Heavy spring rainfall caused area rivers to flood.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS LZK wrote it up.
Heavy spring rainfall caused area rivers to flood.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Little Rock, AR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Apr 15, 5:52 AM CST, 1 hour 8 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 652 AM CDT WED APR 15 2015 .AVIATION... UPPER LEVEL WAVE WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT OUT TO THE NORTHEAST THIS MORNING AND BECOME WEAKER AS IT DOES. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS CONTINUE OVER THE MAJORITY OF THE STATE BUT WILL GRADUALLY LIFT NORTH WITH TIME. RAIN WILL CONTINUE MOST OF THE DAY AT KHRO AND KBPK BEFORE ENDING LATE. IFR TO LIFR CONDITIONS THIS MORNING WILL GRADUALLY LIFT TO VFR WITH TIME. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY TURN MORE SOUTHWEST. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 259 AM CDT WED APR 15 2015/ SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT SCATTERED SHOWERS CONTINUE TO PUSH NORTH THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA. MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA WILL HAVE A CHANCE AT SOME SPOTTY RAINFALL THROUGH THE MORNING BUT EXPECT TO SEE SHOWER ACTIVITY GRADUALLY DIMINISH FROM THE SOUTH AS THE DAY WEARS ON AS UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT MOVES NORTH OF THE STATE. DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE MOST PART ON THURSDAY. A CLOSED UPPER LOW WILL BE SITUATED OVER THE FOUR CORNERS REGION BY DAYBREAK THURSDAY MORNING. UPPER LEVEL RIDGING OVER ARKANSAS SHOULD PROHIBIT ANYTHING BEYOND SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS...HOWEVER THERE ARE HINTS IN THE NUMERICAL GUIDANCE THAT SUGGEST AFTERNOON SHOWERS WILL BE SEEN CLOSER TO THE LOUISIANA BORDER. HAVE SOME 20-30 PERCENT RAIN CHANCES IN THE FORECAST FOR THE FAR SOUTHERN COUNTIES ON THURSDAY TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS...BUT MUCH OF THE DAY SHOULD BE DRY. CONTINUED WITH THE TREND OF GOING AROUND OR SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN GUIDANCE IS SUGGESTING FOR THURSDAY AFTERNOON. HIGHS SHOULD END UP 3-5 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL...PERHAPS NEAR 80 DEGREES IN THE SOUTH. AFTER A BRIEF RESPITE IN THE RAIN...THE SHORT TERM WILL AGAIN TURN RAINY FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. THE AFOREMENTIONED UPPER LOW OVER THE FOUR CORNERS REGION WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT EAST...SPREADING PLENTY OF MOISTURE NORTH INTO THE STATE. FRIDAY MORNING MAY BE DRY BUT BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON SHOWERS SHOULD BE FAIRLY WIDESPREAD...A TREND THAT WILL CONTINUE FRIDAY NIGHT AND THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY SATURDAY. LONG TERM...SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY WITH NO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THE MODELS IN THE SYNOPTIC SCALE...WILL USE OF BLEND OF FORECAST SOLUTIONS THIS MORNING. THERE ARE SOME SUBTLE DIFFERENCES CONCERNING THE INDIVIDUAL WAVES IN THE THE PREVAILING FLOW AND THESE ALSO WILL BE BLENDED TOGETHER. PERIOD INITIATES WITH AN AMPLIFIED PATTERN IN PLACE...HIGHLIGHTED BY RIDGING ALONG BOTH COASTS AND TROUGHING IN BETWEEN. TROUGH WILL BE MOVING TO THE EAST EARLY IN THE PERIOD...KEEPING AN UNSETTLED PATTERN IN PLACE FOR SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT. SYSTEM DOES FINALLY CLEAR THE REGION EARLY MONDAY AS A COLD FRONT IS DRAGGED ACROSS THE REGION. WITH THE ECMWF JUST A TOUCH FASTER AND THE GFS A LITTLE STRONGER WITH ITS QPF SIGNALS...WILL HOLD ON TO SOME MINIMAL POPS EARLY MONDAY. AN ACTUAL DRY DAY IS EXPECTED TUESDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE IN CONTROL. TEMPERATURES WILL AVERAGE A LITTLE BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD THANKS TO CLOUDS AND SCATTERED PRECIP INITIALLY AND THEN THE SUBSEQUENT NORTHWEST FLOW BEHIND THE FRONT. MAV/MEX NUMBERS LOOK GOOD AND ARE GENERALLY ACCEPTED? && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... BATESVILLE AR 68 55 76 59 / 50 20 10 10 CAMDEN AR 75 55 79 64 / 20 10 30 40 HARRISON AR 65 51 75 56 / 50 20 10 20 HOT SPRINGS AR 72 54 76 62 / 30 10 20 30 LITTLE ROCK AR 72 56 77 62 / 40 20 20 20 MONTICELLO AR 77 59 79 63 / 30 10 20 40 MOUNT IDA AR 72 51 77 61 / 30 10 20 40 MOUNTAIN HOME AR 65 53 76 57 / 50 20 10 10 NEWPORT AR 69 56 76 60 / 50 20 10 10 PINE BLUFF AR 74 58 77 63 / 30 10 20 30 RUSSELLVILLE AR 69 53 77 60 / 40 10 10 20 SEARCY AR 70 55 76 60 / 40 20 10 20 STUTTGART AR 73 58 76 63 / 40 20 20 20 && .LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE. && AVIATION...56
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 500 AM CDT WED APR 15 2015 ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-161000- ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND- CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING- INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE- MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE- PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE- WOODRUFF-YELL- 500 AM CDT TUE APR 15 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER OKLAHOMA AT THIS TIME WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT TO THE NORTHEAST TODAY...WEAKENING AS IT DOES. THE SYSTEM WILL STILL PRODUCE SCATTERED SHOWERS ACROSS THE AREA MAINLY THIS MORNING BEFORE THE BEST CHANCES OF RAIN SHIFT TO THE NORTH DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY A LARGE STORM SYSTEM OVER THE FOUR CORNERS ON THURSDAY WILL WOBBLE INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS IN THE COMING DAYS. THE SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED TO CLEAR THE REGION UNTIL LATE IN THE WEEKEND OR EARLY NEXT WEEK. AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM...HIT AND MISS RAIN WILL CONTINUE WITH THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE. PRECIPITATION WILL BE MOST LIKELY DURING THE HEAT OF THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ANY SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE ISOLATED. RAIN WILL LIKELY BECOME HEAVY FROM THE TEXAS GULF COAST TO THE SOUTHEAST UNITED STATES BUT THAT IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE THE CASE LOCALLY. THIS WILL BE MONITORED AS THE WEEK PROGRESSES. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. && VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV AND CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS. 56
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
2 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Heavy rainfall caused the White River at Des Arc to rise above flood stage during the morning hours of the 15th. This river fell back below flood stage during the evening hours of the 22nd.
Heavy rainfall caused the Ouachita River at Camden to rise above flood stage during the morning hours of the 16th. This river fell back below flood stage during the afternoon hours of the 18th.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Arkansas in 2015Every state in 2015This day in weather historyWarnings in Arkansas, April 2015
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 587937, 587936.