Strong Fraser River outflow was forecast and a high wind watch was issued for three northwest interior zones. This was changed to a wind advisory for two of the zones.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS SEW wrote it up.
Strong Fraser River outflow was forecast and a high wind watch was issued for three northwest interior zones. This was changed to a wind advisory for two of the zones. In the event, those two zones, San Juans and western Whatcom, had some high wind, as did Hansville in the Hood Canal zone. Near-advisory level northerly winds were experienced over the whole Puget Sound area and there were around 25,000 power outages in the Seattle area.
Here is an article from the Seattle Times:
Puget Sound Energy currently has 15,004 customers without power around Puget Sound. Seattle City Light is reporting just over 9,000, mostly north of the city.
KOMO reported on Twitter that the Edmonds ferry is delayed because wind knocked out power to the dock and the ramp can’t be lowered.
A fallen tree at 27th Ave NW and NW 95th Street causing a power outage for about 60 Seattle City Light customers.
While the wind speeds are not unusual, Burke said, gusts are causing more damage today because they are blowing from the north.
More than 3,000 Seattle City Light customers are currently out of power north of Seattle, while Puget Sound Energy is seeing many small outages all round Seattle.
The wind caused a dock to break loose in Lake Washington from a property on Rainier Avenue South about 11 a.m., threatening to hit a neighbor’s boat. The Seattle Fire Department secured the dock before any more damage was done.
An outage in Redmond has 1,079 PSE customers in the dark. Power in Lake Forest Park has been restored, but Seattle City Light is now responding to an outage in Olympic Hills that is affecting 2,853 customers.
|Whatcom and Skagit counties are seeing the brunt of it wind gusts Friday night were up to 67 mph, according to the National Weather Service.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Seattle, WA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 28, 9:40 PM PST, 5 hours 20 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
940 PM PST FRI NOV 28 2014
.SYNOPSIS...WHILE RAIN CONTINUES TO DIMINISH OVER MUCH OF WESTERN
WASHINGTON...A CONVERGENCE ZONE WILL FORM OVER NORTHERN PORTIONS OF
THE PUGET SOUND AREA TONIGHT WITH SNOW LEVELS LOWERING TO BELOW 300
FEET OVERNIGHT. A MODIFIED ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH THROUGH
THE AREA LATE TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING...WITH LIGHT SNOW
SHOWERS EXPECTED WITH THE FRONT. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT AND LOW
LEVEL OFFSHORE FLOW WILL BRING MAINLY COOL AND DRY WEATHER SUNDAY
THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
&&
.SHORT TERM...CURRENT OBSERVATIONS SHOW THAT RAINFALL IS FINISHING
OVER MUCH OF WESTERN WASHINGTON THIS EVENING...WITH THE EXCEPTION
OF SOME SCATTERED ACTIVITY ALONG THE COAST. THE FEATURE ALL EYES ARE
WATCHING TONIGHT IS THE DEVELOPMENT OF A CONVERGENCE ZONE OVER THE
NORTH PUGET SOUND AREA. LOOKING AT TEMPS...OBS...AND WEBCAMS IN THE
AREA...STARTING TO SEE THE TRANSITION OVER TO SNOW. WITH TEMPS IN
THE MID 30S AND TEMPS EXPECTED TO DROP FURTHER...EXPECTING SNOW
CONCERNS IN THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY AREA TO BE MORE WIDESPREAD.
ANOTHER SNOW MATTER MAY RESIDE NORTH OF THE ADVISORY AREA...UP NORTH
OF BLI. CURRENT HRRR PUTS A FAIR AMOUNT OF PRECIP UP THERE. SEEING
SOME SNOW AT ORCAS...SO WHILE THIS SOLUTION MIGHT BE A TOUCH
OVERDONE...AS THE MODEL IS CALLING FOR 4 INCHES...THE PROSPECT OF
SNOW IS MATERIALIZING UP THERE. AS SUCH...WILL OPT FOR A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN WHATCOM...SKAGIT AND SAN JUAN COUNTIES
FOR 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW. TO PRECIP OF A MORE LIQUID VARIETY...WITH
THE RAIN TAPERING OFF...FLOOD CONCERNS WILL DIMINISH
ACCORDINGLY...THOUGH ARE CERTAINLY NOT OFF THE TABLE YET AS RIVERS
STILL REACTING TO EARLIER RAINS. LASTLY...REMAINING FORECAST CONCERN
IS THE DEVELOPMENT OF FRASER OUTFLOW WINDS. AT THIS TIME...WINDS
REALLY HAVE NOT DEVELOPED YET. HOWEVER...MODEL DATA PERTAINING TO
GRADIENTS REMAINS CONSISTENT...SO REALLY ONLY A MATTER OF TIME
BEFORE EXPECTED WINDS DO INDEED DEVELOP.
AS FORECAST ROLLS INTO SATURDAY...THINGS GET CONSIDERABLY
EASIER...ALBEIT COLDER. THE AIR MASS WILL BEGIN DRYING AND COOLING
EVEN MORE FROM THE NORTH. PRECIPITATION WILL PROBABLY SHUT OFF EARLY
SATURDAY AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES ARE NOT EXPECTED TO MAKE IT OUT OF
THE 30S ON SATURDAY. THE CLEARING AND COLD AIR WILL SET UP LOW
TEMPERATURES IN THE TEENS AND 20S SUNDAY MORNING. THE COLDEST AREAS
WILL BE THE NORTH INTERIOR. HIGHS SUNDAY WILL NOT MAKE IT OUT OF THE
30S.
FOR MONDAY THE MAIN PLAYERS WILL BE THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE
NE PACIFIC...GIVING COLD NW FLOW ALOFT TO W WA....AND A LARGE LOW W
OF CA WHICH WILL BE BRINGING WARM MOIST AIR UP THE COAST FROM CA
INTO OREGON. GFS AND ECMWF HAVE BEEN HAVING DIFFICULTY RESOLVING
THIS BATTLE BETWEEN THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN STREAMS THE PAST
COUPLE OF DAYS. MODEL SOLUTIONS HAVE BEEN OSCILLATING BETWEEN WHICH
STREAM WILL IMPACT W WA. THE SOUTHERN STREAM HAS THE UPPER HAND AT
THIS MOMENT AND THE MONDAY FORECAST NOW HAS A CHANCE OF RAIN OVER
THE SW INTERIOR. SMR/KAM
.LONG TERM...FROM 344 PM DISCUSSION...THE MODEL WOBBLES FOR MONDAY
EXTEND THROUGH MID WEEK AND CONFIDENCE IS VERY LOW. THE CURRENT
FORECAST STILL LEANS TOWARD THE MORE CONSISTENT ECMWF...WITH DRY
WEATHER THROUGH TUESDAY. THE ECMWF FINALLY BRINGS SOME MOISTURE FROM
THE OFFSHORE LOW INLAND WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY FOR A CHANCE OF
RAIN. KAM
&&
.HYDROLOGY...THE FRONT THAT BROUGHT HEAVY RAIN TO THE CASCADES TODAY
HAS MOVED SOUTH AND LOST MUCH OF ITS ENERGY. HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED IN
WHATCOM AND SKAGIT COUNTIES. SNOHOMISH AND KING COUNTIES ARE STILL
HAVING MODERATE PRECIPITATION BUT IT HAS TAPERED SIGNIFICANTLY.
PERHAPS THE MAIN CHANGE IS THAT MUCH OF THE PRECIPITATION IN THE
MOUNTAINS HAS TURNED TO SNOW. TEMPERATURES HAVE FALLEN INTO THE LOW
30S OVER A WIDE SWATH OF THE CASCADES...FROM THE CANADIAN BORDER
SOUTH TO THE SNOQUALMIE DRAINAGE. WEB CAMERAS SHOW SNOW AT STEVENS
AND SNOQUALMIE PASSES. THE CHANGE TO SNOW GENERALLY MEANS THE
HYDROLOGICALLY SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION HAS ENDED AND RIVERS NOW
HAVE ONLY TO DEAL WITH RUNOFF FROM RAIN THAT HAS ALREADY FALLEN.
DISCUSSING THE RIVERS FROM NORTH TO SOUTH...
THE SOUTH FORK OF THE NOOKSACK RIVER HAS CRESTED AND HAS FALLEN
BELOW FLOOD STAGE. THE FLOOD WARNING HAS ENDED THERE. THE MAIN STEM
AT NORTH CEDARVILLE HAS ALSO CRESTED BUT IS STILL JUST ABOVE FLOOD
STAGE. THE WARNING THERE WILL END SOMETIME THIS EVENING. THE
FORECAST FOR THE REACH OF THE RIVER NEAR FERNDALE DOES NOT TAKE THE
RIVER ABOVE FLOOD STAGE.
THE SKAGIT RIVER NEAR CONCRETE IS CRESTING NOW AROUND 32 FEET. THIS
IS WELL ABOVE THE MODERATE FLOOD LEVEL AT CONCRETE AND THIS CREST
WILL PROPAGATE DOWNSTREAM REACH THE MODERATE LEVEL AT MOUNT VERNON
TONIGHT. THE US ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS IS OPERATING THE DAMS ON THE
SKAGIT AND BAKER RIVERS. THEIR PLAN IS TO PREVENT MAJOR FLOODING ON
THE SKAGIT AND THAT PLAN APPEARS TO BE WORKING. THE FLOOD WARNING
WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT ON THE SKAGIT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT.
THE UPPER REACHES OF THE STILLAGUAMISH RIVER HAVE CRESTED AND ARE
FALLING. IT NOW APPEARS NEITHER FORK OF THE RIVER WILL REACH FLOOD
STAGE ON ITS OWN. HOWEVER THE MAIN STEM AT ARLINGTON HAS REACHED
FLOOD STAGE AND WILL REMAIN NEAR FLOOD STAGE FOR A FEW MORE HOURS.
MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST ON THE LOWER STILLAGUAMISH.
THE UNCONTROLLED SKYKOMISH RIVER AND THE SNOHOMISH RIVER MAY HAVE
THE BIGGEST FLOOD OF THIS EVENT. AT GOLD BAR THE RIVER APPEARS TO BE
CRESTING NOW LESS THAN A FOOT BELOW THE MAJOR FLOOD STAGE OF 19
FEET. UPSTREAM RIVER GAUGES ARE FALLING. MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST
DOWNSTREAM ON THE REACH OF THE SNOHOMISH RIVER NEAR MONROE. THE
RIVER AT MONROE IS ALREADY ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AND WILL CREST AROUND
10 PM TONIGHT JUST ABOVE THE MAJOR FLOOD STAGE OF 17 FEET. FURTHER
DOWNSTREAM NEAR SNOHOMISH THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST JUST BELOW
THE MAJOR FLOOD STAGE OF 29 FEET LATE TONIGHT.
THE SNOQUALMIE RIVER BASIN RECEIVED LESS RAIN AND THE PRECIPITATION
HAS ALREADY CHANGED TO SNOW IN THE MOUNTAINS. THE SUM OF THE THREE
UPPER SNOQUALMIE FORKS INDICATES THE SNOQUALMIE RIVER AT SNOQUALMIE
FALLS WILL CREST AROUND FLOOD STAGE. THE TOLT RIVER TOUCHED FLOOD
STAGE EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AND IS FALLING NOW. THE REACH OF THE
SNOQUALMIE RIVER NEAR CARNATION WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THIS
EVENING AND REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THROUGH SATURDAY.
NO FLOODING IS FORECAST ON ANY RIVERS SOUTH OF THE SNOQUALMIE THOUGH
RIVERS WILL RISE SOMEWHAT. A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL
COUNTIES FROM SKAGIT TO LEWIS BUT NEW FLOODING IS UNLIKELY AND THE
WATCH WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 6 PM THIS EVENING.
IN THE OLYMPICS THE SKOKOMISH RIVER WILL REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE
THROUGH SATURDAY. OTHER RIVERS IN THE OLYMPICS CRESTED BELOW FLOOD
STAGE AND ARE FALLING.
COLD AND DRY WEATHER WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT TONIGHT. RIVERS WILL
RECEDE AND THE THREAT OF FLOODING WILL END FOR THE FORESEEABLE
FUTURE. BURKE
&&
.AVIATION...MOIST WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT. MVFR
CIGS ARE LIKELY IN THE INTERIOR. EXPECT GUSTY NE WINDS AT KBLI AS
FRASER RIVER OUTFLOW DEVELOPS. LOWLAND SNOW IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT
INTO SAT MORNING AS A COOL UPPER LEVEL TROUGH CROSSES OVERHEAD. SNOW
WILL TAPER OFF 18-21Z SAT AS THIS TROUGH EXITS AND PRECIP SHIFTS TO
THE CASCADES. THE AIR MASS WILL REMAIN COOL AND DRY SAT NIGHT WITH
NORTHERLY FLOW. 33
KSEA...A COOL AND UNSETTLED AIR MASS WILL BRING A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS LATE TONIGHT INTO SAT MORNING. BEST TIME FRAME IS 12-18Z AS
WINDS SWITCH TO NLY AND THE UPPER TROUGH AXIS CROSSES THE AREA.
SURFACE TEMPS WILL BE NEAR FREEZING. SNOWFALL UP TO 1 INCH IS
POSSIBLE. DRIER WEATHER IS FORECAST BY 21Z. 33
&&
.MARINE...FRASER RIVER OUTFLOW WILL BRING NORTHERLY GALES TO THE
NORTHERN INLAND WATERS TONIGHT. THERE WERE WESTERLY GALES THROUGH
THE CENTRAL/EAST STRAIT THIS EVENING...BUT WINDS SHOULD EASE AND
TURN N/NE AS THE FRASER OUTFLOW DEVELOPS. NORTH/NORTHEAST FLOW
WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH SAT MORNING...THEN EASE SAT
AFTERNOON. HIGH PRES EAST OF THE CASCADES WILL MAINTAIN OFFSHORE
FLOW SAT NIGHT THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
&&
.SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WA...FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF
WESTERN WASHINGTON.
WIND ADVISORY WESTERN WHATCOM...AND SAN JUAN COUNTY.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NORTH PUGET SOUND REGION...STRAIT OF
JUAN DE FUCA...WESTERN WHATCOM...SKAGIT AND SAN JUAN COUNTIES.
PZ...GALE WARNING NORTHERN INLAND WATERS THROUGH SAT AFTERNOON.
GALE WARNING CENTRAL AND EAST STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA THIS
EVENING.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY ALL WATERS.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY GRAYS HARBOR BAR FOR ROUGH BAR CONDITIONS.
&&
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE
YOU CAN SEE AN ILLUSTRATED VERSION OF THIS FORECAST DISCUSSION AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE/GAFD/LATEST_WEBAFD.HTMLPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
121 AM PST SAT NOV 29 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0117 AM SNOW 5 ESE MARYSVILLE 48.03N 122.06W
11/29/2014 M1.4 INCH SNOHOMISH WA TRAINED SPOTTER
1.4 INCHES MEASURED IN LAKE STEVENS AT 255 FEET.
0117 AM SNOW 5 S EVERETT 47.89N 122.21W
11/29/2014 M1.0 INCH SNOHOMISH WA TRAINED SPOTTER
ONE INCH OF SNOW.
0117 AM SLEET 1 NE REDMOND 47.69N 122.10W
11/29/2014 E0.00 INCH KING WA TRAINED SPOTTER
HAIL, SLEET, OR SNOW PELLETS. ABOUT 1/4 INCH DIAMETER.
&&
JNEHERThe national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
3 high wind, 1 strong wind. Local standard time, as filed.
About 10,000 customers without power. Estimated damage costs from Snohomish County PUD were about $80,000.
Lopez Island had 43g51 mph at 714 AM on the 29th, verifying high wind in the San Juans.
Lummi Island had 45g67 mph at 826 AM, verifying high wind in western Whatcom county.
Hansville had 40-41g48 mph 1240 PM to 110 PM, verifying high wind in Hood Canal. There were about 15000 power outages in the area.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Washington in 2014Every state in 2014This day in weather historyWarnings in Washington, November 2014
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 548994, 546329, 546327, 546328.