Daytime heating, outflow boundaries and gulf moisture combined to form a few severe thunderstorms and flash flooding across portions of central Mississippi.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS JAN wrote it up.
Daytime heating, outflow boundaries and gulf moisture combined to form a few severe thunderstorms and flash flooding across portions of central Mississippi.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 5, 9:11 AM CST, 9 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1011 AM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015
.UPDATE...ACTIVE MORNING WITH TRAINING CONVECTION IN THIS NW
FLOW REGIME. VERY FAVORABLE SETUP IN PLACE WITH A VERY DIVERGENT
UPPER JET STRUCTURE WITH LOW LEVEL THETA E ADV FOCUSED INTO THE BACK
OF THE EVOLVING STORM COMPLEX. CURRENT INDICATIONS (ALONG WITH
SUPPORT FROM THE HRRR) SUPPORT THIS ACTIVITY CONTINUING OVER THE W-
CENTRAL AND NW CWA THROUGH MIDDAY WITH THE PRIMARY THREAT BEING
FLASH FLOODING FROM HEAVY RAINFALL. SO FAR BASED OFF RADAR
ESTIMATES...LOCALIZED AREAS HAVE SEEN 3-6 INCHES. WITH THE TRAINING
SETUP...I EXPECT A FEW MORE POCKETS OF 2-5 INCHES WITH SOME OF THAT
OCCURRING OVER LOCATIONS THAT HAVE ALREADY SEEN SEVERAL INCHES. I
WOULD NOT RULE OUT SOME STORM TOTALS FROM JUST THIS MORNING IN THE 7-
10 INCH RANGE. DUE TO THIS...HAVE ADDED A FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR
PARTS OF THE AREA. WE WILL EXPAND IF NEEDED...BUT FEEL THE CURRENT
AREA COVER THE THREAT WELL. AS FOR SEVERE STORMS...ENVIRONMENT IS
SUPPORTIVE TO OUR W/SW AND FEEL AS SFC HEATING GETS GOING...ACTIVITY
OVER THAT AREA WILL INCREASE WHILE THE LOCATIONS THAT ARE GETTING
THE HEAVY RAIN THIS MORNING WILL SEE ACTIVITY WANE SOME. WE HAVE
INCREASED SOME OF THE W/SW AREA FOR THE LIMITED SEVERE RISK WHILE
INCREASING THE FLOODING RISK TO COVER MORE AREA AND WE HAVE ADDED AN
ELEVATED RISK AREA.
THE MAIN FORECAST ADJ WAS TO INCREASE POPS THIS MORNING AND THEN
TREND/FOCUS ACTIVITY TO THE W/SW/S FOR LATER IN THE DAY. HOURLY
TEMPS WERE MODIFIED TO MATCH TRENDS AS WELL. /CME/
&&
.AVIATION...ANOTHER ACTIVE THUNDERSTORM DAY WITH MULTIPLE SITES
EXPERIENCING VSBY AND CIG RESTRICTIONS. THIS IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
FOR MUCH OF THE DAY. WILL HAVE TO MAKE NUMEROUS AMENDMENTS DUE TO
RAPIDLY CHANGING CONDITIONS. /SW/
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON 83 71 89 71 / 100 29 18 7
MERIDIAN 83 67 87 69 / 100 39 35 14
VICKSBURG 83 72 90 71 / 100 22 12 5
HATTIESBURG 86 70 90 70 / 72 29 20 9
NATCHEZ 86 72 91 73 / 72 19 11 5
GREENVILLE 85 72 90 73 / 96 25 16 6
GREENWOOD 85 69 88 71 / 57 32 23 9
&&
.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 3 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR MSZ034-035-
040>042-047.
LA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 3 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR LAZ007>009-
015-016.
AR...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 3 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR ARZ074-075.
&&
CME/02/HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 939 AM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015 ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-MSZ034-035-040>042-047-061445- ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND- MADISON-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-WARREN- 939 AM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT FLOODING THREAT...ELEVATED TIMING...TODAY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THREAT...LIMITED TIMING...MAINLY THIS AFTERNOON NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT THE AREA TODAY. LOCALLY 3 TO 6 INCHES OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH DAMAGING WINDS TO 65 MPH AND HAIL UP TO QUARTER SIZE ARE ALSO POSSIBLE...MAINLY ACROSS NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND AROUND VICKSBURG. (WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2|) .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY. LAZ023>026-MSZ018-019-025-036-037-043>046-048>066-072>074-061445- FRANKLIN-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE- HOLMES-ATTALA-MADISON-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT- NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE- JEFFERSON-ADAMS-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES- MARION-LAMAR-FORREST- 939 AM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI... NORTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT FLOODING THREAT...LIMITED TIMING...TODAY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THREAT...LIMITED TIMING...MAINLY THIS AFTERNOON NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT THE AREA TODAY. LOCALLY 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WIND DAMAGING WINDS TO 65 MPH AND HAIL UP TO QUARTER SIZE ARE ALSO POSSIBLE...MAINLY SOUTH OF A LAUREL TO JACKSON TO RAYVILLE LINE. (WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2) .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY. MSZ026>033-038-039-061445- GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA- WINSTON-NOXUBEE- 939 AM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...AND NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY. 2 && ...HAZARD LEGEND... *FLOODING* EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN SIGNIFICANT FLOODING. SIGNIFICANT...SIGNIFICANT FLOODING POSSIBLE. ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN FLOODING. LIMITED...FLOODING POSSIBLE. ...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)... NWS JAN HOME PAGE... WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JAN STAY AWARE, STAY SAFE NWS JAN BRIEFING PAGE... WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN/?N=SAFE NWS JAN TROPICAL PAGE... WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN/?N=TROPICAL NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HOME PAGE... WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ FIND NWS JAN ON FACEBOOK... WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSJACKSONMS FOLLOW NWS JAN ON TWITTER... @NWSJACKSONMS PLEASE CONVERT ALL WEB ADDRESSES TO LOWER CASE BEFORE ENTERING!
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
527 AM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015
LAZ007-051115-
MOREHOUSE LA-
527 AM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHERN MOREHOUSE PARISH UNTIL
615 AM CDT...
AT 527 AM CDT...METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM
NEAR BEEKMAN...OR NEAR BASTROP...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.
NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.
THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
BASTROP AND BEEKMAN AROUND 535 AM CDT.
GALION AROUND 600 AM CDT.
OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE BONITA AND MER ROUGE.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.
HIGH WINDS CAN BRING DOWN TREES AND LARGE LIMBS RESULTING IN SERIOUS
INJURY OR PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS
DURING SUCH STRONG WINDS...AND BE ESPECIALLY AWARE OF OLDER TREES.
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.
THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.
&&
LAT...LON 3295 9202 3294 9153 3287 9154 3285 9157
3283 9157 3279 9160 3275 9160 3270 9164
3269 9162 3268 9162 3277 9205
TIME...MOT...LOC 1027Z 277DEG 20KT 3286 9196
BYBSPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
728 AM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015
LAZ007>009-MSZ040-051315-
EAST CARROLL LA-WEST CARROLL LA-MOREHOUSE LA-ISSAQUENA MS-
728 AM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015
...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT WEST CARROLL...EAST
CARROLL...NORTHEASTERN MOREHOUSE PARISHES IN NORTHEASTERN LOUISIANA
AND ISSAQUENA COUNTY IN MISSISSIPPI THIS MORNING...
AT 724 AM CDT...METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
WITH FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND VERY HEAVY RAINFALL OVER
NORTHEASTERN LOUISIANA.
RADAR INDICATES THAT THE STORMS HAVE PRODUCED 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN
ALREADY THIS MORNING AND ANOTHER 1 TO 3 INCHES IS POSSIBLE THROUGH
MID MORNING.
SOME LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE FOREST...BONITA...
MAYERSVILLE...PIONEER AND MER ROUGE.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.
&&
LAT...LON 3300 9092 3285 9095 3285 9096 3283 9097
3270 9097 3268 9181 3298 9182
TIME...MOT...LOC 1224Z 266DEG 44KT 3294 9154
SWPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
915 AM CDT SUN JUL 05 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0905 AM FLASH FLOOD OAK GROVE 32.86N 91.39W
07/05/2015 WEST CARROLL LA LAW ENFORCEMENT
STREET FLOODING WAS OCCURRING IN OAK GROVE.
&&
27PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
941 AM CDT SUN JUL 05 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0935 AM FLASH FLOOD PARKDALE 33.12N 91.55W
07/05/2015 ASHLEY AR PUBLIC
STREET FLOODING WAS REPORTED IN PARKDALE.
&&
27SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
951 AM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015
MSZ045-046-051-052-051530-
NEWTON MS-LAUDERDALE MS-NESHOBA MS-KEMPER MS-
951 AM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015
...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT WESTERN LAUDERDALE...
SOUTHWESTERN KEMPER...SOUTHEASTERN NESHOBA AND EASTERN NEWTON
COUNTIES UNTIL 1030 AM CDT...
AT 951 AM CDT...METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR NESHOBA TO 8 MILES
NORTHEAST OF GARLANDVILLE...AND MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
LITTLE ROCK AROUND 955 AM CDT.
HOUSE AND BETHSAIDA AROUND 1000 AM CDT.
MEEHAN AND HERBERT SPRINGS AROUND 1005 AM CDT.
NELLIEBURG...DAMASCUS...SAVOY AND SUQUALENA AROUND 1015 AM CDT.
MERIDIAN AROUND 1020 AM CDT.
LIBERTY...BLUFF SPRINGS AND ZERO AROUND 1025 AM CDT.
OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE CHUNKY AND HICKORY.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
HIGH WINDS CAN BRING DOWN TREES AND LARGE LIMBS RESULTING IN SERIOUS
INJURY OR PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS
DURING SUCH STRONG WINDS...AND BE ESPECIALLY AWARE OF OLDER TREES.
&&
LAT...LON 3222 8907 3222 8911 3266 8916 3279 8880
3224 8862
TIME...MOT...LOC 1451Z 248DEG 29KT 3262 8907 3228 8900
CMESPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 953 AM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015 MSZ044-050-051530- LEAKE MS-SCOTT MS- 953 AM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHERN SCOTT AND SOUTHERN LEAKE COUNTIES UNTIL 1030 AM CDT... AT 953 AM CDT...METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR TUSCOLA...OR NEAR CARTHAGE...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. WINDS IN EXCESS OF 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... TUSCOLA AROUND 1000 AM CDT. MADDEN AROUND 1020 AM CDT. OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE STANDING PINE...LENA AND WALNUT GROVE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... HIGH WINDS CAN BRING DOWN TREES AND LARGE LIMBS RESULTING IN SERIOUS INJURY OR PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS DURING SUCH STRONG WINDS...AND BE ESPECIALLY AWARE OF OLDER TREES. && LAT...LON 3251 8969 3269 8970 3274 8933 3250 8936 TIME...MOT...LOC 1453Z 286DEG 26KT 3266 8958 CME
The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 61 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 15:21 UTC.
6 thunderstorm wind, 4 flash flood, 1 lightning. Local standard time, as filed.
Heavy rain caused water to enter five to six buildings in Walnut Grove.
Several trees were blown down in the north central portions of the county.
Heavy rain caused street flooding in Greenville.
Heavy rain caused flooding on multiple streets in Ellisville.
Several trees were blown down in Ellisville.
A few trees were blown down around the Dixie community.
A tree was blown down along Highway 589 near Ford Loop. Another tree was blown down along Purvis Oloh Road near Bay Creek Road.
Heavy rain caused street flooding along Edwards Street in Hattiesburg.
Trees were blown down near Highway 11 and Harold Tucker Road.
Lightning struck a pasture and killed several horses near Jayess.
A couple of trees were blown down along Liberty Road.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Mississippi in 2015Every state in 2015This day in weather historyWarnings in Mississippi, July 2015
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 581191, 581195, 581192, 581193, 581196, 581197, 581198, 581194, 581200, 581247, 581201.