The Little Wabash River fell below flood stage on the first day of the month. Abnormally heavy rain and snowmelt in March kept the river above flood stage for over two weeks.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS PAH wrote it up.
The Little Wabash River fell below flood stage on the first day of the month. Abnormally heavy rain and snowmelt in March kept the river above flood stage for over two weeks.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 31, 10:01 PM CST, 1 hour 59 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 1101 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2015 .UPDATE... ISSUED AT 854 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2015 THE LAST OF THE CONVECTION HAS JUST ABOUT PUSHED SOUTH OF SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...AND SKIES ARE MOSTLY CLEAR THROUGHOUT THE REGION. WITH THE DEWPOINTS WELL INTO THE 30S OVER MUCH OF THE AREA EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...AND CLEAR SKIES EXPECTED THROUGH DAYBREAK...RADIATIONAL COOLING COULD LEAD TO LOWER THAN FORECAST TEMPERATURES WHERE WINDS BECOME CALM. MADE SOME MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO TEMPERATURE AND DEWPOINT TRENDS THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT...BUT NOTHING MAJOR JUST YET. FURTHER ADJUSTMENTS...MAINLY DOWNWARD...ARE POSSIBLE LATER THIS EVENING. && .SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY) ISSUED AT 252 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2015 EARLY AFTERNOON MESO ANALYSIS SHOWED A BOUNDARY ACROSS SE MISSOURI WITH NEWLY DEVELOPED WEAK CONVECTION ALONG A LINE FROM NEAR VAN BUREN TO DEXTER. FOLLOWED A HRRR/RAP13 BLEND FOR TRENDS THROUGH EARLY EVENING...MAINTAINING ISOLATED CONVECTIVE CHANCES MAINLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF THIS LINE...POSSIBLY INTO EXTREME SW KENTUCKY UNTIL THE CHANCES SHIFT SOUTH EARLY THIS EVENING. REST OF THE NIGHT WILL BE DRY WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING BACK ACROSS THE AREA. WEDNESDAY WILL ESSENTIALLY BE A DRY DAY...UNTIL LATE WHEN A SMALL CHANCE OF CONVECTION WILL EXIST ACROSS THE OZARK FOOTHILL REGION. THIS IS IN ASSOCIATION WITH A WEAK MID LEVEL WAVE APPROACHING COUPLED WITH RETURN FLOW/INSTABILITY. THE OVERALL MOISTURE COMES THROUGH IN LESS THAN A SOLID REGION...SO JUST CHANCE POPS FOR NOW GIVEN THE SUBTLE LOOK TO THE WAVE FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY THURSDAY. CHANCES WILL INCREASE SLIGHTLY THROUGH THE DAY THURSDAY WITH DESTABILIZATION...THOUGH THE SURFACE FRONT WILL STILL BE OFF TO OUR N/NW 00Z FRI. CHANCES RAMP UP THURSDAY EVENING/NIGHT AS THE BOUNDARY SETTLES SOUTH INTO THE AREA AHEAD OF A MID LEVEL TROF OVER THE NCNTRL CONUS...AND SURFACE REFLECTION COMING ACROSS THE OZARKS...REACHING THE OHIO VALLEY 18Z FRIDAY. HEAVY RAIN AND SOME STRONG TO SEVERE STORM ACTIVITY REMAIN CONCERNS LATE THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. A MODEL BLEND WAS USED OVERALL...WEIGHTED TOWARD THE GFS/EC. TEMPS WERE A BLEND OF MOS AND BASE MODEL OUTPUT. .LONG TERM...(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY) ISSUED AT 252 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2015 MODELS SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LINGERING INTO FRIDAY EVENING ACROSS OUR SOUTHEAST/EASTERN COUNTIES AS A COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO PUSH OFF TO OUR EAST. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THROUGH SATURDAY, MOVING OFF TO THE EAST OF THE PAH FORECAST AREA SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL COOL DOWN TO A LITTLE BELOW SEASONAL READINGS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. WITH THE HIGH SHIFTING EAST, WINDS WILL SHIFT BACK TO THE SOUTH AND TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE TO NEAR SEASONAL FOR SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. THE SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BE PICKING UP SUNDAY AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS AHEAD OF OUR NEXT WEATHER SYSTEM. BOTH ECMWF AND GFS SHOW A SURFACE LOW OVER SOUTHEAST COLORADO BY 00Z MONDAY, MOVING OVER NORTHEAST KANSAS/SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA BY 12 TUESDAY. OUR REGION WILL REMAIN IN THE FAIRLY UNSTABLE WARM SECTOR FOR THE BEGINNING OF THE WORK WEEK, AND THIS WILL GIVE US CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL PORTIONS OF OUR REGION SUNDAY NIGHT, AND ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. CHANCES WILL BE INCREASING THROUGH MID WEEK WITH THE SLOW APPROACH OF THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN NEAR NORMAL FOR MONDAY, BUT THE INCREASING MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL HELP PUSH TEMPERATURES WELL ABOVE NORMAL INTO THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 70S BY TUESDAY. && .AVIATION... ISSUED AT 1101 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2015 WITH THE 06Z WEDNESDAY FORECAST ISSUANCE...VFR CONDITIONS WILL DOMINATE WITH A GRADUAL TRANSITION OF WINDS FROM NORTHEAST TO SOUTHEAST WITH TIME. UNRESTRICTED CEILINGS AND VISIBITIES WILL REMAIN THROUGH NEARLY ALL THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH A CIRRUS DECK MOVING IN AFTER 00Z THURSDAY OVER KCGI AND KPAH AHEAD OF THE NEXT SYSTEM. && .PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IL...NONE. MO...NONE. IN...NONE. KY...NONE. && UPDATE...DRS SHORT TERM...CN LONG TERM....RST AVIATION...SMITH
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 843 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2015 ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087- 100-107>112-114-011000- JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON- WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE- HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH- WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES- LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL- UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN- MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER- RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID- 843 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT...BUT THE PRIMARY CONCERN IS THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ON THURSDAY AND CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES SLOWLY ACROSS OUR REGION. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE STORMS THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...MAINLY OVER SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...AND EXTREME WESTERN KENTUCKY. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE THE PRIMARY HAZARDS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO EXPECTED. PRELIMINARY INDICATIONS ARE THAT RAINFALL AMOUNTS BY LATE FRIDAY SHOULD AVERAGE BETWEEN ONE AND TWO INCHES. THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED THURSDAY OR THURSDAY NIGHT. DRS
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Minor flooding of the Little Wabash River lingered into the first day of April.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Illinois in 2015Every state in 2015This day in weather historyWarnings in Illinois, April 2015
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 566132.