Heavy rain led to flash flooding across portions of North Central Texas, with residual flooding persisting through the 31st.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS FWD wrote it up.
Heavy rain led to flash flooding across portions of North Central Texas, with residual flooding persisting through the 31st.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Fort Worth, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 30, 11:52 AM CST, 1 hour 33 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 1252 PM CDT FRI OCT 30 2015 .AVIATION... /18Z TAFS/ WIDESPREAD RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT ALL OF THE MAJOR AIRPORTS THROUGH THIS EVENING...WITH MINOR DIFFERENCES IN TIMING AND INTENSITY. RIGHT NOW...HEAVIEST OF THE RAIN HAS JUST MOVED EAST OF THE WACO AREA AND THEY SHOULD SEE A LITTLE LULL IN THE ACTIVITY. WILL PREVAIL -RA AND MVFR CIGS THROUGH THE NEXT FEW HOURS. IN THE METROPLEX...THERE HAS BEEN AN UPTICK IN THE RAIN OVER THE LAST HOUR BUT GENERALLY MVFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL IN -RA. OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE EAST AND AFFECT MOST OF THE AREA. WILL HAVE THE BEST TIMING FROM 21-01Z OR 5 TO 9 PM. SOME TEMPO IFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE IN HEAVY RAIN. RAIN SHOULD TAPER OFF TONIGHT AS THE COLD FRONT APPROACHES BUT IFR CIGS REMAIN LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT. WINDS WILL SHIFT AROUND TO THE NORTHWEST TOMORROW MORNING WITH GRADUAL IMPROVEMENT IN CIGS THROUGH THE DAY. DUNN && .UPDATE... NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTH/NORTHEAST ACROSS NORTH TEXAS LATE THIS MORNING. THE STRONGEST ACTIVITY IS STILL IN THE WARM SECTOR AROUND AND EAST OF AUSTIN. THIS ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES NORTH INTO MORE STABLE AIR. HOWEVER...LOCATIONS SOUTH OF A LINE FROM TEMPLE TO CENTERVILLE WILL GET DEEPER INTO THE WARM SECTOR THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND WILL SEE SOME PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH A POTENTIAL FOR SOME LOCALIZED FLOODING. SINCE THE FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO BE LOCALIZED...WE WILL NOT ISSUE A FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THE AFTERNOON. WE WILL CONTINUE TO ASSESS THE FLOODING POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT. THERE IS STILL A POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORMS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON....ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE EXTREME SOUTHERN ZONES WHERE INSTABILITY WILL SLOWLY INCREASE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. WE EXPECT PRECIPITATION TO END FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THE EVENING HOURS AS THE UPPER LOW LIFTS ACROSS FAR WEST TEXAS AND A COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION. WE WILL STILL SEE PERIODS OF RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT FOR LOCATIONS GENERALLY EAST OF THE INTERSTATE 35 CORRIDOR. THE PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE EASTERN ZONES SHOULD EXIT INTO EAST TEXAS AFTER SUNRISE SATURDAY AS THE UPPER TROUGH AXIS MOVES EAST ACROSS THE REGION. WILL MAKE SOME CHANGES TO EVENING/OVERNIGHT POPS AND ADJUST THE QPF AMOUNTS FOR THIS UPDATE. WILL ALSO ADJUST HOURLY TEMP AND DEWPOINT GRIDS. 79 && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 345 AM CDT FRI OCT 30 2015/ ...1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL POSSIBLE TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING... WATER VAPOR LOOP SHOWS AN UPPER TROUGH OVER SOUTHEAST ARIZONA EARLY THIS MORNING WHILE REGIONAL 88D RADAR VAD WIND PROFILES SHOW A DEEP AND STRONG LOW LEVEL JET EXTENDING FROM THE NORTHWEST GULF OF MEXICO TO THE RED RIVER. THE WWA ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LLJ IS MOVING LOW CLOUDS NORTHWARD AND HELPING TO INCREASE INSTABILITY AHEAD OF THE UPPER SYSTEM. AS THE UPPER TROUGH MOVES EAST TODAY... FORCING FOR ASCENT WILL INCREASE FROM WEST TO EAST AND SPREAD CONVECTION TO THE I-35 CORRIDOR BY MIDDAY AND INTO THE EASTERN COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THIS SYSTEM WILL HAVE SOME STRONG DYNAMICS ASSOCIATED WITH IT TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...I.E. A STRONG DIFFLUENT JET SPREADING OVER THE REGION...PWATS CLIMBING TO AROUND 2 INCHES AND 35 TO 50 KNOTS OF 0-3 KM BULK SHEAR. THE BEST CAPE WILL BE WEST OF I-35 THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. AS FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK ACROSS MUCH OF THE CWA THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING AND A SLIGHT RISK OVER AREAS SOUTH OF I-20 AND WEST OF I-35 WHERE LOW VALUE CAPE WILL BE MAXIMIZED. HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE THE PRIMARY HAZARDS. HOWEVER...BECAUSE OF THE STRONG LOW LEVEL SHEAR... 0-3 KM HELICITY WILL PEAK 500-1000 M2/S2 ALONG THE I-35/45 CORRIDORS THIS AFTERNOON...CAN NOT RULE OUT A BRIEF TORNADO TO TWO. THERE IS A HEAVY RAINFALL/FLOODING POTENTIAL WITH THIS SYSTEM...BUT CONSIDERING HOW FAST THE CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS WILL BE MOVING...DO NOT THINK MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF HEAVY PRECIPITATION WILL OCCUR OVER A LARGE ENOUGH AREA TO WARRANT ISSUING A MULTI-COUNTY FLASH FLOOD WATCH. HOWEVER...IF CONVECTIVE BAND SETS UP OVER SOUTHEAST HILL COUNTY OR NAVARRO COUNTY WHERE THE GROUND REMAINS WET...THEN FLASH FLOODING WILL LIKELY OCCUR. OUR BEST GUESS ON RAIN AMOUNTS TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT IS 1 TO 3 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED HIGHER AMOUNTS UP TO 5 INCHES. THE RAIN WILL BE ENDING WEST TO EAST ON SATURDAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION. BY SATURDAY EVENING...MOST OF THE RAIN WILL BE IN EAST TEXAS...BUT WILL LINGER A SLIGHT CHANCE OVER THE EASTERN TIER OF COUNTIES SATURDAY NIGHT. SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING WILL BE DRY AND SEASONABLY MILD AS SHORT WAVE RIDGING RETURNS. OUR NEXT WEATHER SYSTEM WILL BE AMPLIFYING DOWN THE WEST COAST EARLY NEXT WEEK...THEN MOVING INTO THE DESERT SOUTHWEST BY LATE WEEK. THIS WILL BE A SIMILAR RAIN EVENT AS TODAYS WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS RETURNING WEDNESDAY THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY. 75 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX 70 63 71 55 73 / 90 90 30 10 10 WACO, TX 73 65 75 54 73 / 100 90 40 10 10 PARIS, TX 70 61 70 54 72 / 90 90 70 10 10 DENTON, TX 68 60 70 52 72 / 90 90 30 10 5 MCKINNEY, TX 69 62 70 53 72 / 90 90 30 10 10 DALLAS, TX 71 64 72 56 73 / 90 90 30 10 10 TERRELL, TX 72 63 72 55 72 / 90 90 50 10 10 CORSICANA, TX 74 65 75 57 73 / 100 90 60 10 10 TEMPLE, TX 75 65 75 55 74 / 100 90 40 10 10 MINERAL WELLS, TX 69 57 69 50 73 / 90 80 20 10 5 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. &&
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 330 AM CDT FRI OCT 30 2015 TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-311100- MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN- HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS- ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL- JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO- FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE- LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON- 330 AM CDT FRI OCT 30 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS ALL OF NORTH TEXAS THROUGH TONIGHT. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED. A FEW STORMS MAY BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS MAINLY SOUTHWEST OF A CISCO TO CENTERVILLE LINE. GIVEN THE STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR...A FEW TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL END FROM WEST TO EAST SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL RETURN TO ALL OF NORTH TEXAS WEDNESDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING MAINLY SOUTHWEST OF A CISCO TO CENTERVILLE LINE.
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1213 PM CDT FRI OCT 30 2015
TXZ174-301800-
MILAM TX-
1213 PM CDT FRI OCT 30 2015
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR MILAM COUNTY UNTIL 100 PM CDT...
AT 1213 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM
OVER ROCKDALE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.
WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ROCKDALE...CAMERON...THORNDALE AND MILANO.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.
&&
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CDT FOR CENTRAL TEXAS.
LAT...LON 3067 9724 3100 9675 3097 9677 3093 9676
3092 9673 3090 9672 3091 9669 3087 9670
3081 9664 3078 9665 3078 9663 3074 9663
3073 9662 3046 9715
TIME...MOT...LOC 1713Z 236DEG 35KT 3061 9701
30The Ft Hood radar (KGRK), 25 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 19:26 UTC.
26 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
One to two feet of fast moving water was reported at Reeds Rd and Loop 363, 4 miles SE of Little River Academy.
Numerous streets and underpasses flooded, as well as a few homes 2 miles W of Temple.
Flooding reported in Robinson with outside lanes of Hwy 77 closed due to flooding.
Storm spotter reported water under the railroad tracks on Charter Oak Drive, as well as swift moving water at Riverside Trail and Pat Cole Road.
Water was reported over both sides of I-35 at MM 306 with cars stalling just south of Troy.
Hewitt PD reported widespread flash flooding of roads and streets in the city of Hewitt.
Dallas PD closed portions of Mockingbird Lane near Harry Hines due to high water.
Several roads in Cleburne were closed due to high water.
The entrance to Hwy 67 at CR 801 was impassible due to high water.
Several county roads were closed due to water including: CR 423, CR 607 at the bridge, and CR 509.
All low water crossings along Buffalo Creek were closed due to high water.
There was a social media report that 2 feet of water was on the on ramp at Main and Commerce St. going S on I-45.
Multiple roads were affected by high water including: Preton Rd./Mimosa Ln., Hillcrest Rd./Royal Ln., Shorecrest Dr./Lemmon Ave., NW Hwy/Goforth Rd., Cedar Crest Blvd./E. Kiest Blvd., I-35/W. Illinois Ave., 2900 Mountain Creek Pkwy near W. Kiest Blvd., and 4300 W. Kiest Blvd. near S. Cockrell Hill Rd.
The 3500 block of CR 913 was closed due to high water.
A car was stranded in high water at Hwy 67 and FM 157 in Venus.
The 6600 block of CR 1205 (S of CR 1107) was closed due to high water.
A high water rescue was reported on Ranchette Dr. in Joshua.
A high water rescue was reported via social media at CR 616 and CR 510 with the occupant stranded on top of the car.
Five minor street closures and 2 park closures due to flooding were reported in Rowlett.
CR 1001 and CR 1008 at the Paluxy River was closed due to high water.
Stainback Rd. was flooded at the S curve (near Red Oak).
A swift water rescue was reported via social media at Elsie Faye Heggins St. and Lyons St.
Lake Mexia was 4 ft above normal pool and still rising, and residents near the lake were being evacuated.
I-45 NB/SB closed in Corsicana due to flooding.
Hwy 80 NB in Teague was closed due to flooding.
Approximately 15 road closures (FM and CR) reported due to flooding including: FM 486 south of Thorndale and FM 908 near Rockdale, and parts of FM 437 near Thorndale. Several high water rescues were performed as well. Two different rescues were performed along FM 908 near the Brushy Creek bridge, and a third was along FM 486 near Little River.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2015Every state in 2015This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, October 2015
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 604056, 604058, 604061, 604059, 604060, 604062, 604063, 604075, 604067, 604068, 604069, 604064, 605971, 604071, 604070, 604072, 604074, 604073, 604065, 604699, 604728, 604066, 604703, 604707, 604714, 604711.