Winter Storm in South Carolina, February 16 to 17, 2015

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
325 PM EST MON FEB 16 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A MOIST LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WITH WIDESPREAD WINTRY PRECIPITATION
WILL TRACK ACROSS THE CAROLINAS TONIGHT AND MOVE OFF THE MID
ATLANTIC COAST TUESDAY MORNING.  IN ITS WAKE...AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT
WILL SWEEP THROUGH FROM THE NORTH WEDNESDAY. VERY COLD HIGH
PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD IN AND PERSIST THROUGH FRIDAY...BEFORE A
MOIST SURFACE BOUNDARY MOVES INTO THE AREA OVER THE WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 225 PM EST...THE UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE MOVING FROM THE SRN
PLAINS TO THE MID MS RIVER VALLEY WILL DAMPEN AS IT MOVES EASTWARD
ACROSS THE APPALACHIANS LATER TONIGHT. THE ASSOCIATED SFC LOW CENTER
ANALYZED OVER CENTRAL MS AROUND 19Z SHOULD TRACK ACROSS THE CENTRAL
AL/GA BORDER BY 00Z THIS EVENING...NW OF AUGUSTA GA BY 06Z...THEN
OFF THE OUTER BANKS OF NC BY 12Z TUE. AHEAD OF THIS
LOW...PRECIPITATION HAS FILLED IN FROM THE WEST THIS AFTN...AND
THERMAL PROFILES ARE QUICKLY WET BULBING DOWN TO SUPPORT MAINLY
SNOW/SLEET AT ONSET. THE DEEPER FORCING WILL REACH THE FORECAST AREA
FROM THE W STEADILY THROUGH THE LATE AFTN HOURS...MAXIMIZING 00Z TO
03Z AS THE BEST SRLY JET TRAVERSES THE REGION. THE LATEST RAP/SREF
GUIDANCE SUPPORT THE OPERATIONAL NAM/GFS IN KEEPING SUBFREEZING SFC
TEMPS LARGELY LOCKED IN ALONG AND NW OF INTERSTATE 85 UNTIL MID TO
LATE EVENING. THE MAIN EXCEPTION REMAINS THE WRN/SRN UPSTATE
SECTIONS AS WELL AS NE GA OUTSIDE OF THE MTNS...WHERE THE SREF
MEAN/GEFS ALSO SUPPORT EARLIER WARMING OF SFC TEMPS. THIS WILL MAKE
FOR A VERY SHARP ICE ACCUM GRADIENT IN THE SRN TIER. TOYED WITH THE
IDEA OF DROPPING A COUPLE OF SRN END COUNTIES FROM THE
ADVISORY...BUT WITH THE CURRENT SNOW/SLEET AND DEWPOINT
DEPRESSIONS...BEST TO KEEP THEM IN PLACE.

LOCATIONS NW OF INTERSTATE 40 STILL LOOK TO BE MORE SOLIDLY SNOW
THROUGHOUT THE VAST MAJORITY OF THE EVENT...WITH SOME SLEET ONLY
MIXING IN AT TIMES EARLY AND LATE...AND ANY FZRA WINDOW FAIRLY
BRIEF. NRN BLUE RIDGE AREA SNOW ACCUMS HAVE BEEN BOOSTED SLIGHTLY.
EXPECT SOME DRY SLOTTING TO ARRIVE AT MID LEVELS CIRCA 06Z TO
09Z...WITH POPS TRENDING DOWN WEST TO EAST LATE TONIGHT. NW FLOW
MOISTURE WILL DIMISH ALONG THE SPINE OF THE SRN APPALACHIANS TUE
MORNING...WITH LOW LEVEL FLOW BACKING AHEAD OF THE FALLING HEIGHTS
TO THE W AS A DEEP CENTRAL CONUS TROUGH TRANSITIONS EWD. MELTING IS
LIKELY IN THE SRN MTNS AND ACROSS THE FOOTHILLS/PIEDMONT TUE
AFTN...WITH TEMPS REBOUNDING ABOVE FREEZING IN WEAK WESTERLY
DOWNSLOPE FLOW.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 300 PM MONDAY...THE LATEST SHORT RANGE MODELS AGREE THAT
VIGOROUS UPPER IMPULSES ROTATING AROUND THE POLAR VORTEX WILL SWEEP
THROUGH THE SOUTHEAST TUE NIGHT INTO WED...WITH ITS TROUGH AXIS
BECOMING NEGATIVELY TILTED AS IT CROSS OUR FORECAST AREA. H5 HEIGHTS
SHOULD BOTTOM OUT BY WED NIGHT...GRADUALLY RISING THROUGH THU AS THE
AXIS MOVES OFF THE EAST COAST.

AT THE SURFACE...AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO BLAST THROUGH
THE REGION ON WED...USHERING IN A BITTERLY COLD AIRMASS IN ITS WAKE.
LATEST MODELS SUGGEST THAT RATHER DEEP MOISTURE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED
BY THE FRONT...WITH NW UPSLOPE SNOW DEVELOPING OVER THE TN BORDER
COUNTIES BY EARLY WED MORNING...SPREADING ACROSS THE REST OF THE NC
MTNS/VALLEYS THRU MIDDAY. INTERESTINGLY...AREAS EVEN EAST OF THE
MTNS WILL SEE A CHANCE OF SNOW ON WED AFTERNOON WHEN THE TROUGH AXIS
CROSSES THE REGION...STEEPENING LOW-MID LEVEL LAPSE RATE. VARIOUS
MODEL SOUNDINGS INDICATE DEEP AND SKINNY CAPE WILL BE PRESCIENT
ALONG WITH RATHER DEEP MOIST LAYER ACROSS ENTIRE CWA....SUPPORTING A
DEVELOPMENT OF SNOW SHOWERS. THE LIMITING FACTOR LOOKS TO BE STRONG
DOWNSLOPING NWLY H85 WINDS EAST OF THE MTNS. THEREFORE...POPS IN THE
RANGE OF SLIGHT TO LOW END CHANCE RANGE APPEAR TO BE A GOOD BET AT
THIS TIME. WITH THE PRESENCE OF SBCAPE...THUNDER SNOW IS NOT OUT OF
THE QUESTION ATT. THE CONDITIONS SHOULD DRY OUT TOWARD WED
EVENING/NIGHT AS DEEP LAYER DRYING WILL OCCUR OVERHEAD OWING TO
BUILDIONG ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE FROM THE NW. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMS DURING
THIS EVENT ACROSS THE TN BORDR COUNTIES WILL BE AROUND 1-3
INCHES...WITH LESS THAN 0.5 INCH ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE MTNS ZONES.
SINCE THIS PERIOD IS BEYOND DAY 3...WILL CONTINUE TO MENTION
ACCUMULATING SNOW IN THE HWO.

ANOTHER ISSUE WILL BE NEAR RECORD LOW TEMPS ON WED NIGHT FOR ENTIRE
CWA AND DANGEROUS WIND CHILL VALUES ACROSS THE NC MTN ZONES. MODELS
CONTINUE TO SUGGEST THAT AS THE ARCTIC AIRMASS FILTERS IN FROM THE
NW...H85 TEMPS WILL PLUMMET TO -27C ALONG THE TN BORDER AND TO -22C
ALONG THE I-85 BY 12Z THU. THEREFORE...OVERNIGHT SURFACE TEMPS WILL
PLUMMET INTO 5-10 BELOW ZERO OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN AND INTO THE
SINGLE DIGITS ELSEWHERE. WITH TIGHT SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT
SETTING UP ACROSS THE AREA...WE WILL SEE GUSTY NW CAA WINDS OF 15-30
MPH ACROSS THE MTNS WITH 10-20 MPH ELSEWEHRE. THIS WILL COMBINE WITH
FRIGID TEMPS TO CREAT DANGEROUS WIND CHILL READINGS OF -10 TO -25F
ACROSS THE MTNS. AREAS OUT SIDE OF THE MTNS WILL SEE SINGLE DIGITS
BELOW ZERO ON WED NIGHT INTO EARLY THU MORNING. CONDIITONS ON THU
LOOKS DRY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVERHEAD. DAYTIME TEMPS ON THU
WILL REMAIN IN THE SIGLE DIGITS ABOVE TO THE LOW 10S OVER THE NC
MTNS WITH 20S ELSEWHERE.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 255 PM EST MONDAY...NOT MUCH CHANGE REGARDING THE MEDIUM RANGE
FCST PERIOD WHICH INITIALIZES ON THURSDAY EVENING.  AT THAT TIME
MODELS SEEM TO CONVERGE ON THE EXISTENCE OF BROAD COLD HIGH PRESSURE
RESIDING OVER THE OHIO VALLEY ALL THE WHILE SHIFTING EAST AMONGST
THE MEAN FLOW ALOFT.  MODELS STRUGGLE TO AGREE ON A CONSENSUS
REGARDING THE WX PATTERN OVER THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEKEND.  IN A
NUTSHELL...THEY ALL TRY TO HOLD ONTO THE ABOVE MENTIONED SFC HIGH
OVER THE EAST COAST IN THE FORM OF A PROGRESSIVE HYBRID CAD THROUGH
THE DAY ON FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.  INCREASED WARM SOUTHERLY UPGLIDE
ATOP THE HIGH WILL WARRANT ELEVATED POPS FOR THIS TIMEFRAME
THEREFORE FCST FEATURES SUCH WITH POPS INCREASING FROM WEST/EAST AND
IN THE CHANCE RANGE.  PROFILES AT THE TIME WOULD LIKELY SUPPORT
RAIN/SNOW MIX FRIDAY AFTN/EVENING BEFORE WARMING PREVAILS LEADING TO
ALL RAIN INTO LATE MORNING SATURDAY.

FROM THIS POINT FORWARD MODELS TEND TO DIVERGE WITH REGARDS TO
WINTRY WX CONCERNS.  NEARLY ALL GUIDANCE LOOKS WET WITH A BAND OF
PRECIP ALIGNING OVER THE SOUTHERN/CENTRAL APPS AT LEAST THROUGH
SUNDAY.  THE GFS IS THE WARMER SOLUTION AS THE UPPER TROF AXIS DOES
NOT DIG AS FAR SOUTH AS DOES THE ECMWF.  THE ECMWF DEVELOPS A ROBUST
SURFACE LOW/FRONT BENEATH A MODEST UPPER SHORTWAVE TROF SATURDAY
NIGHT AND SWEEPS A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION ON SUNDAY
AFTN/EVE.  THIS WOULD LIKELY YIELD ANOTHER ROUND OF SNOW SHOWERS FOR
THE NORTHERN TIER OF THE FCST AREA WITH MOSTLY RAIN TO THE SOUTH.
THE GFS ON THE OTHER HAND SEEMS TO SETUP A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL
AXIS OVER THE SOUTHERN/CENTRAL APPS THROUGH SUNDAY INTO MONDAY WITH
A SERIES OF WAVES SLIDING ALONG THE BOUNDARY THROUGH THE FCST AREA.
MEANWHILE...THE GFS ALSO HAS A SPRAWLING CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE
SLIDING SOUTH ACROSS THE OH VALLEY INTO NEW ENGLAND SETTING UP A
BRIEF CAD EVENT ON MONDAY WHICH WOULD YIELD POSSIBLE WINTRY MIX
CONCERNS OUT AHEAD OF A DEEPENING SURFACE WAVE.

DUE TO THE VAST AMOUNT OF MODEL UNCERTAINTY...OPTED TO LIMIT POPS AT
CHANCE LEVELS THROUGH THE FIRST FEW DAYS OF THE WORK WEEK WITH LIGHT
SNOW SHOWERS BEING THE PREDOMINATE PTYPE ACROSS THE HIGH TERRAIN AND
NORTHERN NC PIEDMONT SAT NIGHT...SUN NIGHT...AND AGAIN MON
NIGHT...WITH ALL RAIN ELSEWHERE.  WOULD LIKE TO NOTE THAT CONFIDENCE
IN THESE PTYPES IS EXTREMELY LOW.  TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO PLAY A
HUGE ROLE IN THE EVENTUAL SENSIBLE WX AT THE SURFACE.  FCST FEATURES
TEMPERATURES WARMING TO JUST BELOW NORMAL LEVELS ON SUNDAY AMONGST
INCREASED SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF POSSIBLE ECMWF FROPA...WITH COOLER
TEMPERATURES FCST INTO MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /21Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AT KCLT...RADAR SHOWS THE LIGHT VIRGA/PRECIP SHIELD JUST WEST OF
KGSP AT ISSUANCE TIME...WITH A LIGHT SN/PL ONSET LIKELY BY 21Z AT
KCLT. EXPECT MVFR CIGS TO QUICKLY SET UP...WITH A STEADY TRANSITION
TO FZRA FOR THE BULK OF THE PRECIP EVENT TONIGHT. ICE ACCUMULATIONS
OF ONE QUARTER TO ONE THIRD INCH TONIGHT WILL POSE MAJOR DEICING
ISSUES FOR THE AIRFIELD WITH MIN TEMPS BELOW FREEZING UNTIL MID
MORNING TUE. EXPECT IFR TO LIFR CIGS DURING THE HEAVIEST
PRECIP...WITH ONLY SLOW RECOVERY THROUGH TUE MORNING. ESE WINDS
EARLY WILL QUICKLY TOGGLE NE AS THE PRECIPITATION GETS
STARTED...WITH MORE LIGHT N TO NW FLOW ON TUE AS CIGS SLOWLY LIFT
AND SCATTER.

ELSEWHERE...THE LEADING EDGE OF THE PRECIP SHIELD WAS FROM KAVL TO
KGSP TO KAND AT ISSUANCE TIME...WITH MAINLY SNOW/SLEET AT ONSET.
KAND WILL TRANSITION TO RAIN THE QUICKEST THIS EVENING...WHILE
KGSP/KGMU GET MORE LOCKED IN WITH FZRA FOR MUCH OF THE LATE
DAY/EVENING HOURS. KAVL WILL SEE MORE SNOW/SLEET FOR A LONGER
PERIOD...BEFORE THE FZRA WINDOW OPENS THERE LATE EVENING. KHKY WILL
ALSO SEE A MUCH LONGER SNOW/SLEET WINDOW...WITH LARGER ACCUMS
POSSIBLE THAN AT THE OTHER SITES...AND SLIGHTLY LESS FZRA. ALL
TOLD...MOST OF THE SITES WILL HAVE SIGNIFICANT DEICING
ISSUES...ASIDE FROM POSSIBLY KAND WHERE RAIN IS MORE LIKELY. EXPECT
CIGS TO TRANSITION DOWN QUICKLY THROUGH MVFR LATE TODAY...WITH IFR
TO LIFR LIKELY DURING THE PERIOD OF HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION THIS
EVENING/OVERNIGHT. SLOW LIFTING AND SCATTERING IS EXPECTED THROUGH
TUE MORNING.

OUTLOOK...A WEAK WAVE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION ON WED...BUT
CONDITIONS LOOK TO BE MAINLY VFR. VERY COLD WEATHER WILL RETURN
THROUGH LATE WEEK.

CONFIDENCE TABLE...

            13-19Z        19-01Z        01-07Z        07-12Z
KCLT       HIGH  95%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KGSP       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KAVL       MED   74%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KHKY       MED   77%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KGMU       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KAND       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%

THE PERCENTAGE REFLECTS THE NUMBER OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING
WITH THE SCHEDULED TAF ISSUANCE FLIGHT RULE CATEGORY. COMPLETE HOURLY
EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLES AND ENSEMBLE FORECASTS
ARE AVAILABLE AT THE FOLLOWING LINK: (MUST BE LOWER CASE)

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION_TABLES

&&

.CLIMATE...
RECORD MINIMUM TEMPERATURES FOR THURSDAY...FEBRUARY 19TH...

GSP   9 1958
CLT   8 1958
AVL   7 1958

RECORD LOW MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES FOR THURSDAY...FEBRUARY 19TH...

GSP  30 1900
CLT  34 1958
AVL  25 1958

RECORD MINIMUM TEMPERATURES FOR FRIDAY...FEBRUARY 20TH...

GSP  13 1903
CLT  13 1896
AVL  10 1979

RECORD LOW MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES FOR FRIDAY...FEBRUARY 20TH...

GSP  34 1947
CLT  32 1947
AVL  26 1979

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY FOR GAZ010-017.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY FOR GAZ018.
NC...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY FOR NCZ033-035>037-
     048>053-056>059-062>065-068>072-082-501>510.
SC...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY FOR SCZ001>003-
     005>009.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY FOR SCZ004-010-
     012>014.

&&

SYNOPSIS...DEO
NEAR TERM...HG
SHORT TERM...JOH
LONG TERM...CDG
AVIATION...HG
CLIMATE...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
503 AM EST MON FEB 16 2015

GAZ010-017-NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-501-503-505-507-509-
SCZ001>003-171015-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-
GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-
HENDERSON-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-POLK MOUNTAINS-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-
PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-
503 AM EST MON FEB 16 2015

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...WESTERN
NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

..TUESDAY...WINTRY MIX LIKELY. PLEASE SEE CAEWSWGSP FOR DETAILS.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...COLD WAVE LIKELY. THE COLDEST TEMPERATURES OF THE
SEASON ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR...RESULTING IN BITTERLY COLD WIND
CHILLS.
..FRIDAY...COLD WAVE LIKELY.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-502-504-506-508-510-SCZ005>009-171015-
ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-
MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION-GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER BURKE-
EASTERN MCDOWELL-GREATER RUTHERFORD-EASTERN POLK-GREATER PICKENS-
GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-
503 AM EST MON FEB 16 2015

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 AM EST
TUESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PIEDMONT NORTH
CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

..TUESDAY...FREEZING RAIN LIKELY. PLEASE SEE CAEWSWGSP FOR
DETAILS.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...COLD WAVE LIKELY. THE COLDEST TEMPERATURES OF THE
SEASON ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR...RESULTING IN BITTERLY COLD WIND
CHILLS.
..FRIDAY...COLD WAVE LIKELY.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

GAZ026-028-029-SCZ011-019-171015-
FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-ABBEVILLE-GREENWOOD-
503 AM EST MON FEB 16 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND UPSTATE
SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...COLD WAVE LIKELY. THE COLDEST TEMPERATURES OF THE
SEASON ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR...RESULTING IN BITTERLY COLD WIND
CHILLS.
..FRIDAY...COLD WAVE LIKELY.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

GAZ018-SCZ004-010-012>014-171015-
STEPHENS-GREATER OCONEE-ANDERSON-LAURENS-UNION-CHESTER-
503 AM EST MON FEB 16 2015

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 AM EST
TUESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND UPSTATE
SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

..TUESDAY...FREEZING RAIN LIKELY. PLEASE SEE CAEWSWGSP FOR
DETAILS.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...COLD WAVE LIKELY. THE COLDEST TEMPERATURES OF THE
SEASON ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR...RESULTING IN BITTERLY COLD WIND
CHILLS.
..FRIDAY...COLD WAVE LIKELY.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

ARK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
243 PM EST MON FEB 16 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0230 PM     SNOW             5 NE NEWLAND            36.14N  81.86W
02/16/2015  E0.5 INCH        AVERY              NC   PUBLIC

            A THICK COATING OF SNOW WITH AT LEAST A HALF INCH ON
            FOSCOE SIDE OF NEWLAND.

&&

OUTLAW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
247 PM EST MON FEB 16 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0245 PM     SNOW             5 E COLUMBUS            35.25N  82.12W
02/16/2015  E0.0 INCH        POLK               NC   NWS EMPLOYEE

            JUST STARTING TO GET LIGHT SNOW MIXED AT TIMES WITH A
            LITTLE SLEET.

&&

OUTLAW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
257 PM EST MON FEB 16 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0240 PM     SLEET            4 ESE PINEVILLE         35.06N  80.83W
02/16/2015  E0.0 INCH        MECKLENBURG        NC   PUBLIC

            HEAVY SLEET ON WILD DOVE LANE.

&&

OUTLAW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
258 PM EST MON FEB 16 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0100 PM     SNOW             CHEROKEE                35.47N  83.31W
02/16/2015  E0.0 INCH        SWAIN              NC   PUBLIC

            FIRST LINE OF SNOW SHOWERS CROSSING AREA WITH SNOW
            ACCUMULATING RAPIDLY. A GOOD DUSTING ALREADY.

0125 PM     SLEET            4 NW CLAYTON            34.91N  83.46W
02/16/2015  E0.0 INCH        RABUN              GA   CO-OP OBSERVER

            ELEVATION 2832 FEET. SLEET STARTED AT 1119 AM. MIXED AT
            TIMES WITH SNOW AND FREEZING RAIN. BURST OF SNOW AT 1240
            AM. ALL SURFACES HAVE A THIN COATING OF ICE. TEMP
            FALLING AS WAS 24 AROUND 1PM AND NOW 23 DEGREES.

0135 PM     SNOW             HENDERSONVILLE          35.32N  82.46W
02/16/2015  E0.0 INCH        HENDERSON          NC   PUBLIC

            SNOW JUST STARTED FALLING AT A MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY
            HEAVY RATE. SURFACES ARE TURNING WHITE RAPIDLY. 24
            DEGREES.

0135 PM     SNOW             4 NNE UPTON             36.12N  81.67W
02/16/2015  E0.2 INCH        CALDWELL           NC   BROADCAST MEDIA

            ALREADY A GOOD COATING OF SNOW ON HIGHWAY 321.

0145 PM     SNOW             3 ESE GRANDFATHER MOUNT 36.09N  81.80W
02/16/2015  E0.5 INCH        AVERY              NC   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HEAVY SNOW FALLING AND ACCUMULATING RAPIDLY. AT LEAST A
            HALF INCH ON GROUND. 14 DEGREES. ELEVATION 4005 FEET.

0150 PM     SNOW             2 S SKYLAND             35.45N  82.52W
02/16/2015  E0.1 INCH        BUNCOMBE           NC   PUBLIC

            SNOWING IN ARDEN AND IS LAYING FAST.

0220 PM     SLEET            3 NNW YORK              35.04N  81.26W
02/16/2015  E0.0 INCH        YORK               SC   PUBLIC

            HEAVY SLEET STARTED ON RABBIT RUN ROAD AT 220 PM.

0230 PM     SNOW             5 NE NEWLAND            36.14N  81.86W
02/16/2015  E0.5 INCH        AVERY              NC   PUBLIC

            A THICK COATING OF SNOW WITH AT LEAST A HALF INCH ON
            FOSCOE SIDE OF NEWLAND.

0240 PM     SLEET            4 ESE PINEVILLE         35.06N  80.83W
02/16/2015  E0.0 INCH        MECKLENBURG        NC   PUBLIC

            HEAVY SLEET ON WILD DOVE LANE.

0245 PM     SNOW             5 E COLUMBUS            35.25N  82.12W
02/16/2015  E0.0 INCH        POLK               NC   NWS EMPLOYEE

            JUST STARTING TO GET LIGHT SNOW MIXED AT TIMES WITH A
            LITTLE SLEET.

&&

OUTLAW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
310 PM EST MON FEB 16 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0307 PM     SNOW             LENOIR                  35.91N  81.53W
02/16/2015  E0.1 INCH        CALDWELL           NC   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

JPT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
335 PM EST MON FEB 16 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0315 PM     SLEET            MONROE                  34.99N  80.54W
02/16/2015  E0.0 INCH        UNION              NC   PUBLIC

            MODERATE SLEET WITH A FEW SNOWFLAKES IN DOWNTOWN
            MONROE.

&&

OUTLAW