North Carolina, 2015

Winter Storm in North Carolina, February 25 to 26, 2015

February 25 to 26, 2015 · NWS RAH · 23 events in 23 counties and zones

As a low pressure system tracked along the southeast coast, wintry precipitation spread into Central North Carolina. A winter storm warning was issued for the majority of the area, with the exception of a few counties in the extreme southeast where a winter weather advisory was needed.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 23 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$9.5 million
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
23

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS RAH wrote it up.

As a low pressure system tracked along the southeast coast, wintry precipitation spread into Central North Carolina. A winter storm warning was issued for the majority of the area, with the exception of a few counties in the extreme southeast where a winter weather advisory was needed. Much of the warning area received 2-4 inches of snow and sleet, with the northern third tier of counties receiving 7-9 inches. In addition, a some locations received a thin glaze of ice on top of the snow. Precipitation amounts decreased towards the south, with the southern tier of counties only received a trace of snow and sleet. The heavy, wet snow caused extensive power outages in many of the hardest hit counties, with some power outages extending beyond 24 hours.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Raleigh, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 25, 10:00 PM EST, 0 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 25, 10:00 PM EST, 0 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1000 PM EST WED FEB 25 2015

.SYNOPSIS...LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK NORTHEAST FROM THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE TO OFF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST TONIGHT AND THURSDAY
MORNING. COLD CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL FOLLOW THE STORM FRIDAY
INTO SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 1000 PM WEDNESDAY...

...HEAVY SNOW DEVELOPING INTO THE TRIAD...

...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN MIXING IN FOR THE TRIANGLE...

...RAIN FROM FAYETTEVILLE TO GOLDSBORO...

THE ATLANTA AND MOREHEAD CITY SOUNDINGS INDICATED THE WARM NOSE
ALOFT AT 40-45 DEGREES. FORECAST SOUNDINGS HAD INDICATED THAT THIS
WARM NOSE WOULD LIKELY STAY JUST TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF RALEIGH.
HOWEVER... AFTER A BRIEF 30 MINUTES OF HEAVY SNOW AT RALEIGH... THE
PRECIPITATION HAS TRANSITIONED TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN IN
RALEIGH... WHICH MAY BE JUST FOR A BRIEF PERIOD.

AS OF 1000 PM... THE MAIN HEAVY SNOW AREA HAS SHIFTED TO THE NW OF A
LINE EXTENDED ACROSS SOUTHERN DAVIDSON... NORTHERN MONTGOMERY...
SOUTHEAST RANDOLPH... CHATHAM... NORTHWEST WAKE... AND SOUTHERN
FRANKLIN COUNTY AND POINTS NORTHWARD.

THE PRECIPITATION HAD CHANGED TO RAIN ACROSS ALL OF THE SOUTHERN
TIER OF COUNTIES FROM WADESBORO TO LAURINBURG TO LILLINGTON AND
GOLDSBORO... AND POINTS SOUTH. FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS... HEAVY SNOW
WILL FALL OVER THE NORTHWEST TO NORTH CENTRAL PIEDMONT... JUST NORTH
AND WEST OF RALEIGH.

BOTTOM LINE... UPDATES WILL HAVE TO BE MADE FREQUENTLY WITH THIS
EVER CHANGING WINTER STORM. THE WARM NOSE IS MORE PROMINENT WHICH
MAY HAVE IMPLICATIONS MAINLY FOR AREAS FROM RALEIGH SOUTH AND EAST
WHICH HAVE CHANGED OVER TO SLEET/FREEZING RAIN AND RAIN. THE WESTERN
AND NORTHERN PIEDMONT WILL HAVE THE HEAVY SNOW WHICH SHOULD
EVENTUALLY SHIFT BACK OVER THE TRIANGLE AREA AND NORTHERN COASTAL
PLAIN IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS... WITH HEAVY SNOW STILL POSSIBLE THERE.

WE WILL NOT MAKE MAJOR CHANGES AS OF THIS UPDATE... OTHER THAN TO
INCLUDE MORE OF A MIXTURE FOR AREAS AROUND RALEIGH... AND CARRY MORE
IN THE WAY OF RAIN AND LESS IN THE WAY OF SNOW ACCUMULATIONS IN
THE SOUTHEAST ZONES.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION ISSUED AS OF 340 PM WEDNESDAY...

...MAJOR WINTER STORM SET TO STRIKE CENTRAL NC WITH 6 INCHES OR MORE
WET SNOW LIKELY TO FALL ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL NC INCLUDING THE
RALEIGH AND GREENSBORO METRO AREAS...

...WINTER STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR TONIGHT AND THROUGH MIDDAY
THURSDAY FOR ALL THE PIEDMONT...NORTHERN/CENTRAL COASTAL PLAIN AND
SANDHILLS AND NOW INCLUDING WAYNE COUNTY...

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR TONIGHT AND
THURSDAY FOR THE SOUTHERN COASTAL PLAIN...

MODEL GUIDANCE HAS TRENDED SLIGHTLY MORE NORTHERLY WITH THE TRACK OF
THE DEVELOPING STORM SYSTEM AND IN FACT THE LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS
SHOWS THE SURFACE CENTER SLIGHTLY NORTH OF THE FORECAST POSITION.
THIS CONTINUED TREND RESULTS IN A SLIGHTLY WARMER BOUNDARY LAYER AND
HEAVIER PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS.

NWP GUIDANCE IS IN RATHER GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE MAIN FEATURES
RELEVANT TO THIS FORECAST HOWEVER...SUCH A HIGH AMPLITUDE EVENT CAN
BE SIGNIFICANTLY IMPACTED BY THE MOST SUBLE VARIABLES. SO WHILE
CONFIDENCE IS ABOVE AVERAGE REGARDING THE OVERALL SCENARIO SEVERAL
FACTORS STILL MAKE US UNEASY REGARDING OVERALL ACCUMULATION TOTALS.
WITH THE LACK OF A WELL DEFINED SOURCE OF COLD AIR AND ANTECDENT
TEMPERATURES TODAY WARMING INTO THE LOWER TO MID 40S...THE
PRECIPITATION WILL START AS RAIN IN MOST LOCATIONS...EVEN NEAR THE
VA BORDER. BUT GIVEN IMPRESSIVE PRECIPITATION RATES...DIABATIC
COOLING FROM MELTING SHOULD COOL SURFACE TEMPERATURES TO AROUND
FREEZING AND ALLOW THE PRECIPITATION TO CHANGE OVER TO SNOW AND
BEGIN ACCUMULATING. THIS SCENARIO INHERENTLY CONTAINS SOME RISK FOR
A FORECAST BUST. IN ADDITION...THE HEAVY RATES AND SHORT DURATION OF
EVENT MEAN THAT EVERY HOUR COUNTS AND THAT A SLIGHT DELAY IN THE
COLD AIR OR A MIXTURE WILL HAVE A SIGNIFICANT IMPACT ON STORM
TOTALS.

WITH A FEW OF THE MAJOR CAVEATS NOTED...CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING IN
A MAJOR WINTER STORM WITH SIGNIFICANT WET SNOW OF 6 INCHES OR MORE
LIKELY TO FALL ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL NC INCLUDING THE RALEIGH AND
GREENSBORO METRO AREAS. THE GREATEST SNOW TOTALS ARE LIKELY TO FALL
IN THE REGION FROM RALEIGH NORTHEAST TO THE ROANOKE RAPIDS AREAS
WHERE LOCALIZED AMOUNTS APPROACHING 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. VERY
IMPRESSIVE SNOWFALL RATES ON THE ORDER OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR
WILL ALLOW SNOW TOTOALS TO EXPLODE AFTER MIDNIGHT.

THE FORECAST IS ALSO DIFFICULT ACROSS THE SOUTHERN COASTAL
PLAIN...SOUTHERN SANDHILLS AND EVEN NEAR THE SC BORDER WHERE A WARM
NOSE IS EXPECTED TO BE SUFFICIENT TO CHANGE THE SNOW TO A MIXTURE OF
SNOW...SLEET AN FREEZING RAIN AROUND OR JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT. SOUTH
OF CLINTON...FAYETTEVILLE AND RAEFORD...SURFACE TEMPERATURES WONT
FALL BELOW FREEZING AND ANY SNOW ACCUMULATION WILL FALL IN A SHORT
WINDOW DURING THE LATE EVENING TO JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT WITH JUST A
SLOPPY WET SNOW OR RAIN EXPECTED AFTER 200 AM OR.

DRY SLOTTING WILL END THE SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE CWA AFTER 3 TO 5 AM WITH THE MAIN AREA OF
PRECIPITATION CLOSER TO THE VA BORDER ENDING FROM WEST TO EAST
BETWEEN 5 AND 7AM. ALL OF THE SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION WILL END BY
OR JUST AFTER DAYBREAK ON THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES AT THAT POINT WILL
HAVE REACHED THEIR COLDEST AND HAVE FALLEN TO THE 28 TO 32 RANGE.
SPOTTY FREEZING RAIN AND FREEZING DRIZZLE DRIVEN BY PERSISTENT
SHALLOW LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL CHANGE TO LIGHT FREEZING RAIN OR
MIST BY AFTERNOON. HIGHS WILL STRUGGLE TO CLIMB TO THE 33 TO 36
RANGE BY LATE AFTERNOON.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AS OF 320 PM WEDNESDAY...

A MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE IS FORECAST BY BOTH THE GFS AND THE NAM TO
MOVE THROUGH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA THURSDAY EVENING...WITH ANOTHER
WEAK WAVE ON FRIDAY. LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE REMAINS IN PLACE OVERALL...
HIGHLIGHTED BY MODEST VALUES OF MEAN RELATIVE HUMIDITY IN THE 1000-
500MB LAYER AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE GRADUALLY BUILDS IN. 850MB
THETA-E IS GENERALLY LOW DURING THE PERIOD WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER
VALUES AT OR JUST BELOW NORMAL FOR LATE FEBRUARY...HOWEVER...VIEWING
THE NAM AND GFS BUFR SOUNDINGS...AGAIN...LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE REMAINS
WITH SOME MOISTURE SATURATION AT TIMES TO AT OR JUST COLDER THAN -
10C. THE GFS IN PARTICULAR PROVIDES FOR MARGINAL MEASURABLE
PRECIPITATION IN THE FAR NORTHWEST PIEDMONT OVERNIGHT THURSDAY...
AND THEN MAINLY ALONG AND WEST OF U.S. 1 FRIDAY SHIFTING BACK WEST
AGAIN FRIDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY. IT IS DURING THESE PERIODS
THAT BUFR SOUNDINGS FORECAST MOISTURE TO A LEVEL IN ATMOSPHERE
COLDER THAN -10C.

LIFT IS MARGINAL DURING THIS SHORT-TERM PERIOD...LIKELY BEST ON
FRIDAY WHEN BUFR SOUNDINGS SHOW LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES STEEPENING AND
THE COMBINATION OF 850MB CONVERGENCE AND UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE IS
BEST MAINLY OVER THE FAR NORTHWEST PIEDMONT OVERNIGHT THURSDAY AND
ALONG AND WEST OF U.S. 1 FRIDAY. GIVEN THE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AND
MODEST SUPPORT ALOFT WITH THE MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVES...IN ADDITION TO
THE GFS VERY LIGHT QPF AND SOME NOTICE OF LIGHT PRECIPITATION OUTPUT
ON THE NCEP HIGH RES NMMB...HAVE OPTED TO INCLUDE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
FLURRIES MAINLY IN THE FAR NORTHWEST PIEDMONT THURSDAY NIGHT...WITH
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS THERE FRIDAY WHERE BUFR SOUNDINGS
ESPECIALLY ON THE GFS SHOW THE LAPSE RATES STEEPENING. A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF FLURRIES ELSEWHERE FRIDAY TO NEAR U.S. 1 OR SO...THEN A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF FLURRIES FRIDAY NIGHT ALONG AND NORTH OF A LINE
FROM ABOUT KRWI TO KAFP. BY SATURDAY MORNING...BUFR SOUNDINGS SHOW
ENOUGH DRYING THAT ANY FLURRIES THAT EXIST SHOULD ONLY BE LOCATED
OVER THE FAR NORTHWEST PIEDMONT. TOWARD KFAY...BUFR SOUNDINGS FROM
THE GFS AND NAM DO NOT SHOW DEEPER LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE GETTING TO OR
COLDER THAN -10C...SO HAVE NOT MENTIONED ANY FLURRIES THERE THIS
PERIOD. CURRENTLY THINK THERE SHOULD BE LITTLE OR NO IMPACT AS THE
PRECIPITATION SHOULD BE VERY LIGHT IF IT OCCURS...THOUGH STILL
NOTICEABLE. SATURDAY DURING THE DAY...HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO
BUILD IN.

AFTER LOWS THURSDAY NIGHT IN THE 20S...HIGHS FRIDAY SHOULD RANGE
WITHIN A DEGREE OR THREE EITHER SIDE OF 40...CLOSE TO WHAT WOULD BE
ASSOCIATED WITH THE 1000-850MB THICKNESSES. LOWS FRIDAY NIGHT IN THE
UPPER TEENS TO MID 20S...A BLEND OF GUIDANCE BASED ON CONTINUED
CLOUD COVER. ON SATURDAY...A LITTLE COLDER THAN FRIDAY DUE TO COLDER
THICKNESSES TO START THE DAY AND THE HIGH BUILDING IN...MOSTLY MID
30S.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 1200 PM WEDNESDAY...

THE LONG-TERM SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY IS CATEGORIZED BY
SOME UNCERTAINTY IN PRECIPITATION TIMING AND TYPE...WITH AT LEAST
MODEST CONFIDENCE IN MUCH WARMER TEMPERATURES DEVELOPING BY THE END
OF THIS PERIOD THAN WHAT HAS BEEN OCCURRING RECENTLY. DRYING IS
FORECAST FOR SATURDAY NIGHT...WITH A MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE MOVING INTO
THE CAROLINAS BY SUNDAY NIGHT. AS HEIGHTS ALOFT RISE LATE IN THE
WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK...THE 06Z GFS IN PARTICULAR AND POSSIBLY
EVEN THE 12Z GFS SEEMS TO HAVE ISSUES WITH FEEDBACK SUCH THAT THE
ECMWF IS PREFERRED OVERALL. IT SHOULD BE COLD TO START SUNDAY
MORNING AS CLOUDS INCREASE...BUT THE GFS AND ECMWF TREND OF A LATER
ARRIVAL OF MID-LEVEL VORTICITY AND OVERALL MOISTURE INCREASE SHOULD
RESULT IN PRECIPITATION BEING IN THE FORM OF LIQUID BY THE TIME ANY
WOULD ARRIVE LATER IN THE DAY. PARTIAL THICKNESSES AND MODEL
SOUNDINGS CURRENTLY SUPPORT THIS...AND WILL HAVE A CHANCE OF
AFTERNOON RAIN SUNDAY PRIMARILY TOWARD THE YADKIN RIVER FOLLOWED BY
CHANCES OF RAIN OVERNIGHT...WITH SURFACE TEMPERATURES REMAINING
ABOVE FREEZING AND MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOWING WARMING ALOFT AS 1000-
850MB THICKNESSES RISE AROUND 20M DURING THE NIGHT...SUGGESTING THE
POTENTIAL FOR LOW TEMPERATURES EARLY SUNDAY NIGHT FOLLOWED BY STEADY
OR A SLOW RISE IN READINGS LATE.

A BRIEF WARMUP OCCURS MONDAY AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THAT MOVES
THROUGH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA LATER IN THE DAY AND AT NIGHT. STRONG
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN BEHIND THE COLD FRONT...AND THE PATTERN
WOULD SUGGEST PRETTY CHILLY TEMPERATURES ONCE AGAIN WITH THE 1000-
850MB THICKNESSES SUGGESTING LOWS A LITTLE BELOW FREEZING. MOS
GUIDANCE LOWS ARE AT LEAST ONE IF NOT MORE CATEGORIES ABOVE THIS...
SO FOR NOW WILL SIMPLY UNDERCUT GUIDANCE WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS AT OR
SLIGHTLY ABOVE FREEZING. CONDITIONS SHOULD DRY BRIEFLY BEHIND THE
FRONT AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN...THEN UNCERTAINTY INCREASES AS THE
GFS AND THE ECMWF SUGGEST MOISTURE RETURNING TO CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA AS THE GULF OPENS BY TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. IF
PRECIPITATION WOULD RETURN TO CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA QUICKLY ENOUGH
ON TUESDAY...PRECIPITATION TYPE CONCERNS WOULD EXIST DUE TO CHILLY
THICKNESSES TO START THE DAY. BY 00Z WEDNESDAY ON THE 12Z GFS...AND
FOR THE MOST PART ON THE 00Z ECMWF...THICKNESSES ARE WARM ENOUGH FOR
RAIN AND BASED ON THE WARM-AIR ADVECTION AT THE TIME WOULD
ANTICIPATE ANOTHER POTENTIAL NON-DIURNAL TEMPERATURE SCENARIO AS ANY
COLD-AIR DAMMING ERODES. BASED ON THE PATTERN WILL ONLY NOTE A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW EARLY ON THE SIXTH DAY IN THE WESTERN
PIEDMONT WITH A CHANCE OF JUST ALL RAIN THROUGHOUT CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. 1000-850MB THICKNESSES ON THE 12Z GFS
AND 00Z ECMWF ARE QUITE WARM WEDNESDAY...APPROACHING 1380M ON THE
LATEST GFS AND ONLY SLIGHTLY COOLER ON THE 00Z ECMWF...SUCH THAT...
WITH SHOWERY CONDITIONS IN A MOIST AIR MASS AND A SOUTHWEST FLOW
ALOFT...HIGH TEMPERATURES COULD POSSIBLY REACH THE 60S THROUGHOUT
CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA WITH SOME TEMPERATURES PUSHING 70F ESPECIALLY
OVER PARTS OF THE SANDHILLS AND SOUTHERN COASTAL PLAIN.

&&

.AVIATION /21Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 1255 PM WEDNESDAY...

FOR THE 18Z VALID TAF PERIOD...HIGH CONFIDENCE IN VFR CONDITIONS FOR
THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON DETERIORATING QUICKLY TO IFR AND SUB-IFR
CONDITIONS THIS EVENING...CONTINUING OVERNIGHT. GUIDANCE SUGGESTS
PRECIPITATION MOVING SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST INTO AND ACROSS CENTRAL
NORTH CAROLINA FROM VERY LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING...
WITH PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE AREA BY 03Z. MODEL SOUNDINGS FROM THE
NAM AND GFS SUGGEST WHATEVER LIQUID PRECIPITATION THERE MAY BE TO
START CHANGING QUICKLY TO SNOW...WITH ENOUGH WARMING ALOFT THAT A
PRECIPITATION TYPE OF SNOW AND SLEET IS QUITE POSSIBLE AT KRDU AND
KRWI. AT KFAY...THE ABOVE FREEZING DEPTH IS A LITTLE HIGHER AND
LIGHT RAIN MAY LINGER A LITTLE LONGER AT THE START BEFORE A
TRANSITION TO SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN...WITH THE NAM MODEL
MOST SUGGESTIVE OF WARMTH ALOFT FOR FREEZING RAIN AND MAINLY FOR A
COUPLE OR THREE HOURS CENTERED AROUND 06Z. DRYING ALOFT VERY LATE
TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING SUGGEST PRECIPITATION CHANGING TO
FREEZING DRIZZLE OR DRIZZLE...WITH IFR CONDITIONS CONTINUING IN LOW
CLOUDS. VARIABLE WINDS THIS AFTERNOON BECOME NORTH-NORTHEAST AND
NORTHEAST THIS EVENING AS LOW PRESSURE GETS CLOSER AND MOVES
NORTHEAST ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST.

BEYOND THE 18Z VALID TAF PERIOD...CONFIDENCE DIMINISHES IN
IMPROVEMENT FROM IFR CONDITIONS...WITH AVIATION INTERESTS BEING
PREPARED FOR THE LIKELIHOOD OF SUB-VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THURSDAY
NIGHT ALBEIT WITH A FEW PERIODS OF VFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE MAINLY
THURSDAY NIGHT. SUB-VFR CONDITIONS REMAIN POSSIBLE IN LOW CLOUDS
THROUGH FRIDAY WITH A GREATER LIKELIHOOD OF VFR CONDITIONS FOR
FRIDAY NIGHT. VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED SATURDAY WITH CLOUDS
INCREASING AND LOWERING FOR SUNDAY...THEN SUB-VFR CONDITIONS LIKELY
FOR SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY ALONG WITH CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL NOON EST THURSDAY FOR NCZ007>011-
021>028-038>043-073>078-083-084.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL NOON EST THURSDAY FOR NCZ085-086-
088-089.

&&

SYNOPSIS...BADGETT
NEAR TERM...BADGETT/BLAES
SHORT TERM...DJF
LONG TERM...DJF
AVIATION...DJF
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 25, 12:12 PM EST, 9 hours 48 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1212 PM EST WED FEB 25 2015

NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>077-083-084-261715-
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-
ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-WAKE-
JOHNSTON-WILSON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-ANSON-RICHMOND-
1212 PM EST WED FEB 25 2015

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EST
THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR BLACK ICE THIS MORNING.
 WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ078-085-086-088-089-261715-
WAYNE-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
1212 PM EST WED FEB 25 2015

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON
EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR BLACK ICE THIS MORNING.
 WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR ACCUMULATING SNOW TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Feb 25, 8:26 PM EST, 1 hour 34 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
826 PM EST WED FEB 25 2015

NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-260300-
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-
ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-
WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE-
ANSON-RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROXBORO...OXFORD...BUTNER...CREEDMOOR...
HENDERSON...NORLINA...WARRENTON...ROANOKE RAPIDS...
WINSTON-SALEM...GREENSBORO...HIGH POINT...BURLINGTON...GRAHAM...
CHAPEL HILL...CARRBORO...DURHAM...LOUISBURG...FRANKLINTON...
NASHVILLE...RED OAK...SHARPSBURG...SPRING HOPE...ROCKY MOUNT...
LEXINGTON...THOMASVILLE...ASHEBORO...ARCHDALE...TRINITY...
SILER CITY...PITTSBORO...RALEIGH...CARY...SMITHFIELD...CLAYTON...
SELMA...BENSON...WILSON...ALBEMARLE...TROY...BISCOE...
MOUNT GILEAD...SOUTHERN PINES...PINEHURST...ABERDEEN...
SEVEN LAKES...SANFORD...DUNN...ERWIN...ANGIER...LILLINGTON...
GOLDSBORO...WADESBORO...POLKTON...ROCKINGHAM...HAMLET...
EAST ROCKINGHAM...LAURINBURG...RAEFORD...ROCKFISH...SILVER CITY...
FAYETTEVILLE...CLINTON
826 PM EST WED FEB 25 2015

...MAJOR WINTER STORM IN PROGRESS...

AS OF 815 PM EST...REGIONAL RADAR DATA INDICATED PRECIPITATION
RAPIDLY DEVELOPING ACROSS CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA. ALTHOUGH
PRECIPITATION MAY BEGIN AS RAIN OR A WINTRY MIX IN SOME
AREAS...PRIMARILY SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 64...IT WILL QUICKLY TRANSITION
TO SNOW. LOCATIONS ALREADY REPORTING LIGHT SNOW AS OF 815 PM EST
INCLUDE ALBEMARLE...WADESBORO...ASHEBORO...ROCKINGHAM...
FAYETTEVILLE...LAURINBURG...AND RALEIGH.

TEMPERATURES REMAIN AT OR ABOVE FREEZING ACROSS ALL OF CENTRAL
NORTH CAROLINA AS OF 815 PM. AREA ROAD CONDITIONS WILL RAPIDLY
DETERIORATE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS AS SNOWFALL RATES
INCREASE AND TEMPERATURES FALL INTO THE LOWER 30S.

VINCENT
Local storm report, Feb 25, 8:53 PM EST, 1 hour 7 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
853 PM EST WED FEB 25 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0830 PM     SNOW             ASHEBORO                35.72N  79.81W
02/25/2015  M0.5 INCH        RANDOLPH           NC   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1500352

GIH
Local storm report, Feb 25, 9:33 PM EST, 27 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
933 PM EST WED FEB 25 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0922 PM     SNOW             PIKEVILLE               35.50N  77.98W
02/25/2015  M0.1 INCH        WAYNE              NC   OTHER FEDERAL

            A TENTH OF AN INCH OF SNOW WAS REPORTED IN PIKEVILLE..
            WITH PRECIP TURNING TO RAIN.

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1500353

BSD
Local storm report, Feb 25, 9:38 PM EST, 22 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
938 PM EST WED FEB 25 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0930 PM     SNOW             1 NE EMIT               35.74N  78.26W
02/25/2015  M0.2 INCH        JOHNSTON           NC   TRAINED SPOTTER

            AROUND A QUARTER OF AN INCH OF SNOW AND SLEET WAS
            REPORTED IN NORTHERN JOHNSTON COUNTY NEAR THE
            INTERSECTION OF NC HIGHWAYS 39 AND 231.

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1500354

BSD
Local storm report, Feb 25, 9:43 PM EST, 17 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
943 PM EST WED FEB 25 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0930 PM     SNOW             4 SW RALEIGH            35.77N  78.68W
02/25/2015  M0.1 INCH        WAKE               NC   NWS OFFICE

            0.1 OF SNOW ACCUMULATION AS OF 930 PM EST...SNOW
            RECENTLY BEGAN MIXING WITH SLEET WITH LIGHT ACCUMULATION
            IN PARKING LOT.

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1500355

VINCENT
Local storm report, Feb 25, 9:54 PM EST, 6 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
954 PM EST WED FEB 25 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0953 PM     SNOW             2 NNE HAW RIVER         36.12N  79.35W
02/25/2015  M0.1 INCH        ALAMANCE           NC   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1500356

KRR

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

23 winter storm. Local standard time, as filed.

Winter Storm, Alamance

When
February 25, 10:00 PM EST to February 26, 7:00 AM EST
Where
Alamance forecast zone
Property damage
$500,000
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
36.044, -79.399 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Snowfall/sleet amounts of 7 to 9 inches fell across the county. The heavy wet snow caused extensive power outages from falling trees and power lines.

Winter Storm, Chatham

When
February 25, 10:00 PM EST to February 26, 7:00 AM EST
Where
Chatham forecast zone
Property damage
$500,000
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
35.703, -79.255 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Snowfall/sleet amounts of 3 to 6 inches fell across the county. The heavy wet snow caused widespread power outages from falling trees and power lines. At the peak of the storm, over 8,000 customers were without power in the county.

Winter Storm, Davidson

When
February 25, 10:00 PM EST to February 26, 7:00 AM EST
Where
Davidson forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
35.793, -80.213 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Snowfall/sleet amounts of 5 to 6 inches fell across the county.

Winter Storm, Durham

When
February 25, 10:00 PM EST to February 26, 7:00 AM EST
Where
Durham forecast zone
Property damage
$1.0 million
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
36.036, -78.876 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Snowfall/sleet amounts of 6 to 8 inches fell across the county. The heavy wet snow caused widespread power outages from falling trees and power lines. At the peak of the storm, over 40,000 customers were without power in the county.

Winter Storm, Edgecombe

When
February 25, 10:00 PM EST to February 26, 7:00 AM EST
Where
Edgecombe forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
35.913, -77.597 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Snowfall/sleet amounts of 3 to 5 inches fell across the county.

Winter Storm, Forsyth

When
February 25, 10:00 PM EST to February 26, 7:00 AM EST
Where
Forsyth forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
36.131, -80.256 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Snowfall/sleet amounts of 4 to 5 inches fell across the county.

Winter Storm, Franklin

When
February 25, 10:00 PM EST to February 26, 7:00 AM EST
Where
Franklin forecast zone
Property damage
$500,000
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
36.083, -78.286 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Snowfall/sleet amounts of 5 to 7 inches fell across the county. The heavy wet snow caused extensive power outages from falling trees and power lines.

Winter Storm, Granville

When
February 25, 10:00 PM EST to February 26, 7:00 AM EST
Where
Granville forecast zone
Property damage
$500,000
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
36.304, -78.653 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Snowfall/sleet amounts of 6 to 8 inches fell across the county. The heavy wet snow caused extensive power outages from falling trees and power lines.

Winter Storm, Guilford

When
February 25, 10:00 PM EST to February 26, 7:00 AM EST
Where
Guilford forecast zone
Property damage
$500,000
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
36.080, -79.789 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Snowfall/sleet amounts of 5 to 8 inches fell across the county. The heavy wet snow caused extensive power outages from falling trees and power lines.

Winter Storm, Halifax

When
February 25, 10:00 PM EST to February 26, 7:00 AM EST
Where
Halifax forecast zone
Property damage
$500,000
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
36.258, -77.652 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Snowfall/sleet amounts of 5 to 7 inches fell across the county. The heavy wet snow caused extensive power outages from falling trees and power lines.

Winter Storm, Johnston

When
February 25, 10:00 PM EST to February 26, 7:00 AM EST
Where
Johnston forecast zone
Property damage
$500,000
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
35.518, -78.366 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Snowfall/sleet amounts of 1 to 3 inches fell across the county. The heavy wet snow caused numerous power outages from falling trees and power lines.

Winter Storm, Lee

When
February 25, 10:00 PM EST to February 26, 7:00 AM EST
Where
Lee forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
35.475, -79.171 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Snowfall/sleet amounts of 1 to 3 inches fell across the county.

Winter Storm, Montgomery

When
February 25, 10:00 PM EST to February 26, 7:00 AM EST
Where
Montgomery forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
35.333, -79.905 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Snowfall/sleet amounts of 3 to 4 inches fell across the county.

Winter Storm, Moore

When
February 25, 10:00 PM EST to February 26, 7:00 AM EST
Where
Moore forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
35.311, -79.481 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Snowfall/sleet amounts of 1 to 3 inches fell across the county.

Winter Storm, Nash

When
February 25, 10:00 PM EST to February 26, 7:00 AM EST
Where
Nash forecast zone
Property damage
$500,000
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
35.967, -77.986 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Snowfall/sleet amounts of 3 to 5 inches fell across the county. The heavy wet snow caused widespread power outages from falling trees and power lines. At the peak of the storm, over 7,000 customers were without power in the county.

Winter Storm, Orange

When
February 25, 10:00 PM EST to February 26, 7:00 AM EST
Where
Orange forecast zone
Property damage
$1.0 million
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
36.061, -79.121 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Snowfall/sleet amounts of 5 to 8 inches fell across the county. The heavy wet snow caused widespread power outages from falling trees and power lines. At the peak of the storm, over 7,000 customers were without power in the county.

Winter Storm, Person

When
February 25, 10:00 PM EST to February 26, 7:00 AM EST
Where
Person forecast zone
Property damage
$500,000
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
36.390, -78.972 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Snowfall/sleet amounts of 7 to 9 inches fell across the county. The heavy wet snow caused extensive power outages from falling trees and power lines.

Winter Storm, Randolph

When
February 25, 10:00 PM EST to February 26, 7:00 AM EST
Where
Randolph forecast zone
Property damage
$500,000
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
35.710, -79.806 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Snowfall/sleet amounts of 5 to 8 inches fell across the county. The heavy wet snow caused extensive power outages from falling trees and power lines.

Winter Storm, Stanly

When
February 25, 10:00 PM EST to February 26, 7:00 AM EST
Where
Stanly forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
35.312, -80.251 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Snowfall/sleet amounts of 2 to 3 inches fell across the county.

Winter Storm, Vance

When
February 25, 10:00 PM EST to February 26, 7:00 AM EST
Where
Vance forecast zone
Property damage
$500,000
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
36.365, -78.408 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Snowfall/sleet amounts of 7 to 9 inches fell across the county. The heavy wet snow caused extensive power outages from falling trees and power lines.

Winter Storm, Wake

When
February 25, 10:00 PM EST to February 26, 7:00 AM EST
Where
Wake forecast zone
Property damage
$1.0 million
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
35.790, -78.650 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Snowfall/sleet amounts of 2 to 6 inches fell across the county. The heavy wet snow caused widespread power outages from falling trees and power lines. At the peak of the storm, over 92,000 customers were without power in the county.

Winter Storm, Warren

When
February 25, 10:00 PM EST to February 26, 7:00 AM EST
Where
Warren forecast zone
Property damage
$500,000
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
36.397, -78.107 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Snowfall/sleet amounts of 7 to 9 inches fell across the county. The heavy wet snow caused extensive power outages from falling trees and power lines.

Winter Storm, Wilson

When
February 25, 10:00 PM EST to February 26, 7:00 AM EST
Where
Wilson forecast zone
Property damage
$500,000
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
35.705, -77.919 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Snowfall/sleet amounts of 1 to 3 inches fell across the county. The heavy wet snow caused numerous power outages from falling trees and power lines.

What these are

Winter Storm
A storm that brought snow, sleet or freezing rain at warning levels, usually over several hours or days.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in North Carolina in 2015Every state in 2015This day in weather historyWarnings in North Carolina, February 2015

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 562961, 562962, 562963, 562964, 562965, 562966, 562967, 562968, 562970, 562971, 562972, 562973, 562974, 562976, 562977, 562978, 562979, 562981, 562982, 562983, 562984, 562985, 562986.