Virginia, 2014

Winter Weather in Virginia, February 12 to 13, 2014

February 12 to 13, 2014 · NWS AKQ · 9 events in 9 counties and zones

Intensifying low pressure moving northward along the coast produced between one half inch and three inches of snow across portions of eastern and southeast Virginia from Wednesday afternoon, February 12th into Thursday morning, February 13th.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 5 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
9

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS AKQ wrote it up.

Intensifying low pressure moving northward along the coast produced between one half inch and three inches of snow across portions of eastern and southeast Virginia from Wednesday afternoon, February 12th into Thursday morning, February 13th.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Wakefield, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 12, 1:37 PM EST, 1 hour 23 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 12, 1:37 PM EST, 1 hour 23 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
137 PM EST WED FEB 12 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE MOVES INTO NEW ENGLAND TODAY. LOW PRESSURE ALONG
THE GULF COAST STATES TRACKS NORTHEAST TO THE CAROLINA COAST LATER
TODAY AND TONIGHT...THEN OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST THURSDAY. A
SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM WILL IMPACT THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT
AND THURSDAY...BRINGING A MIXED BAG OF PRECIPITATION TO THE
REGION.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
UPDATED AT 11AM...
BROAD AREA OF WINTRY PRECIP ASSOCIATED WITH STRENGTHENING LOW
PRESSURE HAS LIFTED NWD INTO SRN NC AS OF 11 AM. 12/12Z KMHX
SOUNDINGS SHOWS VERY MOIST PROFILE...EXCEPT A NARROW DRY LAYER
BETWEEN 950-900MB. EXPECT THIS DRY LAYER TO BECOME OVERWHELMED
RATHER QUICKLY THIS MORNING AS OVERRUNNING MOISTURE SURGES NWD.
HAVE MAINTAINED INHERITED POP GRIDS...ALTHOUGH TRENDS INDICATE
THE PRECIP MAY MOVE IN SLIGHTLY FASTER.

OTHERWISE...PER LATEST MODEL TRENDS AND UPSTREAM SFC
OBSERVATIONS...WILL BEGIN TO TREND THE CURRENT FORECAST SLIGHTLY
WARMER DUE TO THE LOCATION OF THE H85 LOW AND THE WARM NOSE. THE
RESULT WILL PUSH THE MIXED BAG OF PRECIP WWD WITH AN INCREASING
RISK OF ACCUMULATING ICE OVER THE LOWER PIEDMONT INTO SOUTH
CENTRAL VA (ALONG AND WEST OF THE INTERSTATE 95 CORRIDOR). THIS
WILL ALSO IMPACT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WITH SLIGHTLY LOWER ACCUMULATIONS
(PERHAPS 4-8 INCHES ON THE EAST SIDE OF RICHMOND). THERMAL
PROFILES SUGGEST A CHANGE FROM SNOW TO FREEZING RAIN LATE TONIGHT
BEFORE TRANSITIONING TO RAIN EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. WILL WAIT TO
UPDATE SNOW/QPF/WX FORECAST UNTIL ALL THE 12Z GUIDANCE COMES
IN...BUT DO ANTICIPATE A SHIFT TO THE WEST WITH WINTRY PRECIP.

EMPHASIS STILL REMAINS ON THE ONSET OF PRECIP AS HEAVY SNOWFALL IS
EXPECTED TO QUICKLY SPREAD OVER THE SRN LOCAL AREA. FOR MORE
INFORMATION...PLEASE REFER TO THE PREVIOUS DISCUSSION.

.PREV DISCUSSION...
LATEST WX ANALYSIS FEATURES STATIONARY FRONT ALONG THE GULF COAST
THIS MORNING, WITH A DEVELOPING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE
FRONT JUST OFF THE WESTERN GULF COAST. TO THE NORTH, ~1037MB SFC
HIGH PRESSURE IS IN PLACE OVER NEW ENGLAND, AND IS RIDGING DOWN
THE LEE SIDE OF THE APPALACHIANS. WV/IR SAT SHOWING OVERRUNNING
MSTR PUSHING INTO THE WESTERN CAROLINAS THIS MORNING...WITH ONLY A
SHIELD OF HIGH CLOUDS APPROACHING FROM THE SW.

OVERVIEW...
HIGH CONFIDENCE FOR A SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM IMPACTING THE AKQ
CWA TODAY. WINTER STORM WARNINGS NOW IN EFFECT FOR NORTHAMPTON
NC/GREENSVILLE/SUSSEX...ALONG WITH INHERITED WINTER STORM WARNINGS
FOR WESTERN HALF OF THE AREA...VA NORTHERN NECK AND DORCHESTER
COUNTY MD. SEE WBCWSWAKQ FOR LATEST INFO.

PRECIPITATION...
EARLY MORNING REGIONAL RADAR MOSAIC SHOWS THAT SWATH OF PCPN
ALREADY PUSHING FROM THE DEEP SOUTH INTO THE CAROLINAS AT SUNRISE.
PRECIP CHCS QUICKLY INCREASE TO CATEGORICAL FROM SOUTH TO NORTH BY
MID-LATE AFTN /JUST AFTER SUNSET TONIGHT FAR NORTH/. THICKNESSES
SUGGEST PCPN STARTS OFF AS SNOW, THEN BECOMES A MIXTURE OF PCPN
ACROSS SERN AREAS WITH SERN COASTAL AREAS GOING OVER TO RAIN BY
00Z. HIGHS L-M30S EXCEPT M-U30S SERN COASTAL AREAS.

CHALLENGING FCST WRT PINNING DOWN SNOW AMTS...AND EXACTLY WHEN
THE HEAVIEST SNOW OCCURS. OVERALL, STILL EXPECT AREAS ALONG AND TO
THE WEST OF I-95 SHOULD BE SEEING MOST SIG SNOW THROUGH THU
MORNING. HOWEVER, FOR MOST OF THE AREA, EXPECT "THE BIG SHOW" TO
BE WITH INITIAL SLUG OF WARM CONVEYOR BELT PCPN TONIGHT. 00Z/12
GFS FEATURES A NARROW STRIP OF NEGATIVE EPV AT H6-7 LATE
TONIGHT/ERY THU MORNING JUST SE OF RIC METRO (FGEN BAND ORIENTED
ALONG NORTH CWA BORDER). MODEL CROSS SECTIONS SHOW CONVECTIVE
PROCESSES APPEAR MORE SLANTWISE THAN UPRIGHT FOR TSSN (UPRIGHT
INSTABILITY BEING THE MORE IDEAL). STILL, NOT AT ALL OUT OF THE
QUESTION FOR A PERIOD OF THUNDER SNOW WITH THAT FGEN BAND LATE
THIS EVENING...AND HV ADDED HVY SNOW WORDING EARLY TONIGHT TO
CONVEY QUICK RAMP UP TO HVY PCPN COINCIDING WITH ONSET OF EVENING
RUSH HOUR.

TEMPERATURES/TIMING THE CHANGEOVER...
WHILE "BIG SHOW" WL COME THIS EVENING, BUT BIGGEST FORECAST
CHALLENGE COMES OVERNIGHT. PRECIPITATION CONTINUES OVERNIGHT AND
INTO THU AFTN. THANKS TO THE HIGH RETREATING OVER NORTHERN
NE...SYNOPTIC SETUP/CLIMO DON'T FAVOR COLD AIR REMAINING IN PLACE
AS LONG AS IT WOULD IF BETTER BLOCKING REGIME WERE IN PLACE. USED
A GFS/EC/SREF BLEND FOR QPF/THICKNESSES/TIMING. THIS BLEND IS A
HAIR WARMER THAN THE CMC...BUT A BIT COOLER THAN THE PRVS
FORECAST. EC/GFS BLEND WAS USED FOR SFC LOW TRACK, WHICH IS JUST A
BIT EAST OF WPC TRACK. QPF GENERALLY ~1" NORTH TO AN INCH AND ONE
HALF ACROSS THE COASTAL ZONES.

THINKING IS FOR A PERIOD OF MODERATE TO HVY SNOW BTWN 00Z-06Z
ACROSS MOST OF THE FA NW OF A EMPORIA- WAKEFIELD- NEWPORT NEWS-
SALISBURY LINE. LOW PRES APPROACHES CAPE HAT AFTER 06Z...THICKNESSES
SUGGEST ENUF OF A WARM LAYER ALOFT TO INDICATE A CHANGEOVER TO A
MIXED BAG OF PCPN MAINLY ALONG AND E OF A I85-I95 LINE WITH MOST
AREAS E OF I95 GOING OVER TO ALL RAIN LATE. APPEARS NWRN MOST
COUNTYS STAY SNOW THRU THE EVENT WITH THE MOST ACCUMULATIONS
THERE. A TRANSITION OVER TO A MIXED BAG OF PCPN WITH AREAS E/SE OF
I95 GOING OVER TO RAIN. NEXT CONCERN IS FOR SOME FREEZING RAIN AND
SLEET... THUS SOME ICE ACCUMULATIONS AROUND A TENTH OR SO PSBL.
LOWS 25-30 WEST OF CHES BAY AND LWR MD ERN SHORE...RANGING TO
M-U30S SERN COASTAL AREAS.

AS TO SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...TYPICAL MID-ATLANTIC EVENT ACROSS THE
AKQ CWA. GRADIENT EXPECTED TO BE QUITE TIGHT. ACCUMULATIONS HIGHEST
ACROSS THE NW TIER OF THE WARNING AREA... WITH 10-12+" OF SNOW A
GOOD BET ALONG AND NORTH OF US 360 (CREWE/FVX ON NW). A PERIOD OF
SLEET/SNOW SHOULD ALLOW FOR SLIGHTLY LOWER ACCUMS ACROSS THE WEST
END WITH ACCUMS IN THE 6-10 RANGE. MORE MIXING (AND SOME FZRA)
SHOULD KEEP TRI-CITIES AREA IN 4-8 RANGE. 2-4 ACRS HAMPTON ROADS
(HENCE THE WINTER WX ADVY FOR WESTERN TIDEWATER). WHILE WE HV
SKIPPED WINTER WX ADVY FOR SOUTHERN TIDEWATER/COASTAL NE
NC...EXPECT A LIGHT SNOW/SLEET ACCUMULATION BEFORE CHANGEOVER TO
RA.

THURSDAY...
MIXED PCPN CONTS THURSDAY MORNING ACROSS THE AREA. CAA ON BACK SIDE
OF LOW COMBINED WITH A PRONOUNCED WRAP AROUND MOISTURE RESULTS IN
THE PCPN TURNING BACK TO SNOW THURSDAY AFTERNOON AS THICKNESSES
CRASH TOWARD THE COAST. ADDITIONAL LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS ARE LIKELY
DURING THIS PERIOD, ESPECIALLY OVER THE NORTHERN NECK/ERN SHORE.
HIGHS M-U30S EXCEPT NR 40 SERN COASTAL AREAS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
MSTR ASSCTD WITH THE DEPARTING LOW PULLS NE THURSDAY NIGHT WITH
LINGERING PCPN ENDING SW-NE...LAST ON THE ERN SHORE. COLUMN DRYING
RESULTS IN DECREASING CLOUDINESS ACROSS WRN AREAS AFTER MIDNIGHT,
THOUGH SOME LINGERING FREEZING DRIZZLE OR EVEN SOME SLEET WILL BE
POSSIBLE. LOWS M-U20S.

FA IN BTWN SYSTMS FRI AS YET ANOTHER FRONTAL BNDRY APPROACHES
FROM THE WEST. TEMP FORECAST PROBLEMATIC GIVEN FRESH SNOW COVER.
WILL GO BELOW GUIDANCE UNDER A PT SUNNY SKY. DRY WITH HIGHS L-M40S
EXCEPT NR 50 SERN AREAS WHERE LITTLE OR NO SNOW ON GROUND. QUICK
MOVING DISTURBANCE PIVOTS ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT. TEMPS
MARGINAL...SO WENT WITH R/S SHOWERS. QPF SHOULD BE MINIMAL...SO NO
ADDITIONAL ADVERSE IMPACTS ARE ANTICIPATED ATTM. LOWS GENERALLY IN
THE 20S TO NEAR 30. CLEARING AND DRY ON SATURDAY, WITH MODERATING
TEMPS. HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE 40S.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
EXTENDED FORECAST REMAINS SOMEWHAT ACTIVE/PROGRESSIVE THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. AS THE STRENGTHENING LOW MOVES ALONG THE NE COAST...SURFACE
FLOW QUICKLY TURNS TO THE SOUTH AHEAD OF THE NEXT FAST MOVING SYSTEM
PASSING THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES REGION. ANOTHER SHOT OF LIGHT SNOW
OR A RAIN/SNOW MIX IS POSSIBLE LATE FRI INTO SAT MORNING WITH MODELS
IN GENERAL AGREEMENT WITH REGARDS TO THE TIMING AND STRENGTH OF THE
PASSING COLD FRONT AND SHORTWAVE TROUGH.

AGAIN...MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE TIMING OF A CLIPPER SYSTEM
MOVING ACROSS THE MIDWEST SAT AND CROSSING THE FA ON SUNDAY. 850MB
TEMPS DO LOOK TO BE COLD ENOUGH FOR SNOW ACROSS THE AREA BUT SOME
MODEL DISCREPANCIES EXIST BETWEEN THE AMOUNT OF AVAILABLE MOISTURE
WITH THE SYSTEM. LEANED MORE TOWARDS THE CONSISTENT ECMWF THROUGH
THE SUN PERIOD WHICH HAS MAINTAINED AROUND A TENTH OF AN INCH OF QPF
FROM PREVIOUS RUNS.

MOISTURE LOOKS LIMITED...ESPECIALLY ON SUNDAY...AND MIXED PHASE
PRECIP IS POSSIBLE WITH THE PASSAGE OF THESE SYSTEMS...SO
SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME. WITH
REGARDS TO LOW LEVEL TEMPS...DEPENDING ON THE AMOUNT OF SNOW COVER
AFTER THE WINTER STORM WED-THUR...HAVE TRENDED COOLER THAN MODELS
GUIDANCE...FAVORING A MORE FROZEN PRECIP SOLUTION. SURFACE HIGH
QUICKLY BUILDS INTO AND THEN EAST OF THE AREA SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
STRONGER LOW PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES MONDAY INTO
TUESDAY. CONFIDENCE IN FORECAST AT THIS POINT REMAINS LOW DUE TO
MODEL DIFFERENCES...BUT HAVE ADDED PRECIP AND INCREASED CLOUDS
DURING THIS PERIOD TO INDICATE THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT.

AS PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED...SNOW COVER ACROSS THE AREA COULD AFFECT
HIGH/LOW TEMPS THROUGH THE EXTENDED PERIOD. LOWS WILL GENERALLY BE
IN THE LOW 20S(WEST) TO LOW 30S(EAST) WITH HIGHS RANGING IN THE MID
40S TO AROUND 50 THROUGH THE SAT TO MON TIME FRAME.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
LATEST RADAR SHOWING NORTHERN EDGE OF PRECIPITATION BEGINNING TO
MOVE INTO NORTHERN NC...AND THIS WILL SPREAD NORTH THROUGH THE
LATE AFTN HRS AND SHOULD SEE PRECIP BREAK OUT AT ALL SITES PRIOR
TO 00Z THIS EVENING. OVERALL...EXPECT CONDITIONS TO RAPIDLY
DETERIORATE ABOUT 1-2 HRS AFTER THE ONSET OF PRECIP AND HAVE A
LONG PERIOD OF IFR/LIFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED IN MODERATE TO HEAVY
SNOW AT KRIC FROM 01Z-09Z. ELSEWHERE...P-TYPE WILL TRANSITION MUCH
EARLIER...22Z-00Z AT KECG/KORF...SLIGHTLY LATER AT KPHF...AND
AFTER 03Z AT KSBY.

THE WARMER AIR AT THE SFC AND ALOFT SHOULD PUSH WEST AND THINK
KRIC WILL TRANSITION TO A RAIN/SLEET MIX WELL AFTER MIDNIGHT (WENT
WITH 09Z W/ THIS TAF ISSUANCE). WINDS ALSO RAMP UP THIS EVENING/OVERNIGHT
WITH GUSTS 25-30 KT AT KORF/KECG/KPHF (ALTHOUGH EVEN KRIC AND KSBY SHOULD
SEE WIND GUSTS TO 20-25 KT). PRECIP WILL BECOME LIGHTER AFTER
DAYBREAK THU AND WINDS SHOULD DIMINISH SOMEWHAT ALTHOUGH
CIGS/VSBYS ARE LIKELY TO REMAIN MVFR AT BEST (WITH IFR MORE
LIKELY). WINDS GRADUALLY SHIFT TO THE NW LATER THU AFTN AND BECOME
BREEZY ONCE AGAIN. SOME INCREASE IN PRECIP IS LIKELY AS WELL ESP
FOR KRIC/SBY IN THE LATE AFTN AND EVENING THU BEFORE IT ENDS
AFTER 06Z/FRI (BEST CHC FOR ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE
AT KRIC/KSBY). WINDS SHOULD STAY BREEZY ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST
THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS AND THEN DIMINISH AFTER MIDNIGHT AS THE
LOW PULLS AWAY FROM THE MID ATLANTIC REGION AND MOVES INTO THE NEW
ENGLAND COAST. IMPROVING CONDS FRI...WITH ANOTHER CHANCE FOR
PRECIP FRI NIGHT/EARLY SAT.

&&

.MARINE...
A COMPLEX STORM SYSTEM WILL IMPACT THE REGION BEGINNING THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS (I.E. UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING). THE
ENTIRE MARINE AREA WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE RAPPAHANNOCK/YORK/UPPER
JAMES RIVERS ARE NOW WITHIN A GALE WARNING (STRONG SCA FOR
AFOREMENTIONED RIVERS).

THE BIG PICTURE...
HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE AREA WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHEAST THROUGH
THE DAY. MEANWHILE...A COMPLEX LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM EMERGES FROM THE
GULF COAST AND INTO THE SOUTHEAST COAST TODAY. THE LOW TRACKS NE
INTO THE CAROLINAS TONIGHT AND THEN INTENSIFIES ALONG THE MID
ATLANTIC COAST ON THU...LIFTING AWAY FROM THE AREA THU NIGHT.

THE DETAILS...
LOW-END SCA WINDS (NNE AOB 25 KT INCLUDING GUSTS) ALREADY PERSIST
ACROSS SRN CHES BAY AND COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF CAPE CHARLES EARLY
THIS MORNING. NE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE FROM SOUTH TO NORTH
TODAY (NE 15-20 KT WITH GUSTS AROUND 25 KT) AS THE SFC PRESSURE
GRADIENT STARTS TO TIGHTEN BTWN THE DEPARTING HIGH AND THE INCOMING
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. SEAS WILL AVERAGE 3-5 FT AND WAVES ON CHES BAY
WILL AVERAGE 2-4 FT. AS THE LOW PRESSURE DEEPENS OVER THE CAROLINAS
TONIGHT...NE WINDS LATE THIS EVENING TURN TO THE N OVERNIGHT AND
WILL RAMP UP TO 25-30 KT ALL WATERS WITH GALE FORCE GUSTS OF 35-40
KT ON CHES BAY/COASTAL WATERS/LOWER JAMES RIVER. GALES PERSIST INTO
THE EARLY DAYLIGHT HOURS OF THU MORNING AND THEN A BRIEF REPRIEVE IS
ANTICIPATED BY MID-LATE MORNING INTO EARLY AFTN AS THE CTRL PRESSURE
MOVES OVERHEAD. EXPECT WIND SPEEDS OF 20-30 KT DURING THIS
TIMEFRAME. AS THE LOW LIFTS NE AND AWAY FROM THE MID ATLANTIC
COAST...WINDS SHIFT TO THE NW AND A SECONDARY SURGE OF GALE FORCE
WIND GUSTS (35-40 KT) ARE ANTICIPATED BY MID-LATE AFTN OVER THE
COASTAL WATERS AND CHES BAY. THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO
LIFT INTO THE NEW ENGLAND COAST AFTER MIDNIGHT THU NIGHT AND GALE
FORCE GUSTS WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE FROM SOUTH TO NORTH OVERNIGHT. AS
FOR SEAS...N-NE FLOW SHOULD ENABLE SEAS TO RAPIDLY BUILD WED
NIGHT/EARLY THU TO AT LEAST 10 FT ALL COASTAL ZONES (10-12 FT NEAR
20 NM) AND 4-6 FT FOR CHES BAY (5-7 FT MOUTH OF BAY). WINDS DIMINISH
THROUGH FRIDAY AND SEAS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE...HOWEVER 5 FT SEAS
MAY LINGER THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY ON THE COASTAL WATERS.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
TIDAL DEPARTURES CONTINUE TO RUN ABOUT 0.5 FT ABOVE NORMAL OVER THE
NEXT 48 HOURS. SLOW RISES IN THESE DEPARTURES ARE EXPECTED
TODAY...BECOMING MORE SIGNIFICANT BY TONIGHT AND THU AS NE WINDS
INCREASE TO GALE FORCE ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA. EXTRA-TROPICAL STORM
SURGE (ETSS) GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SUGGEST THE POTENTIAL FOR MINOR
TIDAL FLOODING DURING THE THU MORNING TIDE CYCLE FOR NRN COASTAL
SITES. WINDS SHIFT TO THE NW THU EVENING AND ANOMALIES WILL
GRADUALLY DIMINISH.

&&

.AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM EST FRIDAY
     FOR MDZ021.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     THURSDAY FOR MDZ022-023.
NC...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY FOR NCZ013-014-
     030.
     WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 7 PM EST THURSDAY FOR NCZ012.
VA...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY FOR VAZ084>086-
     089>093-096.
     WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 7 PM EST THURSDAY FOR VAZ048-049-
     060>071-079>083-087-088.
     WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST THURSDAY NIGHT FOR
     VAZ072>078.
MARINE...GALE WARNING UNTIL 5 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ650-652-654.
     GALE WARNING UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST THURSDAY NIGHT FOR ANZ630>632-
     634-656-658.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST THURSDAY NIGHT FOR
     ANZ635>637.
     GALE WARNING UNTIL 10 PM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ633.
     GALE WARNING UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ638.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MAM
NEAR TERM...MAM/SAM
SHORT TERM...MAM
LONG TERM...DAP
AVIATION...LKB
MARINE...BMD/LKB
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...AKQ
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 12, 6:26 AM EST, 8 hours 34 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
626 AM EST WED FEB 12 2014

NCZ012-VAZ048-049-060>071-079>083-087-088-131130-
NORTHAMPTON NC-FLUVANNA-LOUISA-PRINCE EDWARD-CUMBERLAND-GOOCHLAND-
HANOVER-CAROLINE-MECKLENBURG-LUNENBURG-NOTTOWAY-AMELIA-POWHATAN-
CHESTERFIELD-HENRICO-BRUNSWICK-DINWIDDIE-PRINCE GEORGE-CHARLES CITY-
NEW KENT-GREENSVILLE-SUSSEX-
626 AM EST WED FEB 12 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM
EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR INTERIOR NORTHEAST NORTH
CAROLINA...CENTRAL VIRGINIA...EAST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...INTERIOR
SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA...SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND THE PIEDMONT OF
CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT MEASURED WINTRY PRECIPITATION TO
THE NWS IN WAKEFIELD.

MDZ022-023-VAZ084-085-089-090-092-131130-
WICOMICO-SOMERSET-GLOUCESTER-MIDDLESEX-SURRY-JAMES CITY-SOUTHAMPTON-
626 AM EST WED FEB 12 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM
EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE LOWER EASTERN SHORE OF
MARYLAND...INTERIOR SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA...THE MIDDLE PENINSULA OF
VIRGINIA AND THE PENINSULA OF SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT MEASURED WINTRY PRECIPITATION TO
THE NWS IN WAKEFIELD.

VAZ072>078-131130-
KING WILLIAM-KING AND QUEEN-ESSEX-WESTMORELAND-RICHMOND-
NORTHUMBERLAND-LANCASTER-
626 AM EST WED FEB 12 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
MIDNIGHT EST THURSDAY NIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...THE
MIDDLE PENINSULA OF VIRGINIA AND THE NORTHERN NECK OF VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT MEASURED WINTRY PRECIPITATION TO
THE NWS IN WAKEFIELD.

MDZ021-131130-
DORCHESTER-
626 AM EST WED FEB 12 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM EST
FRIDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE LOWER EASTERN SHORE OF
MARYLAND.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT MEASURED WINTRY PRECIPITATION TO
THE NWS IN WAKEFIELD.

MDZ024-025-VAZ099-100-131130-
INLAND WORCESTER-MARYLAND BEACHES-ACCOMACK-NORTHAMPTON VA-
626 AM EST WED FEB 12 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE LOWER EASTERN SHORE OF
MARYLAND AND THE EASTERN SHORE OF VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A BRIEF PERIOD OF SNOW AND SLEET IS POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
THIS EVENING BEFORE QUICKLY TURNING OVER TO RAIN BY MIDNIGHT
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. LITTLE OR SNOW OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS IS EXPECTED.
ALSO, GUSTY WINDS BETWEEN 30 AND 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
COAST TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

ADDITIONAL SNOW SHOWERS ARE LIKELY ON THURSDAY...WITH LITTLE OR NO
ACCUMULATION EXPECTED. NORTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WILL GUST
TO BETWEEN 30 AND 40 MPH ON THURSDAY...CREATING WIND CHILLS IN THE
20S THROUGH THE DAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

VAZ086-091-131130-
MATHEWS-YORK-
626 AM EST WED FEB 12 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM
EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE MIDDLE PENINSULA OF
VIRGINIA AND THE PENINSULA OF SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT MEASURED WINTRY PRECIPITATION TO
THE NWS IN WAKEFIELD.

VAZ094-131130-
NEWPORT NEWS/HAMPTON-
626 AM EST WED FEB 12 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE PENINSULA OF SOUTHEAST
VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A BRIEF PERIOD OF SNOW AND SLEET IS POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AND THIS EVENING BEFORE QUICKLY TURNING OVER TO RAIN BY MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT. LESS THAN AN INCH OF SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATION
IS EXPECTED. GUSTY WINDS BETWEEN 30 AND 35 MPH ARE POSSIBLE ALONG
THE CHESAPEAKE BAY WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NORTHEAST WINDS WILL GUST TO BETWEEN 30 AND 35 MPH ALONG THE
CHESAPEAKE BAY THURSDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

VAZ093-096-131130-
ISLE OF WIGHT-SUFFOLK-
626 AM EST WED FEB 12 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM
EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR INTERIOR SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA
AND SOUTH HAMPTON ROADS VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT MEASURED WINTRY PRECIPITATION TO
THE NWS IN WAKEFIELD.

VAZ095-097-098-131130-
NORFOLK/PORTSMOUTH-CHESAPEAKE-VIRGINIA BEACH-
626 AM EST WED FEB 12 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH HAMPTON ROADS VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A BRIEF PERIOD OF SNOW AND SLEET IS POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AND THIS EVENING BEFORE QUICKLY TURNING OVER TO RAIN BY MIDNIGHT.
LITTLE TO NO SNOW ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. GUSTY WINDS BETWEEN 30
AND 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
THURSDAY MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NORTHEAST WINDS WILL GUST TO BETWEEN 35 AND 40 MPH ON THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ015>017-031-032-102-131130-
PASQUOTANK-CAMDEN-INLAND CURRITUCK-CHOWAN-PERQUIMANS-
OUTER BANKS CURRITUCK-
626 AM EST WED FEB 12 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR COASTAL NORTHEAST NORTH
CAROLINA AND THE NORTHERN OUTER BANKS OF NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A BRIEF PERIOD OF SNOW AND SLEET IS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND
THIS EVENING BEFORE QUICKLY TURNING OVER TO RAIN BY MIDNIGHT
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. LITTLE TO NO SNOW ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. GUSTY
WINDS BETWEEN 30 AND 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST WEDNESDAY
NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NORTHEAST WINDS WILL GUST TO BETWEEN 35 AND 40 MPH ON THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ013-014-030-131130-
HERTFORD-GATES-BERTIE-
626 AM EST WED FEB 12 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM
EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR COASTAL NORTHEAST NORTH
CAROLINA AND INTERIOR NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT MEASURED WINTRY PRECIPITATION TO
THE NWS IN WAKEFIELD.

05

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

9 winter weather. Local standard time, as filed.

Winter Weather, Chesapeake

When
February 12, 3:00 PM EST to 7:00 PM EST
Where
Chesapeake forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
36.688, -76.312 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Snowfall amounts were generally between one half inch and two inches across the county. Deep Creek reported 2.0 inches of snow. Chesapeake reported 1.0 inch of snow.

Winter Weather, Isle of Wight

When
February 12, 3:00 PM EST to 9:00 PM EST
Where
Isle of Wight forecast zone
Reported by
CoCoRaHS

Snowfall amounts were generally between one inch and three inches across the county. Carrsville (1 mile southwest) reported 3.0 inches of snow. Smithfield reported 2.0 inches of snow.

Winter Weather, Norfolk

When
February 12, 3:00 PM EST to 7:00 PM EST
Where
Norfolk forecast zone
Reported by
NWS Employee

Snowfall amounts were generally between one inch and three inches across the county. Norfolk Naval Air Station reported 1.8 inches of snow. Norfolk International Airport reported 1.7 inches of snow. Cradock reported 2.5 inches of snow. Portsmouth reported 1.5 inches of snow.

Winter Weather, Suffolk

When
February 12, 3:00 PM EST to 7:00 PM EST
Where
Suffolk forecast zone
Reported by
NWS Employee

Snowfall amounts were generally between one inch and three inches across the county. Lake Meade Point (1 mile west) reported 3.0 inches of snow. Bennett Corner reported 2.5 inches of snow.

Winter Weather, Gloucester

When
February 12, 4:00 PM EST to 8:00 PM EST
Where
Gloucester forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
37.401, -76.523 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Snowfall amounts were generally between one half inch and two inches across the county. White Marsh reported 1.5 inches of snow.

Winter Weather, Mathews

When
February 12, 4:00 PM EST to 8:00 PM EST
Where
Mathews forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
37.417, -76.271 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Snowfall amounts were generally between one half inch and two inches across the county. Mathews reported 1.5 inches of snow.

Winter Weather, Middlesex

When
February 12, 4:00 PM EST to 8:00 PM EST
Where
Middlesex forecast zone
Reported by
CoCoRaHS
Coordinates
37.597, -76.578 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Snowfall amounts were generally between one inch and three inches across the county. Piankatank Shores reported 3.0 inches of snow.

Winter Weather, Newport News

When
February 12, 4:00 PM EST to 8:00 PM EST
Where
Newport News forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter

Snowfall amounts were generally between one inch and three inches across the county. Newport News reported 2.0 inches of snow. Hampton reported 2.0 inches of snow.

Winter Weather, Lancaster

When
February 12, 6:00 PM EST to February 13, 9:00 PM EST
Where
Lancaster forecast zone
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
37.702, -76.420 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Snowfall amounts were generally between one half inch and two inches across the county. Merry Point reported 2.0 inches of snow. Mollusk (1 mile east-southeast) reported 0.7 inch of snow.

What these are

Winter Weather
Snow, sleet or freezing rain below warning levels that still caused disruption, damage or casualties.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Virginia in 2014Every state in 2014This day in weather historyWarnings in Virginia, February 2014

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 504418, 504420, 504427, 504435, 504419, 504422, 504423, 504424, 504421.