A weak low pressure system slowly drifted east into the Great Plains with a trailing upper level disturbance rotating around the backside of the upper low. As the disturbance moved over the region, it brought thunderstorms to West Texas.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MAF wrote it up.
A weak low pressure system slowly drifted east into the Great Plains with a trailing upper level disturbance rotating around the backside of the upper low. As the disturbance moved over the region, it brought thunderstorms to West Texas. Instability and shear were weak, but the high moisture content across the area caused flash flooding to develop as a line of storms moved across the Permian Basin.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 15, 5:32 PM CST, 2 hours 58 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 632 PM CDT Mon Jun 15 2015 .DISCUSSION... See aviation discussion below. && .AVIATION... Ongoing storms are mostly in between TAF sites and we mostly omitted the mention of TSRA, except for a brief TEMPO group at KINK. Otherwise a TEMPO MVFR CIG will be possible at HOB/MAF. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 237 PM CDT Mon Jun 15 2015/ DISCUSSION... Two areas of high pressure, one over the eastern Pacific and the other on the east coast, are leaving Texas under a weak trough of low pressure. Normally this setup provides enough instability so daytime heating causes scattered showers and thunderstorms to develop but today is a little different. A mesoscale convective vortex (MCV) left over from convection last night remains stationary near Big Lake and is spreading cloud cover across most of the Permian Basin keeping surface temperatures down and increasing low level stability. There are some thunderstorms currently forming farther west in the Davis Mountains where cloud cover has been much less, and there are also storms forming from San Angelo to Sonora where upper lift on the eastern side of the MCV is overcoming the surface stability. Additional development is expected in the eastern Permian Basin this afternoon and evening but slow storm movement will likely prevent it from spreading into the western Permian Basin or southeastern New Mexico. 0-6km shear is not high today so convection should be pulse type and mostly remain below severe levels though slow storm motion could cause localized flash flooding. The upper trough will remain in place tomorrow leaving the eastern Permian Basin and Davis Mountains once again as the locations most favored for rainfall. A tropical system moving into Texas Tuesday could actually bring drier conditions to west Texas if the system is strong enough to induce subsidence outside the main circulation though this seems doubtfull given the close proximity to the coast already. High pressure over the eastern Pacific will build east into Texas through the end of the week, increasing subsidence and causing temperatures to warm into the mid 90s. The high will lift north early next week leaving west Texas and eastern New Mexico in a deep easterly flow. This pattern is favorable near normal temperatures and increasing moisture which could provide a chance for isolated afternoon showers and thunderstorms. Hennig && .MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NM...NONE. TX...NONE. && Follow us on Facebook and Twitter at: http://facebook.com/NWSMidland http://twitter.com/NWSMidland Check us out on the internet at: http://weather.gov/midland
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 141 PM CDT MON JUN 15 2015 NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075- 079>082-258-161845- GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS- NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES- DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL- VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS- LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN- DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU- BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS- 141 PM CDT MON JUN 15 2015 /1241 PM MDT MON JUN 15 2015/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION THROUGH TONIGHT. A FEW STRONGER STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING BRIEF GUSTY WINDS...SMALL HAIL AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING. THE GREATER CONCERN HOWEVER WILL BE THE POSSIBILITY OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY THE CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY ACROSS MUCH OF WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO. A FEW STRONGER STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING BRIEF GUSTY WINDS...SMALL HAIL AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE GREATER CONCERN. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/ HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
923 PM CDT MON JUN 15 2015
NMZ027-028-TXZ057-258-160300-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
823 PM MDT MON JUN 15 2015
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORMS AFFECTING
NORTHWESTERN CULBERSON AND SOUTHWESTERN EDDY COUNTIES UNTIL 900 PM
MDT/1000 PM CDT/...
A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 4 MILES NORTH OF PINE SPRINGS AT
824 PM MDT/924 PM CDT/...MOVING SOUTH AT 20 MPH.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
GUSTY WINDS... HAIL... HEAVY RAIN... AND DEADLY LIGHTNING ARE
POSSIBLE.
&&
LAT...LON 3200 10491 3201 10485 3203 10485 3207 10474
3191 10457 3172 10487 3185 10492 3199 10493
TIME...MOT...LOC 0224Z 013DEG 16KT 3194 10482The Lubbock radar (KLBB), 105 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 02:29 UTC.
2 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
A thunderstorm produced 6-12 inches of water over portions of Highway 84 in northwestern Scurry County about 2 miles southeast of the Scurry and Garza County line.
A thunderstorm that produced heavy rainfall caused FM 1269 from Fluvanna to the Garza County line and FM 612 from Fluvanna to 5 miles east of Fluvanna to be impassable due to high water.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2015Every state in 2015This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, June 2015
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 580579, 580586.