Little change was noted in the drought situation for Southwest New Mexico. Severe(D2) drought remained in place for far Western Grant County while much of the remainder of the county was in Abnormally Dry(D0) or Moderate(D1) drought conditions.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS EPZ wrote it up.
Little change was noted in the drought situation for Southwest New Mexico. Severe(D2) drought remained in place for far Western Grant County while much of the remainder of the county was in Abnormally Dry(D0) or Moderate(D1) drought conditions.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS El Paso, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 28, 2:03 PM MST, 9 hours 57 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM 203 PM MST SAT FEB 28 2015 .SYNOPSIS... WESTERLY WINDS WILL BRING WARM WEATHER TO SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO AND WEST SUNDAY AND MONDAY BEFORE COOLER AIR BEHIND A COLD FRONT INVADES THE BORDERLAND LATER NEXT WEEK. A COMPLEX UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL ALSO BRING A THREAT OF RAIN AND SNOW TO MUCH OF THE REGION EARLY NEXT WEEK BEFORE COOL DRY WEATHER RETURNS ON THURSDAY. && .DISCUSSION... EASTERLY WINDS HAVE SUSTAINED INFLOW OF COOLER THAN NORMAL AIR INTO MOST OF THE CWA THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON WITH TEMPERATURES AGAIN RUNNING LOWER THAN EXPECTED. ON SUNDAY HOWEVER CLOSED UPPER LOW WILL DROP SOUTHWARD INTO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA CAUSING STRENGTHENING SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS ALOFT ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES. EXPECT THESE WINDS TO MIX DOWN TO THE SURFACE RESULTING IN ADVECTION OF WARMER AIR WITH SUNDAY TEMPERATURES HOPEFULLY RISING ABOVE NORMAL. IN ADDITION THERE MAY BE SUFFICIENT MOISTURE ADVECTION ON SUNDAY TO SUPPORT A FEW RAIN SHOWERS OVER THE GILA REGION. THINGS BECOME EVEN MORE COMPLEX ON MONDAY AS THE CLOSED LOW EJECTS TO THE NORTHEAST WHILE ANOTHER UPPER LOW FORMS OFF THE CALIFORNIA COAST. CONTINUED DEEP SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL BOTH SUSTAIN WARM TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE CWA ON MONDAY AND ALSO ADVECT ABUNDANT MOISTURE WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER RISING TO WELL ABOVE NORMAL AT AROUND .75 INCH MONDAY AFTERNOON. ALSO EXPECT UPPER WAVE TO EJECT ACROSS THE REGION ALONG WITH PACIFIC COLD FRONT LATE MONDAY AND THIS WILL GENERATE INCREASING PRECIP COVERAGE MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURE PROFILES INDICATE RAIN WILL FALL MOST LOCATIONS ON MONDAY BUT COOLING WILL CAUSE SNOW LEVELS TO LOWER TO AROUND 7000 FEET BY TUESDAY MORNING. SLOW MOVING UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO ARIZONA ON TUESDAY WITH CONTINUED SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT SUSTAINING MOISTURE TRANSPORT. THUS EXPECT THREAT OF RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOWS TO PERSIST INTO TUESDAY THOUGH WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES DUE TO PACIFIC COLD FRONT PASSAGE. MAJOR DIFFERENCES BETWEEN GFS AND ECMWF AFTER TUESDAY. THE GFS SWEEPS THE TROUGH THROUGH THE CWA ON WEDNESDAY WITH COLDER BUT DRIER AIR SUBSEQUENTLY FLOWING INTO NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS. IN STARK CONTRAST THE ECMWF DEVELOPS AN ALMOST STATIONARY CLOSED LOW OVER ARIZONA DURING THIS WHILE WHILE MUCH COLDER SURFACE AIR INTRUDES FROM THE EAST. THUS THE ECMWF SOLUTION HAS CONSIDERABLY COLDER TEMPERATURES ALONG WITH A HIGH THREAT OF SNOW LATER PERIODS. AT THIS TIME PREFER THE DETERMINISTIC GFS SOLUTION AS IT AGREES WITH THE ENSEMBLE OUTPUT PLUS THE SUPER BLEND NUMBERS AND CANADIAN MODEL ARE MORE CONSISTENT WITH THE GFS. SO EXPECT SLIGHT CHANCES FOR PRECIP WEDNESDAY FOLLOWED BY COOL DRY WEATHER REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. && .AVIATION...VALID 01/00Z-02/00Z... P6SM SCT-BKN050-070 BKN250 THRU 03Z WITH W TO SW WINDS OF 15-20G30KTS. AFT 03Z...FEW-SCT050-070 SCT-BKN250 WITH S TO SW WINDS AOB 12KTS. AFT 18Z FEW-SCT060-080 SCT250 WITH WINDS SHIFTING TO THE SW 08-15KTS. && .FIRE WEATHER... AN UPPER LOW IS CURRENTLY DIGGING DOWN THE CALIFORNIA COAST WITH SOUTHWEST FLOW AHEAD OF IT BRINGING A RETURN TO WARMER WEATHER FOR NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. OCCASIONAL BREEZY TO POSSIBLY WINDY CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY...BUT RELATIVE HUMIDITIES SHOULD REMAIN HIGH ENOUGH THAT CRITICAL CONDITIONS DO NOT DEVELOP. THE UPPER LOW MENTIONED EARLIER WILL START TO KICK OUT OF THE BAJA REGION LATE MONDAY AND BRING A CHANCE FOR GENERALLY RAIN SHOWERS WITH SOME SNOW POSSIBLE AT THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS INTO TUESDAY MORNING. ANOTHER BACK DOOR COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED THURSDAY WITH ANOTHER SIGNIFICANT DROP IN TEMPERATURES POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY EAST. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... EL PASO 45 73 49 71 51 / 0 0 0 20 40 SIERRA BLANCA 39 71 46 70 51 / 0 0 0 10 30 LAS CRUCES 39 70 45 67 43 / 0 0 0 20 40 ALAMOGORDO 40 68 44 66 45 / 0 0 0 20 40 CLOUDCROFT 30 49 32 47 30 / 0 0 10 30 60 TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES 41 64 42 63 42 / 0 0 0 20 30 SILVER CITY 37 56 39 56 34 / 20 20 20 40 60 DEMING 38 67 41 65 41 / 0 0 0 30 40 LORDSBURG 37 64 40 64 38 / 0 0 10 30 50 WEST EL PASO METRO 47 72 50 70 50 / 0 0 0 20 40 DELL CITY 35 71 41 70 46 / 0 0 0 20 30 FORT HANCOCK 42 75 48 74 53 / 0 0 0 20 30 LOMA LINDA 43 65 46 65 47 / 0 0 0 20 30 FABENS 42 75 47 72 51 / 0 0 0 20 40 SANTA TERESA 42 71 47 69 47 / 0 0 0 20 40 WHITE SANDS HQ 43 68 47 67 48 / 0 0 0 20 40 JORNADA RANGE 36 67 39 66 41 / 0 0 0 20 40 HATCH 39 68 43 67 44 / 0 0 0 20 30 COLUMBUS 42 67 46 66 45 / 0 0 0 20 30 OROGRANDE 43 70 47 69 48 / 0 0 0 20 40 MAYHILL 34 57 36 56 36 / 0 0 10 30 60 MESCALERO 31 56 33 55 33 / 0 0 10 30 60 TIMBERON 34 56 37 56 37 / 0 0 10 30 60 WINSTON 37 56 38 57 35 / 20 10 10 40 50 HILLSBORO 41 61 42 61 40 / 10 0 0 30 40 SPACEPORT 36 67 40 65 40 / 0 0 0 20 30 LAKE ROBERTS 35 55 36 54 33 / 30 20 20 50 60 HURLEY 37 59 39 59 36 / 20 0 10 40 50 CLIFF 37 62 38 61 35 / 30 20 10 40 50 MULE CREEK 31 58 33 57 29 / 30 20 20 40 50 FAYWOOD 39 59 42 60 38 / 10 0 0 30 40 ANIMAS 39 65 43 66 40 / 0 0 10 30 60 HACHITA 38 67 42 67 40 / 0 0 0 30 40 ANTELOPE WELLS 39 67 43 67 42 / 0 0 10 30 60 CLOVERDALE 39 63 43 64 39 / 0 0 10 30 60 && .EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NM...NONE. TX...NONE. && 05 ROGASH
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM 620 AM MST SAT FEB 28 2015 NMZ401>417-TXZ418>424-011330- UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY-SOUTHERN GILA HIGHLANDS/BLACK RANGE- SOUTHERN GILA FOOTHILLS/MIMBRES VALLEY- SOUTHWEST DESERT/LOWER GILA RIVER VALLEY-LOWLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL- UPLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-SOUTHWEST DESERT/MIMBRES BASIN- EASTERN BLACK RANGE FOOTHILLS-SIERRA COUNTY LAKES- NORTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY-SOUTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY/MESILLA VALLEY- CENTRAL TULAROSA BASIN-SOUTHERN TULAROSA BASIN- WEST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET- SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7500 FEET- EAST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-OTERO MESA- WESTERN EL PASO COUNTY-EASTERN/CENTRAL EL PASO COUNTY- NORTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS/HUECO MOUNTAINS-SALT BASIN- SOUTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS- RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN EL PASO/WESTERN HUDSPETH COUNTIES- RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN HUDSPETH COUNTY- 620 AM MST SAT FEB 28 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NM AND TX. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. WINDS WILL INCREASE FROM THE WEST TO 15 TO 25 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY WE WILL SEE PRECIPITATION CHANCES RETURN TO THE BORDERLAND ON MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. WE'LL BE COOLER BY THURSDAY...BUT TEMPERATURES WILL BE ON THE RISE AGAIN BY NEXT FRIDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
Severe(D2) drought continued for the western half of the zone in March. The Gila Hot Springs Cooperative Observer reported 0.83 inches of precipitation which was 0.05 inches above normal.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in New Mexico in 2015Every state in 2015This day in weather historyWarnings in New Mexico, March 2015
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 566378.