A band of showers and a few thunderstorms developed ahead of an approaching cold front and moved across the Mid-South during evening of November 11, 2015. A storm became severe over Tipton County and produced damaging winds.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MEG wrote it up.
A band of showers and a few thunderstorms developed ahead of an approaching cold front and moved across the Mid-South during evening of November 11, 2015. A storm became severe over Tipton County and produced damaging winds.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Memphis, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 11, 8:37 PM CST, 53 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 837 PM CST WED NOV 11 2015 .DISCUSSION... SKIES ARE CLOUDY ACROSS MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS EVENING WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. THE MAIN LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDS FROM NORTHWEST TENNESSEE SOUTH IN NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI. MUCH DRIER AIR HAS MOVED INTO WESTERN ARKANSAS THIS EVENING SO IT APPEARS THAT THIS LINE WILL BE THE ONLY PRECIPITATION THAT WE WILL SEE. WILL UPDATE FORECAST TO REMOVE EVENING WORDING. ARS && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 553 PM CST WED NOV 11 2015/ DISCUSSION... MIDAFTERNOON GOES WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWED A CLOSED LOW... AROUND 532MB AT 500MB...ENTERING SOUTHWEST IA. 21Z/3PM CST SURFACE MAP SHOWED AN IMPRESSIVE 990MB SURFACE LOW NEARLY UNDER THE UPPER LOW. A SHARPLY DEFINED SURFACE DRYLINE WAS ENTERING WESTERN MO...WITH A TRAILING COLD FRONT OVER OVER CENTRAL KS. FURTHER SOUTH...LOWER 70S DEWPOINTS WERE SPREADING NORTH INTO THE ARKLATEX...WITH DRY BULB TEMPS ONLY A FEW DEGREES WARMER. RELATIVELY SHALLOW MOIST CONVECTION WAS OCCURING IN THIS REGION...UNDER A MIDLEVEL CAP AROUND 700MB. AS THE UPPER LOW LIFTS INTO THE GREAT LAKES TONIGHT...MIDLEVEL HEIGHT FALLS WILL OVER THE MIDSOUTH AND AN ASSOCIATED EROSION OF THE MIDLEVEL CAPPING WARM LAYER. EXPECT A BROKEN CONVECTIVE LINE TO DEVELOP AND LIFT EAST IN A MODESTLY UNSTABLE POST SUNSET ENVIRONMENT. BY EARLY EVENING...STORMS WILL ROOTED IN AN ELEVATED LAYER AROUND 925MB...NOT TAPPING INTO THE UNDERLYING HELICITY. SIMILAR TO THE LAST THURSDAY...A 60 TO 70KT LOW LEVEL JET WILL PREVAIL JUST 2KFT ABOVE THE GROUND. DESPITE THE MODEST INSTABILITY... CAPE AT OR BELOW 500 J/KG...A LOCALIZED HIGH WIND THREAT MAY EXIST WITH EMBEDDED BOWING SEGMENTS. OTHERWISE...BETTER SEVERE THREAT WILL OCCUR WELL NORTH OF THE MIDSOUTH...IN AN AREA OF MORE FAVORABLY POSITIONED WITH RESPECT TO AN UPPER JET CORE. LOOKING BEYOND THIS EVENING...SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH OVERNIGHT...ENDING RAIN CHANCES AND BRINGING MUCH DRIER AIR THE MIDSOUTH. A 1030MB SURFACE HIGH WILL SET UP OVER THE LOWER MS RIVER VALLEY THIS WEEKEND. DRY AIR...CALM WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES WILL ALLOW TEMPS TO FALL BELOW FREEZING OVER MUCH OF THE MIDSOUTH SATURDAY MORNING. THE EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK WILL SEE SIGNIFICANT UPPER LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS OVER THE ROCKIES...WITH DOWNSTREAM STRENGTHENING SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT OVER THE MIDSOUTH. LOW LEVEL SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL RETURN AND STRENGTHEN ON MONDAY...WITH GFS PROGGED PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES REACHING AS HIGH AS 1.80 INCHES ON TUESDAY. BOTH GFS AND ECMWF SHOW A NEGATIVELY TILTED UPPER LOW DROPPING INTO ARKLATEX REGION BY TUESDAY EVENING. TOO EARLY TO PREDICT WITH CONFIDENCE AT THIS TIME... BUT SUCH A SOLUTION WOULD REPRESENT AN INCREASED SEVERE WEATHER RISK FOR THE MIDSOUTH. PWB && .AVIATION... 00Z TAF CYCLE FRONTAL LINE IS NARROW FOR REALLY HEAVY RAIN THAT WILL RESTRICT VISIBILITIES. MOST OTHER SHOWERS THIS EVENING WILL BE LIGHT OR A VERY BRIEF PERIOD OF HEAVY RAIN. BIG WIND SHIFT WITH GUSTY WINDS FROM THE SOUTH BEFORE FRONT AND THEN FROM THE WEST OR NORTHWEST BEHIND THE FRONT. NOT AS CONFIDENT ABOUT THUNDERSTORMS...LEFT IN TAFS AS THERE IS STILL A POSSIBILITY ESPECIALLY NEAR THE FRONT. BEFORE FRONT MOVES THROUGH CIGS AND VISBY MAY DROP TO MVFR. TLSJR && .MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...NONE. MO...NONE. MS...NONE. TN...NONE. &&
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 1047 AM CST WED NOV 11 2015 ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115- MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>022-048>055-088>092-121900- ALCORN-BENTON MS-BENTON TN-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY- COAHOMA-CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR- DUNKLIN-DYER-FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD- HENDERSON-HENRY-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE- LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON-MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION- PANOLA-PEMISCOT-PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN- RANDOLPH-SHELBY-ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON- TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA- 1047 AM CST WED NOV 11 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS... THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...NORTHWEST OF A LINE FROM GRENADA MISSISSIPPI TO SAVANNAH TENNESSEE. DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREAT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY SUBFREEZING TEMPERATURES WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS WEEKEND. A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE NEXT MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...MAINLY WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NECESSARY THIS EVENING OVER THE MARGINAL RISK AREA. PWB
The Memphis radar (KNQA), 31 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 03:31 UTC.
1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Straight line winds knocked down trees near Covington.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Tennessee in 2015Every state in 2015This day in weather historyWarnings in Tennessee, November 2015
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 607963.