A combination of higher than normal tidal departures coupled with the November full moon spring tide resulted in periodic minor flooding of low lying and vulnerable areas at high tides for several days during the end of the month. Several coastal roads along the Palm Beach, Broward, and Miami-Dade coast experienced flooding during times of high tide.
Every event with a place to put it; 3 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MFL wrote it up.
A combination of higher than normal tidal departures coupled with the November full moon spring tide resulted in periodic minor flooding of low lying and vulnerable areas at high tides for several days during the end of the month. Several coastal roads along the Palm Beach, Broward, and Miami-Dade coast experienced flooding during times of high tide.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Miami, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 25, 6:34 AM EST, 56 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
634 AM EST WED NOV 25 2015
.AVIATION...
EASTERLY WIND WILL REMAIN GUSTY THROUGH THE DAY WITH
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED. MAY SEE A FEW SHOWERS FROM OVER THE
ATLANTIC MOVE ONSHORE BUT RAIN CHANCES WILL REMAIN LOW. BRIEF MVFR
CIGS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AM IF ONE OF THE ISOLATED SHWS MOVES OVER A
TERMINAL.
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 345 AM EST WED NOV 25 2015/
SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED NORTH OF FLORIDA WILL BRING GUSTY WINDS
AND A FEW ATLANTIC COAST SHOWERS INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
NEARLY ZONAL UPPER-LEVEL FLOW EVIDENCED BY EASTWARD MOVING CI
SHIELD OVER SOUTH FLORIDA...BUT LOW- AND MID-LEVEL FLOW IS
EAST/NORTHEAST. FAIRLY SHALLOW MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD
INLAND FROM THE ATLANTIC...OCCASIONALLY BRINGING A FEW SHOWERS.
THIS TREND IS LIKELY TO CHANGE LITTLE THROUGH THE PERIOD.
SFC HIPRES CURRENTLY CENTERED OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC WILL DRIFT
NORTHEASTWARD INTO NEW ENGLAND TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...THEN MOVE
OFFSHORE THANKSGIVING DAY. WITH LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE
DECAYING FRONTAL BOUNDARY ALONG CUBAS NORTHERN COAST...TIGHT
PRESSURE GRADIENT EXISTS OVER SOUTH FLORIDA. THIS WILL RESULT IN
GUSTY EASTERLY WINDS...LIKELY A BIT STRONGER THAN THOSE
EXPERIENCED THUS FAR...THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. GUSTS
TO NEAR 30 KTS ARE QUITE PLAUSIBLE...ESPECIALLY CLOSE TO THE
ATLANTIC COAST. TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY WARM...WITH MARINE
AIRMASS REGULATING LOW TEMPERATURES TO WELL ABOVE AVG...WITH
MAXIMA REMAINING NEAR/SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVG. RH VALUES WILL BE
FAIRLY LOW...AS DEWPOINT TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE AOB 65F.
WIND WILL CREATE A FEW COASTAL IMPACTS ALONG THE ATLANTIC.
DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD AND A HIGH
RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL EXTEND BEYOND THE SHORT TERM. DANGEROUS
SURF MAY ALSO BE AN ISSUE ALONG THE PALM BEACH COUNTY
COAST...ESPECIALLY THANKSGIVING DAY...AND WILL BE MONITORING TO
SEE IF A HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS WARRANTED. ADDITIONALLY...
PERSISTENT ONSHORE FLOW AND ASTRONOMICALLY HIGH TIDES COULD LEAD
TO SOME MINOR COASTAL FLOODING AT SENSITIVE LOCATIONS...
PARTICULARLY MIAMI BEACH. ELECTED TO NOT HOIST COASTAL FLOOD
STATEMENT AT THE MOMENT AS TIDAL PREDICTIONS AND FORECAST
ANOMALIES SUGGEST LEVELS WILL REMAIN JUST BELOW CRITICAL
THRESHOLDS...BUT THIS COULD CERTAINLY CHANGE IN TIME.
LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
BROAD SYNOPTIC PATTERN THIS WEEKEND WILL REFLECT DEEPENING TROUGH
OVER WESTERN CONUS WITH UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE DOMINATING THE EASTERN
HALF OF THE COUNTRY. UPPER-LEVEL LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO
EVOLVE OVER THE BAHAMAS AND ADJACENT ATLANTIC...THOUGH THIS IS
EXPECTED TO HAVE LITTLE IMPACT ON SOUTH FLORIDA OTHER THAN TO
SUPPORT THE CONTINUING OF ISOLATED/SCATTERED SHOWERS ENTERING THE
EAST COAST FROM THE WATERS. IT WILL ALSO KEEP THE REMNANT
SFC TROUGH OVER CUBA INTACT...KEEPING FAIRLY STRONG EASTERLY
WINDS OVER OUR REGION. THUS...THE RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS
CONTINUES...AND ROUGH SURF...COASTAL FLOODING...AND BEACH EROSION
MAY ALL PLAGUE THE ATLANTIC COAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
EARLY NEXT WEEK THE UPPER-LEVEL LOPRES SHOULD WEAKEN...WITH THE
BROADER ERN CONUS RIDGE BECOMING MORE DOMINANT. A COLD FRONT MAY
REACH NORTHERN FLORIDA TOWARD THE END OF THE PERIOD...BUT ISN'T
EXPECTED TO MAKE MUCH PROGRESS DOWN THE PENINSULA.
AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED ALONG WITH AN EASTERLY WIND... GUSTY AT
TIMES. MAY SEE A FEW SHOWERS OVERNIGHT AT MIA AND TMB. LOW CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AGAIN TOMORROW FOR MOST TAF SITES BUT DID NOT INCLUDE.
MARINE...
HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS ARE SOME OF THE MAIN IMPACTS WE WILL
HAVE FROM THIS PERSISTENT PATTERN OF STRONG EAST WIND. WITH
REMNANT TROUGH REMAINING IN PLACE NEAR CUBA AND HIGH PRESSURE
REMAINING DOMINANT OVER MUCH OF THE EASTERN US...PRESSURE GRADIENT
OVER FLORIDA PENINSULA AND ADJACENT WATERS WILL REMAIN
TIGHT...INDUCING EAST WIND AT 20-25 KT AND GUSTS TO GALE FORCE.
THESE WINDS...COMBINED WITH A 2-4 FOOT SWELL OFF PALM BEACH COUNTY
BY THANKSGIVING...WILL CREATE 8-10 FT SEAS OVER THE GULF STREAM. A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THANKSGIVING FOR
ALL SOUTH FLORIDA WATERS...AND THIS WILL LIKELY NEED TO BE
EXTENDED THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH 79 74 80 72 / 20 30 30 20
FORT LAUDERDALE 80 74 81 73 / 20 30 20 20
MIAMI 81 72 82 72 / 20 30 20 20
NAPLES 84 66 85 65 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR FLZ168-172-173.
AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST THURSDAY FOR AMZ610-630-650-
651-670-671.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST THURSDAY FOR GMZ656-657-676.
&&
SHORT TERM...23/SK
LONG TERM....23/SK
AVIATION...21/KMHAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH FLORIDA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 412 AM EST WED NOV 25 2015 AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-GMZ656-657-676- 252115- LAKE OKEECHOBEE-BISCAYNE BAY- COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS-GLADES-HENDRY- INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-COASTAL COLLIER-INLAND COLLIER- INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-INLAND MIAMI DADE-METRO MIAMI DADE- MAINLAND MONROE-COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD- COASTAL MIAMI DADE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE- COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20 NM- GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 412 AM EST WED NOV 25 2015 ...HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ATLANTIC BEACHES... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT RIP CURRENTS: THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE ATLANTIC BEACHES. WIND: SUSTAINED WINDS ON SOUTH FLORIDA WATERS WILL RANGE FROM 20 TO 25 KT, WITH HIGHER GUSTS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT. WAVES: SEAS 8 TO 10 FEET ARE EXPECTED IN THE GULF STREAM. THERE A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS THROUGH THE WEEKEND FOR THE ATLANTIC BEACHES. ROUGH MARINE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEK. SEAS IN THE GULF STREAM WILL CONTINUE AT HAZARDOUS LEVELS THROUGH THE WEEK. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THANKSGIVING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. FOR MORE INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MIAMI.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
3 coastal flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Flooding during high tide resulted in standing water up to a foot deep along Marine Way in Delray Beach. Time based on reports and local high tide.
High tide resulted in minor flooding of streets in Normandy Isles. Time based on reports and local high tide.
High tide resulted in flooding of portions of A1A in Pompano Beach. Several inches of water flooded a parking lot adjacent to the water along the road near Hillsbororo Inlet.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Florida in 2015Every state in 2015This day in weather historyWarnings in Florida, November 2015
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 605699, 605700, 605701.