Oregon, 2015

Flood in Oregon, December 13, 2015

December 13, 2015 · NWS MFR · 1 event in 1 county or zone

Heavy rains caused the North Fork of the Coquille River to flood on this date.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS MFR wrote it up.

Heavy rains caused the North Fork of the Coquille River to flood on this date.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Medford, OR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 13, 9:09 AM PST, 1 hour 21 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 13, 9:09 AM PST, 1 hour 21 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
909 AM PST SUN DEC 13 2015

.DISCUSSION...AS EXPECTED CONDITIONS WENT ISOTHERMAL EARLY THIS
MORNING AND WE HAD RAIN TURN OVER TO A BRIEF PERIOD OF MODERATE
TO HEAVY WET SNOW FOR MOST WESTSIDE LOCATIONS DOWN NEAR THE VALLEY
FLOORS. FROM REPORTS WE HAVE BEEN GETTING THIS MORNING. A FEW
INCHES OF SNOW HAD FALLEN MAINLY ABOVE 1500 FEET WITH A TRACE TO 2
INCHES OF SLUSH IN THE VALLEYS INCLUDING MEDFORD PROPER AND
ROSEBURG. THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION HAS MOVED SOUTH INTO NORTHERN
CAL. BECAUSE OF THAT WE HAVE SEEN WET SNOW TURN BACK OVER TO RAIN
HERE AT THE OFFICE. THERE'S A CHANCE SNOW LEVELS WILL COME UP SOME
THIS MORNING, HOWEVER AN UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA
BRINGING IN COLDER AIR ALOFT AND SHOWERS WILL INCREASE. SOME OF
THE SHOWERS COULD BE MODERATE TO HEAVY WHICH WILL TEMPORARILY DRAG
SNOW LEVELS DOWN ENOUGH FOR SNOW TO TEMPORARY ACCUMULATE ON ROADS.
THE CHANCE FOR ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL BE HIGHER AFTER DARK AND
TEMPERATURES DROP. ADJUSTED THE WINTER WEATHER HEADLINES WEST OF
THE CASCADES TO REFLECT LOWER SNOW LEVELS. -PETRUCELLI

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 13/12Z TAF CYCLE...PRECIPITATION HAS DECREASED
THIS MORNING, BUT SHOWERS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON RESULTING
IN MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS AND A MIX OF IFR AND MVFR CONDITIONS.
FREEZING LEVELS WILL FALL TO 2500 FT MSL THEN REMAIN LOW WITH
ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS TONIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...UPDATED 350 AM PST SUNDAY 13 DEC 2015....NORTHWEST WINDS
WILL INCREASE TODAY AND PEAK THIS EVENING THEN LOWER ON MONDAY.
GUSTS UP TO 35 KT ARE POSSIBLE IN THE EVENING. LARGE AND VERY STEEP
SEAS DOMINATED BY A WEST SWELL AT 13 TO 14 SECONDS ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH TONIGHT THEN SEAS WILL GRADUALLY LOWER ON MONDAY. SEAS ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN STEEP MONDAY AND TUESDAY. ANOTHER FRONT ARRIVES
LATE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY MORNING. THIS MAY BRING A PERIOD OF
STRONG GUSTY SOUTH WINDS AS WELL AS STEEP TO VERY STEEP SEAS. /CC

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 518 AM PST SUN DEC 13 2015/

UPDATE...HAVE UPDATED THE FORECAST TO INCLUDE SNOW DOWN TO 500
FEET IN THE VALLEYS WEST OF THE CASCADES THIS MORNING AS HEAVY
PRECIPITATION RATES HAVE BEEN ABLE TO LOWER THE SNOW LEVEL DOWN
EVEN LOWER THAN PREVIOUSLY ANTICIPATED. LATEST WEB CAMS ARE
SHOWING SOME ACCUMULATING SNOW ON INTERSTATE 5 NEAR ROSEBURG AND
MEDFORD. THE HEAVY PRECIPITATION BAND IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY
SHIFT SOUTH AND EAST OF THE AREA THIS MORNING...SO SNOW RATES WILL
NOT BE AS HIGH AS THEY ARE RIGHT NOW. EXPECT SNOW TO TAPER OFF
MID-MORNING AND THE SNOW LEVEL TO RISE SLIGHTLY LATE THIS MORNING
AND THIS AFTERNOON. EVEN SO, EXPECT TRAVEL-RELATED IMPACTS IN
THE WEST SIDE VALLEYS THIS MORNING. ROADS WILL BE VERY SLIPPERY
AND HAZARDOUS IN SOME AREAS, WHILE WET IN OTHERS. PLEASE USE
CAUTION AND TAKE SOME EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION THIS
MORNING. SPILDE

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 357 AM PST SUN DEC 13 2015/

DISCUSSION...VERY HEAVY PRECIPITATION IS MOVING THROUGH THE AREA
AT THIS TIME AS A DEEP MOIST PLUME (ATMOSPHERIC RIVER) ASSOCIATED
WITH A STRONG COLD FRONT PRESSES IN FROM THE PACIFIC. RAINFALL
RATES IN THE LAST COUPLE OF HOURS HAVE BEEN IMPRESSIVE...IN SOME
CASES...0.25-0.50 IN/HR OVER THE WEST SIDE VALLEYS. ALONG THE
CURRY COAST AND THE COAST RANGES, RAINFALL RATES EARLIER WERE
0.40-0.80 IN/HR. THIS HAS PROMPTED THE ISSUANCE OF SEVERAL FLOOD
PRODUCTS, INCLUDING AN AREAL FLOOD WARNING FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN COOS, CURRY AND WESTERN JOSEPHINE COUNTIES AND URBAN AND
SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORIES FOR THE CITIES OF CENTRAL DOUGLAS
AND JACKSON COUNTIES. THESE RAIN RATES LIKELY CONTINUE FOR THE
NEXT FEW HOURS, AND ADVISORIES MAY NEED TO BE UPGRADED TO AREAL
FLOOD WARNINGS. SEVERAL STREAMS AND CREEKS ARE ALREADY RUNNING OUT
OF THEIR BANKS AND MAIN STEM RIVER FLOODING IS OCCURRING ON THE
COQUILLE AND PORTIONS OF THE UMPQUA. THIS MAY TRANSLATE TO THE
ROGUE RIVER IN SOME AREAS THIS MORNING AS RAINFALL CONTINUES TO
POUND DOWN.

MEANWHILE, SNOW CONTINUES TO PILE UP OVER THE MOUNTAINS...EXPECT
STORM TOTALS OF 1 TO 3 FEET OVER THE CASCADES AND SISKIYOUS WITH
MANY AREAS IN THE FOOTHILLS AND OVER THE EAST SIDE RECEIVING A
SOLID 6-12 INCHES. SNOW LEVELS ROSE BRIEFLY OVERNIGHT ALLOWING
SNOW TO CHANGE TO RAIN IN SOME AREAS UP TO ABOUT 5500 FEET, BUT
THESE LOCATIONS WILL CHANGE BACK TO SNOW THIS MORNING AS THE COLD
FRONT PUSHES THROUGH. LATEST OBSERVATIONS ARE SHOWING
TEMPERATURES WET-BULBING DOWN HARD BEHIND THE FRONT AND SNOW
LEVELS ARE PLUNGING VERY QUICKLY. MT YONCALLA, WHICH IS AT 1800
FEET, IS SHOWING A TEMP OF 34F AT 3 AM AND NORTH BANK, JUST ABOVE
ROSEBURG AT 1900 FEET IS SHOWING 32F. SNOW LEVELS COULD REACH AS
LOW AS 1000 FEET THIS MORNING AS THE BACK EDGE OF THE HEAVY
PRECIPITATION MOVES THROUGH. SO, YES, THAT MEANS THERE COULD EVEN
BE SOME WET SNOW DOWN INTO THE ROGUE AND ILLINOIS VALLEYS FOR A
WHILE. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE LIKELY TO REMAIN MOSTLY ABOVE 2000
FEET, HOWEVER, AS SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL HAVE DIFFICULTY
GETTING DOWN TO FREEZING. BUT, THE MAIN PASSES (SEXTON, STAGE,
SMITH, CANYON CREEK) CAN ALL HAVE SOME ACCUMULATING SNOW THIS
MORNING. SEE WSWMFR FOR SPECIFIC DETAILS.

THE VERY HEAVY PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT WILL PUSH
TO THE EAST OF THE CASCADES BY MID MORNING, BUT SHOWERS WILL
PERSIST BEHIND IT. COLD AIR ALOFT ARRIVING FROM THE OCEAN WILL
BRING ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THAT MAY CONTAIN SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY
WINDS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS AND ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST.

ANOTHER DISTURBANCE WILL ARRIVE ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE TROUGH
LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. WITH SNOW LEVELS ALREADY ON THE LOW
SIDE, ACCUMULATING SNOW IS LIKELY AGAIN ALONG AND WEST OF THE
CASCADES. HEAVIER SNOW SHOWERS WILL FAVOR THE NORTHWEST FACING
SLOPES, BUT ACCUMULATING SNOW IS POSSIBLE DOWN TO 1000 FEET IN THE
UMPQUA, ROGUE AND ILLINOIS VALLEYS.

SNOW SHOWERS LINGER MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT, BUT RIDGING FROM THE
PACIFIC SHOULD BRING DRIER WEATHER BY TUESDAY. SPILDE

&&

.MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM PST MONDAY FOR ORZ030.
     WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 4 AM PST MONDAY FOR ORZ030.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM PST MONDAY FOR ORZ031.
     WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 4 AM PST MONDAY FOR ORZ031.
     WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 10 AM PST MONDAY ABOVE 1000 FEET FOR
     FOR ORZ024.
     FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR ORZ024-026.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM PST MONDAY BELOW 1000 FEET
     FOR FOR ORZ024.
     HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM PST THIS MORNING FOR ORZ021-022.
     WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 10 AM PST MONDAY ABOVE 1000 FEET FOR
     FOR ORZ023.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM PST MONDAY FOR ORZ023.
     FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR ORZ023.
     WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 10 AM PST MONDAY FOR ORZ025.
     FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR ORZ021-022.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM PST MONDAY FOR ORZ029.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM PST MONDAY BELOW 1500 FEET
     FOR FOR ORZ026.
     WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 10 AM PST MONDAY ABOVE 1500 FEET FOR
     FOR ORZ026.
     WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR
     ORZ027-028.
     WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 4 AM PST MONDAY FOR ORZ029.

CA...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING ABOVE 2000
     FEET FOR FOR CAZ080.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR CAZ082.
     WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR CAZ082.
     FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR CAZ080.
     WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING ABOVE 3000
     FEET FOR FOR CAZ080.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR CAZ081.
     WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR CAZ081.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR CAZ084.
     WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING ABOVE 5000
     FEET FOR FOR CAZ083.
     WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR CAZ085.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR CAZ083.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR CAZ085.

PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING UNTIL 2 AM PST MONDAY FOR
     PZZ350-356-370-376.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Dec 13, 9:31 AM PST, 59 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
931 AM PST SUN DEC 13 2015

...TIME...  ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
...DATE...  ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0929 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 ESE JACKSONVILLE      42.30N 122.92W
12/13/2015  M2.85 INCH       JACKSON            OR   TRAINED SPOTTER

            MIXED WITH SNOW, SLUSH CLOGGED FUNNEL IN
            RAIN GAUGE SOMEWHAT BUT SPOTTER MELTED DOWN
            PRECIP AND MEASURED 2.85" LIQUID IN RAIN
            GAUGE. OBSERVER LOCATION ABOUT 3 MI EAST OF
            JACKSONVILLE.

&&

NWS MEDFORD OR
IRIS SYSTEM
Local storm report, Dec 13, 9:32 AM PST, 58 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
932 AM PST SUN DEC 13 2015

...TIME...  ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
...DATE...  ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0931 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 S ADIN                41.19N 120.95W
12/13/2015  M0.36 INCH       MODOC              CA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LIQUID EQUIVALENT SINCE MIDNIGHT. SPOTTER
            SAID RAIN HAD BEEN FALLING FROM 7:00 AM TO
            9:00 AM... SWITCHED OVER TO SNOW AT TIME OF
            CALL (9:00 AM)

&&

NWS MEDFORD OR
IRIS SYSTEM
Local storm report, Dec 13, 9:36 AM PST, 54 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
936 AM PST SUN DEC 13 2015

...TIME...  ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
...DATE...  ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0800 AM     HEAVY RAIN       7 NNW ROGUE RIVER       42.53N 123.20W
12/13/2015  M3.53 INCH       JACKSON            OR   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SOME SLUSH ON TOP OF RAIN GAUGE BUT MELTED
            DOWN TO 3.53" TOTAL LIQUID. SPOTTER REPORTED
            EVENT BROUGHT MOSTLY RAIN TO THAT
            LOCATION... JUST A TRACE OF SNOWFALL. SMALL
            FLAKES AROUND 4:00 AM BUT MOSTLY JUST RAIN
            OBSERVER LOCATION ASHLAND.

&&

NWS MEDFORD OR
IRIS SYSTEM
Local storm report, Dec 13, 9:58 AM PST, 32 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
958 AM PST SUN DEC 13 2015

...TIME...  ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
...DATE...  ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0951 AM     HEAVY SNOW       2 ESE ASHLAND           42.18N 122.66W
12/13/2015  M9.0 INCH        JACKSON            OR   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SPOTTER MEASURED VARIOUS DEPTHS... 7 INCHES
            IN SOME SPOTS, 9 TO 10 IN MOST OTHERS... 7
            TO 8 INCHES ON TOP OF CARS. DRIFTS OF 12 TO
            25 INCHES. RAINED HARD OVERNIGHT, AT AROUND
            5:30 AM SPOTTER WOKE UP AND ESTIMATED ABOUT
            2 INCHES OF SNOW ON THE GROUND, AND HAS BEEN
            SNOWING CONTINUOUSLY SINCE. CURRENT
            TEMPERATURE AT TIME OF CALL WAS 31 DEG F.
            OBSERVER LOCATION JUST ABOVE ASHLAND
            AIRPORT.

&&

NWS MEDFORD OR
IRIS SYSTEM
Local storm report, Dec 13, 9:59 AM PST, 31 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
959 AM PST SUN DEC 13 2015

...TIME...  ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
...DATE...  ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0957 AM     HEAVY SNOW       DIAMOND LAKE            43.18N 122.14W
12/13/2015  M31.0 INCH       DOUGLAS            OR   PUBLIC

            POWER OUT AND AREA HIGHWAYS CLOSED.

&&

NWS MEDFORD OR
IRIS SYSTEM
Local storm report, Dec 13, 10:28 AM PST, 2 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1028 AM PST SUN DEC 13 2015

...TIME...  ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
...DATE...  ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 AM     HEAVY SNOW       3 N PHOENIX             42.31N 122.81W
12/13/2015  E3.0 INCH        JACKSON            OR   NWS EMPLOYEE

            REPORTS 4 INCHES OF SNOW AT RESIDENCE.

&&

BS

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flood, Coos

When
December 13, 10:30 AM PST to 10:30 PM PST
Where
Coos County, 0.86 mi NW of Myrtle Pt to 0.86 mi ENE of Norway
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Official NWS Observations
Coordinates
43.080, -124.140

The North Fork of the Coquille River at Myrtle Point exceeded the flood stage of 35.0 feet at 13/1030 PST, crested above major flood stage at 38.39 feet at 13/1515 PST, then fell below flood stage at 13/2230 PST.

What these are

Flood
Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Oregon in 2015Every state in 2015This day in weather historyWarnings in Oregon, December 2015

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 609969.