A strong cold front brought a line of showers to eastern upstate New York during the day on Friday, November 13th. Some of these showers were accompanied by gusty winds, which downed trees and power lines across parts of the central Mohawk Valley, southeastern Catskills and mid-Hudson Valley.
Every event with a place to put it; 3 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS ALY wrote it up.
A strong cold front brought a line of showers to eastern upstate New York during the day on Friday, November 13th. Some of these showers were accompanied by gusty winds, which downed trees and power lines across parts of the central Mohawk Valley, southeastern Catskills and mid-Hudson Valley. Winds, gusting up to 50 MPH, continued to be gusty in the wake of the cold front through the late evening hours as well. Local utility companies reported over 6000 customers were without power during the height of the storm, although most of the outages were restored by the next morning.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Albany, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 13, 9:52 AM EST, 8 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 952 AM EST FRI NOV 13 2015 .SYNOPSIS... A STORM SYSTEM TRACKING NORTH OF THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY WILL ALLOW FOR A SERIES OF COLD FRONTS TO TRACK THROUGH THE REGION TODAY INTO SATURDAY. THIS WILL PROVIDE THE REGION WITH GUSTY WINDS AND SHOWERS...ESPECIALLY DOWNWIND OF LAKE ONTARIO. AS TEMPERATURES GET COLDER...A COUPLE OF INCHES OF SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE ADIRONDACKS FRIDAY NIGHT. DRIER AND MILDER AIR WILL RETURN TO THE REGION FOR THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... AS OF 945 AM EST...NOT MUCH CHANGE TO OVERALL NEAR TERM FORECAST AS LAKE EFFECT ACTIVITY CONTINUES DOWNWIND OF BOTH LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO. WINDS HAVE INCREASED AND LATEST GUIDANCE STILL KEEPS MAGNITUDES JUST BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA. MINOR TWEAKS TO HOURLY GRIDS BASED ON OBSERVATIONAL TRENDS. PREV DISC...987MB SURFACE WAS LOW SPINNING OVER LOWER QUEBEC. RATHER TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT IS NOW IN PLACE EXTENDING FROM THE OHIO VALLEY...GREAT LAKES REGION AND INTO THE NORTHEAST CORRIDOR. WIND GUSTS UPSTREAM HAVE BEEN BETWEEN 25-35KTS TO AROUND 50KTS ACROSS LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO. AS THIS TREND IS EXPECTED ACROSS OUR REGION TODAY. WE WILL KEEP GUSTS JUST BELOW WIND ADVISORY THRESHOLDS BUT WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE UP TO A COUPLE OF REPORTS. WE WILL THEREFORE CONTINUE TO MENTION IN THE HWO. THE NEXT CONCERN IS LAKE EFFECT/ENHANCEMENTS DOWNWIND OF LAKE ONTARIO. PER REGIONAL RADAR MOSAIC...A LARGE AREA OF RAIN/SHOWERS WERE IMPACTING THE TUG HILL PLATEAU EXTENDING INTO THE ADIRONDACKS. ANOTHER BAND WAS ATTEMPTING TO INFILTRATE FURTHER INLAND FROM LAKE ERIE. PER THE H2O VAPOR IMAGERY...WITH A FASTER TRACK OF THE LOWER QUEBEC LOW AND ANOTHER PV ANOMALY TRACKING INTO THE NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY...THIS SHOULD ALLOW FOR THE SYNOPTIC FLOW TO BACK A LITTLE THIS MORNING AND LIFT THE LAKE EFFECT ACTIVITY NORTHWARD. MEANWHILE...THE AFOREMENTIONED APPROACHING WAVE WILL ASSIST WITH FURTHER COLD ADVECTION AS H850 TEMPS DROP EVEN FURTHER BY 1-3C. AS SEEN IN THE HRRR REFLECTIVITIES...THE LAKE ERIE BAND MAY GET MORE OF A BOOST WITH INCREASING INSTABILITY AND BRING SHOWERS INTO OUR REGION LATER THIS MORNING. FOR NOW...WE WILL INCREASE POPS THIS MORNING ALONG THE I 90 CORRIDOR. THEN AS THE DAY PROGRESSES...LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES INCREASE FOR MORE SHOWERS TO DEVELOP ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION. SOME OF THESE SHOWERS MAY MIX WITH SLEET/GRAUPEL IF CONVECTIVE UPDRAFTS ARE DEEP ENOUGH. THIS COULD BE MORE OF AN ISSUE THIS EVENING AS THE UPSTREAM COLD FRONT AND TRACKING OF THE UPSTREAM PV ANOMALY MOVE THROUGH THE REGION. THERE WILL LIKELY BE A PERIOD OF GUSTY WINDS WITH ISALLOBARIC COUPLET MOVES THROUGH ALONG WITH THOSE SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH THE QG FORCING. WET BULB ZERO HEIGHTS FALL FURTHER WHERE THE HIGHER TERRAIN WILL TRANSITION TO SNOW AND VALLEY LOCATIONS A RA/SN MIX WITH SOME SLEET/GRAUPEL. MINOR ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED INTO THE ADIRONDACKS WERE UP TO A COUPLE OF INCHES MAY ACCUMULATE BEFORE THE BANDS SHIFT SOUTHWARD WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE FRONT. TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 50S INTO THE MID HUDSON VALLEY TO 40S ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN. TONIGHT LOWS DIP BACK THROUGH THE 20S ACROSS THE TERRAIN TO THE LOW-MID 30S FOR VALLEY LOCATIONS. WIND CHILL VALUES WILL RANGE FROM AROUND 30F ACROSS THE TERRAIN WITH 30S AND 40S FOR VALLEY LOCATIONS. TONIGHT THOSE VALUES DIP FURTHER WITH TEENS AND 20S ACROSS THE TERRAIN TO AROUND 30 FOR VALLEY LOCATIONS. && .SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... THIS WEEKEND WILL BE SPLIT IN HALF WITH THE FIRST HALF RATHER UNSETTLED WITH BRISK CONDITIONS AND RESIDUAL LAKE EFFECT RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS MAINLY INTO THE TERRAIN AND WEST OF ALBANY...THEN THE RIDGE BUILDS INTO THE REGION FROM WEST TO EAST LATE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. SO THE TREND WILL BE INCREASING BREAKS OF THE CLOUDS AND SLOWLY DIMINISHING WINDS. MODEL TRENDS ARE FOR AN INCREASING BAROCLINIC BOUNDARY TO SET UP ACROSS THE NORTH PORTIONS OF THE REGION AS WARM ADVECTION UPSTREAM INCREASES. THIS COULD BRING A PERIOD OF CLOUD COVERAGE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING ALONG AND NORTH OF I90...AS WE WILL PLACE PTCLOUDY CONDITIONS INTO THE GRIDS/FORECAST. OVERNIGHT LOWS SATURDAY WILL BE CHILLY WITH MAINLY 20S FOR THE REGION. THEN A SLOW REBOUND INTO THE TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY AS H850 TEMPS CLIMB BACK ABOVE 0C. && .LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/... THE START OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD WILL FEATURE QUIET WEATHER...WITH SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SITUATED CLOSE TO THE REGION...AS UPPER LEVEL HEIGHTS CONTINUE TO BUILD OVER THE REGION. THIS RIDGE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE AND STRENGTHEN FOR SEVERAL DAYS IN RESPONSE TO A LARGE CUTOFF LOW THAT WILL DEEPEN AND LINGER OVER THE CENTRAL PORTION OF THE US. AS A RESULT...TEMPS WILL BE TREND TO BEING ABOVE NORMAL FOR SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MUCH OF THE UPCOMING WEEK. SKY COVER WILL BEGIN PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLEAR...BUT MORE CLOUDS WILL DEVELOP DURING THE WEEK. LOWS LOOK TO BE IN THE UPPER 30S FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY NIGHTS...WITH HIGHS ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY GENERALLY IN THE MID 50S. TOWARDS MIDWEEK...OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE IN THE 40S FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHTS...WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOW 60S FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. EVENTUALLY...THE SYSTEM OVER THE CENTRAL PART OF THE US WILL WEAKEN AND LIFT OF TO THE NORTHEAST. WITH THE BULK OF THE DYNAMICS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES...THE STORM/S TRAILING COLD OR OCCLUDED FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH THE AREA SOMETIME LATER IN THE WEEK. THE MODELS STILL AREN/T CLEAR IN THE EXACT TIMING OF WHETHER IT WILL OCCUR THURSDAY OR FRIDAY. FOR NOW...WILL GO WITH CHC POPS BEGINNING WITH WED NIGHT AND THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK DUE TO THE UNCERTAINTY. ALTHOUGH A FEW LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS OR AREAS OF DRIZZLE CANNOT TOTALLY BE RULED OUT DUE TO THE PERSISTENT SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING SYSTEM FOR LATE IN THE WEEK...MOST OF THE RAIN WILL PROBABLY BE LIMITED TO JUST A FEW HOUR PERIOD WITH THE ACTUAL COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE SOMETIME ON THURSDAY OR FRIDAY. && .AVIATION /15Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE ENTIRE TAF PERIOD ENDING AT 12Z SATURDAY. BEHIND A SURFACE COLD FRONT...AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL BECOME ENTRENCHED OVER THE REGION TODAY. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO ALLOW PLENTY OF CLOUDS...WITH BKN-OVC CIGS AT 3500-5000 FT THROUGH THE DAY. THESE CLOUDS WILL BE HIGH ENOUGH TO KEEP FLYING CONDITIONS VFR. SOME LAKE ENHANCED RAIN SHOWERS WILL BE OCCURRING DOWNWIND OF LAKE ONTARIO. MOST OF THIS ACTIVITY WILL REMAIN TO THE WEST OF THE HUDSON VALLEY TAF SITES. STILL...WILL INCLUDE A VCSH FOR KGFL IN CASE A SHOWER GETS CLOSE /MAINLY FOR THIS MORNING/ BUT ANY IMPACT DUE TO RAIN SHOWERS WILL BE LIMITED...DUE TO LIGHT INTENSITY OF PRECIP AND BRIEF NATURE OF ANY SHOWERS. ELSEWHERE...WILL NOT INCLUDE A VCSH...AS SHOWER ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN SCATTERED AND/OR FAR ENOUGH AWAY TO HAVE ANY IMPACT. SOME OF THESE LOWER CLOUDS MAY FINALLY BREAK TO CLEAR OUT BY LATER THIS EVENING AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS TONIGHT...BUT BKN MID OR HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS WILL LIKELY STILL REMAIN IN PLACE. THESE CLOUDS...ALONG WITH THE EXPECTED WIND IN PLACE AND DRY LOW LEVELS...WILL PREVENT ANY RADIATIONAL FOG FOR TONIGHT. THE COMBINATION OF GOOD DAYTIME MIXING AND A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT IN PLACE WILL ALLOW FOR SOME GUSTY WINDS...ESP DURING THE MID MORNING THROUGH THE MID AFTERNOON HOURS. WEST WINDS WILL BE AROUND 10-20 KTS...WITH SOME GUSTS OF 20-30 KTS POSSIBLE...ESP FOR KALB...WHERE AIR WILL BE FUNNELED DOWN THE MOHAWK VALLEY. WINDS MAY BEGIN TO DECREASE THIS EVENING WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING...BUT WILL STILL REMAIN AROUND 10 KTS FOR TONIGHT. OUTLOOK... SATURDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT: LOW OPERATIONAL IMPACT. BREEZY. NO SIG WX. SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX. && .FIRE WEATHER... RECENT RAINFALL...ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL RAIN/SNOW TODAY INTO TONIGHT...WILL RESULT IN LITTLE TO NO FIRE WEATHER RELATED CONCERNS AT THIS TIME DESPITE GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS OF 25-45 MPH. A PERIOD OF DRIER WEATHER IS EXPECTED LATER IN THE WEEKEND WHICH SHOULD LAST INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. && .HYDROLOGY... ADDITIONAL QPF IS EXPECTED TODAY INTO EARLY SATURDAY. LIGHT AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED OVER MOST OF THE HSA...EXCEPT OVER THE WRN DACKS...AND WRN MOHAWK VALLEY WHERE AN ADDITIONAL QUARTER TO HALF AN INCH MAY OCCUR. MUCH OF THE PCPN FRI NIGHT INTO SATURDAY WILL BE LIGHT SNOW AMOUNTS OF A COUPLE INCHES INTO THE ADIRONDACKS. FOR DETAILS ON SPECIFIC AREA RIVERS AND LAKES...INCLUDING OBSERVED AND FORECAST RIVER STAGES AND LAKE ELEVATIONS...PLEASE VISIT THE ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE /AHPS/ GRAPHS ON OUR WEBSITE. && .ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... CT...NONE. NY...NONE. MA...NONE. VT...NONE. && SYNOPSIS...BGM NEAR TERM...GJM/BGM SHORT TERM...BGM LONG TERM...FRUGIS AVIATION...FRUGIS FIRE WEATHER...IRL/BGM HYDROLOGY...IRL/BGM
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 335 AM EST FRI NOV 13 2015 CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-058>061-063>066- 082>084-VTZ013>015-141200- NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE- SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER- SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN- NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY- EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN ALBANY- WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE- WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER- WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS-NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN- SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM- 335 AM EST FRI NOV 13 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWESTERN CONNECTICUT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK AND SOUTHERN VERMONT. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP THROUGH THE DAY AND CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING. AT THIS TIME...WIND SPEEDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY LEVEL CRITERIA WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
3 strong wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Strong winds downed a tree on Mc Kay Road in Amsterdam. Some power outages were reported throughout the area as well.
Numerous trees and power lines were reported down in Olivebridge and Wawarsing as a result of gusty winds.
Numerous trees and power lines were reported down in Ulster, Kingston and Plattekill as a result of gusty winds.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in New York in 2015Every state in 2015This day in weather historyWarnings in New York, November 2015
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 602111, 602109, 602110.