Weak ridging was in place over eastern New Mexico with low pressure located off coast of California. 81, a record for the date.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS TWC wrote it up.
Weak ridging was in place over eastern New Mexico with low pressure located off coast of California. The afternoon KTWC upper air sounding yielded precipitable water of 1.81, a record for the date. One storm in the Tucson metro caused wind damage.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tucson, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 5, 10:05 AM MST, 4 hours 1 minute earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ 1005 AM MST SUN JUL 5 2015 .SYNOPSIS...SOUTHEAST ARIZONA WILL EXPERIENCE AN UPSWING IN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE. RAIN CHANCES WILL DECREASE AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES CENTRAL CALIFORNIA. DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN CLOSE TO SEASONAL NORMALS. && .DISCUSSION...WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND 05/12Z UPPER-AIR PLOTS SHOW A RIDGE CENTERED OVER EASTERN NEW MEXICO. MEANWHILE...A PACIFIC LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS SPINNING WELL WEST OF THE SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST. A SWATH OF DRY MID TO UPPER LEVEL AIR CAN BE SEEN OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC WATERS...THE BAJA PENINSULA...NORTHWESTERN SONORA AND ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA AND INTO WESTERN ARIZONA. MEANWHILE...VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND RADAR MOSAIC FROM AROUND THE REGION SHOW ANOTHER MCV THAT HAS DEVELOPED AS A RESULT OF LAST NIGHTS CONVECTION...WITH THE CENTER OF THIS FEATURE NEAR BISBEE. IR AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW EXTENSIVE CLOUDINESS COVERING THE SOUTHEASTERN HALF OF THE STATE GENERALLY FROM YUMA TO PRESCOTT TO TUBA CITY. RADAR MOSAIC IS SHOWING VERY LIGHT RETURNS ACROSS AREAS EAST OF TUCSON TOWARD THE NEW MEXICO BORDER...MORE SPECIFICALLY OVER COCHISE COUNTY. THIS IS CLOSE TO THE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED MCV NEAR BISBEE. ON THE OPPOSITE END OF THE FORECAST AREA...OVER WESTERN PIMA COUNTY IN THE VICINITY OF AJO AND ORGAN PIPE NATIONAL MONUMENT...ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED...WHICH IS NEAR THE INTERFACE OF THE DRY AIR TO THE WEST AND THE MOIST AIR TO THE EAST. THIS INTERFACE TYPICALLY BECOMES A BATTLE ZONE FOR CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT AND EXPECT TO SEE THIS CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON HOURS TODAY. UNCERTAIN AS TO THE AFFECT THE MCV WILL HAVE ON PORTIONS OF THE CWA THIS AFTERNOON. YESTERDAYS MCV TENDED TO SUPPRESS ACTIVITY...AT LEAST NEAR THE IMMEDIATE PROXIMITY OF THE CIRCULATION. HOWEVER...THE 12Z RUN OF THE U OF A WRF/NAM DOES SHOW THE ACTIVITY THIS AFTERNOON TO BE SOMEWHAT LIMITED OVER COCHISE COUNTY...BUT IT ALSO DOES NOT INITIALIZE THE CONVECTION THAT IS CURRENTLY ONGOING OVER WESTERN PIMA COUNTY. DURING THE AFTERNOON IT SHOWS A FAIRLY ACTIVE DAY ACROSS THE CENTRAL PORTION OF MY FORECAST AREA...INCLUDING THE TUCSON METRO AND VERY ACTIVE OVER THE TOHONO O'ODHAM NATION. THE 06Z RUN OF THE WRF/GFS DID NOT INITIALIZE THE CONVECTION OUT WEST AND SHOWS MORE LIMITED ACTIVITY COMPARED TO THE WRF/NAM. THAT SAID...I INCREASED POPS A BIT OUT WEST AND DECREASED POPS OVER COCHISE COUNTY FOR THIS AFTERNOON. FOR DETAILS REGARDING THE FORECAST BEYOND TODAY...PLEASE SEE PREVIOUS DISCUSSION BELOW. && .AVIATION...VALID THRU 06/18Z. ISOLD -SHRA/TS MAINLY OVER FAR WESTERN PIMA COUNTY THIS AM. SCTD -TSRA/-SHRA DVLPG THIS AFTN INTO THIS EVENING. BRIEF WIND GUSTS OF 40-45 KTS MAY ACCOMPANY THE STRONGER TSRA. OTHERWISE...CLOUD DECKS WILL MAINLY BE AT OR ABOVE 10K FT AGL AND SURFACE WIND WILL GENERALLY BE LESS THAN 10 KTS. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR TAF AMENDMENTS. && .FIRE WEATHER...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR TODAY. THE MAIN IMPACT WILL BE THE COMBINATION OF BRIEF STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL. SOMEWHAT REDUCED COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BEGIN MONDAY. THEREAFTER...ADEQUATE MOISTURE WILL MAINTAIN ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY INTO NEXT SATURDAY. GENERALLY LIGHT TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS WILL PREVAIL OUTSIDE OF THUNDERSTORM INFLUENCES. && .PREV DISCUSSION...LATEST MODELS CONTINUED TO SUGGEST AN UPSWING IN SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY TODAY. THIS WAS MAINLY BASED ON A DISTURBANCE TRACKING NORTHWARD IN THE SOUTHERLY FLOW AROUND THE UPPER HIGH CENTERED OVER NEW MEXICO AND THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHING THE CALIFORNIA COAST. MODELS INDICATED A DECREASE IN RAIN CHANCES AS DRIER AIR SPREADS IN FROM THE WEST IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ENTERING CENTRAL CALIFORNIA BY THURSDAY. DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY LOWER AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ENTERS CALIFORNIA AND TRACKS THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN THURSDAY INTO NEXT WEEKEND. && .TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE. && VISIT US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...YOUTUBE...AND AT WEATHER.GOV/TUCSON
The Tucson radar (KEMX), 47 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 21:05 UTC.
1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Power poles, power lines, and multiple tree limbs 3-4 in diameter down between Country Club and Tucson Blvd between Broadway and Speedway with over 200 customers without power. One tree was down near the intersection of Campbell and Broadway.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Arizona in 2015Every state in 2015This day in weather historyWarnings in Arizona, July 2015
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 593851.