Heavy rains caused the Rogue River at Agness to flood on these dates.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MFR wrote it up.
Heavy rains caused the Rogue River at Agness to flood on these dates.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Medford, OR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 13, 2:25 PM PST, 5 hours 29 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
225 PM PST SUN DEC 13 2015
.DISCUSSION...THE STORM THAT BROUGHT THE MESS IN OUR REGION HAS
FINALLY MOVED SOUTHEAST. HOWEVER AN UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO THE
REGION TONIGHT WITH SEVERAL DISTURBANCES MOVING THROUGH. IN ADDITION
COLD AIR ALOFT WITH 500MB TEMPERATURES BETWEEN -30 AND -33 C WILL
MOVE OVER THE AREA. THE FIRST DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE IN LATER THIS
EVENING BRINGING ENHANCED PRECIPITATION MAINLY WEST OF THE CASCADES.
SNOW LEVELS WILL REMAIN LOW AND WITH THIS EVENT COMING IN AFTER DARK
WILL BRING A HIGHER CHANCE FOR ACCUMULATING SNOW MAINLY ABOVE 1000-
1500 FEET. HOWEVER SNOW COULD ACCUMULATE EVEN LOWER IN AREAS THAT
GET HEAVIER SHOWERS. THEREFORE WE'LL LEAVE THE WINTER STORM WARNINGS
AND ADVISORIES AS FOR THE WESTSIDE. ALSO COULD NOT RULE OUT ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE MARINE WATERS AND ALONG THE COAST THIS
EVENING. MEANWHILE THE MODELS SUGGEST PRECIPITATION WILL DECREASE
THIS EVENING EAST OF THE CASCADES. A FEW SNOW SHOWERS WILL LINGER
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT, BUT MOST OF THE ACCUMULATING SNOW IS EXPECTED
BETWEEN NOW AND 10 PM PST. THEREFORE ADJUSTED THE EXPIRATION TIME OF
THE WINTER HEADLINES THERE EARLIER. SEE NPWMFR FOR MORE DETAILS.
A MOIST NORTHWEST FLOW WILL CONTINUE MONDAY WITH RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS MAINLY FOR THE WEST SIDE. THE MODELS SHOW ANOTHER
DISTURBANCE WITHIN THE NORTHWEST FLOW ARRIVING MONDAY AFTERNOON
BRINGING A NET INCREASE IN SHOWER ACTIVITY. SNOW LEVELS SHOULD COME
UP SOME, BUT ONLY TO AROUND 2000 FEET. THEREFORE IT'S POSSIBLE
HEAVIER SHOWERS COULD BRING TEMPORARY ACCUMULATIONS. THINGS WILL
FINALLY START TO QUIET DOWN MONDAY NIGHT AS 500MB HEIGHTS RISE AS AN
UPPER RIDGE GRADUALLY SHIFTS EAST, BUT IT WILL BE COLD, ESPECIALLY
IN AREAS THAT ARE STILL SNOW COVERED. -PETRUCELLI
.LONG TERM...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...WE WILL BE IN A RELATIVE BREAK
IN THE PRECIPITATION TUESDAY THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY WITH ONLY A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND CHILLY CONDITIONS AREA-WIDE.
HOWEVER, THERE IS NO SIGN OF THIS ACTIVE PATTERN ENDING ANY TIME
SOON AS ANOTHER SYSTEM ARRIVES LATER WEDNESDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL
FOLLOW A PROGRESSION SIMILAR TO THE ONE WE JUST HAD. IT WILL PUSH A
VERY WET WARM FRONT THROUGH THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT, WHICH IS
FOLLOWED BY A SLOW MOVING AND VERY WET COLD FRONT STALLING OVER OUR
AREA THURSDAY AND THEN SLOWLY SAGGING THROUGH THE REGION FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY.
PRELIMINARY RAINFALL FORECASTS INDICATE THIS SYSTEM COULD PUT DOWN
ANOTHER 4 TO 8 INCHES OF RAIN ALONG COAST AND ANOTHER INCH OR TWO
INLAND DURING THE THURSDAY-SATURDAY PERIOD. SNOW LEVELS LOOK TO BE
HIGHER THAN WHAT WE SAW TODAY, AND WITH THE COLD FRONT MOVING SO
SLOWLY, WE WOULDN'T EXPECT RAPIDLY PLUNGING SNOW LEVELS OR ANY LOW
LEVEL SNOW IMPACTS. HOWEVER, THIS WOULD LIKELY TEST RIVERS AGAIN,
AND NOW THAT GROUND IS ALREADY SATURATED AND WE'VE GOT A LOT OF SNOW
IN LOW ELEVATIONS THAT COULD MELT, WE WILL PROBABLY SEE SOME
HYDROLOGY ISSUES. FOR NOW, WE'VE INCREASED POPS DURING THE PERIOD
AND WE'LL SEE HOW THIS UNFOLDS IN THE DAYS AHEAD.
THAT WILL BE FOLLOWED BY YET ANOTHER SYSTEM NEXT WEEKEND. THE
WEEKEND SYSTEM LOOKS WET AND COOLER WITH LOWER SNOW LEVELS. THE
MODELS ARE ALL IN RATHER GOOD AGREEMENT WITH ALL OF THE ABOVE, SO
CONFIDENCE IS FAIRLY HIGH IN BOTH THESE STORMS. -WRIGHT
&&
.AVIATION...FOR THE 13/18Z TAF CYCLE...A COLD FRONT IS MOVING OFF TO
OUR EAST. THERE WILL STILL BE PLENTY OF SHOWERS AROUND ON THE WEST
SIDE THIS AFTERNOON, AND WITH SNOW LEVELS HOVERING RIGHT NEAR THE
VALLEY FLOORS, ANY OF THEM COULD MIX WITH SNOW AT KMFR OR KRBG.
CONDITIONS WILL BE MVFR BUT POSSIBLE IFR CIGS OR VIS IN SHOWERS.
THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST AND UMPQUA INCLUDING
KOTH AND KRBG. THESE SHOWERS WILL INCREASE THIS EVENING AS ANOTHER
WAVE COMES THROUGH. SNOW LEVELS WILL REMAIN LOW, SO SNOW IS POSSIBLE
AGAIN AT KRBG AND KMFR THIS EVENING AND IFR CIGS/VIS WOULD BE LIKELY
IN ANY SNOW SHOWERS. EAST OF THE CASCADES, SNOW HAS ALREADY
DIMINISHED IN KLMT AND THE HEAVIEST SNOW WILL GRADUALLY MOVE EAST
AND OUT OF OUR AREA THIS AFTERNOON. SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE
THROUGH THE NIGHT AT KLMT. MOUNTAINS WILL REMAIN OBSCURED MOST
AREAS THROUGH TONIGHT. -WRIGHT
&&
.MARINE...UPDATED 350 AM PST SUNDAY 13 DEC 2015....NORTHWEST WINDS
WILL INCREASE TODAY AND PEAK THIS EVENING THEN LOWER ON MONDAY.
GUSTS UP TO 35 KT ARE POSSIBLE IN THE EVENING. LARGE AND VERY STEEP
SEAS DOMINATED BY A WEST SWELL AT 13 TO 14 SECONDS ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH TONIGHT THEN SEAS WILL GRADUALLY LOWER ON MONDAY. SEAS ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN STEEP MONDAY AND TUESDAY. ANOTHER FRONT ARRIVES
LATE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY MORNING. THIS MAY BRING A PERIOD OF
STRONG GUSTY SOUTH WINDS AS WELL AS STEEP TO VERY STEEP SEAS. /CC
&&
.MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR ORZ030.
WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR ORZ030.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR ORZ031.
WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR ORZ031.
WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 10 AM PST MONDAY ABOVE 1000 FEET FOR
FOR ORZ024.
FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR ORZ024-026.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM PST MONDAY BELOW 1000 FEET
FOR FOR ORZ024.
HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR ORZ021-022.
WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 10 AM PST MONDAY ABOVE 1000 FEET FOR
FOR ORZ023.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM PST MONDAY FOR ORZ023.
FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR ORZ023.
WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 10 AM PST MONDAY FOR ORZ025.
FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR ORZ021-022.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR ORZ029.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM PST MONDAY BELOW 1500 FEET
FOR FOR ORZ026.
WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 10 AM PST MONDAY ABOVE 1500 FEET FOR
FOR ORZ026.
WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 4 AM PST MONDAY FOR ORZ027-028.
WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR ORZ029.
CA...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM PST MONDAY ABOVE 2000 FEET
FOR FOR CAZ080.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR CAZ082.
WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR CAZ082.
FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR CAZ080.
WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 4 AM PST MONDAY ABOVE 3000 FEET FOR
FOR CAZ080.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM PST MONDAY FOR CAZ081.
WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 4 AM PST MONDAY FOR CAZ081.
WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 4 AM PST MONDAY ABOVE 5000 FEET FOR
FOR CAZ083.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR CAZ085.
WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR CAZ085.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM PST MONDAY FOR CAZ083.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR CAZ084.
PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING UNTIL 4 AM PST TUESDAY FOR
PZZ350-356-370-376.PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
318 PM PST SUN DEC 13 2015
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0300 PM HEAVY RAIN 4 NNE TAKILMA 42.11N 123.58W
12/13/2015 M3.02 INCH JOSEPHINE OR TRAINED SPOTTER
SPOTTER ESTIMATED 2 INCHES OF SNOW THIS
MORNING, TOTAL LIQUID EQUIVALENT OF RAIN +
SNOW MELTED DOWN IS 3.02 INCHES. OBSERVER
LOCATION NEAR JCT. OF HOLLAND LOOP & DICK
GRG.
&&
NWS MEDFORD OR
IRIS SYSTEMPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
411 PM PST SUN DEC 13 2015
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0411 PM HEAVY RAIN 3 N PROVOLT 42.32N 123.22W
12/13/2015 M2.75 INCH JACKSON OR TRAINED SPOTTER
7AM TO 7AM OBSERVER LOCATION NEAR PROVOLT.
&&
SBNPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
414 PM PST SUN DEC 13 2015
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0412 PM HEAVY RAIN KERBY 42.19N 123.65W
12/13/2015 M2.73 INCH JOSEPHINE OR TRAINED SPOTTER
1.25 SNOW ON GROUND AT 8 AM OBSERVER
LOCATION MIDDLE OF KERBY BEHIND STONE FRONT
TAVERN.
&&
SBNPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
452 PM PST SUN DEC 13 2015
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1000 AM HEAVY SNOW 1 SW MYRTLE CREEK 43.02N 123.29W
12/13/2015 E5.5 INCH DOUGLAS OR PUBLIC
SNOW DEPTH AT 10:00 AM. ACCUMULATION PERIOD
MIDNIGHT TO 10 AM
&&
NWS MEDFORD OR
IRIS SYSTEMPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
453 PM PST SUN DEC 13 2015
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0400 PM HEAVY RAIN 2 WSW OBRIEN 42.06N 123.73W
12/13/2015 M4.90 INCH JOSEPHINE OR TRAINED SPOTTER
HAD ABOUT A HALF INCH OF SNOW AS WELL.
OBSERVER LOCATION 1.6 MILES FROM HWY 199 IN
O BRIEN.
&&
NWS MEDFORD OR
IRIS SYSTEMPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
503 PM PST SUN DEC 13 2015
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0503 PM HEAVY RAIN 2 NNW CENTRAL POINT 42.39N 122.92W
12/13/2015 M3.05 INCH JACKSON OR NWS EMPLOYEE
STORM TOTAL PRECIP
&&
NWS MEDFORD OR
IRIS SYSTEMThe national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
The Rogue River at Agness exceeded the flood stage of 17.0 feet at 13/1954 PST, crested above minor flood stage at 17.7 feet at 13/2300 PST, then fell below flood stage at 14/0204 PST.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Oregon in 2015Every state in 2015This day in weather historyWarnings in Oregon, December 2015
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 609985.