evident starting Saturday with the
location of a developing front over the midwest. This could bring
showers and maybe thunderstorms Saturday night through Monday,
depending on which model you choose. Given the uncertainty, kept the
blended pops and kept all rain. With southerly flow returning
though, a warming trend will start with highs back into the upper
50s by Monday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Tuesday night)
Issued at 1055 PM CST Mon Dec 5 2016

Reduced flying conds continue at both main terminals this late Mon
evening, as additional ra/shra begin to move newd into the wrn half
of the area. Very low clouds are well in place across most of the
area, with IFR cigs aoa 500 ft. Precip is xpcted to linger into the
morning hrs Tue, as upper disturbances continue to traverse newd
across the region. Cloud cover may lift closer to 1K ft late in the
morning period, as -shra taper off from the w. However, with abundant
moisture thickness well in place, low cigs will prevail into the
early evening hrs. Sfc winds also look to remain out of the SE near
10-12KT heading into the morning period.

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

NEAR TERM...09
SHORT TERM...RSB
LONG TERM...LN
AVIATION...09

For more information please visit our website
at weather.gov/huntsville.
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 5, 10:30 PM CST, 1 hour 30 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
1030 PM CST MON DEC 5 2016

ALZ001>010-016-TNZ076-096-097-061130-
LAUDERDALE-COLBERT-FRANKLIN AL-LAWRENCE-LIMESTONE-MADISON-MORGAN-
MARSHALL-JACKSON-DE KALB-CULLMAN-MOORE-LINCOLN-FRANKLIN TN-
1030 PM CST MON DEC 5 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH ALABAMA AND PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...REMAINDER OF TONIGHT...

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE TENNESSEE
VALLEY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING, BRINGING WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION. WIND GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH, SMALL HAIL AND
LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS WILL ACCOMPANY THE STRONGEST ACTIVITY.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS ON THE ORDER OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED, WHICH
COULD RESULT IN PONDING OF WATER ON SOME ROADWAYS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

A STRONG ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION
THURSDAY. ON THURSDAY NIGHT, WIND CHILLS WILL DROP INTO THE TEENS
IN VALLEY LOCATIONS AND THE SINGLE DIGITS ATOP THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS
OF THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IS
NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

70/DD

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

7 drought. Local standard time, as filed.

Drought, Colbert

When
December 6, 12:00 AM CST to December 20, 12:00 AM CST
Where
Colbert forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
34.700, -87.805 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Extreme Drought (D3) Conditions removed from Colbert County.

Drought, Franklin

When
December 6, 12:00 AM CST to December 20, 12:00 AM CST
Where
Franklin forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
34.442, -87.844 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Extreme Drought (D3) Conditions removed from Franklin County.

Drought, Lauderdale

When
December 6, 12:00 AM CST to December 20, 12:00 AM CST
Where
Lauderdale forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
34.901, -87.654 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Extreme Drought (D3) Conditions removed from Lauderdale County.

Drought, Limestone

When
December 6, 12:00 AM CST to December 20, 12:00 AM CST
Where
Limestone forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
34.810, -86.981 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Extreme Drought (D3) Conditions removed from Limestone County.

Drought, Lawrence

When
December 6, 12:00 AM CST to December 20, 12:00 AM CST
Where
Lawrence forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
34.522, -87.311 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Extreme Drought (D3) Conditions removed from Lawrence County.

Drought, Madison

When
December 6, 12:00 AM CST to December 20, 12:00 AM CST
Where
Madison forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
34.763, -86.550 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Extreme Drought (D3) Conditions removed from Madison County.

Drought, Morgan

When
December 6, 12:00 AM CST to December 20, 12:00 AM CST
Where
Morgan forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
34.454, -86.853 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Extreme Drought (D3) Conditions removed from Morgan County.

What these are

Drought
A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Alabama in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in Alabama, December 2016

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 663439, 663440, 663441, 663442, 663443, 663444, 663445.