Heavy rains caused Deer Creek at Roseburg to flood on this date.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MFR wrote it up.
Heavy rains caused Deer Creek at Roseburg to flood on this date.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Medford, OR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 12, 9:59 PM PST, 3 hours 20 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
959 PM PST SAT DEC 12 2015
.DISCUSSION...A MAJOR STORM WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT SOUTHERN
OREGON AND NORTHERN CALIFORNIA THROUGH SUNDAY BUT JUST A VERY
MINOR ADJUSTMENT TO THE FORECAST THIS EVENING TO INCREASE RIDGE
TOP MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY. MAXIMUMS ON RIDGES AND IN SOME
VALLEYS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR IN THE MORNING WITH COOLING DURING
THE DAY. THE STRONGEST WINDS AND HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION WILL OCCUR
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING WITH THE EXCEPTION THAT MODERATE
PRECIPITATION WILL LINGER INTO THE AFTERNOON IN MODOC COUNTY.
SNOW LEVELS ARE AT A PEAK AND WILL BE AROUND 5000 FEET OVERNIGHT
THEN A COLD FRONT WILL SEND SNOW LEVELS ABRUPTLY LOWER DURING
SUNDAY...DOWN TO AROUND 1500 TO 2000 FEET WHILE PRECIPITATION
TAPERS TO LIGHT INTENSITY. THERE MAY BE UP TO A COUPLE OF INCHES
OF SNOW AT THAT ELEVATION WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS ON WEST AND
NORTHWEST FACING SLOPES OF THE FOOTHILLS AND MOUNTAINS.
THE OTHER MAJOR SHORT TERM CONCERN IS RIVER FLOODING WITH THE
POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING AT BURN SCARS...PLEASE SEE THE
LATEST PRODUCTS /PDXFFAMFR AND PDXFLSMFR/ FOR DETAILS.
A COUPLE OF SHORTWAVE TROUGHS IN A COLD NORTHERLY POST-FRONTAL
AIR MASS WILL PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LIGHT SNOW TO LOW
ELEVATIONS...DOWN TO AROUND 1000 TO 1500 FEET SUNDAY NIGHT
THROUGH MONDAY. A FEW FLURRIES WILL LINGER MONDAY NIGHT THEN WEAK
HIGH PRESSURE WILL PROVIDE A BREAK IN THE WEATHER TUESDAY INTO
EARLY WEDNESDAY. THE 00Z GFS IS CONSISTENT THAT A MODERATELY
STRONG FRONT IN A WESTERLY FLOW IS EXPECTED TO BRING THE NEXT
BATCH OF PRECIPITATION LATE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. THERE IS A
HIGH AMOUNT OF UNCERTAINTY LATE IN THE WEEK WITH THE ECMWF WEAKER
THAN THE GFS WITH ANOTHER POTENTIALLY WET STORM FRIDAY INTO
SATURDAY.
&&
.AVIATION...FOR THE 13/00Z TAF CYCLE... MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS THE WEST SIDE TO THE CASCADES DURING THE AFTERNOON
AND ACROSS THE AREA BY THIS EVENING....WITH HEAVY SNOW AND
BLOWING SNOW ALREADY EAST OF THE CASCADES. THIS WILL PRODUCE MOUNTAIN
OBSCURATIONS WITH A MIX OF IFR AND MVFR CONDITIONS. THIS WILL
CONTINUE OVERNIGHT THROUGH AT LEAST TOMORROW MORNING. -SVEN
&&
.MARINE...UPDATED 830 PM PST SATURDAY 12 DEC 2015...STRONG
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL VEER TO WESTERLY THIS EVENING THEN NORTHWEST
WINDS WILL INCREASE ON SUNDAY AND PERSIST INTO MONDAY NIGHT. VERY
STEEP SEAS ARE LIKELY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. SEAS WILL LIKELY
REMAIN STEEP BUT GRADUALLY DIMINISH MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
ANOTHER FRONT ARRIVES LATE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY MORNING.
-SVEN/DW
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 442 PM PST SAT DEC 12 2015/
DISCUSSION...A MAJOR STORM WILL IMPACT MANY LOCATIONS THROUGH SUNDAY
NIGHT. THIS STORM WILL BRING SEVERAL WEATHER HAZARDS FOR MOST, IF
NOT THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA. HEAVY RAIN WITH FLOODING. HEAVY SNOW
FOR THE MOUNTAINS AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS EAST OF THE CASCADES AND
NORTHERN CAL ARE GOING TO HAVE A MAJOR IMPACT THROUGH TONIGHT. A
STRONG WARM FRONT WILL PUSH WEST OF THE CASCADES LATE THIS
AFTERNOON, THEN EAST OF THE CASCADES THIS EVENING. THIS WILL RESULT
IN SNOW LEVELS BRIEFLY INCREASING BETWEEN 6000-7000 FEET FOR ABOUT 6
HOURS THIS EVENING, THEN THEY ARE EXPECTED TO LOWER AGAIN OVERNIGHT
TONIGHT. ALLOWING SNOW TO BRIEFLY CHANGE TO RAIN...EXCEPT AT THE
HIGHEST ELEVATIONS. MEANWHILE, AN UPPER TROUGH OFFSHORE WILL DIG AND
ENERGIZE A COLD FRONT THAT WILL MOVE ONSHORE BY SUNDAY MORNING. THIS
FRONT WILL HAVE A GOOD SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE FEED...AND WILL RESULT
IN A PERIOD OF INTENSE RAINFALL ALONG THE COAST AND INLAND...BUT
ESPECIALLY IN THE CURRY COAST RANGE WHERE OROGRAPHIC LIFT WILL
ENHANCE RAIN RATES. RAIN RATES EXCEEDING 0.50"/HR ARE LIKELY IN MANY
AREAS AND NUMEROUS FLOOD PRODUCTS ARE OUT AT FFAMFR. GUIDANCE
INDICATES THIS WILL BE A TOP 5 PERCENT 2-DAY RAIN EVENT FOR THE
AREA. THERE IS ALSO A FLASH FLOOD THREAT FOR BURN SCAR AREAS IN
PORTIONS OF DOUGLAS COUNTY WHERE THE STOUTS CREEK WILDFIRE OCCURRED
AS WELL AS IN WESTERN SISKIYOU COUNTY WHERE THE HAPPY CAMP AND JULY
WILDFIRES OCCURRED. MEANWHILE STRONG WINDS ALOFT ARE EXPECTED AHEAD
OF AND ALONG THE FRONT TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING AND ARE EXPECTED
TO PEAK OUT BETWEEN 70-80 KT EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. ALSO THE GRADIENT
BETWEEN RDD AND MFR WILL PEAK AT ABOUT 8-10 MB RESULTING IN STRONG
WINDS IN THE SHASTA VALLEY. ALSO STRONG WINDS ARE LIKELY NEAR SUMMER
LAKE. THE COMBINATION OF WIND AND SNOW COULD RESULT IN NEAR BLIZZARD
CONDITIONS UP AROUND CRATER LAKE NATIONAL PARK AND MOUNT ASHLAND.
THEREFORE IT'S STRONGLY RECOMMENDED YOU DO NOT TRAVEL IN THESE AREAS.
ON SUNDAY MUCH COLDER AIR WILL MOVE IN FROM NORTH TO SOUTH WEST OF
THE CASCADES. A LOOK AT MODEL SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THERE IS THE
POTENTIAL FOR CONDITIONS TO GO ISOTHERMAL AROUND 0C AROUND 15Z
(7AM PST) SUNDAY MORNING WHICH COULD RESULT IN RAIN CHANGING OVER
TO SNOW RATHER QUICKLY DURING THE MORNING HOURS SUNDAY RESULTING
IN SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ON THE PASSES ALONG I-5 BETWEEN GRANTS PASS
AND ROSEBURG, NOT TO MENTION SISKIYOU SUMMIT. SNOW LEVELS WILL
REMAIN LOW THROUGH MONDAY, AND ADDITIONAL DISTURBANCES WILL BRING
PRECIPITATION, ALL OF WHICH COULD FALL AS SNOW AT THE VALLEY
FLOORS ABOVE 1000 FEET. THIS WILL BE ESPECIALLY TRUE AT NIGHT AND
WHEN PRECIPITATION RATES ARE HIGH (HEAVY PRECIP CAN DRAG SNOW
LEVELS LOWER). BECAUSE OF THIS, HAVE ISSUED WINTER STORM WARNING
AND WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES FOR WEST OF THE CASCADES FOR LATER
SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. NOT ALL VALLEY LOCATIONS
WILL NECESSARILY HAVE ANY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS, BUT ALL THOSE IN THE
ADVISORY COULD. SEE WSWMFR FOR MORE DETAILS.
COLD AIR ALOFT WILL MOVE IN SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY KEEPING POST-
FRONTAL SHOWERS GOING. THIS WILL ALSO RENEW A LIGHTNING/SMALL HAIL
THREAT OVER THE COASTAL WATERS AND ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST. SNOW
LEVELS WILL DROP DOWN NEAR THE VALLEY FLOORS WEST OF THE CASCADES BY
MONDAY MORNING AND WITH LEFTOVER SNOW SHOWERS IN THE AREA. MOST OF
THE PRECIPITATION DURING THE TIME IS EXPECTED TO BE CONFINED TO THE
CASCADES WEST. THE EASTSIDE AND NORTHERN CAL WILL SEE LIGHT QPF
AMOUNTS. -PETRUCELLI
&&
.MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR
ORZ029>031.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 4 AM SUNDAY TO 4 AM PST MONDAY FOR
ORZ030.
WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 4 AM PST MONDAY FOR ORZ030.
HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 10 AM PST SUNDAY FOR ORZ031.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 4 AM SUNDAY TO 4 AM PST MONDAY FOR
ORZ031.
WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 4 AM PST MONDAY FOR ORZ031.
FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR ORZ024-026.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 4 AM SUNDAY TO 10 AM PST MONDAY FOR
ORZ024.
WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 4 AM SUNDAY TO 10 AM PST MONDAY FOR
ORZ024.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 4 AM SUNDAY TO 10 AM PST MONDAY FOR
ORZ025.
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR ORZ023.
WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 4 AM SUNDAY TO 10 AM PST MONDAY FOR
ORZ025.
FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR ORZ021-022.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 4 AM SUNDAY TO 4 AM PST MONDAY FOR
ORZ029.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 4 AM SUNDAY TO 10 AM PST MONDAY FOR
ORZ026.
WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 4 AM SUNDAY TO 10 AM PST MONDAY FOR
ORZ026.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 4 AM SUNDAY TO 10 AM PST MONDAY FOR
ORZ023.
WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 4 AM SUNDAY TO 10 AM PST MONDAY FOR
ORZ023.
WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 10 PM PST SUNDAY FOR ORZ027-028.
WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 4 AM PST MONDAY FOR ORZ029.
CA...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 10 PM PST SUNDAY ABOVE 2000
FEET FOR FOR CAZ080.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 10 PM PST SUNDAY FOR
CAZ082.
WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 10 PM PST SUNDAY FOR CAZ082.
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR CAZ080.
WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 4 AM TO 10 PM PST SUNDAY ABOVE 3000
FEET FOR FOR CAZ080.
HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 7 AM PST SUNDAY FOR CAZ081.
WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 4 AM TO 10 PM PST SUNDAY FOR CAZ081.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR CAZ083.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 10 PM PST SUNDAY FOR
CAZ084.
WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 10 PM PST SUNDAY ABOVE 5000 FEET FOR
FOR CAZ083.
WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 4 AM TO 10 PM PST SUNDAY FOR CAZ085.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 10 PM PST SUNDAY FOR
CAZ083.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM PST SUNDAY FOR
CAZ085.
PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING UNTIL 10 PM PST SUNDAY FOR
PZZ350-356-370-376.
DW/MAP/SBNPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1031 PM PST SAT DEC 12 2015
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1000 PM HEAVY RAIN 5 NNW BROOKINGS 42.12N 124.32W
12/12/2015 M5.00 INCH CURRY OR TRAINED SPOTTER
SPOTTER REPORTS RAINFALL RATES OF 0.50"/HOUR
IN THE LAST 3 HOURS. ALSO HAD A WIND GUST TO
51 MPH. OBSERVER LOCATION 5 MI N OF
BROOKINGS NEAR CAPE FERRELO.
&&
NWS MEDFORD OR
IRIS SYSTEMPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1033 PM PST SAT DEC 12 2015
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0930 PM HEAVY RAIN 2 SE ROSEBURG 43.20N 123.33W
12/12/2015 M1.25 INCH DOUGLAS OR TRAINED SPOTTER
OBSERVER LOCATION IN TOWN.
&&
NWS MEDFORD OR
IRIS SYSTEMPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1148 PM PST SAT DEC 12 2015
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1145 PM HEAVY RAIN 2 ENE MURPHY 42.36N 123.29W
12/12/2015 M1.12 INCH JOSEPHINE OR TRAINED SPOTTER
OBSERVER LOCATION GRANTS PASS.
&&
NWS MEDFORD OR
IRIS SYSTEMPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1219 AM PST SUN DEC 13 2015
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1215 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 SSE COOS BAY 43.36N 124.22W
12/13/2015 M2.57 INCH COOS OR TRAINED SPOTTER
OBSERVER LOCATION SOUTH OF COOS BAY.
&&
NWS MEDFORD OR
IRIS SYSTEMPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1243 AM PST SUN DEC 13 2015
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1200 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 NNE LANGLOIS 42.94N 124.45W
12/13/2015 M2.67 INCH CURRY OR TRAINED SPOTTER
SPOTTER REPORTS 2.67 INCHES OF RAIN OVER THE
PAST 12 HOURS AND 3.24 INCHES OVER THE PAST
24 HOURS. OBSERVER LOCATION 0.5 N OF
LANGLOIS.
&&
BSPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1244 AM PST SUN DEC 13 2015
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1200 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 ENE BROOKINGS 42.06N 124.28W
12/13/2015 E5.85 INCH CURRY OR TRAINED SPOTTER
24 HOUR TOTAL ENDING AT MIDNIGHT. STILL
RAINING IN AREA. NO FLOODING REPORTED.
OBSERVER LOCATION IN TOWN NEAR SCHOOL
COMPLEX.
&&
BSThe national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Deer Creek at Roseburg exceeded the flood stage of 10.0 feet at 13/0119 PST, crested above moderate flood stage at 13.72 feet at 13/0430 PST, then fell below flood stage at 13/0919 PST. A report later in the morning reported that flood waters entered a nearby restaurant.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Oregon in 2015Every state in 2015This day in weather historyWarnings in Oregon, December 2015
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 609973.