Montana, 2015

High Wind in Montana, March 14, 2015

March 14, 2015 · NWS TFX · 5 events in 4 counties and zones

Strong winds developed over prone locations along the rocky mount front and Norris Hill.

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
5

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS TFX wrote it up.

Strong winds developed over prone locations along the rocky mount front and Norris Hill.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Great Falls, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 14, 9:24 AM MST, 1 hour 17 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 14, 9:24 AM MST, 1 hour 17 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
1024 AM MDT Sat Mar 14 2015

.UPDATE...
No significant changes to the forecast this morning as winds are
beginning to approach high wind criteria. Temperatures generally
look on track, and will address any changes associated with next
system with the full forecast package this afternoon. Suk

&&

.AVIATION...
UPDATED 1130Z.
Breezy west winds will affect the region today. The strongest winds
are expected in the Great Falls and Cut Bank areas. Widespread
mid/high level cloudiness will affect the region...but overall VFR
conditions will prevail through tonight. The exception will be over
the Rocky Mountain Front...where there will be increased chances for
precipitation by tonight. IFR conditions are expected over mountain
passes...with mountains obscured at times. Mountain waves are
possible due to the strong winds aloft thru tonight. Brusda

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 540 AM MDT Sat Mar 14 2015/
Today through Monday...A big change in the weather is coming as we
go from near record high temperatures today to snow Sunday night
and Monday. A strong and moist southwest flow aloft will be over
the area today and tonight. Downslope effects should keep the
forecast area dry except for the western mountains. The weather
pattern changes Sunday night as a weather disturbance aloft moves
into the Pacific. Meanwhile a much colder Canadian airmass will
spread south over the forecast area as a result of an upper trough
moving into central Canada. This combination will bring snow to
central and northern Montana with rain and snow for southwest
Montana. The weather disturbance aloft is expected to weaken as it
moves into Montana on Monday and precipitation should diminish by
late in the day.

High winds...Will continue with the current high wind warning for
the Rocky Mountain Front and also Toole County into Sunday. There
also is a threat of local high winds over the remainder of the plains
and adjoining mountains but confidence is not high enough to expand
the warning into these latter areas. Another area that could
possibly see high winds this afternoon and tonight is Norris Hill
area in Madison County but models differ on forecast wind speeds so
at this time have held off on any warning for that particular area.

Winter weather...Models are coming together in hitting the Rocky
Mountain Front with significant snow Sunday night into Monday. Due
to better consistency with model forecasts have issued a winter
storm watch for the Rocky Mountain Front. Elsewhere along the east
slopes expect snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches near and after
midnight Sunday night into Monday. Another problem in addition to
the snow and accompanying poor visibilities is that precipitation
could start off as rain for the lower elevations and with
temperatures falling to below freezing by Monday morning roads
could become icy. Additional winter weather highlights might be
needed. Blank

Monday night through Saturday...It continues to remain a bit
unsettled from Monday night through Wednesday...as the main Canadian
cold front begins to exit the region Monday night. However...as a
southwesterly to westerly flow develops aloft by Tuesday...upper
level disturbances will begin to move through the region for Tuesday
and Wednesday. Thus there will be a chance for showers over the
region through mid week. Both the GFS/EC begin to dry things out on
Thursday...but by Friday the EC model starts to bring back showers
to the region...while the GFS is dry. For Saturday...the EC
continues the showers...while the GFS does not bring in precip until
late in the day. Thus for Fri/Sat I did a blend of the precip...but
leaned a bit more towards the dry side. In terms of
temperatures...expect a gradual warming trend from Tue thru
Sat...with temperatures ranging from 10 to 15 degrees above normal
by late in the week. Brusda

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GTF  70  46  61  31 /  10  10  50 100
CTB  67  44  57  27 /  10  10  70 100
HLN  70  46  66  37 /  10  10  50 100
BZN  70  40  69  37 /   0  10  50  70
WEY  54  32  55  32 /   0  10  50  70
DLN  68  43  65  40 /   0  10  50  70
HVR  74  45  66  30 /   0  10  30  60
LWT  72  46  63  29 /   0  10  30 100

&&

.TFX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
HIGH WIND WARNING until Noon MDT Sunday Eastern Glacier...
Northern Rocky Mountain Front...Southern Rocky Mountain Front...
Toole.

WINTER STORM WATCH from Sunday evening through Monday afternoon
Northern Rocky Mountain Front...Southern Rocky Mountain Front.

&&

weather.gov/greatfalls
www.twitter.com/NWSGreatFalls
www.facebook.com/NWSGreatFalls

In the hours before

Local storm report, Mar 14, 10:32 AM MST, 9 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
1132 AM MDT SAT MAR 14 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1041 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 1 E EAST GLACIER PARK   48.45N 113.19W
03/14/2015  M73 MPH          GLACIER            MT   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

&&

SUK
Local storm report, Mar 14, 10:33 AM MST, 8 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
1133 AM MDT SAT MAR 14 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1045 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 12 WNW CUT BANK         48.67N 112.59W
03/14/2015  M59 MPH          GLACIER            MT   MESONET

&&

SUK

Event by event

5 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.

High Wind, North Rocky Mountain Front

When
March 14, 10:41 AM MST
Where
North Rocky Mountain Front forecast zone
Measured
63 kt (72 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Department of Highways

Two Medicine Bridge DOT sensor reported multiple gusts strongest at 73 mph.

High Wind, Beaverhead

When
March 14, 10:45 AM MST
Where
Beaverhead forecast zone
Measured
51 kt (59 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet

Blackfeet agrimet started reporting gusts exceed criteria.

High Wind, Beaverhead

When
March 14, 11:27 AM MST
Where
Beaverhead forecast zone
Measured
51 kt (59 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Department of Highways

Norris Hill DOT sensor reported wind gusts up to 59 mph.

High Wind, Eastern Teton

When
March 14, 12:58 PM MST
Where
Eastern Teton forecast zone
Measured
56 kt (64 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Public

Public report from a weather station with gusts up to 65 mph measured.

High Wind, Southern Rocky Mountain Front

When
March 14, 4:00 PM MST
Where
Southern Rocky Mountain Front forecast zone
Measured
56 kt (64 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
Mesonet

Mesonet report of 64 mph winds 13 miles west of Bynum.

What these are

High Wind
Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Montana in 2015Every state in 2015This day in weather historyWarnings in Montana, March 2015

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 565580, 565582, 565585, 565583, 565584.