An upper level low pressure center moved across northern Mexico and acted on a moist boundary layer to produce thunderstorms. 39 inches.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS EWX wrote it up.
An upper level low pressure center moved across northern Mexico and acted on a moist boundary layer to produce thunderstorms. Some of these storms produced heavy rain with Eagle Pass getting 10.00 inches and Uvalde 9.39 inches.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 8, 6:14 PM CST, 1 hour 51 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX 714 PM CDT THU OCT 8 2015 .AVIATION.../00Z TAFS/ LINE OF TSRA ORIENTED PARALLEL TO THE RIO GRANDE RIVER IS CURRENTLY MOVING INTO DRT...THOUGH WIND GUSTS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW 40 KTS AS THE STRONGEST WIND GUSTS REMAIN SOUTH OF THE TERMINAL. HI-RES AND GLOBAL MODELS CONTINUE TO SUGGEST SHRA AND TSRA WILL AFFECT DRT THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...WITH SOME TRAINING POSSIBLE. THUS...MVFR CIGS AND 3-5 SM VSBYS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH 11Z ASSOCIATED WITH TSRA...BEFORE TRANSITIONING TO IFR CIGS WITH SHRA FROM 11-15Z. WILL AMEND DRT TAF IF AXIS OF HEAVY RAIN SHIFTS FURTHER EAST OF THE TERMINAL AT LEAST TEMPORARILY. ELSEWHERE FOR THE I-35 TAF SITES...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH 9Z...THOUGH MVFR CIGS MAY BRIEFLY SETUP AT SAT/SSF BETWEEN 9-13Z AS GFS AND LAMP GUIDANCE SUGGESTS. WINDS TONIGHT WILL GENERALLY BE OUT OF THE E-SE BEFORE BACKING TO E-NE TOMORROW BELOW 10 KTS. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 314 PM CDT THU OCT 8 2015/ SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)... AN ACTIVE AFTERNOON CONTINUES TO BE IN STORE FOR THE WESTERN PLATEAU AND RIO GRANDE PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD AS HEAVY RAINS AND STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND SLOWLY SHIFT EASTWARD INTO OUR CWA. THROUGH MIDNIGHT TONIGHT... MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL COVERAGE IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE ACROSS THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS AND WESTERN PLATEAU. THERE SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE A STARK DROP OFF IN COVERAGE EAST OF A LINE FROM ROCKSPRINGS TO PEARSALL. CURRENT RADAR TRENDS ARE SHOWING AN INCREASE IN INTENSITY OF CELLS JUST WEST AND NORTH OF VAL VERDE COUNTY DUE TO DIFFERENTIAL HEATING...INCREASING UNIDIRECTIONAL FLOW FROM 850MB TO 250MB...AND STRONG LAPSE RATES ABOVE 700 MB. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD CONTINUE TO SLOWLY TRACK EASTWARD INTO VAL VERDE COUNTY WITH A PREDOMINANTLY NORTH/SOUTH ORIENTATION RESULTING IN TRAINING. RAIN RATES OF 2+ INCHES PER HOUR HAVE BEEN OBSERVED SO FAR BUT AT THEIR CURRENT MOTION...THESE RATES COULD EXIST OVER VAL VERDE COUNTY FOR 2 OR 3 HOURS AND RESULT IN SOME ISOLATED LOCATIONS SEEING 4-6 INCHES...WHICH COULD PRODUCE LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING. FARTHER EAST TO ROCKSPRINGS SOUTHWARD TO EAGLE PASS...SCATTERED TO WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL RESULT IN A GENERAL 1-2 INCHES AND THE AFOREMENTIONED STARK DROP OFF AS YOU MOVE FARTHER EAST TO THE I35 CORRIDOR. MIDNIGHT THROUGH MID DAY TOMORROW... THE AXIS OF PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO ALIGN WITH THE ORIENTATION OF THE RIO GRANDE RIVER AND FOCUS THE QPF AMOUNTS ALONG THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS. THIS IS DUE TO THE UPPER LOW BEGINNING A WESTWARD RETROGRADE. IT WILL ALSO SIMULTANEOUS ORIENT THE UPPER DIFFLUENCE ALONG THE RIO GRANDE AND BEGIN DECREASING THE UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT. RAINFALL INTENSITY AND COVERAGE SHOULD BEGIN TO WANE A FEW HOURS AFTER MIDNIGHT. BY THAT POINT...INSTABILITY SHOULD BE SIGNIFICANTLY DECREASED...UPPER FLOW ORIENTED DIFFERENTLY AND WEAKER...AND THE STRONGER H5 VORTICITY AND UPPER DIVERGENCE WILL BE PUSHED SOUTHWEST INTO MEXICO. BY DAYBREAK TOMORROW...THE EXPECTATION IS RAIN CONFINED TO THE RIO GRANDE RIVER AND MORE LIGHT TO MODERATE THAN HEAVY. AFTERNOON THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS FRIDAY... A FRONTAL PASSAGE FROM THE NORTH WILL SERVE TO CUT OFF THE GULF MOISTURE FLUX FEEDING THE PREVIOUS SYSTEM BY SHIFTING LOW LEVEL WINDS TO A MORE EASTERLY DIRECTION. ONLY SLIGHT CHANCE POPS REMAIN ALONG THE RIO GRANDE BY 00Z AND DRY ELSEWHERE. LONG TERM (SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)... A SIGNIFICANTLY DRIER SET UP TAKES HOLD OVER SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS BEGINNING SATURDAY. THE UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WILL PUSH WESTWARD FURTHER AND BY MONDAY...NORTHWEST FLOW WILL PREVAIL THROUGH MID WEEK. THE LONG TERM FOCUS IS A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE WHICH IS BEGINNING TO COME MORE IN FOCUS AS SOME SIMILAR LONG RANGE MODEL OUTCOMES ARE BEING SEEN WITH THE LATEST RUNS. FOR NOW...HAD TO MAKE SOME MINOR CHANGES TO THE MID WEEK POP CHANCES AS THE MOISTURE BEING GENERATED AHEAD OF THE FRONT SEEMS SUSPECT AT THIS TIME. THIS SEEMED TO BE AGREED UPON BY NEIGHBORS AS WELL. MORE DETAILS WILL LIKELY COME WITH THIS FEATURE TOMORROW ONCE THE CURRENT SYSTEM BEGINS CLEARING OUT. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... AUSTIN CAMP MABRY 87 70 90 69 91 / 20 20 20 - 0 AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 89 68 90 66 91 / 20 20 20 - 0 NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT 89 70 90 69 93 / 20 20 20 - 0 BURNET MUNI AIRPORT 86 68 88 65 89 / 20 20 20 - 0 DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT 81 69 84 69 89 / 70 80 60 20 10 GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT 87 68 89 65 90 / 20 20 20 - 0 HONDO MUNI AIRPORT 87 70 89 68 91 / 40 50 50 10 - SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT 89 69 89 68 91 / 20 20 20 - 0 LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL 90 69 90 69 91 / 20 20 20 10 - SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT 88 71 89 70 91 / 20 30 40 - - STINSON MUNI AIRPORT 88 71 90 70 93 / 20 30 50 - - && .EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && MESOSCALE/AVIATION...17 SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...LH PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...TREADWAY
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX 319 PM CDT THU OCT 8 2015 TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-092030- LLANO-BURNET-WILLIAMSON-VAL VERDE-EDWARDS-REAL-KERR-BANDERA- GILLESPIE-KENDALL-BLANCO-HAYS-TRAVIS-BASTROP-LEE-KINNEY-UVALDE- MEDINA-BEXAR-COMAL-GUADALUPE-CALDWELL-FAYETTE-MAVERICK-ZAVALA- FRIO-ATASCOSA-WILSON-KARNES-GONZALES-DE WITT-LAVACA-DIMMIT- 319 PM CDT THU OCT 8 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT ACROSS THE WESTERN PLATEAU AND RIO GRANDE PLAINS. GENERALLY BETWEEN 1 AND 3 INCHES OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE. ISOLATED HEAVIER POCKETS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE WEST OF A ROCKSPRINGS TO EAGLE PASS LINE WHERE TRAINING CELLS MAY DEVELOP. THIS COULD LEAD TO ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING OF SMALLER CREEKS...STREAMS...AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS...ESPECIALLY IN VAL VERDE AND WESTERN EDWARDS AND KINNEY COUNTIES. IN ADDITION...THESE THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCE FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...SMALL HAIL...AND GUSTY WINDS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL MAY LINGER INTO FRIDAY MORNING ACROSS THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS. THIS COULD LEAD TO ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING OF SMALLER CREEKS...STREAMS...AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS. OTHERWISE...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WOULD BE APPRECIATED IN THE WESTERN PLATEAU AND RIO GRANDE PLAINS WHERE FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE.. TB3
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
732 PM CDT THU OCT 08 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0714 PM TSTM WND GST DEL RIO 29.38N 100.90W
10/08/2015 M41 MPH VAL VERDE TX ASOS
36 KNOT OR 41 MPH WIND GUST AT DEL RIO INTERNATIONAL
AIRPORT.
&&
EVENT NUMBER EWX1500774SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
747 PM CDT THU OCT 8 2015
TXZ183-202-217-090145-
MAVERICK TX-VAL VERDE TX-KINNEY TX-
747 PM CDT THU OCT 8 2015
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN MAVERICK...CENTRAL
KINNEY AND SOUTHEASTERN VAL VERDE COUNTIES UNTIL 845 PM CDT...
AT 747 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 10
MILES SOUTH OF STANDART...OR 15 MILES WEST OF SPOFFORD...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.
HALF INCH HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BRACKETTVILLE...SPOFFORD...QUEMADO...ALAMO VILLAGE...STANDART...
AMANDA...ANACACHO...NORMANDY...LAUGHLIN AFB...VAL VERDE PARK AND
LAUGHLIN AFB AUX FIELD.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.
THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.
&&
LAT...LON 2890 10060 2890 10063 2892 10063 2894 10065
2900 10065 2910 10067 2917 10078 2920 10077
2926 10081 2928 10087 2931 10090 2962 10058
2920 10021 2889 10060
TIME...MOT...LOC 0047Z 214DEG 12KT 2920 10066The Laughlin AFB radar (KDFX), 34 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 02:06 UTC.
8 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Thunderstorms produced heavy rain that caused flash flooding closing FM693 between Hwy90 and Hwy277.
Thunderstorms produced heavy rain that led to flash flooding. Flooding was first reported in Eagle Pass at 9:32 PM and the emergency manager began evacuating people from low lying areas in the city. By 11:30 PM several evacuations and swift water rescues had been reported and many creeks were out of their banks including Eagle Pass, Seco, and Elm. At one point, the city of Eagle pass was reporting 90 water rescues with multiple streets flooded. 60 people were left homeless according to reports. Two flash flood fatalities were reported, both male, a 43 year old and a 79 year old.
Thunderstorms produced heavy rain that caused flash flooding closing multiple roads in Kinney County including FM334 and FM674 near Brackettville.
Thunderstorms produced heavy rain that caused flash flooding closing FM481 with one foot of water over the road southwest of Uvalde.
Thunderstorms produced heavy rain that caused flash flooding closing FM1021, Loop480, and Hwy277 near Seco Creek.
Thunderstorms produced heavy rain that caused flash flooding closing several roads west and south of La Pryor including Highways 83 and 57.
Thunderstorms produced heavy rain that caused flash flooding closing numerous roads in and around Uvalde including N. Camp St. at Studer St., Dunbar Ln., FM117, Hwy55 at FM1403, Deer Valley Ranch Rd., and Hwy83 to La Pryor.
Thunderstorms produced heavy rain that caused flash flooding closing FM1407 between Hwy83 and Hwy85. The junction of FM191 and Hwy277 was also closed due to flooding.
As the offices recorded each death: direct deaths were caused by the weather itself, indirect ones by something it set in motion.
| Event | Date | Age | Sex | Where | Kind |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flash Flood, Maverick | 2015-10-08 | 43 | Male | Vehicle/Towed Trailer | Direct |
| Flash Flood, Maverick | 2015-10-08 | 79 | Male | Unknown | Direct |
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2015Every state in 2015This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, October 2015
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 605188, 605190, 605191, 605192, 605193, 605195, 605196, 605198.