West Virginia, 2015

Flood in West Virginia, March 10 to 11, 2015

March 10 to 11, 2015 · NWS PBZ · 1 event in 1 county or zone

0 feet overnight on the 10th through the evening of the 11th. The subterranean bridge and roadway adjacent to the creek were flooded.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS PBZ wrote it up.

Heavy rainfall caused Deckers Creek to go above flood stage of 3.0 feet overnight on the 10th through the evening of the 11th. The subterranean bridge and roadway adjacent to the creek were flooded.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Pittsburgh, PA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 10, 6:48 PM EST, 57 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 10, 6:48 PM EST, 57 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
748 PM EDT TUE MAR 10 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE EMERGING FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL SPREAD RAIN
OVER THE REGION TONIGHT. WARMER WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
530PM UPDATE...HAVE ADJUSTED POPS OVERNIGHT TO LATEST HIRES MODEL
OUTPUT...ALSO PUSHED QPF AMOUNTS DOWNWARD BASED ON RECORDED RAIN
AMOUNTS AND LATEST GUIDANCE. COVERED AREA WITH PATCH DENSE FOG...
AS RAIN/SNOW MELT AND RISING DEWPOINTS HAVE CREATED A VERY
SATURATED LAYER AT THE SURFACE. TEMPS HAVE ALSO BEEN ADJUSTED TO
LATEST GUIDANCE.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...

LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHEAST AND OVER THE
FORECAST AREA THROUGH THIS EVENING WITH THE SURFACE LOW CENTER
PASSING JUST SOUTH OF THE PA/WV BORDER. HAVE TRENDED FORECAST QPF
AMOUNTS UP FURTHER BASED ON UPSTREAM OBSERVATIONS AND LATEST MODEL
GUIDANCE. NORTH OF PITTSBURGH RAINFALL IS STILL EXPECTED TO BE
RELATIVELY LIGHT...BUT FURTHER SOUTH WILL SEE MODERATE TO HEAVY
PRECIPITATION AT TIMES FUELED BY A SWATH OF ANOMALOUSLY HIGH
AND INCREASED DYNAMICS COURTESY OF THE RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF A
140-150KT JET CORE. BETWEEN 1.00 TO 1.50 INCHES IS NOW EXPECTED BY
TOMORROW MORNING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN THIRD OF THE FORECAST AREA.
THIS COMBINED WITH SNOWMELT WILL LEAD TO RISES ALONG THE
MONONGAHELA AND CHEAT RIVERS...WITH FLOOD STAGES EXPECTED TO BE
REACHED FROM TOMORROW MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING AT VARIOUS
TIMES...DEPENDING ON LOCATION. A FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED.

FORECAST TEMPERATURES HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED LOWER WITH THE ONGOING
PRECIPITATION AND EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVERAGE..AND WILL REMAIN FAIRLY
STEADY THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY WITH A DROP OF BETWEEN 5 TO 10
DEGREES OVERNIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY/...
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT LAKES WILL DRIVE MOISTURE
SOUTH OF THE AREA WEDNESDAY LEAVING DRY AND SEASONABLE CONDITIONS
THROUGH THE LATTER PART OF THE WEEK.

LATE THURSDAY...STRAIGHT SOUTHERLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW WILL PUSH A
PLUME OF MOISTURE OUT OF THE GULF OF MEXICO. THIS MOISTURE WILL
MOSTLY FOLLOW A WEAK SURFACE LOW THAT WILL INITIALLY TRACK UP THE
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. WITH ABUNDANT MOISTURE AND WEAK LIFT
ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER LEVEL WAVE WELL NORTHEAST OF THE
SYSTEM...RAIN WILL SLOWLY START TO MOVE IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST
FRIDAY.

IT ISNT UNTIL LATE FRI NIGHT WHEN A MORE VIGOROUS UPPER TROF
ATTEMPTS TO PHASE WITH THIS SOUTHERLY SYSTEM. THIS IS WHEN THE
BEST RAINFALL SHOULD OCCUR AS THE VERY MOIST AIRMASS IS PULLED
INTO THE DEEPENING UPPER TROF. THIS WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED FOR
ADDITIONAL HYDROLOGIC CONCERNS...ESPECIALLY FOR AREAS THAT STILL
HAVE ICE ON THE CREEKS/STREAMS/RIVERS.
TAX

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THE SOUTHERN TROUGH IS PROGGED TO CONTINUE RAIN THROUGH
SATURDAY...AND LIKELY POPS WERE MAINTAINED. AS THAT WAVE EXITS...
BRIEF TROUGHING ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN CONUS IS PROGGED TO SET UP
WITH A QUICK SHOT OF COOLER AIR LATE IN THE WEEKEND BEFORE THE
FLOW FLATTENS OUT EARLY NEXT WEEK.

RECENT OPERATIONAL MODELS HAVE COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT...THOUGH
DIFFERENCES IN STRENGTH AND TIMING OF INDIVIDUAL FEATURES EXIST.
FAVORED THE WPC ENSEMBLE APPROACH FOR THE LONG TERM...BLENDED
WITH THE WARMER GFS AND ECMWF GUIDANCE.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
IFR TO LIFR CIG/VIS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE NIGHT. ALTHOUGH
RAIN WILL BE MOSTLY TAPERING OFF BY MIDNIGHT...LIFR TO VLIFR DENSE
FOG IS EXPECTED GIVEN LIGHT WINDS AND A VERY WET GROUND FROM
RAIN AND MELTING SNOW. IMPROVEMENT WILL BEGIN AFTER WEAK FROPA
OVERNIGHT AND PAST SUNRISE ON WEDNESDAY. EXPECT MVFR CONDITIONS BY
NOON AREAWIDE...AND THEN POSSIBLY A RETURN TO VFR PRIOR TO THE END
OF THE TAF PERIOD. WINDS WILL BE VARIABLE OR LIGHT OUT OF THE
SOUTHEAST TONIGHT...BEFORE SWITCHING TO W/NW BEHIND THE FRONT.

.OUTLOOK.../WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
RESTRICTION POTENTIAL WILL RETURN FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WITH LOW
PRESSURE ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY.

.HYDROLOGY...
SECOND SIGNIFICANT RIVER RISE OF MARCH EXPECTED WEDNESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY MAR 11 THROUGH 12...

MUCH OF THE REGION SOUTH OF THE OHIO RIVER STILL HAS SATURATED SOILS
AND LITTLE SNOW COVER EXCEPT FOR AREAS ABOVE 2500 FEET THERE
SNOWMELT CONTINUES. THE CHEAT AND MONONGAHELA RIVERS WILL RISE
SIGNIFICANTLY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS ACROSS
NORTHERN WEST VIRGINIA OF 1.00 TO 1.50 INCHES OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS
IN ADDITION TO SOME SNOWMELT COULD BRING THE CHEAT AND MONONGAHELA
RIVERS ABOVE FLOOD STAGES APPROACHING THE RISE OF MARCH 3-5.

RIVER FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FOR:
   CHEAT RIVER
	- ROWLESBURG
   MONONGAHELA RIVER
	- POINT MARION
	- GRAYS LANDING
	- CHARLEROI
	- ELIZABETH

FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR:
   OHIO RIVER
	- THE POINT IN PITTSBURGH

&&

.PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR MDZ001.
OH...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR OHZ039>041-
     048>050-057>059-068-069.
PA...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR PAZ007>009-
     013>016-020>023-029-031-073>076.
WV...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR WVZ001>004-012-
     021>023-041.

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 10, 5:05 PM EST, 2 hours 40 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
605 PM EDT TUE MAR 10 2015

MDZ001-OHZ039>041-048>050-057>059-068-069-PAZ007>009-013>016-020>023-
029-031-073>076-WVZ001>004-012-021>023-041-112215-
GARRETT-TUSCARAWAS-CARROLL-COLUMBIANA-COSHOCTON-HARRISON-
JEFFERSON OH-MUSKINGUM-GUERNSEY-BELMONT-NOBLE-MONROE-MERCER-VENANGO-
FOREST-LAWRENCE-BUTLER-CLARION-JEFFERSON PA-BEAVER-ALLEGHENY-
ARMSTRONG-INDIANA-WASHINGTON-GREENE-WESTMORELAND-WESTMORELAND RIDGES-
FAYETTE-FAYETTE RIDGES-HANCOCK-BROOKE-OHIO-MARSHALL-WETZEL-MARION-
MONONGALIA-PRESTON-TUCKER-
605 PM EDT TUE MAR 10 2015

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT WEDNESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN MARYLAND...EAST
CENTRAL OHIO...NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA...SOUTHWEST
PENNSYLVANIA...WEST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHERN WEST VIRGINIA
AND NORTHERN PANHANDLE OF WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   DENSE FOG ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   DENSE FOG ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flood, Monongalia

When
March 10, 7:45 PM EST to March 11, 5:00 PM EST
Where
Monongalia County, 1 mi NE of Morgantown to 0.99 mi NE of Morgantown
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
River/Stream Gage
Coordinates
39.629, -79.935

What these are

Flood
Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in West Virginia in 2015Every state in 2015This day in weather historyWarnings in West Virginia, March 2015

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 565298.