Heavy rains caused flooding on the Rogue River at Agness.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MFR wrote it up.
Heavy rains caused flooding on the Rogue River at Agness.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Medford, OR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 6, 9:26 AM PST, 3 hours 34 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
926 AM PST FRI FEB 6 2015
.UPDATES...WINDS HAVE DECREASED A BIT BUT THIS IS THE CALM BEFORE
ANOTHER STORM BRINGS GUSTY WINDS TO THE AREA. EXPECT SOUTH WINDS TO
INCREASE AGAIN AROUND NOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON
OR EARLY THIS EVENING. I HAVE RETAINED THE CURRENT WIND ADVISORY AMD
WARNING.
24 HOUR RAINFALL FOR AREAS WEST OF THE CASCADES WERE IN THE 2-3 INCH
RANGE WITH JOSEPHINE COUNTY, WESTERN SISKIYOU COUNTY AND THE
SISKIYOU MTNS RECEIVING JUST OVER 5 INCHES. SEVERAL FLOOD WATCHES
HAVE EITHER BEEN UPGRADED TO WARNINGS OR CONVERTED TO ADVISORY. SEE
PDXFLWMFR AND PDXFLSMFR FOR FLOOD CONCERNS. /FB
&&
.AVIATION...BASED ON THE 06/12Z TAF CYCLE...WIND SHEAR WILL BE A
CONCERN AT OR NEAR ALL 4 OF THE TERMINALS THROUGH THE DAY AS
SOUTHERLY WINDS INCREASE TO 50-60 KNOTS AROUND 2000 FEET ABOVE
GROUND WHILE SOME SHELTERED VALLEY LOCATIONS MAINTAIN LIGHT WINDS AT
TIMES. EAST OF THE CASCADES SOME HIGHER LEVEL WINDS OF 50 TO 70
KNOTS WILL LIKELY MIX DOWN INTO THE VALLEYS THIS MORNING INTO THE
AFTERNOON. THIS MAY BRING VERY STRONG WIND GUSTS TO EAST SIDE
TERMINALS. COASTAL LOCATIONS AND SOME WEST SIDE VALLEYS, INCLUDING
KMFR ARE ALSO EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH STRONG GUSTY WINDS TODAY.
STRONG WINDS ALOFT WILL ALSO CREATE WIDESPREAD TURBULENCE WITH
STRONG MOUNTAIN WAVE TURBULENCE EXPECTED. ADDITIONAL STRONG STORMS
ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY AND MAY BRING ADDITIONAL PERIODS OF
STRONG WINDS AND WIDESPREAD TURBULENCE.
EXPECT MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN ALONG THE COAST INTO THIS AFTERNOON
WITH MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS TO THE COAST RANGE AND STRONG GUSTY
WINDS. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PEAK THIS MORNING ALONG THE COAST BUT
WILL REMAIN GUSTY THROUGH THE 24 HOUR PERIOD. INLAND...ALSO EXPECT
MODERATE RAINFALL, BUT WITH AREAS OF HEAVY RAIN MAINLY FOR WESTERN
AND SOUTHERN SISKIYOU COUNTY, INCLUDING KMHS. THIS WILL BRING AREAS
OF MVFR CIGS TO THE COAST THIS MORNING...SPREADING INTO AREAS FROM
THE CASCADES WEST AS THE DAY PROGRESSES. IFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
IN PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN. WIDESPREAD MOUNTAIN
OBSCURATIONS ARE EXPECTED. SK/DW
&&
.MARINE...UPDATED 400 AM PST FRIDAY 6 FEBRUARY 2015....A SERIES OF
STRONG FRONTS WILL MOVE THROUGH THE WATERS INTO MONDAY WITH VERY
STEEP AND DANGEROUS SHORT PERIOD SEAS. SOUTH GALE AND STORM FORCE
WINDS AND VERY HIGH SEAS ARE AT A PEAK EARLY THIS MORNING. NOW WINDS
AND SEAS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH INTO THIS EVENING...FIRST TO GALES
THIS MORNING THEN TO SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS. THE NEXT
FRONT WILL BRING GALES AND BUILDING SEAS LATE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY THEN GALES MAY RETURN SATURDAY NIGHT BEFORE A STRONGER
FRONT ARRIVES. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR STORM FORCE WINDS AND VERY
HIGH SEAS SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. SEAS WILL LIKELY
REMAIN HAZARDOUS THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT THEN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING
IMPROVING CONDITIONS INTO MID-WEEK. /DW
&&
.DISCUSSION...A VERY ENERGETIC PATTERN REMAINS IN PLACE OVER THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST THIS MORNING. A BROAD UPPER LOW IS AFFECTING
MUCH OF THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC AND WE ARE ON THE LEADING EDGE OF
THE MOISTURE AND ENERGY AND WILL REMAIN UNDER THE GUN THROUGH THE
WEEKEND.
A VERY STRONG JET STREAK (~135 KT AT 400 MB) EMBEDDED WITHIN THE
MAIN FLOW IS APPROACHING THE COAST THIS MORNING AND WILL MOVE
ONSHORE THIS AFTERNOON. THE ASSOCIATED MOISTURE PLUME WILL
CONTINUE TO PRODUCE MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN OVER OUR AREA,
ESPECIALLY IN THE UPSLOPE AREAS FROM THE CASCADE CREST WESTWARD.
GOING PRECIPITATION FORECASTS HAVEN'T BEEN CHANGED THIS MORNING,
AND A VARIETY OF FLOOD WATCHES (INCLUDING FOR BURN SCARS IN
CALIFORNIA) REMAIN IN EFFECT.
WINDS HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED AS IT HAS BEEN QUITE A BIT WINDIER THIS
MORNING THAN EXPECTED. WE'VE ALREADY SEEN A GUST TO 123 MPH AT
SQUAW PEAK, AND STRONG WINDS HAVE BEEN MIXING DOWN INTO THE
VALLEYS AS WELL, ESPECIALLY WHEN AIDED BY THE DOWNWARD MOMENTUM
FROM HEAVIER BURSTS OF RAIN. WE'VE HAD SEVERAL OF THOSE IN MEDFORD
ALREADY, AND WINDS HAVE GUSTED AS HIGH AS 44 MPH AS A RESULT. THE
COAST, PORTIONS OF THE SHASTA VALLEY, AND THE EAST SIDE HAVE ALSO
BEEN GETTING PUMMELED WITH HIGH WINDS. I'VE EXPANDED THE HIGH WIND
WARNINGS WE ALREADY HAD FOR THESE LOCATIONS, AND I ALSO ISSUED A
WIND ADVISORY FOR MUCH OF THE ROGUE VALLEY THIS MORNING TO BRIDGE
THE GAP WE HAD UNTIL THE HIGH WIND WARNING BEGINS FOR THE ROGUE
VALLEY LATER THIS MORNING. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PEAK LATE THIS
MORNING AS THE JET STREAK MOVES ASHORE, AND ALL GUIDANCE SHOWS A
FEW HOURS OF VERY WINDY WEATHER FROM LATE MORNING INTO EARLY
AFTERNOON. THE MOUNTAINS AND EAST SIDE WILL PEAK A LITTLE LATER
TODAY.
THIS IS ALL JUST ROUND ONE WITH AT LEAST TWO MORE ROUNDS TO GO.
ANOTHER WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ALONG THE COAST
BRINGING HEAVY RAIN AND WIND ON SATURDAY. THIS WILL BE FOLLOWED BY
A VERY STRONG SYSTEM WITH MORE HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG WINDS SUNDAY.
SUNDAY'S SYSTEM IS ONE TO KEEP A CLOSE EYE ON AS THE MODELS SHOW A
STRONG, NEGATIVELY TILTED UPPER SYSTEM WITH STRONG SURFACE LOW
PRESSURE MOVING INSIDE 130W. THIS IS A CLASSIC PATTERN FOR A
DAMAGING WIND STORM AT THE COAST. THE SYSTEMS OVER THE WEEKEND
WILL CERTAINLY NECESSITATE MORE WIND WARNINGS AND WE MAY ALSO NEED
ADDITIONAL FLOOD HEADLINES AS WELL. WE'VE CHOSEN NOT TO COMPLICATE
AN ALREADY VERY COMPLICATED WATCH, WARNING, AND ADVISORY MAP BY
ADDING ANY WATCHES FOR LATER STORMS. HOWEVER, RESIDENTS AND
TRAVELERS IN THE AREA SHOULD BE AWARE THAT VERY WET AND WINDY
WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR MOST OF OUR AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
QUIETER WEATHER LOOKS TO BE IN THE OFFING FOR NEXT WEEK AS AN
UPPER RIDGE BUILDS BACK OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. -WRIGHT
&&
.AVIATION...BASED ON THE 06/06Z TAF CYCLE...WIND SHEAR WILL BE A
CONCERN AT OR NEAR ALL 4 OF THE TERMINALS THROUGH THE DAY AS WINDS
INCREASE TO 50-60 KNOTS AROUND 2000 FEET ABOVE GROUND WHILE SOME
SHELTERED VALLEY LOCATIONS MAINTAIN LIGHT WINDS AT TIMES. EAST OF
THE CASCADES SOME HIGHER LEVEL WINDS OF 50 TO 70 KNOTS WILL LIKELY
MIX DOWN INTO THE VALLEYS THIS MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON. THIS MAY
BRING VERY STRONG WIND GUSTS TO EAST SIDE TERMINALS. COASTAL
LOCATIONS AND SOME WEST SIDE VALLEYS, INCLUDING KMFR ARE ALSO
EXPECTED TO SEE PERIODS OF STRONG GUSTY WINDS TODAY. STRONG WINDS
ALOFT WILL ALSO CREATE WIDESPREAD TURBULENCE WITH STRONG MOUNTAIN
WAVE TURBULENCE EXPECTED. ADDITIONAL STRONG STORMS ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH SUNDAY AND MAY BRING ADDITIONAL PERIODS OF STRONG WINDS AND
WIDESPREAD TURBULENCE.
EXPECT MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN ALONG THE COAST WITH MOUNTAIN
OBSCURATIONS TO THE COAST RANGE AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS. WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO PEAK LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING ALONG THE COAST BUT
WILL REMAIN GUSTY THROUGH THE 24 HOUR PERIOD. INLAND...ALSO EXPECT
MODERATE RAINFALL, WITH AREAS OF HEAVY RAIN MAINLY FOR WESTERN AND
SOUTHERN SISKIYOU COUNTY, INCLUDING KMHS. THIS WILL BRING AREAS OF
MVFR CIGS TO THE COAST THIS MORNING...SPREADING INTO AREAS FROM THE
CASCADES WEST AS THE DAY PROGRESSES. IFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN
PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN. WIDESPREAD MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS
ARE EXPECTED. SK
&&
.MARINE...UPDATED 600 PM PST THURSDAY 5 FEBRUARY 2015....A SERIES OF
STRONG FRONTS WILL MOVE THROUGH THE WATERS INTO THIS WEEKEND. THE
NEXT FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE WATERS THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT AND
WILL BRING STRONGER WINDS THAN THE PREVIOUS FRONT WITH STRONG GALES
TO STORM FORCE WINDS EXPECTED. WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO PEAK
LATE THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT. SEAS ARE FORECAST TO BUILD TO
AROUND 18 TO 22 FEET DURING THIS PERIOD. ANOTHER STRONG FRONTS WILL
WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA ON SATURDAY AND MAY BRING ADDITIONAL GALES.
THEN SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY EVENING, MODELS SHOW A STRONG LOW
APPROACHING THE WATERS FRONT THE SOUTHWEST AND MOVING NORTH ALONG
THE OREGON COAST. THIS MAY BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR ANOTHER STRONG
GALE TO STORM EVENT. VERY STEEP AND HAZARDOUS SEAS ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH SATURDAY WITH ADDITIONAL VERY STEEP SEAS LATE SUNDAY INTO
MONDAY. /CC
&&
.MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR ORZ030-031.
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR ORZ030-031.
HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 10 AM PST SATURDAY FOR ORZ021-022.
FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR ORZ021>024-026-028.
HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM PST THIS MORNING FOR ORZ021-022.
WIND ADVISORY FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM PST THIS EVENING
FOR ORZ023>025.
HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 4 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON FOR ORZ027>029.
HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM PST THIS
EVENING FOR ORZ026.
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR ORZ026.
CA...HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR CAZ081-085.
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR CAZ081-085.
FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR CAZ080>083-085.
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR CAZ080-081.
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON FOR CAZ084.
PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...STORM WARNING UNTIL 7 AM PST THIS
MORNING FOR PZZ350-356-370-376.
GALE WARNING UNTIL 4 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON FOR PZZ350-356-370-
376.
HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING UNTIL 4 PM PST SATURDAY FOR PZZ350-356-
370-376.
&&PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1005 AM PST FRI FEB 6 2015
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1004 AM FLASH FLOOD 3 ESE SISKIYOU SUMMIT 42.05N 122.51W
02/06/2015 JACKSON OR LAW ENFORCEMENT
HIGHWAY 66 AND TYLER RD ARE WASHED OUT IN
SEVERAL LOCATIONS WITH TREES DOWN.
&&
SBNPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1058 AM PST FRI FEB 6 2015
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0930 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 S RIDDLE 42.94N 123.37W
02/06/2015 M2.36 INCH DOUGLAS OR TRAINED SPOTTER
2.36 INCHES OF RAIN IN THE PAST 24 HOURS
&&
RESPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1119 AM PST FRI FEB 6 2015
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1116 AM HEAVY RAIN 5 NNW WILDERVILLE 42.45N 123.51W
02/06/2015 M1.00 INCH JOSEPHINE OR TRAINED SPOTTER
4 HR RAINFALL ENDING AT 11 AM. HEAVY RAIN
DURATION 4 HOURS. OBSERVER LOCATION GRANTS
PASS.
1114 AM HEAVY RAIN 5 NNW WILDERVILLE 42.45N 123.51W
02/06/2015 M3.43 INCH JOSEPHINE OR TRAINED SPOTTER
24 HR RAINFALL ENDING AT 7 AM. RIVERBANK
ROAD FLOODED IN PLACES. WORST FLOODING NEAR
GRIFFIN PARK. HEAVY RAIN DURATION 24 HOURS.
OBSERVER LOCATION GRANTS PASS.
1112 AM HEAVY RAIN 5 N WEED 41.49N 122.37W
02/06/2015 M1.16 INCH SISKIYOU CA TRAINED SPOTTER
RAINFALL FROM 8 AM TO 1045 AM. HEAVY RAIN
DURATION 2 HOURS 45 MINUTES. OBSERVER
LOCATION 1 MILES N OF GENANDA.
1106 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 NNW HARBOR 42.05N 124.26W
02/06/2015 M3.51 INCH CURRY OR TRAINED SPOTTER
24 HR RAINFALL ENDING AT 1030 AM. HEAVY RAIN
DURATION 24 HOURS. OBSERVER LOCATION 4 MI N
OF CA BORDER ON EASTSIDE HWY 101.
1044 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 SSW ETNA 41.44N 122.91W
02/06/2015 M1.80 INCH SISKIYOU CA TRAINED SPOTTER
24 HR RAINFALL ENDING AT 1030 AM. LOCAL
GULLIES WASHING OVER ROADWAYS. HEAVY RAIN
DURATION 24 HOURS. OBSERVER LOCATION 2 MI SW
OF ETNA.
&&
NWS MEDFORD OR
IRIS SYSTEMPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1132 AM PST FRI FEB 6 2015
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1116 AM HEAVY RAIN 5 NNW WILDERVILLE 42.45N 123.51W
02/06/2015 M1.00 INCH JOSEPHINE OR TRAINED SPOTTER
4 HR RAINFALL ENDING AT 11 AM. HEAVY RAIN
DURATION 4 HOURS. OBSERVER LOCATION GRANTS
PASS.
1114 AM HEAVY RAIN 5 NNW WILDERVILLE 42.45N 123.51W
02/06/2015 M3.43 INCH JOSEPHINE OR TRAINED SPOTTER
24 HR RAINFALL ENDING AT 7 AM. RIVERBANK
ROAD FLOODED IN PLACES. WORST FLOODING NEAR
GRIFFIN PARK. HEAVY RAIN DURATION 24 HOURS.
OBSERVER LOCATION GRANTS PASS.
1112 AM HEAVY RAIN 5 N WEED 41.49N 122.37W
02/06/2015 M1.16 INCH SISKIYOU CA TRAINED SPOTTER
RAINFALL FROM 8 AM TO 1045 AM. HEAVY RAIN
DURATION 2 HOURS 45 MINUTES. OBSERVER
LOCATION 1 MILES N OF GENANDA.
1106 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 NNW HARBOR 42.05N 124.26W
02/06/2015 M3.51 INCH CURRY OR TRAINED SPOTTER
24 HR RAINFALL ENDING AT 1030 AM. HEAVY RAIN
DURATION 24 HOURS. OBSERVER LOCATION 4 MI N
OF CA BORDER ON EASTSIDE HWY 101.
1044 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 SSW ETNA 41.44N 122.91W
02/06/2015 M1.80 INCH SISKIYOU CA TRAINED SPOTTER
24 HR RAINFALL ENDING AT 1030 AM. LOCAL
GULLIES WASHING OVER ROADWAYS. HEAVY RAIN
DURATION 24 HOURS. OBSERVER LOCATION 2 MI SW
OF ETNA.
&&
NWS MEDFORD OR
IRIS SYSTEMPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1134 AM PST FRI FEB 6 2015
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1133 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 ENE NORTH BEND 43.42N 124.20W
02/06/2015 M1.05 INCH COOS OR TRAINED SPOTTER
4 HR RAINFALL ENDING AT 11 AM. HEAVY RAIN
DURATION 4 HOURS. OBSERVER LOCATION 3 MI E
OF NORTH BEND.
&&
NWS MEDFORD OR
IRIS SYSTEMPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1202 PM PST FRI FEB 6 2015
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1200 PM HEAVY RAIN 1 SSE ASHLAND 42.18N 122.69W
02/06/2015 M1.34 INCH JACKSON OR TRAINED SPOTTER
HEAVY RAIN DURATION 2 HOURS. OBSERVER
LOCATION UP BEHIND OSU.
1200 PM FLOOD GLENDALE 42.74N 123.43W
02/06/2015 DOUGLAS OR TRAINED SPOTTER
FLOODING NEAR CORNER TUNNEL ROAD AND
GLENDALE VALLEY ROAD
1159 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 ESE JACKSONVILLE 42.30N 122.92W
02/06/2015 M1.51 INCH JACKSON OR TRAINED SPOTTER
HEAVY RAIN DURATION 17 HOURS. OBSERVER
LOCATION ABOUT 3 MI EAST OF JACKSONVILLE.
&&
NWS MEDFORD OR
IRIS SYSTEMThe national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
The Rogue River at Agness exceeded the flood stage of 17.0 feet at 06/1300 PST. The stream crested at 24.24 feet at 06/2015 PST. The stream dropped below flood stage at 08/0230 PST.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Oregon in 2015Every state in 2015This day in weather historyWarnings in Oregon, February 2015
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 551654.