Florida, 2015

Coastal Flood in Florida, September 24 to 28, 2015

September 24 to 28, 2015 · NWS MFL · 12 events in 4 counties and zones

A combination of higher than normal tidal departures coupled with the perigean spring tide resulted in periodic minor flooding of low lying and vulnerable areas at high tides for several days during the end of September. Several roads, including major arteries, along the Palm Beach, Broward, and Miami-Dade coast experienced saw flooding high enough to result in road closures during times of high…

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 12 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
12

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS MFL wrote it up.

A combination of higher than normal tidal departures coupled with the perigean spring tide resulted in periodic minor flooding of low lying and vulnerable areas at high tides for several days during the end of September. Several roads, including major arteries, along the Palm Beach, Broward, and Miami-Dade coast experienced saw flooding high enough to result in road closures during times of high tide. Additional minor road flooding occurred along roads in Naples.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Miami, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 24, 1:57 AM EST, 5 hours 3 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 24, 1:57 AM EST, 5 hours 3 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
257 AM EDT THU SEP 24 2015

.DISCUSSION...
A 500MB LOW CONTINUES TO SIT OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE TODAY,
SLOWLY PROGRESSING TO THE NORTH ON FRIDAY. THERE IS A WEAK
INVERTED SFC TROUGH OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AS WELL. THESE TWO
FEATURES, COMBINED WITH PWATS AROUND 2 INCHES, WILL KEEP SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE FORECAST TODAY AND TOMORROW, ESPECIALLY
FOR THE INTERIOR AREA OF THE CWA. THE ATLANTIC COAST WILL ALSO
SOME ENHANCED POPS, AS THE ATLANTIC SEA BREEZE, AIDED BY THE EAST
FLOW, WILL ALSO HELP TO TRIGGER CONVECTION.

LOOKING AT SOME OF THE PARAMETERS FOR TODAY, IT IS INTERESTING, AS
BOTH THE NAM MODEL SOUNDINGS AND THE GFS MODEL SOUNDINGS, BOTH
SHOW FAIRLY LOW CAPE, AT LESS THAN 1000 J/KG IN GENERAL. ALSO, THE
NCAPE IS LESS THAN .1, INDICATING VERY WEAK VERTICAL VELOCITY
WITH THE STORMS TODAY. THE MBE VELOCITY VARIES THROUGH THE DAY
BETWEEN LESS THAN 10 KTS, TO AROUND 20 KTS. SO, ANY CONVECTION
WILL LIKELY NOT MOVE TO FAST TODAY. THE 500MB TEMPERATURE IS
AROUND -8C. THE NAM MODEL SOUNDING DOES SHOW AN INVERSION
DEVELOPING THIS AFTERNOON AT BETWEEN 600MB AND 500MB, WHEREAS THE
GFS DOES NOT SHOW ANY SIGNIFICANT INVERSION. LAST NIGHTS SOUNDING
SHOWS A INVERSION BETWEEN 800MB AND 700MB, WITH A SLIGHT INVERSION
AROUND 600MB. THE 700MB-500MB LAPSE RATES ARE ALSO NOT VERY
IMPRESSIVE, SITTING RIGHT AROUND 5 C/KM. BUT, WITH THE SEA BREEZE
LIKELY DEVELOPING, WOULD EXPECT CONVECTION TO DEVELOP WITH PLENTY
OF MOISTURE AND MAX TEMPS IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S. WITH SLOW MOVING
STORMS, THERE MAY BE SOME LOCALIZED URBAN PONDING OF WATER.
HOWEVER, THE STORMS WILL LIKELY BE PULSE TYPE STORMS IN NATURE.

FOR TOMORROW, THE 500MB LOW DRIFTS TO THE NORTH. HOWEVER, THE SET
UP STILL LOOKS SIMILAR TO TODAY. THE DIFFERENCE IS THAT SOME DRIER
AIR MAY MOVE IN, WITH PWATS DROPPING AROUND A QUARTER OF AN INCH.
THE LOW LEVEL WIND WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE EAST, ENHANCING THE
ATLANTIC SEA BREEZE. THIS WILL ALSO HELP TO TRIGGER CONVECTION
FROM THE EAST COAST TO THE INTERIOR SEEING THE BEST CHANCES.

FOR THE REST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD, THE GFS AND THE ECMWF ARE IN
GOOD AGREEMENT, WITH THE 500MB LOW BECOMING BROAD BEFORE
REFORMING OVER THE WESTERN GULF. THEY ALSO SHOW SOME RIDGING OVER
THE AREA. THIS WILL HELP TO REDUCE THE CHANCES SOME OVER THE CWA,
WITH BETTER CHANCES OVER THE INTERIOR. THE PATTERN REMAINS FAIRLY
STAGNANT THE THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK, ALLOWING THE FORECAST TO BE
FAIRLY SIMILAR THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...
DEEP AND MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW WITH A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH ALONG THE
EAST COAST IS SPARKING SHRA/TSRA EARLY THIS MORN OVER THE WATER AND
KEYS...WITH A FEW BRUSHING THE COAST. MESO MODELS DEVELOP ACTIVITY
ALONG/JUST OFFSHORE THE EAST COAST THROUGH THE EARLY MORN HOURS WHICH
LOOKS REASONABLE GIVEN CURRENT TRENDS SO HAVE KEPT VCSH FOR MOST EAST
COAST SITES. VCTS PRESENT AFTER 14Z/15Z WITH SOME DAYTIME HEATING AS
EAST COAST SEA BREEZE DEVELOPS WITH COVERAGE INCREASING AFTER 17Z.
FOR APF...HAVE A DRY FORECAST THROUGH 17Z WITH VCTS AFTERWARDS WITH
SEA BREEZE DEVELOPMENT. WILL HAVE TO WATCH FOR EARLIER GULF DEVELOPMENT
STREAMING INTO COAST. /ALM

&&

.MARINE...
AN EAST WIND, BETWEEN 5 AND 10 KTS, TODAY ACROSS ALL SOUTH
FLORIDA WATERS. THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS INTO NEXT WEEK. EXPECT A NORTH TO NORTHEAST SWELL OF
AROUND 1 FT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. WAVE HEIGHTS ARE
FORECAST TO BE AROUND 3-4 FT IN THE ATLANTIC AND UP TO 1 FT IN THE
GULF. WITH THE LIGHT WIND OUT OF THE WEST, AND SHOWERS AND STORMS
OVER THE COASTAL WATERS, THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
WATERSPOUTS AS WELL.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH  88  75  88  76 /  60  50  60  40
FORT LAUDERDALE  88  76  89  77 /  60  50  60  40
MIAMI            88  77  90  77 /  70  50  60  40
NAPLES           89  74  90  76 /  50  30  50  30

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...13/SI
LONG TERM....13/SI
AVIATION...88/ALM
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 24, 2:24 AM EST, 4 hours 36 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
324 AM EDT THU SEP 24 2015

AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-GMZ656-657-676-
241900-
LAKE OKEECHOBEE-BISCAYNE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 NM
TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS-GLADES-HENDRY-
INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-COASTAL COLLIER-INLAND COLLIER-
INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-INLAND MIAMI DADE-METRO MIAMI DADE-
MAINLAND MONROE-COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD-
COASTAL MIAMI DADE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20 NM-
GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
324 AM EDT THU SEP 24 2015

...SLOW MOVING STORMS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE...
...A FEW STRONG STORMS WITH GUSTY WINDS THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS: SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE ATLANTIC AND GULF
WATERS THIS MORNING WILL MOVE ALONG THE COAST FROM SOUTH TO NORTH
WITH COVERAGE EXPECTED TO INCREASE ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA INTO THE
AFTERNOON HOURS. THE MAIN THREATS FROM STORMS WILL BE FREQUENT CLOUD
TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES, LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS.

FLOODING: SLOW MOVING SHOWERS AND STORMS TODAY WILL PRODUCE VERY
HEAVY RAINFALL. THIS WILL LEAD TO PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND
MINOR URBAN FLOODING ESPECIALLY IN VULNERABLE LOCATIONS.

WIND: THE STRONGEST STORMS TODAY WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND
GUSTS OF 45 TO 50 MPH.

WATERSPOUTS: WATERSPOUTS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE GULF, ATLANTIC WATERS
AND BISCAYNE BAY IN ASSOCIATION WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY.

RIP CURRENTS: NORTH-NORTHEASTERLY SWELL OVER THE ATLANTIC WILL LEAD
TO A CONTINUING MODERATE RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS AT PALM
BEACH...BROWARD...AND MIAMI-DADE BEACHES TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

AN UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN US WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH
DEEP MOISTURE OVER SOUTH FLORIDA BRINGING SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING STORMS INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL AND MINOR URBAN FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
STORMS.

THE RIP CURRENT RISK WILL REMAIN ELEVATED INTO FRIDAY ALONG THE
ATLANTIC BEACHES DUE TO A NORTH-NORTHEASTERLY SWELL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WIDESPREAD SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED, HOWEVER INDIVIDUAL
SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT FLOODING, HIGH WINDS OR DAMAGE,
AND HAIL TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MIAMI.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
MIAMI WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MIAMI.

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

12 coastal flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Coastal Flood, Miami-Dade

When
September 24, 7:00 AM EST to 8:30 AM EST
Where
Miami-Dade forecast zone
Reported by
Social Media
Coordinates
25.609, -80.499 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Photos received via social media show flooding along 5th Avenue, Alton Road, Lenox Aveune, Washington Avenue, and Espanola Way in Miami Beach with the morning high tide.

Coastal Flood, Miami-Dade

When
September 25, 5:00 AM EST to 8:30 AM EST
Where
Miami-Dade forecast zone
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
25.609, -80.499 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Miami Beach PD reported the right lane of Collins Avenue in Miami Beach was flooded and impassable between 15th and 24th streets in Miami Beach. Additional reports via social media also reported flooding on Jefferson Avenue north of Lincoln Avenue with the morning high tide.

Coastal Flood, Coastal Collier

When
September 25, 11:00 AM EST
Where
Coastal Collier forecast zone
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
26.099, -81.381 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Emergency management photos show ponding of tidal waters at several spots in Naples, including 16th and 24th avenues south.

Coastal Flood, Miami-Dade

When
September 26, 7:00 PM EST to 10:20 PM EST
Where
Miami-Dade forecast zone
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
25.609, -80.499 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Tidal flooding with the evening high tide resulted in the closure of Indian Creek Drive (Southbound A1A) between 26th Street and 41st Street in Miami Beach. Road was opened around 1020pm after water receded. Additional emergency management reports were received of tidal flooding along 4300 North Bay Road in Miami Beach.

Coastal Flood, Coastal Broward

When
September 27, 8:00 AM EST to 9:00 AM EST
Where
Coastal Broward forecast zone
Reported by
Social Media
Coordinates
26.152, -80.456 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Tidal flooding along Himmarshee Canal in downtown Fort Lauderdale.

Coastal Flood, Miami-Dade

When
September 27, 8:00 AM EST to 9:00 AM EST
Where
Miami-Dade forecast zone
Reported by
NWS Employee
Coordinates
25.609, -80.499 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Water inundated portions of 500 block of NE 30 Street in Miami.

Coastal Flood, Palm Beach

When
September 27, 8:30 AM EST
Where
Palm Beach forecast zone
Reported by
Newspaper
Coordinates
26.648, -80.436 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Water entered office at Marina Delray as a result of tidal flooding. Dock at private house also reported underwater at high tide along with portions of Marine Way along the west side of the Intracoastal waterway. Report from Palm Beach Post.

Coastal Flood, Palm Beach

When
September 28, 7:30 AM EST to 8:30 AM EST
Where
Palm Beach forecast zone
Reported by
Local Official
Coordinates
26.648, -80.436 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Boynton Beach officials reported that tidal flooding lead to 3 inches of water at Lake Drive and Potter Street along the intracoastal waterway at high tide.

Coastal Flood, Palm Beach

When
September 28, 7:30 AM EST to 8:30 AM EST
Where
Palm Beach forecast zone
Reported by
Local Official
Coordinates
26.648, -80.436 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Flooding in parking lot along Ocean Avenue in Lantana as well as along North Lake Drive.

Coastal Flood, Miami-Dade

When
September 28, 8:00 AM EST to 9:30 AM EST
Where
Miami-Dade forecast zone
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
25.609, -80.499 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Tidal flooding resulted in closure of Indian Creek Drive (A1A) at 21st Street around the time of morning high tide. Up to ankle deep water was reported in spots.

Coastal Flood, Miami-Dade

When
September 28, 8:45 AM EST
Where
Miami-Dade forecast zone
Reported by
Broadcast Media
Coordinates
25.609, -80.499 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Tidal flooding lead to inundation of parking lots along the North Bay Causeway.

Coastal Flood, Coastal Broward

When
September 28, 9:30 AM EST to 10:35 AM EST
Where
Coastal Broward forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
26.152, -80.456 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Flooding reported at Franklin Street and SR A1A during the morning high tide.

What these are

Coastal Flood
Flooding of coastal land by the sea, from storm surge, onshore wind or high tides.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Florida in 2015Every state in 2015This day in weather historyWarnings in Florida, September 2015

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 598706, 598708, 598710, 598712, 601207, 601208, 598732, 598734, 601210, 598736, 598738, 598737.