Kentucky, 2015

Winter Storm and Flooding in Kentucky, March 1 to 19, 2015

March 1 to 19, 2015 · NWS LMK · 68 events in 49 counties and zones

An intense storm system brought flooding rains to central Kentucky, followed quickly by exceptionally heavy snow. This amount of rain, followed by such heavy snow, is practically unprecedented.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 51 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
2
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
68

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS LMK wrote it up.

An intense storm system brought flooding rains to central Kentucky, followed quickly by exceptionally heavy snow. This amount of rain, followed by such heavy snow, is practically unprecedented. The upper level pattern featured a positively tilted upper trough across the desert southwest on the 3nd of March. A tight baroclinic zone stretched northeastward through southern Indiana. Strong southwesterly flow at lower levels brought rich moisture along this nearly stationary boundary. Initially, during the evening hours on the 3nd, rain developed along this boundary and gradually overspread all of southern Indiana and central Kentucky. Steady rain continued through the late afternoon on the 4th. Two to almost 3 inches of rain fell across north central and central Kentucky before precipitation changed into snow during the late afternoon hours on the 4th. Minor areal flooding developed with several roads and low water crossings closed.

Rain changed into heavy snow near the Ohio River around 5pm, with precipitation changeover slowly moving farther south during the evening, Rain finally changed over to snow near the Tennessee Border during the early morning hours. Intense frontogenesis and lift associated with the right rear quadrant of a powerful jet led to the development of several intense snow bands where snow fell at a rate of 2 inches per hour. One band developed from near Breckenridge County and stretched through Bullitt County and across the northern Bluegrass. Under this nearly stationary band, snow totals ranged from 15 to locally over 20 inches. One reliable snow report from near Radcliff, Kentucky measured 25 inches, which is one inch short of the all time Kentucky storm total snowfall record. Snow diminished from west to east during the mid-morning hours on the 5th. Snow totals across south central Kentucky, adjacent to Tennessee, ranged from 5 to 8 inches.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Louisville, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 1, 6:02 PM EST, 23 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 1, 6:02 PM EST, 23 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
602 PM EST Sun Mar 1 2015

...Updated Aviation Discussion...

...Forecast Update...
Issued at 523 PM EST Sun Mar 1 2015

A couple of concerns to monitor over the next few hours. Seeing a
decent batch of precipitation develop across southern Indiana, which
will quickly scoot east over the next couple of hours. Right now
surface temps are just above freezing and calls to the counties are
reporting no problems, however thermal/moisture profiles would
support freezing drizzle if ambient air temperature falls below
freezing. Will monitor over the next hour or two.

Also, areas webcams and obs are showing some stratus build down, to
the point where patchy dense fog may become a concern for a while
this evening. Drier air will be advecting in behind the passing
front, so think this will be shortlived and shouldn't be around for
when temps drop below freezing.

.SHORT TERM (Now through Monday Night)...
Issued at 200 PM EST Sun Mar 1 2015

...Freezing Drizzle Possible Overnight Across South-Central KY...

The synoptic pattern this afternoon features an active southern
stream with several embedded shortwaves while pieces of northern
stream energy pass across the Great Lakes region. At the surface,
high pressure is centered across Kansas. After the morning wintry
mix for southern Indiana and northern Kentucky, temperatures have
warmed nicely into the mid 30s to mid 40s as of mid afternoon.
Scattered rain showers tracked through the area, dropping between
0.10 and 0.25" of liquid so far.

Hi-res models are handling the current activity fairly well, so
leaned on those solutions for this evening. Mid-level frontogenesis
will continue a few more hours before moving off to the east. Low
clouds and drizzle will be the main weather story for most this
evening before a cold front arrives, bringing another sharp decline
in readings overnight. Plan on lows mid 20s to around 30 by daybreak
Monday.

For tonight, main concern is the potential for light wintry
precipitation along and south of the KY Parkways as low to mid level
frontogenesis sets up from northwest TN to east central Kentucky
associated with a secondary shortwave lifting through TN. At the
same time, northwest to north winds will funnel in colder air at the
surface, dropping temperatures to near or below freezing after
midnight. This has been a consistent signal the past few days and
the 01.12z soundings support the idea of sub-freezing boundary layer
temperatures and a loss of ice saturation aloft with a warm nose in
between. The increasing signal for frontogenesis adds support for
the threat of light freezing drizzle, after midnight to mid morning
Monday, or about when surface temperatures warm above freezing. QPF
is light overall and the greater threat looks to be just south of
the KY border, but areas from Butler to Russell County southward are
the most likely LMK areas to see a period of freezing drizzle. SREF
probabilities for 0.01" or more of ZR are running 50 to 70 percent.

As a result, added drizzle/freezing drizzle to areas south of the KY
Parkways with the possibility for a light ice accumulation of a few
hundredths. Today's relatively warmer, above freezing temperatures
and wet roads negate some of the potential impacts but untreated
secondary surfaces may develop slick spots for the Monday morning
commute. Will go with a SPS for now, but the evening shift may need
to see if an advisory is warranted depending on how quickly surface
temperatures are dropping.

Refreezing wet roads could pose a problem across the entire area
late tonight as well as readings fall into the mid 20s to around 30.
Increasing north winds and slightly drier air should help dry up
roads, but the less traveled, secondary and sheltered locations may
have some slick spots as well.

For Monday, surface high pressure moving across the Ohio Valley will
continue funneling drier air into the region such that we'll see
some breaks in the clouds by late morning into the afternoon,
especially for southern Indiana and northern Kentucky. Plan on highs
top out in the mid 30s to low 40s, north to south. Monday night into
Tuesday morning the high shifts to the east and easterly to
southeasterly flow sets up by Tuesday morning. Increasing isentropic
lift and warm air advection could spread precipitation to areas
along and west of I-65 by early Tuesday morning. Soundings show that
we'll have a sub freezing boundary layer and a warm nose aloft, so
once again there is concern for light freezing rain at the onset.

.LONG TERM (Tuesday through Sunday)...
Issued at 300 PM EST Sun Mar 1 2015

...Active Weather Period Shaping Up for the Ohio Valley...

A fast moving surface low will race from the central Plains on
Tuesday morning into Quebec by Wednesday morning, and will drive a
cold front into the Ohio Valley. Ahead of this front, strong Gulf
moisture return and low-level warm advection will feed plenty of
warm and moist air into the region, with precipitable water values
well over 1 inch as temps approach 60 degrees. Low-level jetting and
isentropic lift will make for 24 hrs of categorical POPs.

Main weather hazard will be heavy rainfall, especially over central
and southern Kentucky. The window for heavy rainfall does not seem
to last as long, given the faster trends with the Arctic front.
However, QPF is over 2 inches for a good chunk of Kentucky, and that
coincides with where the heaviest rain fell last weekend, and the
heaviest snow earlier that week. Still anticipate at least minor
flooding impacts, which are detailed in the Hydrology section.

Will continue to carry embedded thunder Tuesday and Tuesday night,
given the strength of the low-level jet and elevated instability
showing up in forecast soundings. However, not expecting any
substantial severe threat as surface-based instability is lacking.

Cold front comes through before dawn on Wednesday. Recent model runs
continue to trend faster with the Arctic air spilling into the Ohio
Valley, which would yield a changeover to snow during the day on
Wednesday as temps will nosedive for 24 hrs or more. We could see
another wave ride along the front late in the day, and if sufficient
cold air is in place, accumulating snows are possible mainly across
central and southern Kentucky. This forecast is still beyond the
scope of where we would put out actual snowfall numbers, but it
bears watching. Main factor that limits confidence is a NAM solution
that is much warmer through the day on Wednesday and keeps the
potential for wintry precip over Indiana.

A quiet pattern will set up on Thursday as Canadian high pressure
builds in, and then will continue through the weekend as the surface
high settles over the Deep South and the upper pattern flattens out.
Expect cold temps Thursday and Friday, especially if there is any
snowpack, followed by a moderating trend over the weekend.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...

Issued at 315 PM EST Sun Mar 1 2015

Light precipitation and warmer air continued to melt the snowpack
this afternoon over our area and keep soils saturated. The remaining
pack contains anywhere from about a half inch up to two inches of
liquid in a few locations. Temperatures will fall below freezing
tonight but will rise to similar values as today's on Monday.

A new storm system will move into the region Monday night. At this
time, it appears that southern Indiana will see one to two inches of
rain on Tuesday and Wednesday, where Kentucky will collect about a
half inch more. Since soils will be saturated from snow melt, the
new rains could trigger flooding.

It appears that flooding on the major rivers would likely start
around midweek and continue into the weekend. This would affect the
Salt, Green, Licking, and Kentucky river basins. Minor flooding on
the Ohio River could occur as well. Residents in flood prone areas
should closely monitor water levels over the coming days and be
prepared for possible flooding by mid to late week.
&&

.AVIATION (00Z TAF Update)...
Issued at 601 PM EST Sun Mar 1 2015

The TAF sites will start off with IFR conditions in ceilings and
visibilities. Meanwhile, a cold frontal boundary will be situated
along a line from BWG to LEX. Have noticed ceilings and visibilities
have gone done into the LIFR range in spots along this front, and
expect the best chance for this to occur at issuance will be at LEX
for a few hours. Do expect steady NW winds to pick up behind the
front with some slightly drier air behind it. So, expect conditions
to "improve" back to the low MVFR range at SDF first just before
Midnight. BWG would be next at Midnight CST, and LEX would be last
toward dawn.

Will also have to deal with some lingering showers and drizzle
through the overnight and it will be close on whether surface temps
drop below freezing before drizzle ends. BWG and LEX stand the best
shot at a light glaze of ice through the pre-dawn hours, but don't
have enough confidence that temps will fall fast enough to include
prevailing mention at this time.

Otherwise, surface high pressure begins to build in tomorrow with
clouds scattering out and a return to VFR. Winds will gradually veer
to a NE direction as the surface high center builds in.

&&

.LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.
&&

Update.........BJS
Short Term.....ZBT
Long Term......RAS
Hydrology......CMC
Aviation.......BJS
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 1, 2:55 PM EST, 3 hours 30 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
255 PM EST SUN MAR 1 2015

INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067-
070>078-081-082-022000-
ORANGE IN-WASHINGTON IN-SCOTT IN-JEFFERSON IN-DUBOIS IN-CRAWFORD IN-
PERRY IN-HARRISON IN-FLOYD IN-CLARK IN-HANCOCK KY-BRECKINRIDGE KY-
MEADE KY-OHIO KY-GRAYSON KY-HARDIN KY-BULLITT KY-JEFFERSON KY-
OLDHAM KY-TRIMBLE KY-HENRY KY-SHELBY KY-FRANKLIN KY-SCOTT KY-
HARRISON KY-SPENCER KY-ANDERSON KY-WOODFORD KY-FAYETTE KY-BOURBON KY-
NICHOLAS KY-NELSON KY-WASHINGTON KY-MERCER KY-JESSAMINE KY-CLARK KY-
LARUE KY-MARION KY-BOYLE KY-GARRARD KY-MADISON KY-BUTLER KY-
EDMONSON KY-HART KY-GREEN KY-TAYLOR KY-CASEY KY-LINCOLN KY-LOGAN KY-
WARREN KY-SIMPSON KY-ALLEN KY-BARREN KY-MONROE KY-METCALFE KY-
ADAIR KY-RUSSELL KY-CUMBERLAND KY-CLINTON KY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAOLI...SALEM...SCOTTSBURG...MADISON...
JASPER...MARENGO...TELL CITY...CORYDON...NEW ALBANY...
JEFFERSONVILLE...HAWESVILLE...HARDINSBURG...BRANDENBURG...
BEAVER DAM...LEITCHFIELD...ELIZABETHTOWN...FORT KNOX...
MOUNT WASHINGTON...SHEPHERDSVILLE...LOUISVILLE...LA GRANGE...
BEDFORD...NEW CASTLE...SHELBYVILLE...FRANKFORT...GEORGETOWN...
CYNTHIANA...TAYLORSVILLE...LAWRENCEBURG...VERSAILLES...LEXINGTON...
PARIS...CARLISLE...BARDSTOWN...SPRINGFIELD...HARRODSBURG...
NICHOLASVILLE...WINCHESTER...HODGENVILLE...LEBANON...DANVILLE...
LANCASTER...RICHMOND...MORGANTOWN...BROWNSVILLE...MUNFORDVILLE...
GREENSBURG...CAMPBELLSVILLE...LIBERTY...STANFORD...RUSSELLVILLE...
BOWLING GREEN...FRANKLIN...SCOTTSVILLE...GLASGOW...TOMPKINSVILLE...
EDMONTON...COLUMBIA...JAMESTOWN...BURKESVILLE...ALBANY
255 PM EST SUN MAR 1 2015 /155 PM CST SUN MAR 1 2015/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
INDIANA AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

FREEZING DRIZZLE IS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL
KENTUCKY...WHICH COULD RESULT IN SLICK ROADS FOR THE MONDAY
MORNING COMMUTE.

WITH LOWS EXPECTED TO BE IN THE MID 20S TO AROUND 30 DEGREES...WET
ROADS COULD REFREEZE AND MAKE FOR SLICK ROADS ACROSS THE ENTIRE
AREA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY WILL PRODUCE 1 TO
2 INCHES OF RAIN IN SOUTHERN INDIANA...AND 2 INCHES OR MORE IN
CENTRAL KENTUCKY...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. THIS
AMOUNT OF PRECIPITATION...COMBINED WITH SATURATED GROUND AND
MELTING SNOW...WILL LIKELY LEAD TO FLOODING ISSUES. A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT MAY ALSO PRODUCE LOCALLY
GUSTY WINDS.

ACCUMULATING SNOW IS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS
COLD AIR SPILLS BACK INTO THE OHIO VALLEY. THE BEST CHANCE FOR
ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN KENTUCKY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

ZBT/RAS

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Mar 1, 3:17 PM EST, 3 hours 8 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
317 PM EST SUN MAR 1 2015

KYZ061-062-070>078-081-082-020900-
BUTLER KY-EDMONSON KY-LOGAN KY-WARREN KY-SIMPSON KY-ALLEN KY-
BARREN KY-MONROE KY-METCALFE KY-ADAIR KY-RUSSELL KY-CUMBERLAND KY-
CLINTON KY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MORGANTOWN...BROWNSVILLE...
RUSSELLVILLE...BOWLING GREEN...FRANKLIN...SCOTTSVILLE...GLASGOW...
TOMPKINSVILLE...EDMONTON...COLUMBIA...JAMESTOWN...BURKESVILLE...
ALBANY
217 PM CST SUN MAR 1 2015

...FREEZING DRIZZLE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT...

FREEZING DRIZZLE IS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL
KENTUCKY AS TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL TO AROUND 30
DEGREES...AND THIS COULD MAKE FOR SLICK AND ICY ROADS FOR THE
MONDAY MORNING COMMUTE. IF TRAVELING OVERNIGHT OR MONDAY
MORNING...GIVE YOURSELF EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION AS
THERE MAY BE SLICK SPOTS...ESPECIALLY ON SECONDARY...SHELTERED AND
UNTREATED SURFACES.

ZT
Special weather statement, Mar 1, 6:13 PM EST, 12 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
613 PM EST SUN MAR 1 2015

KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067-070>078-081-082-020500-
HANCOCK KY-BRECKINRIDGE KY-MEADE KY-OHIO KY-GRAYSON KY-HARDIN KY-
BULLITT KY-JEFFERSON KY-OLDHAM KY-TRIMBLE KY-HENRY KY-SHELBY KY-
FRANKLIN KY-SCOTT KY-HARRISON KY-SPENCER KY-ANDERSON KY-
WOODFORD KY-FAYETTE KY-BOURBON KY-NICHOLAS KY-NELSON KY-
WASHINGTON KY-MERCER KY-JESSAMINE KY-CLARK KY-LARUE KY-MARION KY-
BOYLE KY-GARRARD KY-MADISON KY-BUTLER KY-EDMONSON KY-HART KY-
GREEN KY-TAYLOR KY-CASEY KY-LINCOLN KY-LOGAN KY-WARREN KY-
SIMPSON KY-ALLEN KY-BARREN KY-MONROE KY-METCALFE KY-ADAIR KY-
RUSSELL KY-CUMBERLAND KY-CLINTON KY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HAWESVILLE...HARDINSBURG...
BRANDENBURG...BEAVER DAM...LEITCHFIELD...ELIZABETHTOWN...
FORT KNOX...MOUNT WASHINGTON...SHEPHERDSVILLE...LOUISVILLE...
LA GRANGE...BEDFORD...NEW CASTLE...SHELBYVILLE...FRANKFORT...
GEORGETOWN...CYNTHIANA...TAYLORSVILLE...LAWRENCEBURG...
VERSAILLES...LEXINGTON...PARIS...CARLISLE...BARDSTOWN...
SPRINGFIELD...HARRODSBURG...NICHOLASVILLE...WINCHESTER...
HODGENVILLE...LEBANON...DANVILLE...LANCASTER...RICHMOND...
MORGANTOWN...BROWNSVILLE...MUNFORDVILLE...GREENSBURG...
CAMPBELLSVILLE...LIBERTY...STANFORD...RUSSELLVILLE...
BOWLING GREEN...FRANKLIN...SCOTTSVILLE...GLASGOW...
TOMPKINSVILLE...EDMONTON...COLUMBIA...JAMESTOWN...BURKESVILLE...
ALBANY
613 PM EST SUN MAR 1 2015 /513 PM CST SUN MAR 1 2015/

...AREAS OF DENSE FOG THIS EVENING AND FREEZING DRIZZLE POSSIBLE
OVERNIGHT...

AREAS OF DENSE FOG HAVE DEVELOPED THIS EVENING AND WILL REDUCE
VISIBILITIES TO NEAR ZERO IN SPOTS. THE FOG IS EXPECTED TO IMPROVE
LATER THIS EVENING AS DRIER AIR BEGINS TO WORK INTO THE REGION. USE
CAUTION IF TRAVELING ACROSS CENTRAL KENTUCKY THIS EVENING.

FREEZING DRIZZLE IS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL
KENTUCKY AS TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL TO AROUND 30
DEGREES...AND THIS COULD MAKE FOR SLICK AND ICY ROADS FOR THE
MONDAY MORNING COMMUTE. IF TRAVELING OVERNIGHT OR MONDAY
MORNING...GIVE YOURSELF EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION AS
THERE MAY BE SLICK SPOTS...ESPECIALLY ON SECONDARY...SHELTERED AND
UNTREATED SURFACES.

BJS

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

50 heavy snow, 17 flood, 1 winter storm. Local standard time, as filed.

Flood, Bourbon

When
March 1, 6:25 PM EST to March 4, 6:25 PM EST
Where
Bourbon County, Paris to 0.58 mi SSW of Paris
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Department of Highways
Coordinates
38.220, -84.250

Stoner Creek flooded, closing Kentucky State Highway 460 for a time.

Flood, Bourbon

When
March 4, 8:00 AM EST to March 5, 11:00 PM EST
Where
Bourbon County, 1.06 mi SE of Paris to 1.09 mi SSE of Paris
Cause
Heavy Rain / Snow Melt
Reported by
River/Stream Gage
Coordinates
38.208, -84.238

Several inches of wet snow coupled with several inches of rain resulted in Stoner Creek at Paris to rise above flood stage. The river crested at 21.0 feet early on March 5th then fell below flood stage late on March 6th.

Flood, Marion

When
March 4, 1:13 PM EST
Where
Marion County, 1.05 mi S of Belltown to 1 mi SE of Belltown
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Department of Highways
Coordinates
37.515, -85.297

Lover's Lane was closed due to high water between State Highways 68 and 208.

Flood, Ohio

When
March 4, 2:45 PM CST to March 6, 3:40 PM CST
Where
Ohio County, 0.26 mi SW of Davidson to 0.15 mi S of Davidson
Cause
Heavy Rain / Snow Melt
Reported by
River/Stream Gage
Coordinates
37.547, -86.723

Several inches of snow followed by 1 to 2 inches of rain caused the Rough River at Dundee to rise above flood stage. The river crested at 26.97 feet during the afternoon of March 5th and fell below flood stage the next afternoon.

Flood, Larue

When
March 4, 4:11 PM EST
Where
Larue County, 2.08 mi WSW of Hodgenville to 2.14 mi NNW of Mathers Mill
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Department of Highways
Coordinates
37.558, -85.785

Up to 10 inches of water flowed over State Highway 222 near Hodgenville.

Flood, Clark

When
March 4, 4:15 PM EST
Where
Clark County, 2.61 mi N of Pilot View to 2.53 mi WSW of Sewell Shop
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Department of Highways
Coordinates
38.008, -84.075

State Highway 1960 was briefly closed due to flooding at mile marker 5.

Heavy Snow, Jefferson

When
March 4, 5:00 PM EST to March 5, 9:00 AM EST
Where
Jefferson forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
38.187, -85.659 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

An observer at the Standiford Airport measured 11.9 inches of snow. Farther south, the NWS office measured 13.3 inches.

Heavy Snow, Bullitt

When
March 4, 5:00 PM EST to March 5, 10:00 AM EST
Where
Bullitt forecast zone
Reported by
Broadcast Media
Coordinates
37.970, -85.696 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The Louisville media reported that 20 inches of snow fell near Mt Washington.

Heavy Snow, Franklin

When
March 4, 5:00 PM EST to March 5, 10:00 AM EST
Where
Franklin forecast zone
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
38.239, -84.877 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

In Frankfort, 18.5 inches of snow fell.

Heavy Snow, Hancock

When
March 4, 5:00 PM EST to March 5, 7:00 AM EST
Where
Hancock forecast zone
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
37.842, -86.778 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Nine inches of snow fell in Lewistown. More fell across the southern part of the county.

Heavy Snow, Meade

When
March 4, 5:00 PM EST to March 5, 10:00 AM EST
Where
Meade forecast zone
Deaths
0 direct, 1 indirect
Reported by
Newspaper
Coordinates
37.970, -86.217 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A man in Meade County died from a heart attack while shoveling snow.

Flood, Breckinridge

When
March 4, 4:17 PM CST
Where
Breckinridge County, 3.88 mi W of Vanzant to 3.54 mi WSW of Vanzant
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Department of Highways
Coordinates
37.642, -86.690

State Highway 261, near its intersection with State Highway 1385, was briefly closed due to high water.

Heavy Snow, Hardin

When
March 4, 6:00 PM EST to March 5, 9:00 AM EST
Where
Hardin forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
37.698, -85.963 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A spotter, having averaged several measurements, came up with 25 inches of snow. He was located 2 miles northwest of Radcliff. This value of 25 inches is one inch shy of the all time Kentucky storm total record for snow, which is 26 inches. This snow fell in a 15 hour period.

Heavy Snow, Breckinridge

When
March 4, 6:00 PM EST to March 5, 10:00 AM EST
Where
Breckinridge forecast zone
Reported by
COOP Observer
Coordinates
37.773, -86.429 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

An observer at McDaniel measured 20 inches of snow.

Heavy Snow, Nelson

When
March 4, 6:00 PM EST to March 5, 10:00 AM EST
Where
Nelson forecast zone
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
37.805, -85.466 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A total snowfall measurement of 22 inches was taken near Bardstown.

Heavy Snow, Spencer

When
March 4, 6:00 PM EST to March 5, 10:00 AM EST
Where
Spencer forecast zone
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
38.033, -85.328 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Snow totaled 17.5 inches in Elk Creek.

Heavy Snow, Shelby

When
March 4, 6:00 PM EST to March 5, 10:00 AM EST
Where
Shelby forecast zone
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
38.215, -85.195 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Seventeen inches of snow was measured in Waddy.

Heavy Snow, Oldham

When
March 4, 6:00 PM EST to March 5, 10:00 AM EST
Where
Oldham forecast zone
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
38.399, -85.448 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Eleven inches of snow was measured in Buckner.

Heavy Snow, Meade

When
March 4, 6:00 PM EST to March 5, 8:00 AM EST
Where
Meade forecast zone
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
37.970, -86.217 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Between 10 and 15 inches of snow fell across Meade County.

Heavy Snow, Trimble

When
March 4, 6:00 PM EST to March 5, 9:00 AM EST
Where
Trimble forecast zone
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
38.613, -85.338 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

From 6 to 10 inches of snow fell across Trimble County.

Flood, Garrard

When
March 4, 6:35 PM EST
Where
Garrard County, 0.72 mi WNW of Stone to 0.32 mi W of Stone
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Department of Highways
Coordinates
37.735, -84.561

Sugar Creek overflowed, briefly closing State Highway 1971.

Heavy Snow, Ohio

When
March 4, 6:00 PM CST to March 5, 10:00 AM CST
Where
Ohio forecast zone
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
37.478, -86.849 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A snow measurement of 23 inches came from Baizetown.

Heavy Snow, Anderson

When
March 4, 7:00 PM EST to March 5, 10:00 AM EST
Where
Anderson forecast zone
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
38.004, -84.991 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

In Lawrenceburg, 16.5 inches of snow was measured.

Heavy Snow, Larue

When
March 4, 7:00 PM EST to March 5, 10:00 AM EST
Where
Larue forecast zone
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
37.546, -85.698 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Just over 18 inches of snow was measured in Hodgenville.

Heavy Snow, Harrison

When
March 4, 7:00 PM EST to March 5, 10:00 AM EST
Where
Harrison forecast zone
Reported by
Broadcast Media
Coordinates
38.442, -84.331 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The Lexington media reported that 21 inches of snow had fallen in Cynthiana.

Heavy Snow, Henry

When
March 4, 7:00 PM EST to March 5, 9:00 AM EST
Where
Henry forecast zone
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
38.449, -85.119 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A relatively wide range of 7 to 12 inches fell across Henry County.

Flood, Butler

When
March 4, 6:00 PM CST to March 19, 1:00 AM CST
Where
Butler County, 0.26 mi S of Rochester to 0.37 mi SW of Rochester
Cause
Heavy Rain / Snow Melt
Reported by
River/Stream Gage
Coordinates
37.216, -86.901

Several inches of snow followed by 1 to 2 inches of rain resulted in the Green River at Rochester to rise above flood stage. The river was estimated to have crested at 22.2 feet during the evening hours of March 16th. The river dropped below flood stage early on March 19th.

Heavy Snow, Fayette

When
March 4, 8:00 PM EST to March 5, 11:00 AM EST
Where
Fayette forecast zone
Reported by
Official NWS Observations
Coordinates
38.042, -84.459 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

An observer at the Lexington Airport measured 17.1 inches of snow. This amount is a record for any two day snow event in Lexington's history.

Heavy Snow, Scott

When
March 4, 8:00 PM EST to March 5, 11:00 AM EST
Where
Scott forecast zone
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
38.292, -84.584 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Twenty inches of snow was measured in Oxford.

Heavy Snow, Grayson

When
March 4, 7:00 PM CST to March 5, 10:00 AM CST
Where
Grayson forecast zone
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
37.461, -86.344 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Fifteen inches of snow fell in Leitchfield.

Heavy Snow, Woodford

When
March 4, 8:00 PM EST to March 5, 10:00 AM EST
Where
Woodford forecast zone
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
38.042, -84.744 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A measurement of 14.5 inches of snow was taken in Versailles.

Heavy Snow, Edmonson

When
March 4, 9:00 PM EST to March 5, 10:00 AM EST
Where
Edmonson forecast zone
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
37.209, -86.239 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Eleven inches of snow was measured in Brownsville.

Heavy Snow, Mercer

When
March 4, 10:00 PM EST to March 5, 10:00 AM EST
Where
Mercer forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
37.811, -84.874 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A spotter measured 11.3 inches of snow in Burgin.

Heavy Snow, Barren

When
March 4, 10:00 PM EST to March 5, 11:00 AM EST
Where
Barren forecast zone
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
36.966, -85.934 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Around 11 inches of snow was measured near Roseville.

Heavy Snow, Nicholas

When
March 4, 10:00 PM EST to March 5, 12:00 PM EST
Where
Nicholas forecast zone
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
38.336, -84.015 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Thirteen inches of snow was measured in Carlisle.

Heavy Snow, Jessamine

When
March 4, 10:00 PM EST to March 5, 11:00 AM EST
Where
Jessamine forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
37.872, -84.581 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A spotter measured 10 inches of snow in Sulfur Wells.

Heavy Snow, Marion

When
March 4, 10:00 PM EST to March 5, 10:00 AM EST
Where
Marion forecast zone
Reported by
COOP Observer
Coordinates
37.553, -85.270 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A COOP Observer measured 11 inches of snow in Lebanon.

Heavy Snow, Hart

When
March 4, 10:00 PM EST to March 5, 10:00 AM EST
Where
Hart forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
37.300, -85.885 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A spotter measured 14 inches in Bonnieville.

Heavy Snow, Green

When
March 4, 10:00 PM EST to March 5, 10:00 AM EST
Where
Green forecast zone
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
37.264, -85.553 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

From 7 to 11 inches fell across Green County.

Heavy Snow, Taylor

When
March 4, 10:00 PM EST to March 5, 10:00 AM EST
Where
Taylor forecast zone
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
37.367, -85.328 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

From 8 to 11 inches of snow fell across Taylor County.

Heavy Snow, Clark

When
March 4, 10:00 PM EST to March 5, 10:00 AM EST
Where
Clark forecast zone
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
37.971, -84.147 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

From 8 to 13 inches of snow fell across the county.

Heavy Snow, Washington

When
March 4, 10:00 PM EST to March 5, 10:00 AM EST
Where
Washington forecast zone
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
37.753, -85.175 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A range of 10 to 16 inches of snow fell across the county.

Flood, Spencer

When
March 4, 10:30 PM EST
Where
Spencer County, 0.86 mi S of Taylorsville to 1.11 mi SSW of Taylorsville
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
38.018, -85.351

Kentucky Highway 2885 was briefly closed by flooding from Simpson Creek.

Flood, Bullitt

When
March 4, 10:47 PM EST
Where
Bullitt County, 1.61 mi ENE of Brooks to 1.96 mi E of Brooks
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Department of Highways
Coordinates
38.076, -85.671

Highway 61 in Shepardsville was closed due to high water at mile marker 9. Several other roads around the county were also briefly closed.

Heavy Snow, Butler

When
March 4, 10:00 PM CST to March 5, 10:00 AM CST
Where
Butler forecast zone
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
37.207, -86.682 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

In Aberdeen, 15.6 inches of snow was measured.

Heavy Snow, Logan

When
March 4, 11:00 PM EST to March 5, 9:00 AM EST
Where
Logan forecast zone
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
36.860, -86.879 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Just over 6 inches of snow was measured in Adairville.

Heavy Snow, Madison

When
March 4, 11:00 PM EST to March 5, 10:00 AM EST
Where
Madison forecast zone
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
37.720, -84.278 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

From 7 to 12 inches of snow fell countywide.

Heavy Snow, Boyle

When
March 4, 11:00 PM EST to March 5, 10:00 AM EST
Where
Boyle forecast zone
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
37.624, -84.867 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A range of 9 to 13 inches of snow fell countywide.

Heavy Snow, Bourbon

When
March 4, 11:00 PM EST to March 5, 10:00 AM EST
Where
Bourbon forecast zone
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
38.207, -84.217 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Thirteen to 16 inches of snow fell countywide.

Heavy Snow, Warren

When
March 4, 11:00 PM CST to March 5, 10:00 AM CST
Where
Warren forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
36.994, -86.424 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

An observer at Bowling Green measured 7.2 inches of snow.

Heavy Snow, Allen

When
March 5, 12:00 AM EST to 10:00 AM EST
Where
Allen forecast zone
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
36.751, -86.190 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Five inches of snow fell in Scottsville.

Heavy Snow, Casey

When
March 5, 12:00 AM EST to 11:00 AM EST
Where
Casey forecast zone
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
37.322, -84.928 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Snow across Casey varied from 6 to 10 inches.

Heavy Snow, Lincoln

When
March 5, 12:00 AM EST to 11:00 AM EST
Where
Lincoln forecast zone
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
37.455, -84.661 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

From 7 to 10 inches of snow fell across the county.

Heavy Snow, Garrard

When
March 5, 12:00 AM EST to 11:00 AM EST
Where
Garrard forecast zone
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
37.640, -84.538 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

From 7 to as much as 12 inches of snow fell across the county.

Winter Storm, Bullitt

When
March 5, 12:00 AM EST to 5:00 AM EST
Where
Bullitt forecast zone
Deaths
0 direct, 1 indirect
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
37.970, -85.696 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A 55 year old man died of an apparent heart attack after shoveling snow. Between 12 and 18 inches of wet, heavy snow had accumulated.

Heavy Snow, Simpson

When
March 5, 1:00 AM EST to 10:00 AM EST
Where
Simpson forecast zone
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
36.742, -86.582 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Between 4 and 6 inches of snow fell across Simpson County.

Heavy Snow, Adair

When
March 5, 12:00 AM CST to 11:00 AM CST
Where
Adair forecast zone
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
37.104, -85.281 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

From 7 to 10 inches of snow fell countywide.

Heavy Snow, Cumberland

When
March 5, 1:00 AM EST to 11:00 AM EST
Where
Cumberland forecast zone
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
36.787, -85.388 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

From 3 to 6 inches of snow fell across the county.

Heavy Snow, Metcalfe

When
March 5, 1:00 AM EST to 11:00 AM EST
Where
Metcalfe forecast zone
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
36.991, -85.629 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

From 4 to 8 inches of snow fell across the county.

Heavy Snow, Clinton

When
March 5, 2:00 AM EST to 11:00 AM EST
Where
Clinton forecast zone
Reported by
Department of Highways
Coordinates
36.728, -85.136 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Seven inches of snow accumulation was reported in Albany.

Heavy Snow, Russell

When
March 5, 2:00 AM EST to 9:00 AM EST
Where
Russell forecast zone
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
36.991, -85.059 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Around 4 inches of snow fell in Jamestown.

Heavy Snow, Monroe

When
March 5, 2:00 AM EST to 12:00 PM EST
Where
Monroe forecast zone
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
36.712, -85.716 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

From 3 to 5 inches of snow fell across the county.

Flood, Edmonson

When
March 5, 3:35 AM CST to March 7, 2:00 AM CST
Where
Edmonson County, 1.65 mi N of Brownsville to 1.63 mi SE of Lindseyville
Cause
Heavy Rain / Snow Melt
Reported by
River/Stream Gage
Coordinates
37.204, -86.266

Several inches of snow followed by 1 to 2 inches of rain resulted in the Green River at Brownsville to rise above flood stage. The river crested at 23.48 feet late on March 6th and then fell below flood stage late on the 7th.

Flood, Butler

When
March 5, 4:00 AM CST to March 16, 6:00 PM CST
Where
Butler County, 0.94 mi ENE of Woodbury to 1.3 mi E of Woodbury
Cause
Heavy Rain / Snow Melt
Reported by
River/Stream Gage
Coordinates
37.186, -86.635

Several inches of snow followed by 1 to 2 inches of rain resulted in the Green River at Woodbury to rise above flood stage. The river crested at 38.8 feet early on March 7th. The river remained high for several days, not falling below flood stage until the late afternoon hours of March 16th.

Flood, Nelson

When
March 5, 5:10 AM EST to March 8, 3:04 AM EST
Where
Nelson County, 2.12 mi WSW of Boston to 2.13 mi WSW of Boston
Cause
Heavy Rain / Snow Melt
Reported by
River/Stream Gage
Coordinates
37.767, -85.705

Several inches of snow that melted as 1 to 2 inches of rain fell brought the Rolling Fork River at Boston above flood stage. The river crested at 41.64 feet during the evening of March 6th. The river fell below flood stage during the early morning hours of March 8th.

Flood, Hart

When
March 5, 4:40 AM CST to March 6, 11:10 PM CST
Where
Hart County, 0.59 mi ESE of Woodsonville to 0.87 mi ESE of Woodsonville
Cause
Heavy Rain / Snow Melt
Reported by
River/Stream Gage
Coordinates
37.268, -85.890

Several inches of snow followed by 1 to 2 inches of rain resulted in the Green River at Munfordville to rise above flood stage. The river crested at 32.49 feet during the early morning hours of March 6th and then fell below flood stage late on March 6th.

Flood, Warren

When
March 5, 5:35 AM CST to 2:10 PM CST
Where
Warren County, 1.1 mi N of Masseys Mill to 1.29 mi N of Masseys Mill
Cause
Heavy Rain / Snow Melt
Reported by
River/Stream Gage
Coordinates
36.896, -86.383

Several inches of snow followed by 1 to 2 inches of rain resulted in Drakes Creek near Alvaton to rise above flood stage. The river crested at 22.59 feet during the morning hours of March 5th, falling below flood stage later that day.

Flood, Henry

When
March 5, 10:30 AM EST to March 12, 7:50 AM EST
Where
Henry County, 0.82 mi NNE of Lockport to 0.9 mi NNE of Lockport
Cause
Heavy Rain / Snow Melt
Reported by
River/Stream Gage
Coordinates
38.441, -84.963

Several inches of snow followed by 1 to 2 inches of rain resulted in the Kentucky River at Lockport to rise above flood stage. The river crested at 37.69 feet during the early morning hours of March 9th. The river remained above flood stage until the morning hours of March 12th.

The people who died

As the offices recorded each death: direct deaths were caused by the weather itself, indirect ones by something it set in motion.

EventDateAgeSexWhereKind
Heavy Snow, Meade2015-03-0549MaleOutside/Open AreasIndirect
Winter Storm, Bullitt2015-03-0555MalePermanent HomeIndirect

What these are

Flood
Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.
Heavy Snow
Snowfall reaching the local warning threshold without the other hazards of a winter storm.
Winter Storm
A storm that brought snow, sleet or freezing rain at warning levels, usually over several hours or days.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Kentucky in 2015Every state in 2015This day in weather historyWarnings in Kentucky, March 2015

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 554132, 562163, 554134, 562174, 554133, 554131, 554147, 554153, 554161, 554176, 554470, 554130, 554149, 554151, 554154, 554155, 554158, 554174, 554178, 554192, 554135, 554150, 554156, 554159, 554162, 554193, 562181, 554146, 554152, 554157, 554160, 554170, 554164, 554165, 554166, 554167, 554169, 554172, 554179, 554180, and more.