A strong front moved onshore. The Hyder area remained at of below freezing and all of the precipitation was snow.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS AJK wrote it up.
A strong front moved onshore. The Hyder area remained at of below freezing and all of the precipitation was snow. Hyder got 8 inches overnight with a storm total of 14 inches by noon on the 10th. Hyder had a power outage and roads had to be plowed.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 10, 5:36 AM AKST, 1 hour 54 minutes earlier.
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
536 AM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015
.SHORT TERM...UPPER TROUGH EXTENDED FROM THE BERING STRAIT SE
ACROSS THE CNTRL GULF THIS MORNING. COLD MIDLEVEL TEMPERATURES
NEAR -37 C RESIDE WITHIN THE TROUGH YIELDING 850-500 MB LAPSE
RATES AOA 8 C/KM. THESE LAPSE RATES COMBINED WITH SST/S FROM 8-12
C ARE AIDING IN SBCAPE VALUES RANGING FROM 500 TO 1000
J/KG...WHICH IS FAVORING ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE WRN/CNTRL
GULF EARLY TUE MORNING. THE UNSTABLE AIRMASS WILL CONTINUE
SPREADING E THROUGH TUE LEADING TO A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG COASTAL PORTIONS OF THE PANHANDLE BY MIDDAY.
THE THUNDERSTORM THREAT WILL THEN GRADUALLY SUBSIDE LATE TONIGHT
AS THE TROUGH SHEARS EWD.
MEANWHILE...A POTENT SHORTWAVE IMPULSE RESIDES WITHIN THE BASE OF
THE LARGER SCALE TROUGH. EXPANSIVE PLUME OF ASCENT AND ASSOCIATED
MODERATE/HEAVY RAINFALL IS PRESENT DOWNSTREAM FROM THE IMPULSE
FROM THE SERN GULF NE ACROSS THE SRN PANHANDLE. THIS ZONE OF
STRONGER ASCENT WILL EXIT THE SRN PANHANDLE BY MIDDAY...BEING
REPLACED BY THE UPSTREAM UNSTABLE SHOWERY REGIME. THE COLD
TEMPERATURES SPREADING E ACROSS THE GULF COMBINED WITH LOCALLY
INTENSE SHOWER DEVELOPMENT HAVE RESULTED IN SNOW AT YAKUTAT THIS
MORNING. SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE DIURNALLY DURING THE
DAY...BUT COOLING AFTER SUNSET WILL FAVOR LOW-LEVEL THERMODYNAMIC
PROFILES SUPPORTIVE OF A SNOW/RAIN SHOWER MIX TONIGHT OVER THE NRN
PANHANDLE.
A WEAK SURFACE WAVE DEVELOPING IN RESPONSE TO THE PREVIOUSLY
MENTIONED UPPER IMPULSE IS SPREADING FROM THE SERN GULF ACROSS THE
CNTRL PANHANDLE THIS MORNING. THIS FEATURE IS AIDING IN A TIGHT
PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE SRN PANHANDLE...RESULTING IN GUSTY
WINDS FROM HYDABURG TO KETCHIKAN/ANNETTE/METLAKATLA...AS WELL AS
BORDERLINE GALES OVER CLARENCE STRAIT. THIS WAVE WILL DEPART E
FROM THE PANHANDLE BY MIDDAY...WITH BRISK WLYS OCCURRING IN ITS
WAKE ACROSS THE REGION. THIS REGIME MAY PRODUCE GALE FORCE WINDS
OVER MARINE ZONE 310 TONIGHT...AND SMALL CRAFT SPEEDS OVER THE
COASTAL WATERS. IN ADDITION...A LONG WLY FETCH WILL PRODUCE SEAS
BUILDING TO 10-17 FT TONIGHT OVER THE OUTER MARINE ZONES.
.LONG TERM...STRONG OCCLUDED FRONT WILL PUSH ACROSS THE EASTERN
GULF LATE WED AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THEN ACROSS SE AK LATE WED
NIGHT AND THU. POWERFUL PARENT LOW RESPONSIBLE FOR THE FRONT WILL
SLIDE E ACROSS THE AKPEN INTO THE FAR SW GULF BY WED
EVENING...THEN MOVE TOWARD THE NE GULF THU. THIS LOW SHOULD SLOWLY
WEAKEN OVER THE NE GULF THU NIGHT THROUGH FRI NIGHT. LOOKS LIKE
MORE SYSTEMS WILL COME ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GULF OVER THE WEEKEND
BUT MODELS DIFFER ON THESE. A BIG QUESTION MARK FOR THE WEEKEND
AND EARLY NEXT WEEK IS HOW MUCH COLD AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA.
MODELS DIFFER ON THIS AS WELL FOR THAT TIME FRAME. DECIDED TO USE
THE 00Z GFS22 FOR WED-THU EVENING...THEN GFS/WPC FOR LATE THU
NIGHT AND FRI...WITH LITTLE CHANGE TO FORECAST AFTER FRI.
FOR WED-THU...THE STRONG FRONT WILL SPREAD GALE TO STORM FORCE
WINDS INTO THE EASTERN GULF AND MUCH OF THE INNER CHANNELS WED
AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. IT WILL BE A CLOSE CALL ON POTENTIAL FOR A
HIGH WIND EVENT ALONG THE OUTER COAST AND SOUTHERN AREA WED
NIGHT...BUT IT LOOKS ALMOST CERTAIN THAT STRONG WIND HEADLINES
WILL BE NEEDED AT THE LEAST. ALSO...THE FAR NORTHERN AREA MAY GET
ENOUGH OF A LOW LEVEL NORTHERLY FLOW TO MAINTAIN A COOLER BOUNDARY
LAYER AND POTENTIALLY SNOW EVEN AT SEA LEVEL NEAR HAINES AND
SKAGWAY WED NIGHT. STILL EXPECT THE MOST SNOWFALL AT HIGHER
ELEVATIONS...BUT THE FAST MOVEMENT OF THE FRONT MAY PRECLUDE A
WARNING LEVEL SNOWFALL EVENT. LATER SHIFTS WILL NEED TO MONITOR
THIS. THE HEAVIEST RAIN WILL LIKELY BE OVER THE SOUTHERN AREA
WHERE STRONGEST LOW LEVEL JET WILL OCCUR AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND
FRONT WILL BE SLOWEST TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA. PROBABLY 1 TO 2
INCHES OF RAIN WITH THE FRONT OVER THE SOUTH...WITH 0.5 TO 1.5
INCHES OVER THE CENTRAL PANHANDLE...AND AROUND 0.5 INCHES OVER
THE NORTH. THE OTHER BIG CONCERN IS WITH THE STRONG WESTERLY WINDS
ON SOUTH SIDE OF THE PARENT LOW AND THE VERY LARGE SEAS THEY WILL
GENERATE. LOOKS LIKE 45-55 KT WINDS WILL MOVE WITH THE LOW INTO
THE CENTRAL GULF THU ALONG WITH SEAS IN EXCESS OF 30 FEET. LATEST
FORECAST HAS SEAS REACHING 40 FEET OVER THE SOUTH- CENTRAL GULF
THU. WITH ALL THE ABOVE IN MIND...THE SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
WAS REISSUED THIS MORNING FOR THIS STORM.
PRECIP SHOULD BECOME SHOWERY BEHIND THE OCCLUDED FRONT THU. THIS
WILL LAST INTO AT LEAST THE EARLY PART OF THE WEEKEND AS THE LOW
SLOWLY WEAKENS OVER THE NE GULF. THE QUESTION OF HOW MUCH COLD AIR
GETS IN WILL BECOME IMPORTANT FOR THE WEEKEND FOR PRECIP TYPE. GFS
IS MOST AGGRESSIVE COOLING THINGS OFF WHILE THE ECMWF IS THE LEAST
AGGRESSIVE. STILL PLENTY OF TIME TO GET THIS DETAIL WORKED OUT.
LOOKS GENERALLY ON THE WET SIDE THOUGH WITH MORE SYSTEMS COMING
IN FROM THE WEST DURING THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
&&
.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ036.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ022-031-033>035-041>043-051-052.
&&
GARNER/RWT
VISIT US AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JUNEAUSPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 504 AM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015 AKZ017>029-110100- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO CAPE SUCKLING COASTAL AREA- TAIYA INLET AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAY-HAINES BOROUGH AND LYNN CANAL- GLACIER BAY-EASTERN CHICHAGOF ISLAND- SALISBURY SOUND TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER COASTAL AREA- CAPE DECISION TO SALISBURY SOUND COASTAL AREA- EASTERN BARANOF ISLAND AND SOUTHERN ADMIRALTY ISLAND- JUNEAU BOROUGH AND NORTHERN ADMIRALTY ISLAND- INNER CHANNELS FROM KUPREANOF ISLAND TO ETOLIN ISLAND- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION COASTAL AREA- SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS-MISTY FJORDS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...YAKUTAT...SKAGWAY...HAINES...GUSTAVUS... HOONAH...ELFIN COVE...PELICAN...SITKA...PORT ALEXANDER...ANGOON... JUNEAU...PETERSBURG...WRANGELL...KAKE...CRAIG...KLAWOCK... KETCHIKAN...METLAKATLA...HYDER 504 AM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015 ...STRONG STORM WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY... A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE EAST ACROSS THE GULF WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. A STORM FORCE FRONT WILL IMPACT THE COASTAL WATERS BY THURSDAY MORNING...WHILE A SECOND AREA OF STORM FORCE WINDS SPREADS EAST ACROSS THE GULF BEHIND THE FRONT THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. IN ADDITION...SEAS OVER THE GULF WILL RANGE FROM 30 TO 40 FEET BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. SOUTHERLY GALE FORCE WINDS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE OVER THE INSIDE CHANNELS...AND GUSTS FROM 40 TO 60 MPH ARE LIKELY FOR MANY COASTAL AND INNER CHANNEL COMMUNITIES. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS ALSO EXPECTED AS THE FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE PANHANDLE ON THURSDAY...WHICH WILL CAUSE WATER LEVELS TO RISE FOR AREA CREEKS...STREAMS...AND RIVERS. IN ADDITION...HEAVY SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS ALONG THE HAINES AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAYS.
1 winter storm. Local standard time, as filed.
Hyder got 8 inches overnight and an additional 6 inches on the morning of the 10th. There was a power outage and roads had to be plowed.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Alaska in 2015Every state in 2015This day in weather historyWarnings in Alaska, November 2015
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 606725.