Washington, 2014

Winter Storm and Heavy Snow in Washington, November 13, 2014

November 13, 2014 · NWS PQR · 2 events in 2 counties and zones

A cold snap hit the Pacific Northwest before moist Pacific air moved in and resulted in one of the earliest snow, sleet, and freezing rain events in southwest Washington. Sleet and freezing rain in particular created hazardous commutes for the Vancouver Metro Area.

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
2

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS PQR wrote it up.

A cold snap hit the Pacific Northwest before moist Pacific air moved in and resulted in one of the earliest snow, sleet, and freezing rain events in southwest Washington. Sleet and freezing rain in particular created hazardous commutes for the Vancouver Metro Area. Some snow fell, but accumulations were primarily restricted to the Cascade valleys and the central Columbia River Gorge.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Portland, OR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 13, 7:40 AM PST, 1 hour 20 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 13, 7:40 AM PST, 1 hour 20 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
740 AM PST THU NOV 13 2014

.SYNOPSIS...A LOW PRES SYSTEM COMING IN FROM THE SW OFF THE PACIFIC
WILL CONTINUE TO OVERRUN A COLD AIR MASS ALREADY IN PLACE TODAY AND
TONIGHT. EAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE GORGE THROUGH TONIGHT
MAINTAINING THE SUPPLY OF COLD AIR IN THE N PART OF THE FORECAST
AREA. TONIGHT THE FRONT WILL STALL NEAR THE COLUMBIA RIVER...THEN
MOVE SOUTH AGAIN FRI AND INTO SOUTHERN OREGON FRI NIGHT.
COLD HIGH PRES WILL REASSERT ITSELF OVER THE INTERIOR PACIFIC NW OVER
THE WEEKEND BRINGING A RETURN TO DRY COOL CONDITIONS.

&&

.SHORT TERM UPDATED...SEVERAL CHANGES TO CURRENT HIGHLIGHTS BASED ON
LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND NEW GUIDANCE. TEMPERATURES HAVE RISEN TO JUST
ABOVE FREEZING IN THE CENTRAL WILLAMETTE VALLEY WITH WET BULB TEMPS
AT FREEZING. LITTLE IF ANY SNOW OCCURRING AS OF 15Z SO WILL MAINTAIN
A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY THERE BUT MORE FOR FREEZING PRECIP. WILL
END THE WIND ADVISORY FOR THE PORTLAND/VANCOUVER METRO AREA AS WIND
GUSTS ARE GENERALLY IN THE 30-40 MPH RANGE. WILL CONVERT THE WINTER
STORM WARNING FOR THE N WILLAMETTE VALLEY TO A WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORY EMPHASIZING FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET. A VARIETY OF PRECIP
TYPES OCCURRING IN THE N WILLAMETTE VALLEY THIS MORNING...BUT MOSTLY
FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET. WITH A WARM LAYER ALOFT AS SHOWN ON KRTX
DOPPLER RADAR AND EVIDENCE OF IT ON THE 12Z KSLE SOUNDING WIDESPREAD
SNOW ACCUMULATIONS LOOKING MUCH LESS LIKELY. BIGGEST CHANGE WILL BE
AT THE WEST END OF THE COLUMBIA GORGE. WILL SWITCH TO A WINTER STORM
WARNING WITH MORE FREEZING RAIN THAN SNOW. REMAINDER OF THE
HIGHLIGHTS REMAIN UNCHANGED FOR NOW. LATEST MODEL RUNS SEEM TO KEEP
THE MAIN BAROCLINIC BAND A LITTLE FURTHER SOUTH THAN PREVIOUS RUNS.
WEISHAAR

REMAINDER OF THE SHORT TERM DISCUSSION UNCHANGED...A LOW CONFIDENCE
FORECAST CONTINUES THIS MORNING. COLD DRY AIR CONTINUES TO POUR OUT
OF THE COLUMBIA RIVER GORGE INTO THE NORTHERN WILLAMETTE VALLEY. IN
THESE WINDIER LOCATIONS TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO HOVER AROUND 37F TO
38F...BUT WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE LOW TEENS...WET BULB TEMPERATURES
CONTINUE IN THE 30F TO 32F RANGE. AS A RESULT...AS PRECIPITATION
MOVES NORTHWARD INTO THE PORTLAND METRO...TEMPERATURES WILL COOL TO
ALLOW A MIX OF PRECIP TO FALL INITIALLY. SO FAR...ACCUMULATIONS HAVE
BEEN RATHER MINOR AROUND AURORA AND MCMINNVILLE. FURTHER
SOUTH...TEMPERATURES HAVE COOLED CLOSER TO THE WET BULB TEMPERATURE
WITH TEMPERATURES HOVERING BETWEEN 32F AND 33F ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN WILLAMETTE VALLEY. THIS HAS RESULTED IN A MIX OF
SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND RAIN BEING REPORTED IN THIS AREA...WITH THE
MOST SIGNIFICANT ICE BEING REPORTED AROUND EUGENE. EVEN THEN ONLY A
LIGHT COATING HAS BEEN REPORTED WITH ROAD SURFACES REMAINING WET.

RAW MODEL GUIDANCE HAS BEEN TOO WARM WITH THEIR SURFACE TEMPERATURES
OVERNIGHT. WET BULB TEMPERATURES SHOULD ALLOW SURFACE TEMPERATURES TO
COOL TO AROUND FREEZING ONCE PRECIPITATION BEGINS. DUAL POL RADAR
INDICATES A MELTING LAYER BETWEEN 3000 FT AND 5000 FT IS MOVING
NORTHWARD INTO THE PORTLAND METRO. THERE IS A CHANCE THIS LAYER WILL
RESULT IN A WET SNOW FALLING ACROSS THE PORTLAND METRO...BUT
UNCERTAINTY IN THIS SCENARIO IS HIGH. MORE THAN LIKELY...ONCE
PRECIPITATION SWITCHES OVER TO THE LIQUID FORM...IT LIKELY WILL NOT
GO BACK TO SNOW. WILL KEEP ALL WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES GOING FOR
NOW...BUT SNOW TOTALS COULD BE ON THE HIGH SIDE FOR THE WILLAMETTE
VALLEY BASED ON DUAL POL RADAR DATA TRENDS.

.LONG TERM...MODELS AGREE ON AN UPPER RIDGE DEVELOPING ALONG THE
WEST COAST DURING THE EXTENDED PERIOD SAT NIGHT AND SUN...WITH THE
STUBBORN BAROCLINIC ZONE LIKELY TO PUSH S BY SAT NIGHT. GFS TRIES TO
LIFT A WARM FRONT TYPE FEATURE N THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA SUN
THROUGH MON NIGHT FOR A THREAT OF RAIN...BUT GIVEN THE DRY ECMWF AND
GEM SOLUTIONS WHICH ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH EACH OTHER AND THE
STRENGTH OF THE RIDGE IN ALL MODELS...PREFER TO GO WITH A DRY
FORECAST SUN THROUGH MON NIGHT. DEPICTED AIR MASS COMING FROM THE E
IN AN OFFSHORE FLOW DOES NOT LOOK QUITE AS COLD AS THE PREVIOUS COLD
AIR MASS. TUE AND WED MODELS GENERALLY BREAKING DOWN THE RIDGE TO
ALLOW SOME SORT OF SYSTEM PUSHING THROUGH...SO WILL TREND BACK MORE
TOWARDS CLIMATOLOGY POPS BY MID WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...LOW PRESSURE NEARING THE OREGON COAST IS SPREADING
MIXED SNOW...FREEZING RAIN AND RAIN NORTHEAST ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA THIS MORNING. HOWEVER CIGS/VSBYS REMAIN PRIMARILY VFR ASIDE
FROM AREAS OF MVFR IN SNOW NEAR THE PDX METRO AREA. AS THE MORNING
PROGRESSES IT APPEARS SNOW WILL DOMINATE THE PDX METRO AREA WHILE
RAIN OR FREEZING RAIN TAKE OVER SOUTH OF KMMV-KUAO. EXPECT IFR IN
SNOW NEAR PORTLAND AND MVFR IN RAIN/FZRA ELSEWHERE. COAST TERMINALS
SHOULD SEE MAINLY RAIN FROM THIS EVENT...WITH MVFR CIGS DEVELOPING
AS THE DAY PROGRESSES. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY CHANGE TO
FZRA OR RAIN IN THE PDX METRO AREA AROUND MIDDAY TODAY...THOUGH
THERE STILL REMAINS QUITE A BIT OF UNCERTAINTY ON TIMING.

ALSO...EXPECT GUSTY EAST WINDS TO CONTINUE INTO THU MORNING FOR
MUCH OF THE REGION. WINDS WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY CONFINED TO
NEAR AND JUST WEST OF THE COLUMBIA RIVER GORGE TODAY PROGRESSES.
WEAGLE/PYLE

KPDX AND APPROACHES...VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH TONIGHT WITH BLUSTERY
EAST WINDS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KTS. EXPECT SNOW TO DEVELOP BY SUNRISE
AS A FRONTAL SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE REGION. CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY
DETERIORATE TOWARDS IFR IN SNOW BY 16Z. SNOW WILL LIKELY TRANSITION
TO FREEZING RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN EVENTUALLY TO ALL RAIN
LATER IN THE AFTERNOON OR EVENING. STILL REMAINS CONSIDERABLE
UNCERTAINTY AS TO HOW MUCH ACCUMULATION WILL OCCUR...BUT KPDX IS
EXPECTED TO PICK UP AT LEAST A COUPLE INCHES OF SNOW FROM THIS
EVENT. WEAGLE/PYLE

&&

.MARINE...HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ANCHORED ACROSS THE INLAND
NORTHWEST FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...MAINTAINING PRIMARILY
OFFSHORE FLOW ACROSS THE WATERS. HOWEVER LOW PRESSURE IS MOVING
INTO THE OREGON WATERS THIS MORNING...AND IS EXPECTED TO BRING A
SHIFT TO MORE SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS TODAY TO THE SOUTHERN WATERS.
MEANWHILE EAST WINDS GUSTING TO GALE FORCE IN THE NORTHERN WATERS
ARE EXPECTED TO EASE SOME TODAY...WITH PRIMARILY WIND DRIVEN SEAS
6 TO 8 FT EARLY SUBSIDING AS WIND EASES.  WEAGLE

&&

.PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 10 AM PST FRIDAY FOR CENTRAL COLUMBIA

     RIVER GORGE-UPPER HOOD RIVER VALLEY.

     BLIZZARD WARNING UNTIL 4 AM PST FRIDAY FOR WESTERN COLUMBIA
     RIVER GORGE.

     WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR COAST
     RANGE OF NORTHWEST OREGON-GREATER PORTLAND METRO AREA-
     NORTHERN OREGON CASCADE FOOTHILLS.

     WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 4 AM PST FRIDAY FOR NORTHERN OREGON
     CASCADES.

     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM PST THIS MORNING FOR GREATER PORTLAND
     METRO AREA.

     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR LOWER
     COLUMBIA.

     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     CENTRAL WILLAMETTE VALLEY.

WA...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 10 AM PST FRIDAY FOR CENTRAL
     COLUMBIA RIVER GORGE.

     BLIZZARD WARNING UNTIL 4 AM PST FRIDAY FOR WESTERN COLUMBIA
     RIVER GORGE.

     WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR GREATER
     VANCOUVER AREA.

     WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 4 AM PST FRIDAY FOR SOUTH WASHINGTON
     CASCADE FOOTHILLS-SOUTH WASHINGTON CASCADES.

     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM PST THIS MORNING FOR GREATER VANCOUVER

     AREA.

     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR I-5
     CORRIDOR IN COWLITZ COUNTY.

PZ...GALE WARNING UNTIL 6 AM PST EARLY THIS MORNING FOR COASTAL
     WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER WA TO CASCADE HEAD OR OUT 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS UNTIL 7 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR
     COASTAL WATERS FROM CASCADE HEAD OR TO FLORENCE OR OUT 60 NM.

&&

INTERACT WITH US VIA SOCIAL MEDIA
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSPORTLAND
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSPORTLAND

THIS DISCUSSION IS FOR NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON
FROM THE CASCADE CREST TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE. THE AREA IS
COMMONLY REFERRED TO AS THE FORECAST AREA.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Nov 13, 8:21 AM PST, 39 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
821 AM PST THU NOV 13 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0610 AM     FREEZING RAIN    5 S PORTLAND AIRPORT    45.52N 122.60W
11/13/2014  E0.10 INCH       MULTNOMAH          OR   TRAINED SPOTTER

0630 AM     FREEZING RAIN    EUGENE                  44.05N 123.11W
11/13/2014  E0.25 INCH       LANE               OR   BROADCAST MEDIA

0725 AM     FREEZING RAIN    DALLAS                  44.92N 123.31W
11/13/2014  E0.10 INCH       POLK               OR   TRAINED SPOTTER

0740 AM     FREEZING RAIN    DALLAS                  44.92N 123.31W
11/13/2014  E0.25 INCH       POLK               OR   PUBLIC

0755 AM     FREEZING RAIN    FOREST GROVE            45.52N 123.10W
11/13/2014  E0.25 INCH       WASHINGTON         OR   PUBLIC

0810 AM     FREEZING RAIN    SALEM                   44.92N 123.02W
11/13/2014  E0.10 INCH       MARION             OR   PUBLIC

&&

TW
Local storm report, Nov 13, 8:51 AM PST, 9 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
851 AM PST THU NOV 13 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0843 AM     FREEZING RAIN    NEWBERG                 45.30N 122.97W
11/13/2014  M0.10 INCH       YAMHILL            OR   BROADCAST MEDIA

0845 AM     FREEZING RAIN    1 NW SUMMIT             44.64N 123.58W
11/13/2014  M0.25 INCH       BENTON             OR   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ACCUMULATING ON TREES AND GRASS

0845 AM     FREEZING RAIN    4 NNE CORVALLIS         44.62N 123.25W
11/13/2014  M0.10 INCH       BENTON             OR   TRAINED SPOTTER

            OVER LAST 6 HRS

&&

LMCCOY

Event by event

1 winter storm, 1 heavy snow. Local standard time, as filed.

Winter Storm, Western Columbia Gorge

When
November 13, 9:00 AM PST to 8:00 PM PST
Where
Western Columbia Gorge forecast zone
Reported by
Broadcast Media

There were several reports of 5 to 8 inches of snow in the Western Columbia River Gorge in less than 12 hours. This snow was followed with a quarter of an inch of ice in many locations.

Heavy Snow, Central Columbia River Gorge

When
November 13, 10:00 AM PST to 10:00 PM PST
Where
Central Columbia River Gorge forecast zone
Reported by
Social Media

There were numerous reports of 5 to 8 inches of snow for the Central Columbia River Gorge.

What these are

Winter Storm
A storm that brought snow, sleet or freezing rain at warning levels, usually over several hours or days.
Heavy Snow
Snowfall reaching the local warning threshold without the other hazards of a winter storm.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Washington in 2014Every state in 2014This day in weather historyWarnings in Washington, November 2014

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 548513, 548512.