A slow moving storm system moved through the region from the 27th through the 29th of November. Heavy rainfall resulted in flash flooding across central sections of the state.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS LZK wrote it up.
A slow moving storm system moved through the region from the 27th through the 29th of November. Heavy rainfall resulted in flash flooding across central sections of the state.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Little Rock, AR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 28, 11:12 AM CST, 1 hour 49 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 1112 AM CST SAT NOV 28 2015 .AVIATION... RAIN AND LOW CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH CEILING AND VISBY RESTRICTIONS TO IFR OR LIFR. TAFS OUT SHORTLY. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 415 AM CST SAT NOV 28 2015/ SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE RAIN CONTINUES OVER THE MAJORITY OF THE FORECAST AREA WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE SOUTHEAST BUT THE RAIN SHIELD CONTINUES TO SINK SLOWLY IN THAT DIRECTION. RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE IN EXCESS OF SIX INCHES OVER PARTS OF WESTERN ARKANSAS WITH A LARGE SWATH OF TWO TO TWO AND A HALF INCHES OF RAIN ACROSS THE MAJORITY OF THE FORECAST AREA. RAINFALL RATES HAVE BEEN AVERAGING AROUND A QUARTER OF AN INCH PER HOUR FOR THE MAJORITY OF THE EVENT. THESE RAINFALL RATES ARE LIKELY TO CONTINUE FOR THE DURATION. CALLS TO LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS INDICATE NO FLOODING CONCERNS AT THIS TIME LIKELY DUE TO THESE LIGHT RAINFALL RATES. AREA CREEKS AND RIVERS HOWEVER ARE STARTING TO COME UP AND THIS WILL LIKELY WILL CONTINUE. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE SITUATION AND ISSUE WARNINGS AS NEEDED. WITH RAINFALL RATES LIKELY NOT TO BECOME EXCESSIVE...FLOODING SITUATION WILL LIKELY BECOME MORE OF AN INUNDATION TYPE OF EVENT AS OPPOSED TO A FLASHY TYPE EVENT. THAT BEING SAID...WILL STILL CONTINUE TO RUN WITH THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN ITS CURRENT FORM. CURRENT SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES THE COLD FRONT HAS CLEARED THE MAJORITY OF THE STATE WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE SOUTHEAST CORNER. TEMPS RANGE FROM THE MID 60S OVER THE SOUTHEAST TO THE UPPER 30S ALONG THE MISSOURI BORDER. FRONT EXPECTED TO SLOWLY CRAWL TO THE SOUTHEAST AS IT REMAINS GENERALLY PARALLEL TO THE ESTABLISHED AND PRONOUNCED SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. SEVERAL WAVES OF LOW PRESSURE ARE STILL EXPECTED TO KICK OUT OF THE UPPER LEVEL LOW SPINNING OVER THE GREAT BASIN AND WITH PWAT VALUES STILL REMAINING VERY HIGH...PERIODS OF GENERALLY LIGHT RAIN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY. THERE MAY BE POCKETS OF MODERATE RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH THE INDIVIDUAL WAVES. THE PRECIPITATION WILL BECOME MORE SCATTERED IN NATURE ON MONDAY WITH THE HEAVIER AMOUNTS EXPECTED OVER THE SOUTHEAST AT THAT TIME. AN ADDITIONAL TWO TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN IS STILL EXPECTED ACROSS THE MAJORITY OF THE FORECAST AREA. SYSTEM FINALLY PULLS AWAY MONDAY NIGHT AND INTO EARLY TUESDAY WITH MUCH DRIER ARE RETURNING. TEMPERATURES WILL AVERAGE A LITTLE BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH A FAIRLY SMALL DIURNAL RANGE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY DRY CONDITIONS WILL RETURN TO THE STATE UNDER HIGH PRESSURE FOR THE LONG TERM. WHILE THE GFS BRINGS ANOTHER SYSTEM INTO THE REGION FOR LATE IN THE WEEK...DID NOT INTRODUCE RAIN CHANCES AS IT IS THE ONLY GUIDANCE SHOWING THIS TREND. TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOL...WITH HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE 50S AND LOWS IN THE 30S. && .LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE- CLARK-CLEBURNE-CONWAY-DALLAS-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LOGAN-LONOKE- MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-PRAIRIE- PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-WOODRUFF- YELL. && AVIATION...57
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 500 AM CST SAT NOV 28 2015 ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-301100- BOONE-MARION-BAXTER-FULTON-SHARP-NEWTON-SEARCY-STONE-IZARD- INDEPENDENCE-JOHNSON-POPE-VAN BUREN-CLEBURNE-JACKSON-LOGAN-CONWAY- FAULKNER-WHITE-WOODRUFF-SCOTT-YELL-PERRY-POLK-MONTGOMERY-GARLAND- SALINE-PULASKI-LONOKE-PRAIRIE-MONROE-PIKE-CLARK-HOT SPRING-GRANT- JEFFERSON-ARKANSAS-DALLAS-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-DESHA-OUACHITA-CALHOUN- BRADLEY-DREW- 500 AM CST SAT NOV 28 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS. .DAY ONE... TODAY AND TONIGHT ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS EXPECTED ONCE AGAIN TODAY AS ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE LIFTS ACROSS THE STATE. MANY AREAS OF THE STATE HAVE SEEN ANYWHERE BETWEEN THREE TO SIX INCHES OF RAIN WITH ANOTHER INCH OR TWO INCHES POSSIBLE IN THESE AREA. ADDITIONAL RAIN WILL LEAD TO RUN OFF CONCERNS WITH THE POTENTIAL OF FLASH FLOODING CONTINUING. AS SUCH...THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN EXTENDED THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHWEST...CENTRAL AND EAST CENTRAL SECTIONS OF THE STATE. IF YOUR PLANS INVOLVE TRAVEL ACROSS THE STATE...PLEASE BE AWARE THAT AREA ROADS MAY BECOME COVERED IN WATER. ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL WAVE WILL MOVE THROUGH SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS TONIGHT BUT THIS AREA HAS NOT SEEN NEARLY AS MUCH RAIN AS OTHER AREAS AND NO FLOODING PROBLEMS ARE EXPECTED. IN ADDITION TO THE FLASH FLOOD THREAT...AREA RIVERS AND STREAMS IN THE LOWER ARKANSAS...BUFFALO...BLACK...SPRING...AND WHITE RIVER SYSTEM WILL BE THE MOST THREATENED WITH MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING POSSIBLE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY LIGHT RAIN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST ON MONDAY AS THE STORM SYSTEM FINALLY BEGINS TO CLEAR THE STATE. DRIER AIR WILL FINALLY PUSH INTO THE STATE ON TUESDAY...WITH THE RAINFALL SHIFTING EAST OF THE AREA BY LATE TUESDAY. DRIER CONDITIONS WILL THEN CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY AND BEYOND. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT NEEDED AT THIS TIME. && VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV AND CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS. 56
The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 90 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 19:02 UTC.
5 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
There was a swift water rescue at the 3800 block of Amity Rd. in Hot Springs. Several roads were closed throughout the county due to high water.
Many roads were closed throughout the county due to flooding.
A swift water rescue saved a man from the Ouachita River near Grigsby Ford Rd. Several roads were flooded throughout the county.
Several roads were closed throughout the county due to flooding.
A swift water rescue saved 4 people near Hwy 291 west of the Tull Bridge. Hwy 291 was closed due to high water.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Arkansas in 2015Every state in 2015This day in weather historyWarnings in Arkansas, November 2015
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 608611, 608612, 608613, 608614, 608615.