Montana, 2015

High Wind in Montana, January 7 to 8, 2015

January 7 to 8, 2015 · NWS TFX · 2 events in 2 counties and zones

Isolated strong winds developed over northern portions of Central Montana.

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
2

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS TFX wrote it up.

Isolated strong winds developed over northern portions of Central Montana.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Great Falls, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 7, 11:05 AM MST, 2 hours 55 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 7, 11:05 AM MST, 2 hours 55 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
1105 AM MST Wed Jan 7 2015

UPDATE TO AVIATION

.DISCUSSION...
Update forthcoming. Have lowered temperatures across portions of the
area this afternoon. Southwest winds still forecast to increase this
afternoon and aid in warmer readings. As of now, winds are slow to
develop and temperatures remain cold. Also lowered PoPs across
central Montana. Added blowing snow to the northwest portion of the
county warning area.

&&

.AVIATION...
UPDATED 1805Z.
A northwesterly flow aloft will continue over north central,
central, and southwest Montana through at least Thursday morning.
Predominant conditions are areas of mid/high cloudiness passing
overhead for now. However, areas of low MVFR ceilings in the SW
Montana valleys will continue to dissipate through 21Z. Breezy
southerly winds are also causing areas of blowing snow and localized
IFR conditions (including the KCTB terminal area). These conditions
should also decrease through 00Z as winds shift more westerly and
temperatures begin to warm. A disturbance in the flow aloft will
then bring a cold front south through the area, shifting winds more
northerly beginning along the Hi-Line (KCTB/KHVR) around 03Z and
through the KGTF/KLWT areas by 12Z. The front will then move through
the KHLN and KBZN areas through 16Z. Widespread light snow with at
least MVFR conditions and mountain obscuration will develop around 2
to 4 hours after the frontal passage.
Coulston

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...Issued 345 AM MST Wed Jan 7 2015

Wednesday through Friday...A quieter weather pattern is in store
for the rest of the week as northwesterly flow aloft continues to
keep cold temperatures in the plains of Central and North Central
Montana while warm temperatures will dominate the valleys of
Southwest Montana. Wednesday will be the one warm day for the high
plains adjacent to the Rocky Mountain Front and Mountains of
Central Montana. A weak induced shortwave ridge will move over the
area today, allowing a push of the warmer temperatures, along with
some reinforcing chinook winds. Temperatures are expected to climb
into the upper 30s in the plains affected by this impulse while
locations like Havre are expected to remain in the colder
temperatures. A back door cold front associated with a weak upper
level shortwave trough is expected to move back into the area by
Thursday morning pushing the cold temps back across the plains and
bringing some additional light snowfall Thursday. The colder
temperatures are expected to remain on Friday. Suk

Friday night through Wednesday...Medium range models continue to
show some differences in upper air patterns, but both models
generally agree that this period will be relatively quiet. West to
northwest flow aloft will dominate during the entire period while a
series of week disturbances push through the northern Rockies. The
weekend period will start out with cold air remaining over the
northeastern portion of my forecast area and much warmer air over
the southwest. Over time, the cold air is pushed eastward and
temperatures across the entire forecast area will return to near or
above seasonable averages. Breezy conditions will prevail over the
plains while isolated mountain snow showers linger along the
Continental Divide through the entire forecast period. mpj

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GTF  38  17  21  -7 /  20  20  50  20
CTB  32  12  15 -12 /  20  40  40  10
HLN  34  21  26   2 /  10  10  40  20
BZN  37  19  29   3 /  10  10  40  30
WEY  39  20  35   3 /  10  20  10  10
DLN  45  28  35  15 /   0  10  10  20
HVR  19  10  15 -18 /  10  40  40   0
LWT  40  15  23 -11 /  20  20  60  10

&&

.TFX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

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Event by event

2 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.

High Wind, Southern Rocky Mountain Front

When
January 7, 2:00 PM MST to 3:00 PM MST
Where
Southern Rocky Mountain Front forecast zone
Measured
59 kt (68 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet

High wind gusts, measuring 59KT (68MPH), were reported 17 mi W of Pendroy, MT.

High Wind, Hill

When
January 8, 3:20 AM MST to 4:00 AM MST
Where
Hill forecast zone
Measured
53 kt (61 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Department of Highways

High wind gusts, measuring 53KT (61MPH), were reported 2 mi E of Inverness, MT at the Inverness DOT sensor.

What these are

High Wind
Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Montana in 2015Every state in 2015This day in weather historyWarnings in Montana, January 2015

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 552743, 552744.